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Volatility Index Future (VIX)VV

Volatility Index Future (VIX)

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VIX Angry Crab Is Set to Spike .The VIX Angry Crab is about to make its move, and it’s ready to pinch! Starting from a cozy 18, this volatile crustacean is eyeing its next targets: TP1, TP2, and TP3. Whether it’s a scuttle upward or a sideways shuffle, traders beware—this crab doesn’t just crawl, it spikes! Keep your stop-loss nets ready and your trading claws sharp because when the Angry Crab gets riled up, it’s not just a market indicator; it’s a market mood swing. As always, make your decisions wisely—after all, even the boldest crab can sometimes get caught in a tide. SEYED.
CAPITALCOM:VIX
by SEYED98
7
Consider Going Long on VIX Amidst Persistent Market Uncertainty -Key Insights: The VIX, known as the "fear gauge," reflects market sentiment and is currently indicating sustained volatility. As geopolitical and economic uncertainties persist, a long position on the VIX could be advantageous. This strategy may serve as a hedge against potential market downturns, as the VIX tends to spike during periods of increased volatility and investor anxiety. -Price Targets: For the upcoming week, consider these levels for a long position on the VIX: Target 1 (T1) at 22, Target 2 (T2) at 25. Implement stop levels to manage risk: Stop Level 1 (S1) at 18, Stop Level 2 (S2) at 16. -Recent Performance: The VIX recently surged by over 15%, reflecting notable market jitters. This increase aligns with heightened volatility observed across major indices, underscoring the current market's nervousness. This upward movement indicates a reaction to complex global factors, including economic releases and geopolitical developments. -Expert Analysis: Analysts emphasize the pivotal role of inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions in driving market volatility. The consensus is that these factors will continue to create uncertainty in the markets. Expected fluctuations may present both opportunities and risks, highlighting the need for strategic positioning in volatility indices like the VIX. -News Impact: Recent geopolitical developments, particularly tariff announcements, have exacerbated market anxiety, directly impacting volatility metrics such as the VIX. As key economic data releases loom, including the non- farm payroll report, market participants should anticipate potential spikes in volatility. These events could lead to further upward movements in the VIX as markets respond to emerging information.
TLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$VIX spike to $80-100 incomingI think there's a large spike coming in VIX despite most people turning bullish on the market and bearish on the VIX. Price has maintained elevated levels for the past few months, all of the RSIs are in extreme bullish territory and the move looks very similar to the spike that we got on August 5th. Have no clue what will cause it, whether it's the fed meeting, gov't shutdown or some other outside factor, but the chart is looking like we should see a spike next week up to the $80-103 level. Let's see how it plays out.
TLong
by benjihyam
8
Will the Fear Gauge Flash Red?The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street's closely watched "fear gauge," is poised for a potential surge due to US President Donald Trump's assertive policy agenda. This article examines the confluence of factors, primarily Trump's planned tariffs and escalating geopolitical tensions, that are likely to inject significant uncertainty into the financial markets. Historically, the VIX has proven to be a reliable indicator of investor anxiety, spiking during economic and political instability periods. The current climate, marked by a potential trade war and heightened international risks, suggests a strong likelihood of increased market volatility and a corresponding rise in the VIX. President Trump's impending "Liberation Day" tariffs, set to target all countries with reciprocal duties, have already sparked considerable concern among economists and financial institutions. Experts at Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan predict that these tariffs will lead to higher inflation, slower economic growth, and an elevated risk of recession in the US. The sheer scale and breadth of these tariffs, affecting major trading partners and critical industries, create an environment of unpredictability that unsettles investors and compels them to seek protection against potential market downturns, a dynamic that typically drives the VIX upward. Adding to the market's unease are the growing geopolitical fault lines involving the US and both China and Iran. Trade disputes and strategic rivalry with China, coupled with President Trump's confrontational stance and threats of military action against Iran over its nuclear program, contribute significantly to global instability. These high-stakes international situations, fraught with the potential for escalation, naturally trigger investor anxiety and a flight to safety, further fueling expectations of increased market volatility as measured by the VIX. In conclusion, the combination of President Trump's aggressive trade policies and the mounting geopolitical risks presents a compelling case for a significant rise in the VIX. Market analysts have already observed this trend, and historical patterns during similar periods of uncertainty reinforce the expectation of heightened volatility. As investors grapple with the potential economic fallout from tariffs and the dangers of international conflicts, the VIX will likely serve as a crucial barometer, reflecting the increasing fear and uncertainty permeating the financial landscape.
CLong
by UDIS_View
VIX structure is becoming like 2022 pointing to deeper dipThe VIX is following similar pattern to 2022 and gradually increasing. Using that pattern, I can compare current spx to 2022 and draw a channel to 2022. then we have a way down to go. I also agree with ContraryTrader's post on spy specially his observation on Wyckoff distribution. I have been following the news and I know that big investors like Warren Buffet and Michael Burry have been selling heavily last year because it was overvalued. So if they have sold off, would they buy back with 10% correction? They would be looking at at least 30% correction before they start buying back. Now combine that with tariff wars!
CShort
by krisoz
Stocks and Yields Signal Trouble as VIX Approaches Key ResistancThe Volatility Index (VIX), commonly known as the market's "fear gauge," has reached a critical juncture, testing the pivotal 2-year support/resistance level at 18.80. Following a dramatic 40% decline from its recent high of 29.20 to 17.32, the VIX has established a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicative of an imminent breakout. Major U.S. indices, including Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow futures, and the 10-year Treasury yield, are retreating from recent rebounds, which increasingly resemble a classic "dead cat bounce" rather than sustainable recovery. The alignment of these indicators suggests the market sentiment remains fragile, raising the probability of further downside momentum. Technical Breakdown Volatility Index (VIX) The VIX is testing critical resistance at 18.80 after rebounding from the 17.30 zone. A symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, signalling potential volatility expansion. Immediate Bullish Scenario: Holding above 18.80 targets an initial rise toward 21.25 (triangle midpoint). A break above this level significantly increases the odds of a climb to 22.80 and subsequently to the triangle's upper boundary at 25.24. Beyond 25.24, the VIX could quickly escalate toward prior resistance zones at 26.75 and the recent high of 29.20. Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below 17.30 would temporarily alleviate bearish equity pressures but remains unlikely in the current uncertain climate.
TLong
by Rotuma
Reading the VIX right nowUsually when the VIX (candlesticks) retraces, and closes, 50% lower from a rapid swing high, it is often provides a pretty well-timed entry for a bullish trade on SPX (black line shown in chart). But this time around I'm cautious. The gradual build up and gradual decline seems to indicate something stronger is at play, something the market can't shrug off. This week might give clues since no market-shaking news is scheduled until Friday's PCE number.
T
by gordonscottcmt
VIX SURGES 50% – Is a Market Crash Unfolding? The Volatility Index (VIX) just skyrocketed 50.90% to 45.30! This is one of the largest single-day spikes in recent history, signaling extreme fear in the markets. Historically, VIX levels this high have only occurred during major financial crises like: ✅ 2008 Financial Crisis ✅ COVID Crash (2020) So, what’s driving this surge in volatility? 📊 Understanding the VIX Levels The VIX measures market fear and uncertainty based on S&P 500 options activity. 🟥 Above 25 – 🚨 High Volatility = Market panic, extreme uncertainty 🟧 15-25 – ⚠️ Medium Volatility = Elevated risk, possible correction 🟩 Below 15 – ✅ Low Volatility = Calm market conditions Right now, we’re deep into the “fear zone” at 45.30, which suggests that investors are in full risk-off mode. Why Is Volatility Exploding? 1️⃣ Stock Market Sell-Off – The NASDAQ and S&P 500 are plunging as investors flee risk assets. 2️⃣ Recession Fears – Economic indicators are flashing warning signs, and Fed policy remains uncertain. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Risks – Global tensions and economic instability are adding to investor anxiety. 4️⃣ Institutional Hedging – Large funds may be loading up on downside protection, further driving up volatility. What’s Next? If the VIX keeps climbing past 50, we could be looking at an even bigger market meltdown. A reversal below 25 could indicate that fear is cooling off and stabilization is ahead. Watch for safe-haven moves if money continues flowing into gold, bonds, and the dollar, the fear trade isn’t over yet. #BearMarket #Recession
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by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Emergency VIX Analysis... 30+When I woke up this morning, I had to run my son & his friend to school. When I got back home and sat down in front of this computer, my eyes widened and I said "MY GOD!" Someone said capitulation is a feeling. Well honey... this is it. Spiked VIX, huge gaps down, nausea, & nerves shook. On to the analysis. We are wicking from the top as of now. But this journey has been a lesson of what can happen during times of a a heightened VIX (sustained time over 20). Here are a couple of things that I have learned and confirmed with my own eyes since the new year (2025). Monthly wicks should not be ignored. Price needs to regain the top of the wick and hold for further move up. VIX divergence is a thing. General observations... VIX up, mkt down = mkt down as VIX continues up VIX down, mkt up = mkt up as VIX stays down VIX holding above 20 in a range is still bearish. After major spikes, watch for this. Methodical sell off likely to occur. If you have other observations to express... please do. Taking a breath as we navigate these bearish times .
T
by mommymiles
Six conviction trades for 2025: seize the new market narrativeWhile developed economies have shifted to easing policies, opening the way for a broadening of the market away from technology mega stocks, the economic outlook remains uncertain. The violent reaction to DeepSeek’s launch early in the year clearly highlights the nervousness of markets and their ultra concentration. In the first few weeks of the year, the Trump administration has also been implementing its agenda at breakneck speed, leading to heightened uncertainties around trade frictions, inflation dynamics, and geopolitical upheaval. In that context, it is important to rethink investment positionings that may have worked in 2024, acknowledging the potential for volatility and numerous changes of directions. In this uncertain environment, WisdomTree’s research team presents its six highest-conviction investment ideas for 2025. 1. Can the Magnificent Seven dominate for a third year in a row? Few storylines have captured the investor imagination recently as much as the Magnificent Seven —a cohort of mega-cap technology stocks that propelled US equity benchmarks to remarkable gains. While these tech giants remain influential, we see scope for 2025 to become a year of ‘broadening out’. Macro rationale Resilience in corporate fundamentals and earnings growth: high quality growth stocks continue to be supported by strong fundamentals and growth could benefit from continued momentum after two years of domination. Value resilience and broadening: with uncertainty increasing around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) trajectory and inflationary pressures created by potential tariffs, value stocks may benefit and offer some diversification. Energy and Financials should also benefit from a wave of deregulation under the new Trump regime. The case for a value/growth barbell strategy in US equities: a barbell strategy between US large cap quality Growth and US large cap Value equities leverages complementary strengths to navigate 2025. This approach allows investors to: Capitalise on the Value factor’s extreme discount to Growth. Enable investors to capture opportunities across market cycles. Create a balance between growth potential and valuation-driven safety. 2. Unlocking value in Japan Japan’s economic transformation story continues to gain traction as the country moves beyond four decades of stagnant nominal growth and sporadic deflationary episodes. While 2024 was the best year for Japanese equities since 1989, we believe that the Japanese renaissance still has further room to run. Macro rationale Resilience in corporate fundamentals and earnings growth: high quality growth stocks continue to be supported by strong fundamentals and growth could benefit from continued momentum after two years of domination. Favourable currency tailwinds: the yen’s multi-year weakness augments the competitiveness of Japanese exporters, fuelling strong earnings from overseas revenue. Stable core inflation (outside of food) and talks about bond purchases by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) indicate that the BOJ will prevent the yen from appreciating too much. Earnings and tariffs: Corporate earnings growth remains very strong after 2 years of improvement, and our analysis shows that the market is underreacting to those fundamentals. Furthermore, Japan may be able to secure a tariff carve-out from the US, leading to strengthening competitive positioning versus Europe and China. 3. A Trump card for emerging markets small caps Emerging markets (EM) have struggled over the past decade, underweighted by many global investors and burned by repeated episodes of dollar strength, trade frictions, and slower growth in China. However, the narrative is a lot more positive going into 2025. Macro rationale An EM comeback: with the Federal Reserve maintaining an accommodative stance on monetary policy, China unleashing coordinated fiscal and monetary stimulus, and a wave of EM sovereign ratings upgrades, tailwinds have been picking up strongly for emerging markets. But some clouds remain on the horizon: unfortunately, the Trump administration’s focus on a strong dollar and tariffs could slow down the recovery. EM smalls caps as the solution: EM small caps typically derive a larger share of revenues from their home countries, insulating them somewhat from US tariffs or the dollar ‘s strength. In a scenario where the global trade outlook remains uncertain, these domestically oriented firms can thrive on internal consumer growth, as rising middle-class demographics in markets like India, Indonesia, and parts of Latin America continue to drive local consumer demand. 4. Cybersecurity at the crossroads of AI, geopolitical tensions, and quantum computing The first few weeks of 2025 saw a resurgence of software stocks, with cybersecurity companies jumping in front of semiconductors or AI stocks. Continued corporate and government spending, as well as the imperative to protect the AI revolution, position cybersecurity for robust growth in 2025. Macro rationale AI’s security gap: rapid AI adoption brings higher data volumes and more software vulnerabilities, forcing enterprises to bolster their cyber defences. We expect a wave of spending on next-generation cloud solutions, zero-trust architecture, and quantum-proof encryption. Elevated geopolitical risks: heightened tensions—from continuing conflicts and new trade disputes—translate into more frequent state-sponsored cyber-attacks. This, in turn, drives increased defence budgets and corporate vigilance. US deregulation: since the US election, software companies have benefitted from deregulation expectations. Cybersecurity, cloud, and blockchain posted some of the strongest thematic gains in the first few weeks of the year. 5. Precious potential: silver’s breakout moment While gold often steals the headlines, silver has quietly staged a meaningful rally, underpinned by both safe-haven demand and its essential role in green technologies, such as solar photovoltaics. 2025 could be silver’s ‘catch-up’ year. Macro rationale Haven meets industrial: silver exhibits a unique duality—part precious metal and part industrial commodity. If risk aversion flares, silver typically follows gold upward. If global growth holds steady, silver benefits from manufacturing demand. Countries worldwide, led by China and the US, are rapidly expanding solar capacity. Newer solar cell technology requires even higher silver content, providing a price tailwind. Gold correlation: geopolitical tensions and looser monetary policy are offering gold new tailwinds, and silver will also benefit from the catch-up effect. Limited supply growth: silver’s byproduct nature makes supply tight, as mining companies are not incentivised to expand production simply for silver alone. This supply-demand imbalance supports a more bullish price outlook. 6. Institutional adoption of digital assets is redefining multi-asset portfolios After navigating a series of regulatory speed bumps, digital assets, led by bitcoin, have entered 2025 with growing mainstream acceptance. Key catalysts have included the expansion of physical bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) listings across major exchanges and the gradual emergence of regulatory frameworks that remove operational frictions. We believe most multi-asset portfolios remain structurally under-allocated to cryptocurrencies as a neutral position in digital assets (as illustrated by the market portfolio) should be around 1.5%. Macro rationale Portfolio diversification: bitcoin’s correlation to equities and bonds is low, providing a diversification benefit. Even small allocations have, historically, improved risk-adjusted returns. Institutional inflows: pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds are steadily warming to digital assets, pointing to a rising tide of flows. As coverage by mainstream analysts grows, digital assets are increasingly viewed through the lens of asset class fundamentals rather than speculation alone. Technological leaps: alongside bitcoin, developments in Ethereum scaling, stablecoins for global payments, and the tokenisation of real-world assets are reshaping how capital markets function. The resulting network effects may boost confidence in the broader crypto ecosystem. Conclusion In an environment that may reward conviction and flexibility, these six investment ideas offer distinct avenues to harness the opportunities emerging in 2025. Whether you seek cyclical upside, defensive yield, or secular growth themes, we believe these high-conviction calls exemplify WisdomTree’s mission: delivering innovative, research-driven solutions in a world of constant change. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
C
by aneekaguptaWTE
Go Long on VIX Amid Elevated Market VolatilityKey Insights: The current market scenario is characterized by significant volatility due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, making the VIX an essential indicator for investors. With the VIX priced at 21.77, close attention should be paid to support and resistance levels, as a breach could provide actionable trading signals. Maintaining a long position on the VIX could be advantageous amidst ongoing market instability and the potential for further fluctuations. - Price Targets: For those considering a long position, the following targets and stops are recommended next week: - Target 1 (T1): 22.60 - Target 2 (T2): 23.50 - Stop Level 1 (S1): 21.20 - Stop Level 2 (S2): 20.60 - Recent Performance: The VIX has experienced heightened activity recently, reflecting the market's sensitivity to various risk factors, including geopolitical issues and tech market fluctuations. The current level near 21.77 points towards a phase where volatility remains above average, suggesting ongoing investor concern. - Expert Analysis: Market experts suggest maintaining vigilance in the face of potential volatility spikes. The consensus indicates that despite recent fluctuations, there is cautious optimism for relief rallies. Taking a strategic and disciplined approach amid the current market conditions is suggested, focusing on long-term quality assets while using the VIX as a barometer for short-term volatility. - News Impact: The pending FOMC meeting stands as a significant event that could influence market volatility levels. Geopolitical developments and economic data releases, such as retail sales, are also set to impact market dynamics. Notably, volatility in tech stocks and companies like Tesla demonstrates market sensitivity to external events, highlighting the importance of the VIX as an indicator under current market conditions.
TLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
4