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NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX)

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NDQM trade ideas

NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off. The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors. Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth. This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before. Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year. In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs. Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot. Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach. This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NASDAQ WILL GO HIGHER, BUY AFTER PULLBACKFundamentals Recent economic data indicates mixed sentiments in the tech sector, with rising interest rates and concerns about valuations weighing on growth stocks. However, optimism surrounds potential technological advancements, such as AI and renewable energy sectors, driving long-term bullish expectations. Technicals After the bullish spike following the CPI inflation reading, the price is expected to retrace to the 20,865–20,968 range, which corresponds to two key Fibonacci levels. The 20,968 level also aligns with a demand zone. Entry levels are: 20,865 (conservative) or more aggressive at 20,968. Before entering long, it is important to see confirmation of bullish pressure... In terms of target, I think we will see new highs, but take profit partially and sistematically along the way.. Follow me to receive updates on this idea, including confirmations for entries, stop losses, and profit targets. Don’t miss out—hit that follow button now!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by zito82
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead 10th March '25Sentiment: Neutral, Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range. Resistance: Key Resistance is at 20660, followed by 21000 and 21315. Support: Key support is at 19660 followed by 19300 and 18914. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NASDAQ LAST LONGS RECESSION GONGS: its a TRUMPCESSIONWe have many takes for me ive been waiting for this moment my whole year FY24 somewhere around 23-24k its gonna be showtime im making this idea brief price back at resistance expecting a break and retest after it rejects and goes higher also impulse might not even complete considering how strong the support is dxy wiped out months progress in 4 days investors are gonna seek safe havens i hope trump listens to expert advisors like steve hanke in my opinion the markets have always been too overbought - SELL the u.s is losing trust and likeability among allies with these tariffs the u.s has entered trade wars wether its too strong a phrase to bring up booms and bust ou cant rig the economy the time cycle has arrived
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
POTENTIAL LONG TRADE SET UP FOR NAS100 Analysis: Utilizing chart patterns, highs & lows, and impulses & corrections, the focus is on identifying a continuation corrective structure following a breakout. The price approached the lower bound of a bullish continuation structure on the higher time frame (HTF) with a broadening descending structure on the Mid time frame (MTF). We will now monitor for a bullish impulse and continuation structure on the LTF to identify a potential entry point for the trade. Expectation: An upward move is expected. ⚠️ Reminder: Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management, as forex trading involves no guarantees. This is a high-risk activity, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly!
FX:NAS100Long
by TheTradingAmbience
Approaching short-term bottom, watch for potential rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.) Last week, after rebounding to 21,075 on Monday, the price maintained a downward trend. Currently, the price is approaching a key short-term support level and has fallen below the 200-day moving average. There is a high probability that the market will bottom out and rebound in near term. Potential Rebound Scenario If the market rebounds next week, the price may consolidate and form a base on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday and Thursday, it should at least break above 20,700 and stay above this level. Continued Downtrend Scenario If the rebound holds, the price should remain above 19,650. However, if it breaks below this level and stays below, further downside to 19,000 is likely. Watch Wednesday's CPI Data If Wednesday’s inflation data meets or lower than expectations, it could provide fundamental support for a market rebound. The initial rebound targets for next week are 20,700 and 20,900. If the CPI data is positive an upward breakout toward 21,345 could occur. Further Downside Risk After Rebound Even if the price breaks above 21,345, attention should be paid to its behavior in the 21,400–21,600 range and whether overbought conditions arise. The market may resume a downtrend after completing the rebound, so caution is advised when chasing highs.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by zygliu
CHART BREAKDOWN NASDAQ: Key Levels, Targets and Thoughts!Brief Description🖊️: The chart provides insights into critical market levels, emphasizing an essential supply zone: low-risk sell zone spanning from 20.520 to 20.560, respectively, are highlighted. Things I Have Seen👀: Important Supply Zone🟢: Identified between 20.520 and 20.560 serving as a low-risk sell. Bearish Targets📉: 20.480: Possible retracement area. 20.400: Possible retracement area. 20.230: Liquidity area. 20.000: Liquidity area. What's Important Now❗ Currently, the crucial approach is to wait and observe the price action at this level. We need to assess how the market reacts before considering any decisive moves. Stay observant and responsive to real-time developments in the market.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Short
by T4X_Trading
A healthy retrace1- What a day yesterday! The bloodbath is not completed yet! Today is the end of D/W/M and it will be another huge red candle; another 800-900 points to the downside! 2- I was wrong about a retrace up; NVDA results were not sufficient to attract buyers. Market is pricing in the slowing down of US economy with a real risk of recession; all macro-data were bad recently. 3- This was fueled by US Tariffs. 4- Core PCE data came inline but higher than the previous reading. On the other hand, Trump mentioned the tax cuts which is very good for equities. Hence, this sell-off is not so bad; it's very healthy for the next move up. I will come back to this point during the Monthly/Weekly Analysis.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl