US-100 | 1 Day | Swing Trading Hello traders, I prepared CAPITALCOM:US100 analysis for you. In my analysis, I detected the patterns on the chart, I would be very happy if you press the like button, thank you.
NDQM trade ideas
NAS100 / US100 / US Tech Index Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHii! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15 mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
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NASDAQ – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic DataNASDAQ – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic Data
The NASDAQ index is finding strong support from favorable U.S. economic data and a stable macroeconomic outlook, particularly benefiting from the resilience of technology and growth sectors. Amid signs of moderating inflation and potential easing by the Federal Reserve, **seasonal trends strongly favor the NASDAQ, as December is historically a strong month for equities, especially tech-heavy indices.
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Key Economic Drivers Supporting the NASDAQ
1. ISM Manufacturing PMI – Signs of Stabilization
- The **ISM Manufacturing PMI** for November rose to **48.4**, exceeding expectations, though still signaling contraction. This reflects progress toward stabilization in the U.S. manufacturing sector.
- Slower input cost inflation and renewed job creation are positive signs for the broader economy, indirectly supporting growth-oriented sectors such as technology.
2. Construction Spending Growth
- Construction spending** increased by **0.4% in October, showcasing resilience in the housing and infrastructure sectors. This strength in spending highlights consumer and government investment, which can indirectly benefit tech companies involved in digital infrastructure and smart technologies.
3. ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid – Easing Inflationary Pressures
- The ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid** index dropped to **50.3**, significantly below the forecast of **55.2**. This is a positive development for inflation control, signaling moderating cost pressures in the manufacturing sector.
- Implications:
- Positive for equities: Lower inflation reduces the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, a scenario that benefits rate-sensitive growth stocks.
- Stable monetary outlook: A gradual shift toward easing monetary policy supports technology stocks reliant on lower borrowing costs.
4. Fed Officials’ Support for Gradual Easing
- Recent Fed commentary suggests a balanced approach to monetary policy:
- **Christopher Waller** emphasized the possibility of a rate cut in December, citing a balanced labor market and controlled inflation progress.
- **John Williams** forecasted GDP growth of **2.5% in 2024** while reiterating that inflation is expected to return to the 2% target. This fosters confidence in growth-oriented sectors like technology.
- A potential rate cut would be particularly favorable for the NASDAQ, as tech companies are highly sensitive to changes in interest rates.
5. Consumer and Business Optimism
- The **S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI** indicated improving confidence and renewed job creation despite lingering challenges such as reduced international demand. This optimism supports steady sentiment for growth sectors.
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Seasonality and Market Sentiment
Seasonality is a critical tailwind for the NASDAQ at this time. December is traditionally a strong month for the tech-heavy index, supported by holiday-driven consumer spending, portfolio rebalancing, and end-of-year tax strategies. The current **Fear & Greed Index**, standing at **64**, indicates a **greed-driven sentiment**, which typically aligns with upward momentum, especially for high-growth sectors.
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NASDAQ Outlook
The NASDAQ is well-positioned to capitalize on these favorable conditions:
- Easing inflationary pressures reduce the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve tightening, which is particularly supportive for rate-sensitive growth stocks.
- Strong GDP growth projections and a resilient labor market provide a stable foundation for tech earnings and innovation-driven sectors.
- Seasonal trends, combined with improving macroeconomic sentiment, create additional momentum for the NASDAQ as the year-end approaches.
While global uncertainties and international demand challenges remain, the NASDAQ's long-term prospects remain **bullish**. Seasonal strength, positive economic data, and the potential for a more accommodative Fed policy stance are all aligning to favor continued gains for the index.
NAS100 SELL 30 MINUTE TIME FRAMESTRONG SUPPLY ZONE
Price has to feel the gap below.
Expecting a 2:5 reward, Let's see!
Bullish context US100We can use the PDH as target that give us a ballish bias
and we have a 1H fvg overlapping with OB that we axpect the price to keep going higher from
NAS100 - 15min ( Sell Trade After Break 21165 Area )⚡️Nas100
Best Break Our / Key level's 15m Tf
🚨Bearish After Break Out key level + High Volume / 21165 Area
⚡️ We Only Sent Most Accurate Opportunity and Analysis Not by Number ..
🔖 Announcement Coming After Successful Break
Tradingdaq | NAS100 Market Daily Technical AnalysisThe NAS100 CAPITALCOM:US100 price perfectly filled my last idea yesterday. If the price drops and a bearish candle closes below 21160, I will establish my target at 21040.
NASDAQ Santa rally is starting.Nasdaq (NDX) has been following the blueprint of the 2020/21 Bull Cycle to high precision so far, as we showed on our analysis almost 4 months ago (August 19, see chart below):
As you can see it is already marching towards Target 1 (23250) on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, well inside the Channel Up. We expect that to get hit by the final week of December, which can be translated as the infamous 'Santa rally', a frequent seasonal price increase at the end of the year.
As mentioned, this Channel Up displays strong similarities with the patterns of August 2020 - November 2021 and before the COVID crash of December 2019 - February 2020. All those Channel Up patterns are within the dominant long-term structure of the 6-year Bullish Megaphone.
The key here is for the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) to hold and continue to offer support, as within those 6 years the only two times it broke were during the corrections of the 2022 Inflation Crisis and the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
As long as it holds, the current Channel Up should, besides the immediate Target 1 (23250), complete the sequence and peak towards the end of 2025 as close to a +185% rise (from the October 2022 bottom) as possible. This is why our long-term strategic Target (2) is a little lower at 27000.
As a side-note, see how well the 1W RSI held and bounced in September on the Symmetrical Support Zone, in similar fashion as 2020 - 2021. Also the 1W MACD displays a similar pattern between the two fractals.
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Nasdaq 100: Double Top or Christmas Rally Ahead? The Nasdaq 100 moved higher as expected. The price has now formed a possible double top with a neckline at 21,200 and a target of 21,884. The pattern might morph into an ascending triangle, which would favor the bulls.
Tactically, traders have a few options for betting on the trend and a potential Christmas rally. One option is to wait for a decline to the 21,029–20,883 range and turn bullish, targeting the upside. The other is to wait for a breach of 21,200. However, the probability of success increases the longer the market consolidates below this level.
A breach today, for example, is unlikely to trigger a strong bullish push, but that could change by the end of the week. What’s your take on the Nasdaq 100? Share your view below!
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NASDAQ LOOKS LIKE IT MIGHT DROP BEFORE CREATING A NEW HIGHNasdaq Broke our overall high yesterday so I'm expecting the market to create a new lower high in response of the uptrend we are currently in.
Then after hitting our low target we'll be looking for buy opportunities to break and create a higher high.
NASDAQ LOOKS LIKE IT MIGHT DROP BEFORE CREATING A NEW HIGHNasdaq Broke our overall high yesterday so I'm expecting the market to create a new lower high in response of the uptrend we are currently in.
Then after hitting our low target we'll be looking for buy opportunities to break and create a higher high.
US100 Poised for a Surge: EW 2.0 Predicts a Move to 22420 Soon.According to Elliott Wave 2.0 analysis, the index could reach 22,420 by the end of the year, driven by several key factors.
Elliott Wave 2.0 Insights
The Elliott Wave 2.0 approach refines traditional wave theory, offering deeper insights into market behaviors. Current patterns suggest one last significant upward move, with the potential to push the US100 to unprecedented heights.
Factors Influencing the Surge
Political Climate: Election years often bring volatility, but also opportunities. Depending on policy expectations, markets may react positively to anticipated economic measures.
Tech Sector Growth: The US100 is heavily influenced by technology stocks. Continued innovation and strong earnings reports provide a solid foundation for further gains.
While my forecast is optimistic, traders should remain mindful of potential risks specially
geopolitical tensions or economic disruptions could alter the expected trajectory.
Crucial day for NAS100Today is a crucial day for the NAS100 index, as it faces a critical level at 21,245. The price action here will determine the short-term direction of the market. If NAS100 manages to break above 21,245, it could signal a continuation of its upward momentum, potentially reaching new all-time highs, with a target of 22,200 by January 2025.
However, if the index fails to break this level and instead stays in a range-bound consolidation for a few days, the price may hover in the current levels, waiting for further clarity. A key support level to watch is 20,700; if the NAS100 refuses to fall below this price, the index could build enough strength to push towards the 22,200 target.
On the other hand, if the index breaks below 20,700, it may retest the base of the channel at 20,517. A breach of this level could lead to further downside, with 19,500 as the next target, followed by 18,300. In the worst-case scenario, a breakdown could push the index all the way down to 17,400.
Thus, today's price action is vital for determining whether the NAS100 will reach new highs or face a deeper correction.
4h broke recent supply and buyers entered.D has only buyers. 4h buyers tried thrice to push up, but now are in control.
MAG7 breaks to new highs with the NAS100 outperforming The reaction in markets is what interests the most, and on the day, despite US Treasuries finding form, we’ve seen broad USD strength, the S&P500 has pushed to its 55th new all-time high in 2024, while gold and crude are largely unchanged. We also see sizeable dispersions in the daily returns in the crypto space, with XRP and Chainlink arguable the standout plays, with 23% and 41% gains respectively on the day.
In the volatility (vol) space, we see the VIX trading lower at 13.5% - the lowest level since July and at levels more aligned with S&P500 20-day realised vol. Equity hedges have been unwound, which speaks to a market confident of a grind higher into year-end. Another way to visualise the subdued equity vol is in the daily high-low trading ranges, and on the day the S&P500 has tracked a meagre 18-handle range – one of the lowest high-low ranges of the year, and well below the 5-day average of 34-handles.
Removing downside hedges makes sense given the largest drawdown in the S&P500 in Q4 has been 3.1%, and hedges cost money and subtract from performance if equity is moving higher. On the day we’ve seen a solid bid in comms services names (Meta & Alphabet), tech and consumer discretionary – said another way, the MAG7 index (+1.9%) has broken out to a new ATH, with all 7 MAG7 constituents rising on the day. Microsoft and Meta would be my picks that lead us higher from here, with MSFT filling the gap from the 31 Oct, where a break of $432.23 would suggest a continuation rally into $440.
Naturally, when tech and the big discretionary plays are firing up, it’s the NAS100 which has outperformed, and we see NAS100 futures 120p from testing the former ATH at 21,340.
We’ve seen solid moves in European equity too, and notably in the German DAX which is in beast mode and doing everything right technically – happy to hold longs here until the index has a daily close below the 5-day EMA.
French equity is the exception, with the CAC40 closing unchanged, which is quite a solid result given the brewing political angst. Certainly, we’ve seen the political risk expressed in the EUR, which is lower on the day against all G10 currencies, and notably vs the JPY and USD. We can add negative revisions to the French and German manufacturing PMIs, which make for sobering viewing, and the upshot has been broad EUR selling.
EURUSD hit a low of 1.0461 before the buyers stepped in – we can attribute a degree of the move lower to an improved US ISM manufacturing report (at 48.4 vs 47.5 eyed), although we did see some modest USD selling late in the session as Fed gov Waller signalled that he is leaning on a December rate cut and that rates are still “some distance from neutral”. US interest rate swaps now price at 79% chance the Fed cut by 25bp on 18 Dec.
Equity and bond vol may be headed lower, but FX vol is alive and well with EURUSD 1-month implied vol at 8.66% and the 92nd percentile of the 12-month range. Buying EUR vol certainly made sense given the uncertainty of the ECBs (and the Fed’s) next move and the French political risk premium. CAD vols also screen well, with options traders seeing increased movement in USDCAD and AUDCAD.
On the subject of movement, we can always find it in the crypto markets, and while Bitcoin (-2.5%) and Ethereum (-2.7%) take a backseat, it’s XRP that’s getting the lion’s share of trader attention with its punchy 23% rally on the day. The daily chart looks ridiculous and highlights the explosive 450% gain seen since the US election. XRP Volumes are tracking north of SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on the day, which is higher than what’s traded on BTC, with the gains taking its market cap to $134b – the third biggest coin in the crypto sphere.
Grossly overbought, and with a 10-day volatility of 150%, chasing XRP upside from here comes with significant risk and the fact I’m focused on it suggests we’ve likely hit peak sentiment – but as know what is overbought can stay overbought for some time.
Looking ahead, we see a largely positive open for Asia with the ASX200 set to outperform with the index set to open nicely above 8500 and to new highs. Event risk in the session ahead comes in on the light side, with Swiss CPI and US Job openings (JOLTS) the key events on the radar.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 2 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - BUY. All higher timeframes are bullish.
Morning analysis:
M TF - November candle closed very bullish. Candle body is +- 9'600 pips. Indicates very bullish sentiment overall
W TF - Last week's candle closed in a doji formation. Could be an indication that bulls are loosing momentum
D TF - Fridays candle closed right at the resistance formed by Tuesday's candle. Could Friday's candle represent the second top of a DT? Neckline would be 1'700 pips down (at time of writing). But D EMA is right at neckline, so bears would have to push very hard to break this neckline down.
In the past I have noted that when we have 2 x days, like Thanksgiving, where market was closed / half day, we see a COMPLETELY different sentiment come in on market open of the first "real" day of trading. It's like the extended trading guys where doing their own thing (in this case being bullish) and then when real market comes in, sentiment could be much different and a correction could occur. So need to be careful at market open.
2 x areas of interest identified (highlighted in green)
1. 1H + 4H 0.382 buy fib level + Pivot point + D 0.618 SELL fib level which bulls will want to stay above + 1H EMA (at time of writing at 6am)
2. D EMA (at time of writing at 6am) + W 0.382 buy fib + D 0.618 buy fib level
As the day progressed:
Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - Price made a DB before reaching the first interest area. DB on the 1H TF with neckline broken upwards. The second bottom of the DB (at C.) is higher than the first bottom of the market pattern. This also contributes to the bullishness of the market pattern. Entered on the break of the neckline at the hand icon.
2. S&R - candle wicks touching 30 EMA and moving up (at time of writing in the morning), i.e. 30min EMA providing dynamic support.
3. Trend - Temporary down trend line broken (marked with top green line), indicating that the downtrend is over and price is ready to resume upwards.
4. Fib - A few wicks reaching towards the 4H 0.382 fib, but DB formed quite a way above this level.
5. Candlesticks - candle wicks touching 30 EMA and moving up, i.e. 30min EMA providing dynamic support.
Mental SL placed at the thick pink line. Usually, I would place my stop loss at half the height of the market pattern but because this was such a tight DB, I felt I have to place it a bit lower where the first bottom occurred. If candles started closing below this point, I would consider closing.
I opened a full position size and it was a banger of a day!
Market open pushed straight up!
Price ultimately moved 2979 pips from my entry.
I closed when price made a DT on the 15min (indicated at the top hand icon). I would normally leave a runner, but I am on a mission to build my account and so don't want to leave money on the table.
Made some good moola today! Hope you did too!
Laters!
Stats:
Price moved a total of 3195 pips today.
Of the total move, I captured 2651 pips / 83%.
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NAS100USD: Is Bullish Momentum Only Temporary?Greetings, Traders!
In today’s analysis, NAS100USD is exhibiting bullish institutional order flow, presenting an opportunity to align with the current market narrative.
Key Observations
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price has retraced into an FVG, providing a critical area of interest for support.
Bullish Order Block: Situated below the FVG, this structure enhances the zone’s strength as an institutional support area.
Strategy
Look for confirmation entries at this support zone.
Target: Liquidity pool above, aligning with the bullish flow.
Feel free to share your insights, questions, or analysis in the comments below. Let’s trade and grow together!
Regards,
The_Architect
Nas100 1. Understand how the Forex market works, including currency pairs, pips, and leverage.
2. Develop a clear trading plan with specific entry, exit, and risk management rules.
3. Always use stop-loss orders to protect your capital and limit losses.
4. Risk only 1-2% of your account per trade to avoid significant losses.
5. Trade with the trend, as it’s often safer than going against the market.
6. Avoid overtrading; quality trades are better than a high quantity of trades.
7. Use technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions.
8. Stay updated on global news that can affect currency values, like interest rates and geopolitical events.
9. Keep emotions in check—fear and greed can lead to poor decisions.
10. Continuously learn and adapt your strategy based on market behavior and personal experience.
CHART BREAKDOWN NASDAQ: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️:
The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing 1 essential demand zone: low-risk buy spanning from 20,930.00 to 20,900.00, respectively, is highlighted.
Things I Have Seen👀:
Important Demand Zone🟢: Identified between 20,930.00 and 20,900.00, serving as a low-risk buy.
Bearish Targets📈:
20,940.00: Possible retracement area.
20,980.00: Possible retracement area.
21,200.00: Liquidity Area.
What's Important Now❗
Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
NASDAQ: Strong bullish breakout today targeting 21,600Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.836, MACD = 123.620, ADX = 32.041) as today posted the strongest 1D candle since Nov 7th, extending the new bullish wave. The whole sequence is supported by the 1D MA50 since September 12th. Even though we are technically more than halfway through the wave, this is still a strong buy opportunity, aiming for a +6.80% rise (TP = 21,600) as it has previously done so inside the 3 month Channel Up.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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USNAS100 - Bullish Momentum and Potential Reversal LevelsTechnically:
The price experienced upward momentum on Friday and maintains its bullish trajectory, with stability observed above the critical level of 20,860.
Bearish Scenario:
A sustained break below 20,860 could trigger further declines, with potential targets at 20,730 and 20,600.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 20,860, the bullish outlook remains intact, paving the way toward 20,990. A breakout above this level may propel the price to an all-time high of 21,230. Notably, a retest of the 20,860 level from the current price is a plausible scenario.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20860
Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21230
Support Levels: 20730, 20660, 20550
Trendline breakThe price has been consolidating a bullish run within a trendline pattern, now the price has broken and there has been a pullback, this is an indication to go long at a higher high
WE ONLY TRADE PULLACKS
NSDQ short after NY OPEN fakeAfter identifying the Judas swing in accordance with the RSMLT concept, the following analysis leads to a short trade scenario with a target of 100 pips.
This setup exemplifies the RSMLT strategy in action, adhering to the predefined rules and utilizing its unique Fibonacci zones and manipulation-based approach.
