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NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX)

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NDQM trade ideas

Nas100Nas100 1H Analysis • Peak Formation 1 = Start of the peak reversal cycle (Level 3 confirmed) • Peak Formation High (PFH) or Low (PFL) = Price has likely reached the extreme zone and is reversing. So, when you see: • An M pattern on your chart • And Peak Formation 1 on DashFix It means: The system has recognized a Level 3 stop hunt and shift, and it’s now marking this area as the potential high of the week (start of reversal cycle). This is your confirmation zone that: • The market has likely hit a weekly top • It’s safe to look for short setups (after confirmation) • It’s too risky to buy unless proven otherwise ⸻ 3. What You Should Do (Execution Plan) If you see M + Peak Formation 1: Wait for: • M pattern completion (two peaks, often 2–3 candles apart) • 5 EMA & 13 EMA cross down on your entry time frame (M5 or M15) • TDI confirmation (green crossing red downward near overbought) • Price breaking the neckline of the M Enter trade: • Sell after confirmation (engulfing/rejection candle at M peak) • Place stop loss above the high (trap candle or second leg) • Target: 50–100 pips depending on ADR or prior support zones ⸻ 4. Extra Tips • Peak Formation 1 usually appears after New York session fakeouts or early Tuesday/Wednesday • Avoid entering early during consolidation or inside the Asian range
FX:NAS100Short
by Tsh_Fx_Institute
How to Master Premium & Discount For Better EntriesA lot of traders talk about premium and discount, but very few actually know how to use it properly. Most just draw Fibonacci tools on random legs and try to catch reactions at the 61.8% level. That kind of trading lacks structure and context. If you're serious about using Smart Money Concepts the right way, then you need to understand where value exists in the market and how to position yourself accordingly. This guide is all about mastering the premium vs discount model using a 4H bias, entries on the 1H or 15M, and refinements based solely on Fair Value Gaps. No order blocks. No guessing. Just clean structure, displacement, and a focus on institutional logic. Establishing a Valid 4H Dealing Range Your entire analysis starts with the 4H chart. That’s where you define the dealing range, the leg of price that caused a significant shift in market structure, usually confirmed by displacement and a break of a previous swing. To do this correctly: Identify a 4H swing high to swing low (or low to high) that broke structure and created an imbalance. Anchor your range from that swing point to the extreme, this becomes your dealing range. Mark the 50% of this range — this is your equilibrium line. Everything above this midpoint is premium, everything below is discount. You’re not drawing fibs for retracement levels. You’re using them to separate cheap price from expensive price. Premium vs Discount: Why It Matters The logic is simple: institutions buy at discount and sell at premium. They don’t place large positions in the middle of the range, they accumulate when price is cheap and distribute when price is expensive. Once you’ve marked out your 4H range, you now have a framework: Price in discount (below the 50%) = potential buy setups. Price in premium (above the 50%) = potential sell setups. The key is to only look for trades in the right part of the range. If price is in premium and you're trying to long, you're working against smart money. If it's in discount and you're trying to short, you're fading accumulation. Refining the Setup on 1H or 15M Once price enters the zone you’re interested in, premium or discount. Drop to the 1H or 15M charts to look for entries. But we’re not trading any structure or supply/demand zone. We’re only interested in Fair Value Gaps. Why? Because FVGs are the cleanest way to spot imbalance — they show where price moved too aggressively and left inefficiency behind. Here's what to do: Watch for displacement on 1H or 15M once price taps into the 4H premium or discount zone. The move should break short-term structure and leave a clear FVG. Wait for price to retrace into that FVG. Entry is placed inside the gap, preferably in the upper or lower third depending on direction. Your invalidation is the low or high of the displacement move. The FVG gives you a clean risk-to-reward setup that is backed by structure, context, and smart money intent. Example: Long from Discount Let’s say price is trading inside the discount zone of a 4H bullish dealing range. You now drop to 15M and see a sharp move higher that breaks structure and creates a clean 15M FVG. Now you wait. If price retraces into that gap and shows some form of reaction (volume, reaction wick, or small lower timeframe shift), you have a valid long. The trade is high probability because: It’s inside 4H discount The 15M displacement confirms smart money is stepping in The FVG is your refined entry zone Target is always the next liquidity pool inside premium. Example: Short from Premium Opposite logic applies. If price trades into the premium zone of a 4H bearish range, you drop to 1H or 15M and wait for displacement to the downside. When you get a strong bearish move that leaves behind a Fair Value Gap and breaks intraday structure, you mark the FVG. When price retraces into it, you execute your short. Stop is above the displacement high. Target is the first liquidity level inside discount, such as an old low or a clean equal low. Rules for FVG Entries (1H/15M) To keep your execution sharp, stick to these: Only enter FVGs that form from displacement moves. The FVG must break intraday structure. It must form inside the 4H premium or discount zone, no exceptions. Avoid FVGs that form in the middle of the range or during chop. Make sure higher timeframe context supports the direction. This filters out 90% of weak setups and forces you to trade in sync with value. Targets and Exits Where you enter is based on imbalance and structure, but where you exit is based on liquidity and the premium/discount model in reverse. If you long from discount, you should be targeting premium levels. If you short from premium, you should be targeting discount levels. More specifically: Look for old highs/lows Clean equal highs/lows Unfilled FVGs in the opposite zone This way, you’re always exiting into areas where the market is likely to reverse or stall, and not overstaying your trade. Conclusion Trading from premium or discount zones isn’t just a concept, it’s a framework that puts you in line with institutional activity. When you combine it with FVGs, you have a clean, mechanical way to structure your trades. Keep your bias on the 4H. Mark your ranges clearly. Drop to 1H or 15M only when price is in a valid zone, and only take entries on FVGs that form from strong displacement. If you stay disciplined with this model, you’ll avoid chasing price and start trading from areas of true value. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by TehThomas
66
US Tech 100 setting sight for ALL time highs - Target 23,671Buy the dip. Never fails as the American markets will always recover. The question is however, where is the bottom of the DIP and have I considered what risk to take if it continues to dip. That is what actually causes portfolios to get blown. However, I don't buy Dips. In fact, I don't buy low, sell high. I buy HIGH sell HIGHER. Always have always will. When momentum is on the way, it is better to get on the trend and ride it on up. And that is WHAT the US Tech 100 is showing or the Nasdaq. Technicals look great too. Inv Head and Shoulders Price>20 and 200MA Target 23,671 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATIONSB:USTECLong
by Timonrosso
9
NAS100 Bulls Pushing – Will 21,434 Hold or Crack?Price is currently trading just below the 21,434 🔼 resistance zone, after a strong bullish push that followed the reclaim of the 21,000 🔽 support area. The index is forming a short-term range between these two key zones. The overall structure remains bullish with a series of higher highs and higher lows. Support at: 21,000 🔽, 20,606 🔽, 20,200 🔽 Resistance at: 21,434 🔼, 22,230 🔼 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: A breakout and retest above 21,434 could open the path toward the 22,230 high. Bulls remain in control while price holds above 21,000. 🔽 Bearish: A rejection at 21,434 or a break below 21,000 could lead to a correction toward 20,606 or 20,200. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by SPOT_FX
NDX Be carefullWe’re currently braced for an 8–9% pullback in the Nasdaq 100 before we attempt what could prove to be a bull‑trap breakout above last cycle’s all‑time high. Historically, the ‘summer swoon’ is supported by data showing that, since 2000, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced an average decline of roughly 5–7% between June and August as institutional investors trim positions ahead of mid‑year portfolio rebalances. With selling pressure typically peaking in July—when mutual funds lock in gains for window dressing—we’re unlikely to see a committed uptrend until the back‑to‑school season around late September to early October. Even if we see a short‑lived bounce on positive headlines or better‑than‑expected earnings, the broader bias remains sideways to down until seasonal headwinds abate and real money players rotate back into large‑cap tech.
SPREADEX:NDX
by SGsauragestion
1
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend. The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook. Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024. Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future. Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1. One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real. Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements. A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead. As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks. In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs. Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯 I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes: 📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium. 📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value. 📊 In this video, I walk you through: - The overall trend direction - Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry - Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄 ⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 20,898.76 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 20,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 21,471.38 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu