US2000 - looking bearishIt looks like Russel index finished simple ABC correction and trend to the downside will continue very soon - we have nice leading diagonal as a wave 1, so I am expecting 5-wave move to the downside.
US2000 trade ideas
Bias more on downside with 2130 as resistanceClassic support turn resistance!.
Resisted at 2130, supported at 1900
Break below 1900, we shall see 1750/1700.
Bias on downside.
US2000 Short bear flagFinally seeing enough to get short here. Been a choppy couple of weeks with a false-rally on most indexes, which are now all looking likely to test lows again. This Bear Flag is complete with three highs and has started to breakdown. Target is the low around 1.6R.
Long RUT targeting ATHI think I over targeted on the last RUT short posted. We've held the 161 of the topping swing. I'll be really bearish if we can break that level but in my experience when we have this topping formation and it fails to break the 161 a parabolic rally is coming next.
And the next short is much more interesting.
Are Small Caps Taking Leadership Again?The Russell 2000 led markets to the downside in recent months . Now it may be leading the rebound.
Notice how RUT made new February highs yesterday and today, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 are below their highs last week.
Next, consider the price zone around 2,000. This is not only a “nice round number.” It’s also a level RUT broke on high volume early last year. (You can use IWM’s chart for the volume.)
Third, RUT is back above both its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages.
Fourth, consider this long-term chart showing the ratio between small caps and the Nasdaq-100. It shows RUT near its lowest relative valuation since the tech bubble started deflating in mid-2000:
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In which phase do you think small caps are?What would be the point of publishing something without making the audience think about it?
Questions:
1- Do you think there is a similarity between this chart and the picture below it?
2-If you think there is a similarity, which phase do you think small-caps are in?
3- do you want to learn more about this type of analysis?
if your answer is yes, you can read the free articles:
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Small Caps / S&P 500It looks like small caps will severely under-perform the S&P500 with the current trend,
Small Caps - still BearishSmall caps have not broken out yet! Be careful as this could be a bull trap!
What to expectThe same pattern from 2000/2008 is playing out, only faster this time.
Is the situation different? Sure.
Is the overall environment fundamentally different? No.
I don't think it's unreasonable to expect the same result.
$RUT Russell 2000 Could be making a new channelTVC:RUT
Follow and like for more updates..
#AHMEDMESBAH
Short squeeze to retest ATH.One last move up for some good ol' MM manipulation so that institutions have more time for distribution and to line certain timelines up regarding the vaccine agenda. Overall I'm a bear but VIX is fixing for 13 end of Feb after todays lower low.
Bear Market is official for Small Caps ..!What Is a Bear Market?
A bear market is when a market experiences prolonged price declines. It typically describes a condition in which securities prices fall 20% or more from recent highs amid widespread pessimism and negative investor sentiment.(Investopedia)
21% decline in the past 12 weeks makes Bear Market in Small-cap official..!
I think there is no need to say it was in my 2022 Forecast published on January 4th, 2022!
Conclusion:
1-The Energy and Banks sector could continue their rally in January 2022..!
2-Tech stocks especially those which still burn cash, will experience a hard time in 2022, and any positive must be considered as transitory!
3-Small caps may experience lower prices and even Negative returns in 2022.
4-SPX, NDX, and DJI could have 10-15% returns in 2022.
5-Keep in mind that 12 monthly rates of change decreased by half in the past 10 months for SPX , NDX, and DJI which means expected market ROI should be lower in 2022 in comparison to 2021 and 2020!
6-For small caps this phenomenon is even worse, they lost 85% of their gains, and continuation of this phenomenon could lead to a negative return in 2022. ( Fundamentals also support depreciation of unprofitable business in high inflation era)
7- 2022 will be the year for those who know how to handle high volatility! A year for aggressive portfolio management strategies!
I will provide updates for this analysis as needed.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA , an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
US2000 Control Area...After having analyzed the behavior in today's relevant news, we see that there has been an institutional accumulation and there is a bullish projection.
Best Regards.
@MartinTopTrader
US2000 Waiting for...In trading you do not operate constantly, you have to listen to the market and wait for it to give us clear information to operate while limiting the risk well.
Best Regards.
@MartinTopTrader
russell index in silver terms? crazy? silver 50+? next decade?if inflation and interest rates due to debt persist, why wont gold and silver see a bid up?
If gdp and company growth rates slow down, isnt the multiple on stocks a bit enthusiastic?
dow to gold, sp500 to gold, and most traditional measures are on the high side. Why wouldnt I consider the old money, silver for a hold for the next decade?
$silver #silver $gold $gold $platinum #platinum
Russell end of the gameRussel has finished last ABCDE of its primary triangle, one more small bounce is expected.
The end of the primary cycle coincides with the triangle end of the cycle :
s3.tradingview.com
It also coincides with the triangle end of the supercycle:
s3.tradingview.com
Where is the bottom - I am only guessing, but it looks like it is the end of the road for the Russell.
RUT Russell 2000 same level as December 2020The Russell 2000 index lost all its gains from 2021 and is now at the pick of December 2020.
I expect 2022 to be the year of this index, that has a lot of undervalued gems, like 2021 was they year of the Big Tech with high multiples.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Russell 2000 (^RUT) Will be down 10%RUT broke the trend line on the weekly, Correction in progress. Expect RUT will be at 1880.
RUT TargetsAction reaction chart
For those who have watched the recent video i have added an Andrews Fork off the recent high
To derive these targets
GRI 2022
Russell 2000 Geometry: 1500 mid term targetWe run through the Russell geometry which is interesting
Starts off similar to the Dow but ends with what I think is a huge distribution top
Let's see what happens
GRI 2022
NOT TRADING ADVICE
Confirmed Rectangle TopToday We can say a Rectangular Top pattern has been confirmed and small-cap will experience another 10-15% decline!
This is the lowest level since Jan 29th, 2021.
This could happen very fast in the next 2-6 weeks!
TZA (Small-cap 3x inverse ETF) volume doubled in volume in the past 3 months, and could go up to 37-42 levels!
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
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