NAS100 trade ideas
NAS100 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 21,335.35, an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 20,926.01, a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 21,516.96, above the swing-high resistance.
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NASDAQ broke above its 1D MA200 after 2 months! Target 22000.Nasdaq (NDX) broke today above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since March 06), following the U.S. - Chine trade deal. This trend-line also had the March 26 rejection under its belt, which initiated the most aggressive part of the 'Trade War' correction.
The last time the index broke above its 1D MA200 on a similar pattern was when it was recovering after the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The February 01 2023 break-out produced an instant rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before a short-term correction to re-test the 1D MA200.
As a result, we expect 22000 (1.382 Fib ext) to come as early as this week before any discussions can be made for a new pull-back.
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3 Consistent Winner Beliefs. Do you check off all 3?> Every trader comes to the charts with a story.
Mine is one of obsession, resilience, and belief.
This is what I tell myself every single day before I take a trade — my inner code.
1. Money can be made in markets
I’ve seen the charts. I’ve seen the proof.
Every day, money moves — and the ones with eyes to see take their slice.
Markets aren’t random. They aren’t chaos.
They’re an ocean of opportunity.
The consistent winners?
They’re locked in the present and spot opportunity moment by moment —
then strike when it’s worthwhile.
2. I can make money in markets
Not someone else. Me.
I study. I adapt. I execute.
I’m not here to gamble or guess.
I’m here to observe human behavior and act with precision.
I’ve trained my mind to see what others miss.
And that edge? It’s mine.
> “It’s so incredible how rich one can become without being perfect.”
3. I deserve to make money in markets
This one’s the hardest — and the most powerful.
Because without it, we self-sabotage.
I’ve put in the work.
I’ve sacrificed.
I’ve endured losses, frustration, and silence.
But I never stopped.
So when profit comes, it’s not luck — it’s alignment with who I’ve become.
> I post this not just as motivation — but as a mirror for others walking the same path.
If you’re obsessed with mastering yourself through the charts, then we’re already on the same team.
A belief is any thought you get attached to.
The more you attach, the more you become it.
US100 TO MAKE A MASSIVE DROP !!Price recently made a new lower high after we had a previous lower high around 20,122 price remains bearish as our recent trend isn’t taken out yet. Meaning that there is no new all time high formation yet. I anticipate a drop in price (abound 1000pip ) back to the previous lower high of 20122. Therefore we are looking forward to selling US100.
Nasdaq100/Us100 Possible Explosive Up Move About To Happen
Hello everyone! In this idea I have posted a picture of my current setup. I have taken a long positions once the 1 hour candles broke out of and closed beyond this range (Box) My SL is just the other side of this box and I am targeting the ATH on this position.
If another 1 hour box starts to form higher up I will simple add another position and move Stop losses accordingly.
although we have moved back within the range, the buy pressure is squeezing the candles to the top side of this range. This is why I am execting an explosive move. Once sellers are exhuasted it will propell itself to the next key level.
Let me know what you think.
I am not a financial adviser. Trade at your own risk.
NDX - NOW IT IS ALMOST READYMorning,
I was a bit gun shy this morning for that trade - there was no rejection of resistance and it kept going, luckily without confirmation I never entered. However we are now seeing the start of a potential confirmation to retest down to previous support.
Hourly:
Oversold RSI with two tops forming.
Volume is starting to dip and has rejected higher volume profile.
Momentum is starting to top out just waiting to see if it wavers downwards.
Just waiting on that candle to close lower on the hourly and will continue following if our RSI crosses the EMA point.
I know being patience sucks but its better than loosing money!
Enjoy
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Bearish
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 21200
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR
Status: trade active 👌
US 100 - Could The Recovery Continue?A press conference yesterday morning led by US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer outlined a positive conclusion to the first round of trade talks between the US and China. The news grabbing headline was a 90 day reduction in combined US levies on Chinese imports being reduced from 145% to 30% and Chinese duties on US goods dropping from 125% to 10%.
This announcement put a further squeeze on weak short equity positions, and gave fresh impetus to the bulls, helping to fuel a 4% rally in the US 100, taking it above some interesting technical levels (more on this below).
Now, with a framework in place for further talks between the world’s two biggest economies, representatives from the two countries have 90 days to work towards a broader agreement. However, US Treasury secretary Bessant did say that there may be a chance to extend the tariff reduction for a longer period if there is good faith, engagement and constructive dialog to keep moving forward. A slight caveat which outlines the huge amount of negotiation and focus that needs to be maintained from both sides to finalise a more long term agreement.
While traders may still be focused on trade negotiations and potential trade deal updates with allies across the rest of this week, there is also some economic data to focus on. The latest US inflation reading in the form of CPI is due out later today at 1330 BST, where any deviation from market expectations may either add further buying momentum to the recent move higher, or give traders a reason to take profits against some potentially important technical levels.
Technical Update: Breakout From the Late March Highs
With a positive reaction to the US/China trade talks seen in US equities, the US 100 index has posted its highest closing level since February 26th 2025, as price strength has continued to emerge from the capitulation to 16290 on April 7th.
Traders are possibly now viewing the ability of the index to close above 20871, the March 25th session high, as something that may lead to a more sustained period of price strength.
Of course, a break of a previous price high isn’t always a guaranteed signal of price strength, but with the constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows in place since the April 7th low (16290), the question may now be asked, what are the next potential resistance levels to current strength?
Potential Resistance Levels:
Having seen a new recovery price high for the current phase of strength posted on Monday at 20914, traders may now be viewing this level as a possible first resistance, and how this level is defended on a closing basis could be important.
However, following the latest price strength, if closes above this 20914 high were to materialise, traders might then shift their focus to 22226, which is the February 18th all-time high, as the next possible resistance area.
Potential Support Levels:
Of course, much depends on future market sentiment and price trends, and we know price strength can quickly fail, even reverse back to the downside. So, we must be aware of possible support levels that if broken, may see risks to turn towards potential of declines.
A support focus might now be half of the latest price strength seen from last week’s low, which stands at 20252. If this level gives way, a deeper decline might then be on the cards back towards 19627, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to May 2025 strength.
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NDQ100 Bulls in Control – Eyes on Major Resistance Ahead!Nasdaq 100 (NDQ100) Daily Analysis – May 14, 2025
The Nasdaq 100 has made an impressive recovery, surging from its April lows and now heading toward a key resistance zone.
Key Technical Insights:
Support Held Strong: Price rebounded perfectly from the 20,288 support zone (marked in blue), showing clear buyer interest at that level.
Clean Breakout Structure: The current rally is structured with higher highs and higher lows – a textbook bullish trend.
Next Target: All eyes are on the major resistance zone near 21,300, which previously triggered heavy sell-offs in February.
Volume + Momentum: Momentum is rising, and unless there's a sharp rejection near resistance, we might see a breakout continuation.
Trade Plan to Watch:
Bullish Bias: While price stays above 20,288, bulls are in control.
Bearish Setup? Watch for rejection candles or divergence near 21,300 to consider a short-term pullback.
What’s Your Take? Will NDQ100 blast through resistance or face another rejection like in Q1?
Let’s discuss it below! Drop your trade setups, like, and follow for more clean price action charts.
#ndq100 #nasdaq100 #indices #usmarket #priceaction #supportandresistance #breakouttrading #bullmarket #tradingview
5 May Weekly NAS100 Forecast USTECH: Trade Talks and Fed Decision in Focus
Analysis:
Markets are at a pivotal juncture as investors monitor two critical developments: the potential resumption of U.S.-China trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision.
Trade Negotiations: Renewed dialogue between the U.S. and China could alleviate tariff pressures, stabilize global supply chains, and bolster investor confidence, thereby reducing recession risks.
Federal Reserve Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet on May 6–7, 2025. While the Fed is widely expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%–4.50%, market participants are keenly awaiting Chair Jerome Powell's commentary for insights into future monetary policy directions.
Market Bias: Cautiously Bullish
The confluence of potential trade resolutions and a steady monetary policy stance supports a cautiously optimistic outlook. However, market volatility may persist pending concrete developments.
Key Levels to Watch:
USTECH (NASDAQ 100):
Resistance: 20 531
Support: 19 481
Conclusion:
Investors should remain vigilant, monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank communications, as these factors will significantly influence market trajectories in the near term.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
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Nasdaq100 (US100) Bearish Reversal Opportunity from ResistanceThe Nasdaq 100 is trading within a rising parallel channel on the 4H timeframe. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, showing signs of exhaustion near 21,240. This area also aligns with a psychological resistance zone and may attract selling interest.
Trade Idea:
A potential short setup is forming, anticipating a rejection from the upper trendline and a move back toward the lower channel support.
Entry: Near 21,238
Stop Loss: 21,748 (above the channel)
Take Profit: 20,009 (lower channel + previous support)
Fundamentals:
With tech stocks appearing overbought and rising interest rate expectations still looming, a corrective move in US indices may follow. Caution is advised around key economic releases.
Call to Action:
👉 Follow for alerts on breakout/breakdown scenarios.
👉 Share this analysis to empower others with data-driven decisions.
Engage with My Latest Trading Setup & Share Insights!
NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
NASDAQ100 (US100) Testing Key Supply Zone – Big Move Loading?The NASDAQ100 (US100) is currently testing a major supply zone around 21,380 – 21,400, marked clearly by repeated price rejection and visible range resistance from LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand indicator.
After a strong bullish move from the 20,688.51 demand zone, price is consolidating just below resistance, forming what looks like a potential distribution range. If bulls fail to break this level cleanly, we could see a sharp drop toward the next key supports:
First target: 21,044.29 (Minor support / previous resistance)
Second target: 20,688.51 (Major demand zone, confirmed by volume)
Why this setup matters:
The supply zone has already rejected price multiple times – showing seller strength.
RSI is flattening out, showing momentum loss.
U.S. economic events are coming up (marked on the chart) – these could trigger volatility and confirm direction.
Trading Plan:
Watch for a clean rejection or breakout from the blue zone.
A confirmed rejection + bearish candle pattern = short entry with stops above the zone.
A breakout with volume = bullish continuation above 21,400.
Comment below:
Are you buying the breakout or selling the rejection?
Follow for more clean NASDAQ setups every week!
#US100 #NASDAQ #TradingSetup #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #Forex #Indices #RejectionTrade #Breakout
Technical Breakdown on US100 (1H) TIME FRAMETechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 21,280
Value Area Low (VAL): 21,190
Point of Control (POC): 21,259.75
High-Volume Nodes: Dense volume between 21,200–21,260 indicating consolidation and potential distribution.
Low-Volume Gaps: Below 21,100 down to 20,800 — fast movement zones with limited participation.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop Clusters:
Above 21,300 (recent swing high zone and consolidation top)
Below 21,190 (VA Low, likely stop cluster from long positions)
Absorption Zones:
Strong absorption near 21,000 and again around 20,800 (marked by reversal attempts with high delta volume)
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing Highs: 21,291 (confirmed by peak CVD and high rejection)
Swing Lows: 20,060 (prior major volume base and support)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Bearish Bias emerging (CVD divergence at highs, falling structure)
ADX Strength:
ADX > 20 + DI- > DI+ → Confirmed downtrend in progress
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD + Bearish Price Action = Clear supply dominance
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 21,190
Lower POC: 20,060.91
Resistance:
VAH: 21,280
POC: 21,259.75
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann Swing High: 21,291
Confirmed Gann Swing Low: 20,060
Retracement Levels:
1/2 = 20,675
1/3 = 20,537
2/3 = 20,812 → aligns with minor absorption
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish (confirmed by ADX > 20 + falling CVD and price)
b) Notable Patterns:
Distribution Zone forming at highs (flat top)
Descending Channel (Bear Flag) forming after topping — potential continuation lower
Rejection from POC + VAH convergence = strong signal for supply takeover
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (watch for reversal confirmation):
Entry Zone: 20,800 (channel bottom/absorption + Gann 2/3)
Targets:
T1: 21,000
T2: 21,190 (VAL retest)
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (confirmed trend setup):
Entry Zone: 21,250–21,280 (POC + VAH)
Target:
T1: 20,800
Stop-Loss (SL): 21,320
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk 1–2% of capital per trade to maintain long-term equity curve health
Trade Idea - possible to outcomes2 potential scenarios. If the price action closes below the 1st dotted red line(MSS), we would expect the 30min iFVG to be respected as resistance, which would serve as our MSS + Displacement. The subsequent candle would then provide confirmation regarding the validity of the candle at 9am NY Time in relation to the next FVG to trade off to London Low.
Staircase seen in real chartsFor the most part OANDA:NAS100USD has exhibited a near perfect staircase up so far.
It does appear fairly extended right now, but with rotation out of safe havens into risk on assets again, what remains to be seen is how much fuel is in the tank, and how far can the tailwind take it.
NASDAQ READY TO CONTINUE THE LONG-TERM WEEKLY BULLISH RUN
FX:NAS100
I just entered this buy trade on Nasdaq on the daily time frame.
The trade setup is a Swing trade following the monthly and weekly orderflow.
The Monthly is bullish, the weekly is also bullish, so I entered on the daily time frame retracement.
My overall take profit is a risk reward of 1:4.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 13 May 2025- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 21500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance level 20220.00 (which has been reversing the index from March) and the resistance trendline of the Ascending Triangle from April.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term ABC correction 2 from last month.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 21500.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave 2).
Perspective CheckOANDA:NAS100USD | OANDA:SPX500USD – Perspective Check
We’ve moved nearly 5,000 points from the April lows on NASDAQ, and over 1,000 points on the S&P 500. Yet despite that clear, tradeable move, many are still waiting — either for a crash that hasn’t come, or a runaway rally that already happened.
Let’s keep it simple:
Say you caught just 50–60% of the NASDAQ move. That’s 2,500 to 3,000+ points. If you layered in properly, shaved risk, locked profits, and rode the structure, that’s meaningful ground gained — not theoretical, not hindsight — just reactive, structured trading.
But here’s the friction point:
The hardest psychological shift isn’t finding entries. It’s accepting when:
You’re wrong
The market has changed
It’s time to let go of a losing bias
Ask around, and you’ll hear it:
“I want it to drop because my TA says X”
or
“I need it to break even — I’m stuck in a position”
That’s not analysis. That’s hope. We always return to this principle:
Trade what’s happening, not what you want to happen.
Take profits, not chances.
You don’t need the full move. You just need enough of it, often enough, with a process that protects your edge. The rest is just noise dressed up as conviction.