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NAS100 trade ideas

Lies on NASDAQ to FOOD Big # ADM TSN CAGWell this is just a follow up so I dont need to explain...see prior post of mine and you will get whole story.. Get you food in order cause it will get really fun...I guess this is why at a dinner I had with John Bogle of Vanguard he said: "Boys....if any of you are smart and think about the future, how many of you will follow the phones versus follow the farming life, raise your hands? Well, it seems all the hands are up...so good news, none of you get to enjoy this exquisite meal tonight because no one will replace the people who made it all happen from soil, air , and water. If any of you boys are smart, get into that game by the early 20's and you will be able to take control of the world..and make the real money, the controlling money. Own the land, control the water, and your portfolios better contain the crops and their respective companies of tomorrow." Spoken June 2010 Say....isnt there real nice land in the Midwest owned by a few big guys or hedgefunds....and wait a sec...isnt there some "breadbasket" in that for border of the Big Meany we like to pick on that had a few hands dipped into it. Things arent random...just be in the right rooms at the right time :}
NASDAQ:NDX
by CYQOTEK
Lies are only as good as they taste TSN CAG ADMSo, When we look at a wallet full of dollars and many games on or events to be festive...you tend to spend on food. These are the 3 big boys of AG and consumer vertical integration food production companies. So why would they go down if all is times of Joy and happiness. The vertical color bars are the Highs of each stock, colored to match the stock. The Price ranges on the right are the divergences that have occured Since those Highs. Notice how the NASDAQ is up on its previous high before pivoting...yet the others are 30+% down...hmm Those purple, pink, blue, and at far bottom grey..lines are all Fib Channels that use my Bow-Bridge technique and covered the entire Dot.com detonation from pivot lot to peak back to pivot low. You can see the Green pointed arrows show the past action and the best action of retracement to equal the food intake and price action of AG Conglomerates... Will post the next one on how it looked in the Dot.com 99-2001 span and see if there are correlations so you know when to short things...get food while you can...and then watch as everyone watches their retirement and pensions blow up and then food prices explode higher and you are just watching with your popcorn.... I never said I want to watch the world burn...I just poured Gas all over the place and sprinkled some special crystalline powders down too....Then I handed a roman candle to the partying Stocksters and said its sooooo pretty and colorful...give it a try to spark your achievement ;)
NASDAQ:NDX
by CYQOTEK
Analysis of NASDAQ 100 index Analysis of the NASDAQ 100 based on moving averages (MA) reveals a predominantly bullish sentiment in the short to long term. Current Trend: The NASDAQ 100 is currently in a short-term rising trend, indicating positive market sentiment and increasing buying interest. Key Observations: Support: The index has support at approximately 21100 points. Momentum: Strong positive momentum is present, with the RSI currently above 70, suggesting overbought conditions. Resistance: There is no clear resistance in the price chart, indicating potential for further upside. Technical Indicators: Prediction for Next Week: Despite overbought conditions, the NASDAQ 100 is expected to maintain its upward trajectory in the next week. However, traders should be cautious of a potential short-term correction due to the high RSI. Disclaimer: This is a concise technical analysis report for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Markets4Traders
2
How to flip $2,000 into a million in a bubble. In this post I want to share with you an idea I've shared with my friends irl who have market exposure. Heading into the 2022 high I strongly encouraged my friends to sell stocks. We were heading into a multi decade resistance level and I'd put the odds somewhere around 80% there'd be a notable reaction to this level. Could be a pullback, could be a crash. If it's a pullback it's easy to get back in, not so easy to get out in a crash. So, no brainer. Late 2022 I started to tell them it was worth getting back in as long as they used good stop loss rules and then when we got to a 76% retracement of the 2022 drop I started to explain the concept I'll discuss in this post to them. First let's lay the groundwork for this. We can focus on the things we know. It's a known that indices have uptrended for a long time. And it's a known of trend development that trends do not get slower. A trend is always increasing in velocity. It goes up faster and faster and then when it comes down it comes down faster than it went up. This is always what happens. Trends speed up. Regardless of the direction. Now, in 2022 we hit a multiple decade resistance. This was evidenced by a local market top. Confirming the market also seems to care about this level. Whatever happens, this is likely to be a major pivot point in the trend. Either we'll top out here or well head into a stage of hyper overperformance. In this overperformance, we will likely see indices up 100% from the current highs. 200 - 300% is on the table, 100% is a number that would have high odds of hitting, based on historical breaks like this. And if the resistance is actionable, this could all come crashing down in a horrific way. If you accept these premises that the market is due to either crash up or crash down, then it makes no sense at all to have common stock exposure (Or whatever you prefer). If the long bet is wrong, you can take crippling losses and if the long bet is right you can make a lot more money betting on the hyper aggressive breakout. Around 4500 I started to tell my friends this. I told them if I was them I'd drop my stocks. Bank the profits on those and then I'd take 10 - 20% of what I'd made in profits and use these to buy a portfolio of aggressive OTM calls. My thinking here is if the market yanks, no big deal. SPX could drop 90% and my friends would take rather nominal losses. Giving back a fraction of what they made in the rally rather than seeing all their positions go from profits top negative. On the other side of the coin, if the breakout comes - they'd make a lot more on the calls than they'd make with common. Depending on aggression level, they'd make a crazy amount more. A rally similar to the Nasdaq breakout would translate as something like this on SPX. At this moment in time you can buy Jan 2027 calls for under $150. In the event this move happened, these would be worth min over $65,000. A bit under $75,000 if the move is completed faster and this is not even accounting for the potential of an IV boost if the market goes into hyper performance. $2,000 into a series of bets on that happening would return over a million in the event that it did actually happen. This is not without risk. The plan I proposed to my friends has one main risk and that is the market slowly continues to uptrend. Making good gains but not hitting the bubble conditions to make it realistic these deep OTMs actually trade (For context, the statistical probability of profit on these right now is 0.2% - something would have to change). In that scenario, they'd take some small losses on the call portfolio and they'd have missed out on whatever the gain of just owning the underlying asset would be. That's the potential cost of the bet. On the upside of that, my friends who had 10s or even 100s of thousands exposure to the bear move can covert this to a few grand risk and still make mega bank if the bubble thesis comes into play. If SPX hits the 100% move inside of 2 years, these calls pay somewhere around $25,000 per $130 risked. In the event this heads into a blow off event they start to get up to close to $100,000 on those positions. This is hyper high RR way to bet on a developing bubble. Ensure you do not have excessive losses in a crash and the price of this is basically you convert your bet into a bet that the market will not range. If the market ranges for a year or two, this idea suffers. I think this is the wise thing to do at this point if speculating in stocks. We're into a binary level in my opinion. A polarising decision will come in this area. The smart thing to do is to put a hard cap on risk exposure so all bearish tail events do not hurt you and have the potential to make 1,000s of % of profit in the event of a bullish tail event. I think the probability of a tail event in the coming years is high now. Rarely is the probability of a tail event high, but rarely do we test multiple decades of resistance in indices. There is so much that can be made or lost in a tail event, that it makes a lot of sense to think about how you can structure bets to survive or thrive in the different outcomes. If this proves to not be the end stages of a bubble, then I think it's only reasonable to assume we're actually somewhere in the middle of a bubble. Which means something exceptional is likely to come in the following years - whatever way this inflection point resolves itself. In my opinion, if you want to bet on continued up moves in indices, you might as well bet on a full fledged bubble. The odds of indices breaking resistance and slowly limping higher I consider super low. I think we reverse or we fly. I have my bets structured to benefit from either one.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by holeyprofit
1
NAS100USD: Capitalizing on Bearish Displacement!Greetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the M15 timeframe shows a recent shift to bearish price action, marked by significant displacement to the downside. This displacement provides strong evidence of institutional sell order distribution, as seen in the large bearish candles that led to a bearish break of structure. Key Observations: 1. Premium Price Retracement: After the bearish break, price retraced into deep premium levels, where institutional arrays are present. These premium zones offer opportunities to seek confirmations for selling toward discount prices. 2. Breaker Block as a Key Zone: Price has retraced into a premium breaker block, a critical mitigation zone. What is a Breaker Block? Breaker blocks are mitigation zones created as institutions mitigate losses from opposing orders placed during the prior trend. Once price retraces to these zones, institutions close those losing positions and reinstate new orders to align with the prevailing trend. Trading Strategy: Entry: Look for confirmation at the premium breaker block to align with institutional order flow. Target: The primary target is the liquidity pool in discount prices, adhering to the principle of selling in premium and booking profits in discount zones, mirroring institutional strategies. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s analyze, learn, and succeed together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
3
USNAS100/ Decline from NEW HIGHTechnical Analysis The Nasdaq is currently attempting to rise above its previous resistance level of 21,770. If successful, it is expected to reach a new high of 21,900 before initiating a gradual decline. After peaking at 21,900, the index is projected to step down, revisiting the 21,770 level. A break below this point may lead to further declines, with targets at 21,620, 21,535, and eventually 21,420. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21420 Resistance Levels: 21770, 21880, 22000 Support Levels: 21,675, 21,535, 21420
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
US100 Is Very Bearish! Short! Take a look at our analysis for US100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,766.7. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 20,570.5 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by SignalProvider
5
NAS100USD: Are We Seeing a False Bullish Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis, NAS100USD continues to follow bearish institutional order flow, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the current market narrative. While the overall trend remains bearish, recent price action has displayed a bullish break of structure. However, I interpret this as a false break of structure, supported by the following evidence: Key Observations: 1. Engineered Retail Resistance: Institutions have created a retail resistance zone with relatively equal highs. This formation entices retail traders to sell at the resistance level, placing their stop losses above it. These stop losses are viewed as buy stops by institutions, representing willing buyers at premium prices. Institutions capitalize on this by order pairing—selling their positions against the retail buy stops. 2. Institutional Order Pairing Logic: Large funds require opposing liquidity to fill orders efficiently without slippage. To achieve this, institutions manipulate the market by engineering liquidity through patterns such as resistance zones or equal highs. After selling at premium levels, institutions aim to buy back positions at discount prices, targeting sell stops and liquidity pools below. Trading Outlook: Given this institutional behavior, my interpretation is to anticipate further bearish movement . With institutions likely targeting sell-side liquidity at discount levels, I am focusing on the sell-side liquidity pool as the primary target for this setup. If you have any insights, questions, or analysis, feel free to share them in the comments below. Let’s collaborate and refine our strategies together. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect