DXY BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅DXY(Dollar Index) broke the
Key horizontal level around 107.800
And the breakout is confirmed so
We will be expecting a further
Bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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DXY trade ideas
next possible movment for DXYTwo things I have missed in the video
1: when the price breaks the resistance and marks HH we can see bearish divergence in both cases
2: in both scenarios from the support level to the new HH price moved up almost 10-11%
Dollar is Wolf pattern is it true I want to share with friends Dollar is Wolf pattern is it true I want to share with friends
DOLLARThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the dollar's strength against a basket of six major currencies: the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), Canadian Dollar (CAD), Swedish Krona (SEK), and Swiss Franc (CHF)1. Created in 1973 by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the DXY serves as a benchmark for evaluating the USD's performance
The DXY is a reliable gauge for measuring the strength of the U.S. dollar. An increasing DXY value indicates a strengthening U.S. dollar against other currencies in the index, while a decreasing value suggests a weakening U.S. dollar.
just for educational purpose,do your own research..
Dxy Buying IdeaEverything is on the chart
Please take profit at 3 level Fib Pocket Level (126-138-168%)
Goodluck
Bearish forecast on DXYWeekly took the low of previous candle and closed below it.
Daily showing a potential internal range liquidity into external range liquidity move.
SHORT! US Dollar.....For nowUSD is in a clear wave 2 down for many reasons.
- Tariffs speculation
- Inflation data higher than expected
- US M2 money supply increase
- US manufacturing output drops and Retail sales drop
Moreover, the dollar for now is bearish until reversals in the aforementioned list of causes for its recent decline. Primarily, look for the FED to hold off on any future rate cuts until later in the year. Treasury Yields(Bond Sell off) rising recently is an indication that the market does not expect any FED rate cuts happening anytime soon. This could spur demand for the US Dollar as other Central Banks globally look to continue to cut rates (i.e. ECB and BOE).
Does the dollar do it and fly in the sky? Is it reasonable that Does the dollar do it and fly in the sky? Is it reasonable that it is a pulse that is a trading pattern?
DXY "DXY Sell Setup: With easing US tariffs and a shift to risk-off sentiment, I'm targeting a move down to around 106.969 before any rebound. Stay sharp—this sell opportunity could be significant. #DXY #Forex #SellSignal"
[4H] DXY - Mid-Term Analysis Under Donald TrumpThe U.S. dollar experienced heightened volatility on the day of Donald Trump’s hypothetical inauguration for a second term as president, reflecting market uncertainty around his policy agenda. Below is an analysis of potential drivers for the dollar’s trajectory, incorporating short-term dynamics and longer-term risks:
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1. Tariffs, Inflation, and the Fed’s Response
A renewed push for reciprocal—and potentially universal (due to practicality)—tariffs could disrupt global trade flows, raising import costs for U.S. businesses and consumers. Coupled with an already tight labor market, these pressures could accelerate inflation. Elevated input costs (e.g., raw materials, manufactured goods) might manifest in key metrics like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) as early as Q2 2024 (March-May), particularly if supply chains face renewed bottlenecks.
In this scenario, the Federal Reserve —which remains staunchly data-dependent—could respond with rate hikes to anchor inflation expectations. Higher interest rates would likely bolster the dollar’s appeal in the near term, attracting foreign capital seeking yield advantages in U.S. Treasuries or other dollar-denominated assets. Markets may price in this hawkish pivot ahead of official Fed action, amplifying short-term dollar strength.
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2. Safe-Haven Demand Amid Geopolitical Risks
Trump’s aggressive trade rhetoric (e.g., targeting China, the EU, or emerging markets) risks sparking retaliatory measures, reviving fears of a global trade war. Heightened geopolitical uncertainty could drive investors toward traditional safe-haven assets, including the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds. This dynamic would likely support the DXY (Dollar Index) in the short term, particularly if equity markets react negatively to protectionist policies.
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3. Long-Term Risks: Economic Slowdown and Eroded Confidence
While tariffs and inflation may initially buoy the dollar, their prolonged implementation could backfire. Sticky or increased inflation combined with higher borrowing costs (from Fed hikes) might dampen consumer spending, corporate investment, and GDP growth. Simultaneously, trade barriers could shrink export opportunities for U.S. industries, exacerbating economic headwinds.
Over a multi-year horizon, these factors could undermine confidence in the dollar’s stability, especially if deficits widen or growth stagnates ( stagflation risks ). Markets are forward-looking, however, and may begin discounting these risks earlier—potentially as soon as late 2024—if trade tensions escalate or growth indicators falter.
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Conclusion: Volatility as the Only Certainty
The dollar’s path will hinge on the speed and scale of policy implementation, the Fed’s reaction function, and global market sentiment. While short-term strength is plausible due to rate hike expectations and safe-haven flows, structural risks loom on the horizon. Trump’s unpredictable policymaking style adds layers of uncertainty, suggesting the dollar could face a turbulent, news-driven cycle. Investors should brace for whipsaw moves in the DXY, with tactical opportunities in the near term countered by longer-term macroeconomic vulnerabilities.
Key Watchpoints: CPI prints (Q2 2024), Fed meeting language, trade negotiation timelines, and global central bank responses to U.S. protectionism.
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This analysis balances immediate catalysts with structural shifts, acknowledging the dollar’s role as both a haven and a victim of its own policy successes.
DXY Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DXY is going down and
The index made a bearish
Breakout of the key level
Of 107.400 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Now bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
USD Under Pressure: Impact Retail Sales and Trade TensionsThe U.S. dollar faces another challenging session, with the DXY index dropping 0.4% in the end-of-week session and posting a weekly decline of 1.4%, bringing the greenback to levels unseen since early December. This performance is largely attributed to disappointing January retail sales data and trade tensions stemming from the potential implementation of more “meticulous” tariffs than initially expected, some of which may not take effect until April.
Retail sales, one of the key indicators of U.S. consumer strength, fell 0.9% month-over-month in January, significantly below the -0.1% expected by analysts. This marks the sharpest contraction since March 2023, reflecting the impact of adverse weather conditions and specific factors such as the Los Angeles wildfires. Sectors such as sporting goods, vehicles and parts, and e-commerce experienced the largest declines. This deterioration in domestic demand is further reinforced by the drop in “core” sales for GDP calculations—which exclude food, automobiles, building materials, and gasoline—coming in at -0.8%.
In terms of monetary policy, this data supports the likelihood of a second rate cut in 2025. Futures markets are now pricing in approximately 38 basis points of easing before year-end, a notable adjustment from the 26 basis points anticipated just the day before. The scale of this market revision reflects the relative shift in the economic outlook following weak consumer data. Naturally, this expectation of lower returns on dollar-denominated assets, with the U.S. Treasury yield falling 6 basis points to 4.47%, exerts downward pressure on the U.S. currency.
Looking at the short- and medium-term outlook, the dollar’s performance will continue to be shaped by the evolution of trade tensions. The recent executive order signed by President Donald Trump includes the adoption of “reciprocal tariffs”, though the final scope of these measures remains uncertain. If the administration continues to adopt a “surgical” approach to counter what it considers unfair trade imbalances, the market may find further reasons to dismiss the scenario of a stronger greenback. Should this bearish trend for the USD persist, the next key level for the DXY index is around 105. The dollar’s trajectory will depend both on expectations for additional Fed rate cuts and tariff decisions, both of which will be critical in shaping the next few months.
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Elliott Wave Insight: DXY Correction to 100 ?PEPPERSTONE:USDX TVC:DXY TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:DXY
📊 DXY Analysis with Elliott Waves 🌊
Wave (B) appears to be completing around 109.
A corrective decline toward the 100 zone (Wave (C)) is likely.
Key Fibonacci targets: 100% at 95.06 and 127.2% at 90.93.
🔎 Keep an eye on price action near these levels for potential reversals.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This analysis is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before investing.
US Dollar 2025 "Crash" The DXY (USD Index) has exhibited remarkable strength over the past few years, generating significant market volatility as it surges and retraces.
The dollar’s inverse relationship with global markets—when measured against USD—is undeniable. On a broader time frame, we can clearly identify inverse correlations between stock market troughs and peaks seen in the dollar.
Presently, I believe the dollar has completed a substantial rally reaching a peak at the 0.618 retracement level of the 2022 uptrend, just above 109. This level has now prompted a rejection.
When I observe this type of price action, I immediately consider the potential for a corrective 1-to 1 move downward. In essence, this suggests that the second leg of the decline may mirror the magnitude of the initial wave, forming an equal-length corrective move.
By utilizing the trend-based Fibonacci extension, we can identify a projected local low around 95, with this timeframe aligning with November 2025. Interestingly, historical data suggests that bull markets frequently reach their peaks toward the end of the year, often around November or December.
Should this correction materialize, it would likely serve as a highly bullish catalyst for broader markets—potentially fuelling one last major rally before a more pronounced pullback.
DXYDXY approching a demand floor on daily ,the price action is strong .
if that demand holds ,then mid term gains of AUDUSD,EURUSD,GBPUSD,USDJPY,GOLD ,SILVER,COPPER WILL be affected on technical and not on fundamental.
DXY or USD INDEX (Bearish)Nicely rejected twice from the top, broke the trendline & support, making it ready for continuation towards the downside, showing us more money being printed and coming to the market, all the time it was going up, but hopefully this is the best probability right now.
DeGRAM | DXY retest of supportDXY is in a descending channel between trend lines.
The price is retesting the support level, which previously acted as a rebound point.
The chart keeps the descending structure.
We expect a correction in the channel after fixing above the important psychological level of 107.
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DXY Trading Journal Feb 13 Analysis DXY Trading Journal
Feb 13 Analysis
Price did gravitate to 15M and rebalance in Asia and London and lowered to the sell side and equal lows, Price did react and come to the 50 in NY before furthering it decline for lower prices, seeking another key low.
Note I stated yesterday that I suspected a long in NY, and it only came up to the CE of the dealers range, leading me to think that we are in fact a bearish bias.
Price is in discount on the weekly, and daily an previous sessions range.
DXY aka USD daily chartUnless there is a big move down the bullish channel, the bias is still bullish in the longer term.
You never know, the "tariff" thing is still on going, just one sentence from trump could cause bulls to push it back up. For now it is work in progress.
DXYThe DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major currencies: the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It serves as a key indicator of the dollar’s value in global markets. The index tends to rise when the dollar strengthens and falls when it weakens. Major economic events, Federal Reserve policies, inflation data, and geopolitical developments significantly impact its movements. Traders and investors use the DXY to assess currency trends, hedge risks, and make informed decisions in forex and commodities markets.
DXY 1hMaking High Resistance we are Bearish but we are also Bullish because we come from Support i recommend to see what liq will be taken pref. sellside sweep after a MSS bullish and to push a little Higher, if we see some drops the probability is higher take that local +OB below liq beeing taken out
🇺🇸 Is Trump Really Making America Great Again? Or Is DXY Telli🇺🇸 Is Trump Really Making America Great Again? Or Is DXY Telling a Different Story? 💰
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical crossroads, pulling back to weekly support while sitting at deep Fibonacci retracement levels.
This is a key area to watch—if support holds, we could see a strong rebound. But if it fails, a deeper pullback and correction may be on the horizon.
Keep an eye on this level—the next move could set the tone for what’s ahead. 📉📈
