NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument...Part 38The last ATH was signaled on February 25, 2025 at exactly 3:00 am EST...(Back Test and see the M1 chart)
Since that time the market has started to make LH's LL on the smaller timeframes in order to create the next HL on the largest active timeframe.
For almost 2 months, the market entered into a deep and hard retracement with many doomsday fanatics aiming at becoming the next phenomenon in trading predictions, trying to suggest that this is the beginning of the greatest drop the NAS100 and other instruments will ever see.
I have always maintained and I stand even more firmly on the fact that any sells you see in the markets are only temporary retracements toward another HL and that the market has always and will only make HL's to HH's.
Fast forward to April 6, 2025 at 7:10 (Back Test and see the M1 chart) pm the market hit it's largest HL point. Since that time...the market has started to make HL's to HH's on your small to medium timeframes while still keeping the largest HL created on the monthly intact.
The H4 time frame you will see is now signaling the first round of HL's to HH's a solid confirmation that the market is finally breaking out of it's retracement phase and back to resume it's usual trend.
Another key factor to note is that last weeks highest point is only approximately 4,000 pips from the ATH and if you have been tracking the NAS100 you should have noticed that every week that number is getting smaller and smaller and it will only be a matter of time for that to be broken again.
With that being said, my strategy still remains the same...
1. Enter on my largest HL and trade to my HH's
2. In the event that there is still consolidation in the markets with LH's being created on the
medium timeframes, I simply TP and wait for another setup.
Even with Friday's frenzy created by emotional traders reacting Trump and his circus show, the markets still held their own and still closed above the low of every single week since April 6, 2025.
What this means is that the ATH will be broken very soon and it just requires patience and a dedication to the strategy to ensure that it is followed to the last detail.
I say without apology...
All highs on the NAS100 are guaranteed to be broken
The NAS100 trades only HL's to HH's and that is a guaranteed fact
So trade wisely...
Trade smartly...
Manage your risk...
Happy Trading...
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
NDQM trade ideas
Short US100Think we see a move up to the 0.786 fib level from the recent highs with a rejection down further if more blocks or doubt is cast on the new trade deals and tariffs.
TP would be the weekly lows
Bearish thoughts
- The fundamentals of the tariffs deals are getting challenged
- A bit more aggressiveness from china and we might see a move down
- Daily MACD is pointing down suggesting downward pressure which we are seeing on hourly chart
Bullish structure remains on the 4hr chart
H&S Watch! Pullback Toward 18.4K Likely, POC at 15K is Critical!This chart presents a comprehensive technical and macro assessment of the NASDAQ 100 (US100) using the daily timeframe. The focal point is a developing Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, currently unconfirmed, but well-formed with strong structural and momentum confluence.
🧠 Thought Process & Structure
The chart reveals a potential H&S pattern with the right shoulder forming just below 22,200. While the neckline at 18,400 has not broken yet, several signals support the idea of a short-term pullback:
Bearish RSI divergence from the recent high
Stochastic crossovers on both daily and weekly timeframes from overbought levels
A large unfilled gap near 18,400 that is likely to act as a magnet
Rather than predicting an immediate collapse, this analysis takes a probability-weighted approach and lays out both bullish and bearish outcomes clearly.
📉 Current Expectation: Pullback Toward 18,400
A move toward 18,400 is the base case. This level represents:
The neckline of the H&S structure
The location of Gap Fill Target 2
A prior demand zone from April 2025
A bounce here would not invalidate the pattern but could delay its confirmation. It’s also a valid level for a short-term long trade setup if buyers defend it strongly.
⚠️ Break Below 18,400: POC Zone Becomes Critical
Should 18,400 break decisively, the market could test the Point of Control (POC) around 15,000. This zone:
Has the highest historical volume concentration
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
Marks the new measured move target of the Head & Shoulders pattern
In short, 15,000 becomes the most critical structural and psychological support. If it fails, deeper risk reopens.
🔻 Deeper Move Scenarios (Now Less Likely)
Previous versions of this chart targeted 10,500. That level is now considered outside the measured move and only becomes viable if:
15,000 fails to hold
Macro conditions deteriorate sharply (e.g., inflation remains sticky, Fed turns hawkish, or recession triggers a risk-off rotation)
At this time, such an extended move is low probability.
📈 Bullish Invalidation
A breakout above 22,200 with strong volume would invalidate the entire bearish pattern. This would suggest bullish continuation and open the door to 24,000 and beyond. This scenario is also plotted on the chart and clearly labeled.
🧭 Trading Plan
Monitor for rejection or bounce at 18,400
If it holds, long opportunity may develop
If it fails, prepare for POC test at 15,000
Only consider deeper targets if breakdown volume is strong
Invalidate bearish outlook if price closes decisively above 22,200
📅 Macro Events to Watch (June–July 2025)
June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
June 11 – CPI Report (May)
June 17–18 – FOMC Meeting
June 26 – Final Q1 GDP
June 27 – PCE Inflation
July 3 – June Employment Report
July 15 – June CPI
July 30 – FOMC Meeting #5 & Q2 GDP Advance Estimate
These events could act as triggers for either confirming or invalidating the current technical setup.
✅ Summary
This is a developing setup — not a confirmed breakdown. The current expectation is a pullback toward 18,400, with a potential bounce. If that support fails, the 15,000 POC becomes the key level to watch. The measured move of the H&S pattern now targets 15,000 — not 10,500. Deeper downside should only be considered if strong macro or volume-based catalysts emerge.
This approach allows for flexibility, clarity, and trade planning without bias. Let the chart prove itself — and be ready either way.
NAS100 BEARISH FOR 35,532 TICKS1. Understanding the Target (35,532 Ticks)
1 tick in NAS100 (CFD/Futures) typically represents 0.25 index points (varies by broker).
35,532 ticks = 35,532 × 0.25 = 8,883 points.
This suggests a long-term bullish outlook if starting from current levels (~18,000-19,000).
2. Key Analysis for NAS100 Forecast
Trend: NAS100 is strongly influenced by tech stocks (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, etc.) and Fed policy.
Support Levels:
Major support at 18,000-18,500 (2024 consolidation zone).
Resistance Levels:
19,500-20,000 (ATH zone).
21,000-22,000 (next psychological barrier).
3. Take Profit (TP) Strategy
If entering a long position (assuming bullish trend continuation):
Short-term TP: 19,500 (scalping).
Medium-term TP: 20,500-21,000 (swing trade).
Long-term TP (35,532 ticks): ~26,883 (if starting from 18,000).
If entering a short position (unlikely given bullish bias):
TP at key supports (17,500 or lower).
4. Risk Management
Use stop-loss (SL) below key support (e.g., 17,800 for longs).
Position sizing: Risk ≤1-2% per trade.
5. Conclusion
Bullish Case: If NAS100 breaks 20,000, the 35,532-tick (8,883-point) target could be possible in a strong bull run.
Bearish Case: Unlikely unless major crash (Fed tightening/geopolitical crisis).
NASDAQ Markup- Not in the Trade, But the Lesson's ClearDidn’t take this one—not trading NASDAQ right now—but I still mapped it out from the 30M perspective just to stay sharp.
4H gave bullish intent after breaking the major macro LH, so I followed the flow.
Saw a clean 30M inducement sweep, price then mitigated internal structure OB, and I marked exactly where I would’ve entered with LTF confirmation.
Didn’t trade it, but the logic’s there—and if you’ve been watching… you already know what it’s doing now. 🧠📈
Every setup teaches something.
– Inducement King
Bless Trading!
nasdaq : waiting for take the sell stopsThere’s an FVG on the 4H timeframe in Nasdaq,
which indicates strong momentum—likely aiming to hunt some lows.
If the price takes out the specific low I’ve marked,
I’ll watch how the candles react around that area.
If the reaction isn’t strong,
then I’ll start considering a bullish scenario
and look for a potential long setup.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY at pivotal level ?Tariffs & Trade:
The Trump administration is exploring ways to push through import tariffs, possibly including a temporary 15% tariff for 150 days.
A federal appeals court has paused a suspension of the tariffs for now.
Markets:
US stocks are holding up well. The S&P 500 is on track for its best May since 1990.
However, June may be weaker, and futures suggest a quieter trading day ahead.
Federal Reserve & Tax Concerns:
President Trump urged Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates in a recent meeting.
Wall Street is uneasy about a tax measure in Trump’s bill that may increase taxes on foreign investors in US assets.
Europe:
The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates next week and again in September, possibly settling at 1.75% until the end of 2026.
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey pushed for a stronger EU trade deal and emphasized a slow and cautious approach to rate cuts.
Geopolitics:
Russia hasn’t provided a peace talk agenda to Ukraine or its allies.
Hamas is reviewing a US-backed ceasefire plan but says it doesn’t yet meet its demands.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 21850
Resistance Level 2: 22050
Resistance Level 3: 22200
Support Level 1: 21000
Support Level 2: 20770
Support Level 3: 20560
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Buy Scalp ideaWe can see that PD NY low swept by Asia and BOS confirmed with London & Asian high break
The Fib on a 15min OB, with confirmation of a bullish engulfing, in the 3-5min time frame we can see a clear demand area that gave a point of liquidity 25% mitigation of 15min OB on red dash line-entry on 61%
Target London High
NAS100 at Risk of Breaking Lower Amid Mixed Signals and End-of-MThe NAS100 is showing signs of weakness, with a clear daily pinbar candle signaling potential downside reversal. After a strong rally, the index appears overextended and vulnerable to a technical retracement. End-of-month profit-taking is likely adding pressure, as traders lock in gains and rebalance portfolios.
Uncertainty around reciprocal tariffs is also weighing on sentiment. Comments from U.S. officials, including Bessent, emphasize the need for renewed dialogue with China—highlighting unresolved tensions that could escalate. These trade concerns are surfacing just as the market is priced for optimism, increasing the risk of a pullback.
From a technical perspective, the daily pinbar near recent highs indicates a rejection of upward momentum. If confirmed with a break below the recent low, a move toward 20,400 or even the 50-day moving average could follow.
Seasonal flows and shifting sentiment may further limit upside in the short term. Any risk-off tone from global headlines or softer macro data could accelerate the move lower. Until the index clears resistance with conviction, the bias may now tilt to the downside. Traders should watch for follow-through signals and consider tightening stops.
US100 Not yet ready for ATH - Structural BreakdownHere’s a detailed breakdown of the US Tech 100 - NASDAQ on the daily chart and why a lift off to ATHs may not be in play just yet.
✅ Key imbalance zones mapped out
🔻 Expecting downside clean-up before upside continuation
📊 FVGs & inefficiencies stacked below = high-probability revisit zones
If you’re trading NASDAQ, this map could be your cheat sheet before price makes its real move.
The market is respecting the ascending channel, but I’m expecting a cleanup of inefficiencies stacked below before any major continuation. Keep an eye on the key zones marked — price may revisit these areas for liquidity.
📉 Possible short-term correction
📈 Bias still bullish, but not without some pain first
Happy Trading !
NAS100-TEC100 - THE SECRETE OF TRADING INDICES STRATEGYTeam,
yesterday we short the NAS, DOW, DAX and long the GOLD - 4 out of 4 perfectly target hit
Now, we are going long, i want you to carefully look at the picture and understand the concept of how I structure the trade. This has been calculate using my statistic and probability to ensure our entry is safe.
First picture, is buying small volume, if market volatile and push further down, i need you to double up your trade, this allow us to win better.
That's the reason why you saw my videos that everyday i show LIVE trading and profitable every trade. However, always carefully look at your capital and know exactly how much risk are you going to take.
Remember, you can win straight 3-6 months and if you failed risk management and overleverage yourself, the account can easily be kill within 1 day.
Hope you all have a great day.!
Falling towards pullback support?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 20,809.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 20,352.24
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 21,779.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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