Nasdaq analysis: 20-Jan-2025Good morning, everyone! Today's Nasdaq analysis is designed to educate and empower. Use these insights to refine your price action trading strategy.
NDQM trade ideas
The key is whether it can be supported at 21673.4
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Important factors when analyzing charts are
- Support and resistance points
- StochRSI indicator
If you have the above two factors, I think you can analyze the charts quickly and briefly.
Support and resistance points should be drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
You can analyze the chart by checking whether the line drawn in this way is supported or not while referring to the movement of the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart.
The 21673.4-22013.5 section, which is indicated as a high point boundary section, is likely to act as resistance.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is important to see if it can break through the high point boundary zone upward.
In other words, we can see that the high point boundary zone is more likely to act as resistance.
The volatility period is expected to occur around January 29.
Therefore, in order to maintain an upward trend, it must show support at the high point boundary zone after the volatility period.
If not, it will eventually fall.
At this time, what we should pay attention to is the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
The longer the StochRSI indicator remains in the overbought zone, the more likely it is that the StochRSI indicator will show a large decline if there is a slight price decline.
When the StochRSI indicator falls to or below the 50 point, if it shows support at around 21673.4, it is highly likely that it will show an upward trend by breaking through the high point boundary zone upward.
To maintain the current short-term uptrend, the price needs to stay above 21068.2-21321.9.
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The settings for the StochRSI indicator are 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
The source value is ohlc4.
With these settings, you can see the movement similar to the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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NASDAQ short anticipation I projected the Long few days back. Now I'm anticipating a reversal from that daily key-level. I won't be shorting aggressively, I would wait for rejection from that zone then look for sell opportunity
NASDAQ bearish pattern#NASDAQ is making a bearish pattern there is an obvious divergence between markets last highs also there is a rising wedge which has 5 waves this means that this wedge has finished its rising waves and now its a good time for correction also we have a clear divergence in higher time frames check this out
i think its the time to re think about if markets bullish time is over or not !
US Tech 100 Index (Nasdaq 100) AnalysisHello Dear traders! keep Support And share Your Openion in comment section thanks for support
The US Tech 100 Index (Nasdaq 100) is showing potential for a bullish reversal after testing the key support zone near 20,200. Price action suggests a descending channel breakout with a strong likelihood of upward momentum towards resistance levels at 21,200 (TP1) and 21,750.
Technical Analysis:
The price is rebounding from a key support zone (20,200), marked by increased demand.
A potential breakout from the descending channel signals a trend reversal.
Resistance levels at 21,200 and 21,750, while the stop-loss is set below the key support at 20,200.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent developments in the tech sector and potential market optimism into 2025 support the bullish bias. Watch for macroeconomic news or earnings reports that may influence sentiment.
Trade cautiously and confirm breakout signals before entering long positions.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational purpose only trade safe thanks
NASDAQ One more low to go.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down since the December 16 2024 High. So far it has made two Lows and each one bottomed after the 4H RSI made Double Bottom as seen on the chart.
Right now the 4H RSI just turned oversold below 30.00, so technically we still have room for one last Low before we see a rebound. We expect the next Bullish Leg to target at least 21300, which is marginally below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that formed the previous two Lower Highs of the Channel Down.
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Trump's inauguration sends the Tech sector's 'time to shine'The 2nd inauguration of Donald Trump (now to sworn as the 47th president of the United States) is here and expected to take place on Monday, January 20, 2025.
Crowds are gathering in Washington DC in freezing conditions ahead of this most anticipated over past several months event.
Tech sector stocks are about to have a welcome moment also.
The main technical graph for Nasdaq-100 indicates here's "time to shine" as positive fundamental and technical catalysts converge.
A rising potential for AI monetization via agentic AI as a technology can autonomously accomplish complex tasks on the user's behalf.
The fact is that widespread AI adoption has happened heavily more rapidly than PC and internet adoption in prior major technology cycles, which could mean that AI is closer than expected.
As a result, qualitative commentary on ramping up enterprise AI adoption during earnings calls will likely evolve into indications of incremental revenue boosts this year, before more meaningful monetization as early as 2026, they add.
Such a trajectory would likely be a welcome development for many AI investors who expressed worries last summer after pouring such huge amounts of money into the tech with little signs of a return on investment.
In technical terms, Tech heavy Nasdaq-100 futures has been supported a week ago by 100-Day SMA, and now an epic breakthrough of the Reversed Head-and-Shoulders technical figure is coming.
Descending Bearish channel seems is clearly broken in this time.
US100 bulls are ready for ATHI´m expecting a strong reaction on US CPI today. It is challenging to predict the readings but I think, it will be most likely lower than forecast. Personally I´m expecting 0,1 monthly core CPI due the strong USD. If you decide to trade this idea, you have a two options. Entering before or after the CPI. 20636 test as entry level is possible, but not likely after the lower CPI. With a proper size it is possible to buy now at current market price(20825) and target the ATH at 22215. 4Q earnings are starting today, so it can have siginifficant effect on the market. TP your trades partially on every line above the entry price. Wish you good luck.
Before you trade this idea, check my previous ideas to know, what you will trade. I´m not a signal service, do not sell anything here. If you want to buy something, please contact other signalist who will comment this idea. Do your own analysis before you trade.
US100 POSSIBLE BUYThe market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.786 Fib area. Based on Daily and 4HR TF, the market seems to be a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
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This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
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NASDAQ: First 4H Death Cross since September is a Buy Signal!Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.062, MACD = -70.200, ADX = 29.762) as it is on a downtrend since December 16th, almost 1 month. Technically this downtrend is the bearish wave of the medium term Channel Up. Last Wednesday the index formed its first 4H Death Cross since September 10th 2024 and interestingly enough, instead of bullish, it was a buy signal then. As the current bearish wave is now almost at the bottom of the Channel Up, this is technically a HL, thus the most efficient buy entry on the short term. The September bullish wave peaked on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension before a pullback under the 4H MA50 again, so we now turn bullish on Nasdaq, aiming again for the 1.236 Fib (TP = 22,500).
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Nasdaq composite index projected to reach previous peak To put it simple:
1. Change of Administration together with future Economic Policy and Priorities
1. Monday the 20th D.Trump is going to be inaugurated at the President of the USA. What we have learned from his election is that he is Nationalist (for his country only) and he is very close with Elon Musk. Therefore we can assume he is obligated to act accordingly to benefit these Tech and Crypto elites.
Currently the state of California is burning. Company headquarters in the valley are burning and Trump is obligated to be the hero t save them a with quick and cheap bailout money thus inject money into the market.
2. Technical Analysis
Ever since Nasdaq reach its peak during election week it has since retraced its value back to the initial price breakout forming a descending triangle with a support around the 21 100 /21 200 denomination. Using the total length of the triangle we have calculated a 1600 point move (3/4%) to the upside.
Remember this is not advise rather an objective opinion
Trade responsibility
US100US-100 Analysis Recap
Weekly Chart Overview
• Trend: The US-100 remains in an ascending channel on the weekly chart, respecting key trendlines. There are arguments for the presence of two overlapping channels, both of which have been marked for analysis.
• Current Outlook: The previous consolidation appeared to suggest a potential move down toward the lower boundary of the channel, but recent price action indicates this is unlikely. Instead, the next significant target could be around 23,280, contingent on the continuation of bullish momentum.
• Fibonacci Levels: Using the bullish wave that began on 9th September, the recent bounce aligns with the 0.382 retracement level at 20,700, which has shown strong support and adds to the case for bullish continuation.
Daily Chart Overview
• Trend: On the daily chart, price has broken out of a Rising Price , with significant bounces off a daily order block at 20,700–20,713 After testing support on the 100EMA. This level aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish wave, often a critical make-or-break zone for bullish retracements.
• Elliott Wave Analysis: Applying basic Elliott Wave principles, the price action suggests that the consolidation from 30th October may have marked the end of Wave 2, with the next potential Wave 3 targeting the upper channel boundary around 23,550. This projection aligns with the expected characteristics of a strong impulse wave.
• Key Patterns: The consolidation pattern resembles previous corrections observed in July 2023 and October 2023, marked by lower highs but with eventual breakouts into bullish continuations.
4-Hour Chart Overview
• Trend: The price has broken out of a descending trendline wedge but currently sits at a 4-hour order block. While these are not as significant as daily order blocks, they may still act as resistance or support.
• Next Steps: A deeper retracement could occur, potentially testing the trendline or sweeping liquidity below the descending trendline before moving higher.
• Fibonacci Extensions: The price is nearing the 100% extension level of the recent downward move, which could act as a short-term resistance. Any push higher may target the lower boundary of the daily channel before a retracement, offering an opportunity for long entries near 21,486–21,137.
Exclusive Indicator Insights
• Weekly Buy Region: After weeks of no activity since 16th December, the Weekly Buy Region indicator has printed its first green bar, signaling a potential shift toward bullish activity. If the coming week also prints a green bar, it would strengthen the case for a breakout and continuation toward higher levels.
• Daily Buy Region: The Daily Buy Region indicator has not yet shown buying activity, reflecting a lack of short-term confirmation. However, early signs of market strength suggest that this may change soon.
• Proprietary Tools: These custom indicators are invaluable for identifying areas of buying and selling activity, giving a clear edge in market positioning. While we don’t reveal the full methodology behind these tools, their accuracy and application are integral to our analysis and setups.
Summary
The US-100 shows strong signs of bullish potential, with the weekly channel holding and a critical bounce from key Fibonacci and order block levels. However, near-term resistance levels suggest that some retracement or liquidity grabs may occur before the next significant bullish wave.
Key levels to watch:
• Support: 20,700 (daily order block), 21,137–21,486 (retracement zone for long entries).
• Resistance: 23,280 (upper weekly channel boundary), 23,550 (Wave 3 projection).
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Our proprietary indicators, including the Weekly and Daily Buy Regions, have been developed to identify key zones of activity with precision. These tools enable us to capture actionable opportunities in real-time and are especially effective for major indices like the US-100.
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ustec buy trade The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move
NAS100The NASDAQ-100 (NAS100) is a stock index comprising the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market, primarily in the technology sector. It includes major firms like Apple, Microsoft, Tesla, and Nvidia, making it a highly volatile index. NAS100 is popular among traders due to its strong growth potential and frequent price movements, often influenced by economic data, interest rates, and tech industry trends.
NAS100 ICC Long Trade SetupNas is showing strong buyers presence by breaking recent highs, I'd enter buys if Nas breaks above the next high giving us indication to push higher.
SL HIT ON NASDAQAs I post my winning trades, I'm going to post my losing one, so people, especially beginners know that trading isn't always wins and wins, and no strategy always brings back profits for you.
Every strategy has downsides and upsides, this is the first thing I teach to my students who fully understands it.
In case you wondered how I trade, I'm a reversal based trader. hich means I trade reversals, ans as every strategy it works 80% of the time and having a losing day of the week, but the unforgivable thing is to let your emotions take over your trading and lose all the profits you made.
The first thing I teach is don't let your emotions take over your trading, and don't make more than 2 losing trades a day. STICK TO THE PLAN.
Follow for more!
NASDAQ // countertrend breakThe market is at the countertrend break.
There is a clean (not tested) H4 breakdown close to the highest daily peak that needs attention and position management, but above that, the target fibo levels are valid targets.
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Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
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Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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Actionable Nasdaq insights: 17-Jan-2025Rise and shine, traders! End your week trading with actionable Nasdaq insights. Let's grow your skills together, one chart at a time.
US100 T/Aprice action has been respecting this channel to date so I wouldn't be surprised to see it stay inside for another while. 👽
A possible scenario is a return to the previous weekly high.Since the liquidity at a previous weekly low has been taken, I believe a liquidity grab at a weekly high is possible.
Bullish momentum for US100?
Possible bullish price action for US100. Break and Retest confirmation needed for a safer approach.
Weekly Market Outlook and trade ideas for 20Jan to 24 janThis week’s market outlook focuses on potential trades for Gold, EUR/USD, DXY, GBP/USD, BTC/USD, and EUR/GBP, emphasizing bullish trends in Gold and mixed signals for other pairs.
Highlights
📈 Gold shows bullish momentum, breaking December highs.
📉 DXY faced a bearish candle but remains bullish long-term.
💹 EUR/USD is positioned for upward movement before a potential sell.
📊 BTC/USD looks for buying opportunities below the 50% range.
📉 GBP/USD may rise before a downside move.
📈 EUR/GBP trades in premium range, planning shorts at higher levels.
📈 NASDAQ shows bullish potential with targets set for highs.
Key Insights
📊 Gold’s Bullish Trend: Gold has broken past December’s highs, indicating strong bullish sentiment. This momentum is supported by market optimism, suggesting continued upside potential.
📉 DXY’s Short-term Volatility: Although recent news led to a bearish candle, the long-term outlook remains positive for DXY, with potential for recovery and upward movement in the near future.
💱 EUR/USD Trading Strategy: A bullish move is anticipated before a potential sell-off, providing opportunities for traders to capitalize on short-term gains before positioning for a downward trend.
📈 BTC/USD Entry Zone: A focus on buying BTC/USD below the 50% range of the recent move indicates a strategic approach to capitalize on potential reversals from established support levels.
🔄 GBP/USD Range Dynamics: GBP/USD shows potential for a short-term upward movement before a correction, highlighting the importance of timing in trading strategies.
📉 EUR/GBP Short Positioning: Targeting short entries in the premium range reflects a disciplined trading strategy based on market dynamics and price action in EUR/GBP.
📊 NASDAQ’s Bullish Outlook: With significant targets set for recent highs, NASDAQ demonstrates strong bullish potential, suggesting opportunities for traders to engage in upward momentum.
