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NAS100 does anyone have a view on how the opex this Friday will affect trading in the next 3 days? Will we go to the level that of the last opex close ?

NAS100
๐Ÿ“‰ NASDAQ Daily Analysis Based on Main Key Levels โ€“ April 15, 2025

Current Market Price (DCMP):

18,776

๐Ÿ—๏ธ Critical Price Zones

Below Price (Support):

Immediate Demand: 18,077 ๐Ÿ”ป
Strategic Floor: 16,957 โš ๏ธ
Swing Low: 19,109 ๐Ÿ“‰ (Recent 4H timeframe)

Above Price (Resistance):

First Supply: 19,196 ๐Ÿ”บ
Key Barrier: 21,008 โ›”
Swing High: 22,239 ๐Ÿ“ˆ (Daily timeframe)

๐Ÿ“Š Technical Drivers

1. Fibonacci Confluence

Bull Scenario: 18,077 aligns with 78.6% retracement of the rally from 19,109โ†’22,239.
Bear Scenario: 19,196 coincides with 161.8% extension of the recent sell-off.

2. Momentum Signals

RSI: Bullish divergence forming on 4H chart (higher lows vs. price consolidation).
MACD: Histogram flips above signal line near 18,630, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.

๐Ÿ’ก Intraday Trade Setups

Long Opportunity ๐ŸŸข (Intraday Buy)

Entry: 18,077 ๐Ÿ“
Stop Loss: 16,957 ๐Ÿ›‘
Take Profit 1: 18,776 ๐ŸŽฏ
Take Profit 2: 19,196 ๐Ÿš€

Rationale:

Institutional accumulation detected at 18,077 (61.8% Fib zone).
Bullish engulfing pattern confirmed on 1H chart.

Short Opportunity ๐Ÿ”ด (Intraday Sell)

Entry: 19,196 ๐Ÿ“
Stop Loss: 21,008 ๐Ÿ›‘
Take Profit 1: 18,776 ๐ŸŽฏ
Take Profit 2: 18,077 ๐Ÿš€

Rationale:

Resistance cluster at 19,196โ€“21,008 aligns with options expiry hedging activity.
Bearish volume surge during European session retests.

๐Ÿ“‰ Risk Management Protocol

Use 50% position sizing for sell trades above 19,196 due to elevated volatility.
Monitor Fed Chair speech (14:30 EST) for potential market-moving catalysts.

๐Ÿ” Market Perspective

NASDAQ tests critical junction at 18,077โ€“19,196. Prioritize momentum trades with 1:3 risk-reward ratios. A sustained close above 21,008 or below 16,957 would confirm trend continuation.

NAS100 By the way,, let me add something could flip the table upside down!
do not underestimate the dollar retrace! and think how that could affect Gold, Bitcoin and stocks!
That will happen so soon in a fast enormous move!

NAS100 hi, a beautiful day candle base from the bulls today, with a chance to fill the upper gap from the previous day candle! but will be the level of 19065 is the second challenge for the market maker to close the day candle above that price! but I can see he is taking the right steps already.. if you ask me, would that be easy,, answer is not let use see

NAS100 I dont know how, but the market trully in Green and Bull Trend is kicking in

NAS100 Possibility of a big increase in sight today, W format 7th and 9th and coup and handle, afterwards.

US100 not sure why people are connecting these sharp corrections with tariffs or any news. The pullback was imminent since early December and is nowhere near to finish.

Above 18810 buy, below 18740 sell