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NAS100 trade ideas
Nasdaq Long-Term Elliott Wave AnalysisNasdaq Long-Term Elliott Wave Analysis
Hello, this time I’m looking at the long-term Elliott Wave for the Nasdaq.
On the weekly candle chart, it seems like the long-term Impulse 5 wave, which started in 2003, is coming to an end. Even when breaking it down into yellow sub-waves, everything aligns correctly, and all Elliott Wave rules are properly applied.
Beginners may not fully understand, but in Elliott Wave theory, Impulse 5 waves must also contain a 5-wave subdivision. Although I haven't marked all the counts to keep the chart clean, if you count them yourself, they should all be correct.
A strong piece of evidence supporting this view is that wave 4 of the blue wave 5 retraced to around the 0.382 level. The yellow wave 4 also retraced to around 0.382, which further confirms this analysis.
The issue here is that if this assumption is correct and wave 5 of the Elliott Wave has completed, then the Nasdaq could potentially drop to around 14,000. There is a possibility of it following a green ABC correction.
For this green ABC correction to be valid, it must be larger in both size and duration than wave 4 of the blue wave, because this correction belongs to a higher-degree wave. Based on this calculation, the decline could last until at least 2028. If we’re lucky, the green wave B retracement might push higher and form a flat correction, ideally ending at the 16,000 resistance level.
From a fundamental perspective, Trump continues to talk about tariffs, which is not a positive factor for the market.
However, if we consider the red circle as wave 1, then the green correction might end at the 0.382 (14,000) retracement level, and another 5-wave rally could follow. If that happens, good times will return.
For some hope, we could also consider that the blue wave 5 has not yet finished, and there might be another push higher, as indicated by the orange wave 5 scenario. To confirm this, we should monitor the price action around the 18,000 level—if a 5-wave upward structure appears, then an extended rally might still be possible.
If 18,000 is broken easily, then there is little hope left. Given the current global situation, the only bullish scenario would be Trump partially rolling back his tariff policies.
It might not be the best news, but as traders, whether we go short or take other strategies, the goal is to make money—so there's no need to worry too much.
May luck be on your side!
Stock Market bottom is in - Nasdaq S&P500 Dow Jones RussellThe March Rally Catalyst:
Based on the algo's signals, the catalyst for the March rally could be a confluence of factors:
Confirmation of Inflationary Cooling:
Upcoming economic data releases confirming a continued moderation in inflation could trigger a wave of buying, as investors anticipate a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve.
Strong Corporate Earnings:
Positive earnings surprises from key companies, particularly in the technology sector, could further fuel investor optimism and drive market momentum.
Geopolitical Stabilization:
Even a small sign of de-escalation in any of the current geopolitical hotspots could be enough to trigger a large rally.
Algo-Driven Momentum:
As other algorithmic traders detect the same signals, a self-reinforcing cycle of buying could propel the market higher.
Risk Management:
While the algo signals a strong rally, prudent risk management remains essential. Your algo likely incorporates stop-loss orders and position sizing to mitigate potential downside risks.
The Power of Algorithmic Trading:
Your algo's ability to process and analyze vast amounts of data in real-time provides a significant advantage in identifying market opportunities. This predicted March rally is a testament to the power of algorithmic trading in navigating the complexities of the modern market.
NASDAQ about to nuke?In my previous ideas and posts i told you about #nasdaq chart structure' s weaknesses. Well, it has already made the extended rally and the time has likely come.
In lower time frame, nasdaq, spx and dji already started dumps and broke the local supports.
In monthly candle stick size, i mean higher time frame, #nasdaq100 chart:
- Formed a huge bearish divergence
- Stoch RSI made bearish triple top
- MACD is warning about the trend reversal (Bullish to bearish)
The strong support zones in HTF are:
Monthly EMA Ribbon at 15000
Monthly İchimoku Cloud bottom at 12000
The stronghold the historical trendline support at 6000.
This strategy is NOT a SHORT TERM strategy and NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Dyor.
Just avoid being over greedy.
getting bullish after pasing the trend linethere is previous support now is become resistance, after passing the resistance getting bullish
NQ: End of day analysis!We got an irrelevant daily close .
Tomorrow, we have PPI data. NQ will behave in the same manner of CPI:
1- Overshoot: NQ down;
2- Inline or Undershoot: A bounce and down (zigzag).
What I want to highlight is that the current area 19100-19600 seems to become ST/MT Support or Resistance. Hence price might continue to be around it until the end of the week and the next few days.
When price will break it, it will give the sign of next direction. To this end, what do we have:
1- Recession, inflation and tariffs are all negative factors. NQ should continue down;
2- FED next week: free money; rate cut. These are positive factors. NQ downtrend ends and we move back up.
3- Tax cut and deregulation are also positive factors.
So as you can see, we have many opposite forces happening or markets expect them to happen. Any delay of the positive factors, markets will move down to make pressure.
Have a good evening/night!
The Next Leg nas100To me this is very bullish (break and retest on lower time frames and even the 6month chart is showing a retest to the last candle close) Im looking for a 50 percent push back up on the bearish candle on the 6month chart and if we continue i will continue to hold and close partials
NAS100 - Another Point Of ViewHow I see it:
Just another perspective.
Bullish breakout @ trend - TP = 20305.00
Bearish rejection @ trend -
TP 1 = 19112.00
TP 2 = 18700.00
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Post CPI Update: NAS still very well behaved in this range🎯 As previously mentioned, we were expecting the bearish imbalance to be the magnetic area. Price in this chart is behaving just as it should. As well with bearish imbalance or FVG, we expect price to find it as a trend continuation point.
If we do not get a bullish close over the previous day, we will expect a swift attack of the lows in the coming PA.
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USTEC - Short-Term Pain, but...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈Long-term, USTEC has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in orange.
This month, USTEC has been in a correction phase, retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USTEC is hovering around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hanzo l Nas100 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path🆚 Nas100– The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19970 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
NQ: The gate to the south is still openGood day!
Price is still bearish and ready for going further down.
We've key data in a few with CPI.
1- Any overshoot (and it's expected) will send down NQ.
2- Inline and undershoot will provide a shy bounce and resume down.
The world is witnessing how USA is treating its closest ally and neighbor. In my view, BRICS countries and their allies will benefit from the self-inflicted destruction of USA and to lesser extend Europe.
Trump is making pressure on the FED for free money and rate cuts. March meeting will be extremely relevant.
We got positive news on the ceasefire in Ukraine. If Russia accepts (which is 100% expected), it will boost for ST NQ and equities.
Scalp RiskHere is a risky scalp, should 15m show sell rejection and 3min show BOS, it is some gambling setup spotted.
News Hyped Nas100After the news hyped Nas100 I am intending to see a manipulative buy that will run back to sell and stay with the narrative, it has been some time since we analyzed for retracements that are to happen in this market. The long sell is not showing some bullish challenge that might end it anytime this week. That is just what I see. In terms of entry, I am using this week a Heiken-Ashi Strategy that I will share as soon as I am confident to go live with it. Swing trading, I am waiting for the gap to be filled, it was just late for me to enter a buy today.
Nas100 -Are we Finally Bullish Price created a demand ...before buying price ...it need to come down first before moving back up
US 100 Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025 (15-Min Chart)1. Trend Identification
Bearish Bias:
The price is trading below the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating overall bearish momentum.
The Point of Control (POC) at 19,449.24 represents a high liquidity area, acting as a strong resistance level.
Short-Term Consolidation:
The price is oscillating around 19,375, suggesting market indecision before a breakout or breakdown.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 19,400 - 19,450 (POC and recent highs).
Immediate Support: 19,300 (lower consolidation boundary).
Stronger Support: 19,000 (psychological level & lower trend channel).
Upside Target: 19,500 - 19,600 (breakout scenario).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -15.53%, indicating stronger selling pressure.
Last 60 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -10.28%, reinforcing short-term bearish dominance.
Interpretation:
Bearish Sentiment Dominates: Selling pressure is higher, increasing the probability of a breakdown below 19,300.
If buyers regain control near 19,300, a bounce toward 19,450 is possible.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If price fails to hold 19,300, it could drop to 19,000 (blue channel projection).
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A breakout above 19,450 could trigger a move toward 19,500 - 19,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Sell below 19,300 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 19,400 (previous resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 19,150 (mid-support).
Final Target: 19,000 (key support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
2. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Breakout)
Entry: Buy above 19,450 (confirmed breakout).
Stop-Loss: Below 19,375 (recent consolidation zone).
Targets:
First Target: 19,500 (local resistance).
Final Target: 19,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
NAS100 Buy Analysis: GTENAS100 Buy Analysis:
NAS100 has successfully crossed through the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) on the 1-hour timeframe, confirming bullish momentum. Price is currently holding above the recent support zone around 19,400, and as long as this level holds, the index is likely to continue its climb.
The short-term target is the top trendline near 19,700 - 19,800, aligning with the broader bullish structure ahead of tomorrow’s CPI news release. Expect increased volatility, but the bullish bias remains intact unless price breaks below the lower trendline around 19,300.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish BreakoutBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is rising toward our buy entry level at 19,532.22 (Bullish breakout)
Our take profit is set at 20,050.33, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 19,127, a swing low support level.
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#NQ #Idea looking for selltoday Nas look like it will go down to H1-Low after it clear H1 POI
the idea for selling today on NAS100
US100 Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
US100 has retested a
A horizontal resistance
Of 20669.2 from where
A bearish reaction can be
Observed already and so
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Bearish Flag Forming – More Declines Ahead?Nasdaq 100: Correction Confirmed - What's Next?
March 11, 2025
The Nasdaq 100 is down 7.1% in 2025, with a 4% loss on March 10, its worst day since 2022. From its December high, it is in correction (-10.4%), closing at 17,468.32.
Causes:
New tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China fuel inflation fears.
Economic indicators suggest a possible recession (JPMorgan: 40% probability).
Tech giants like Tesla (-15.4%) and Nvidia (-5.1%) lead the declines.
Bond yields at 4.79% and a strong dollar affect growth stocks.
Consequences:
Volatility on the rise, Nasdaq below its 200DMA.
Focus shifting to defensive sectors.
Pressure on ETFs like QQQ and Nasdaq futures.
Outlook: Monitor key levels; critical support is near 17,000. If lost, we could see further declines. #Nasdaq100 #Correction #Markets
(((The Nasdaq 100 (US100) is in a corrective phase in 1H, with a drop of 8.2% from 20,709.8 to 19,003.8. Points A, B, C, D and E form a possible bearish flag that if point E is completed, a prominent drop would be expected, projecting the mast downwards that goes from 2080 (daily opening) to 19250 (daily low). If this projection occurs, it would take the price to 18500 and 18000 in extension.)))
NASDAQ: Oversold at the bottom of 8month Channel Up.Nasdaq is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 26.693, MACD = -501.840, ADX = 53.670), which is the most oversold 1D RSI reading since August 15th 2015. In the meantime, it touched the HL bottom of the 8month Channel Up, a bearish wave that looks much like July 2025. The bullish wave that followed topped on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. If candle closings are contained inside the Channel Up, we expect it to attract a lot of new buyers and initiate the new bullish wave to at least the same Fib. Long trade, TP = 23,400. A closing under the Channel Up, should test though the 1W MA100 (TP = 18,000).
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