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Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52 Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03 Point of Control (POC): Recent Session POC: 18,758.52 Previous Session POC: 18,259.03 High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation. Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Above 18,800 (recent swing high). Below 18,250 (previous swing low). Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus): Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop. High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend). ADX Strength: ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement. DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision. CVD Confirmation: CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers. No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 18,259.03 Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300 Resistance: VAH: 18,758.52 Rejection level: 18,800 b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259 Key Retracement Levels: 1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430 1/2 retrace: ~18,500 2/3 retrace: ~18,580 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD). b) Notable Patterns: Bearish rejection at VAH zone. Potential descending channel forming from highs. Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone) Targets: T1: 18,580 T2: 18,750 Stop-Loss: Below 18,250 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area) Target: T1: 18,300 Stop-Loss: Above 18,850 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
FX:NAS100Short
by ProspireWealth
Downtrend looks to be continuing with a new lower highAre we targeting a new lower low? Time will tell, but with every passing day the true nature of a sitting president full of hot air comes to light. The words that are spewed will have less and less gravity on the markets until his words are put out onto deaf ears and the markets can get back to a functioning state. When you hear a liar speak the first time you don't know the words are lies, but eventually you just stop listening to the nonsense because it all seems like lies after. Either way the words hold little punch. Shock and Shock is the ploy, I guess? I'm not shocked any longer and maybe the markets will get it too eventually.
NASDAQ:NDX
by Badbub69
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— ☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18300 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— ——— Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows • 3245 – Equal highs ——— 🩸No rush. Only precision. Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force. 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
2
US100 - Lots of opportunities unfoldingChart Overview: This analysis focuses on the US 100 (NAS100) index, sourced from CAPITAL.COM . The chart highlights critical price levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) , and a Buy side liquidity (BSL) , offering actionable insights for traders. Key Observations: 1. Price Action & Structure: - The index has shown significant volatility, with a clear Break of Structure (BSL) indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. - The price is currently navigating between key support and resistance zones , marked by horizontal levels. 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): - Two prominent FVGs are visible on the chart, representing areas where price may revisit to fill imbalances. These zones often act as magnet levels for price retracements. - Traders should monitor these FVGs for potential entry or exit opportunities , depending on price reaction. 3. Critical Price Levels: - Resistance Zones: - 20,250.0 : A major psychological barrier. - 19,750.0 - 20,000.0 : Intermediate resistance cluster. - Support Zones: - 17,000.0 - 17,250.0 : Strong historical support. - 16,000.0 : A pivotal level for long-term bias. Trading Strategy: - Bullish Scenario: A break above 20,250.0 could signal further upside, targeting 20,500.0 and beyond. - Bearish Scenario: A drop below 17,000.0 may confirm a deeper correction, with 16,250.0 - 16,000.0 as the next target. - FVGs as Confluences: Use the identified FVGs alongside volume and momentum indicators to refine entries. Timeframe & Validity: This analysis is based on the daily timeframe (Apr 19, 2025) and remains valid until key levels are breached or new structures form. Final Notes: Always pair this analysis with risk management (stop-loss, position sizing) and confirm with additional indicators (RSI, MACD, volume). The market may fill FVGs before continuing its trend. Like, follow, and comment if you found this useful! Happy trading!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Louigi_24
38
Consolidating at lower levels, gathering strength for a rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions.) Due to the Easter long weekend, there were only four trading days last week. Despite the Trump administration's renewed escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and its threats of war against Iran, the Nasdaq remained largely range-bound over the week. Crude oil prices saw a modest increase, while gold experienced a stronger rally driven by rising risk-off sentiment. Nasdaq Outlook: After the market opens next Tuesday, the Nasdaq has a high probability of filling the price gap between 18,600 and 18,800. However, before the full impact of the tariff policy is priced in, the market may still test lower support levels. Key downside support lies in the 17,000–17,300 range. If the market fails to find strong buying interest above this zone, prices may retest the previous low of 16,349, or even fall further toward the 15,500 level. That said, the Nasdaq is currently in a deeply oversold condition on the daily chart. In the absence of further negative developments, there is a high likelihood of a significant rebound in the coming weeks. Next week may still require patience as the market digests the negative implications of the tariff news.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by zygliu
QQQ FORECAST Q2 FY25: 13% RECOVERY APRIL FOOLSlike comment follow all the signals here are lit comment your instrument below ill analyse it bonds crypto etf reits all dat paperwork The recovery was swift exactly at our $16811 price level (great bargain) if you watched last call now im calling bluff on this 90 day hype stop loss above entry targets set there might be a bullish continuation by the mid point narrated by the path line $17709 if confluence presents itself and necessary events present themselves im hopping out and longing these tariff games can go anyway in a heartbeat
BLACKBULL:NAS100
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
1
What is ICT Order Block and How to Trade it 👉🏻 ICT order block is basically an area on the price chart which indicates the huge institutional orders and signals the strong reversal or continuation of price. You can use the order block as a confirmation of your trade entry or for the reversal of price. In this article, we will teach you all about order block trading strategy from definition to its identification and to use along with examples. You can jump to the part of this guide, you are most interested in or you can continue reading the whole article : Table of Contents 👇🏻 1 : What is ICT Order Block? 2 : Types of Order Block 3 : Bullish Order Block 4 : Bearish Order Block 5 : Bullish Order Block Trading Strategy 6 : Bearish Order Block Trading Strategy 7 : Final Thoughts What is ICT Order Block? ⚡️ ICT Order block is the area in the price chart, where a large number of orders are executed by institutional traders in the market and market shows sudden strong move from that area. Retail traders follow institutional foot prints, so they wait for these order block zones to buy or sell in the market & make profit along with big institutions like banks. You can see the example of order blocks in the picture given below : Types of Order Block As you know market has two price moves bullish & bearish. So on the basis of price moves, order block is divided into two types. (I) Bullish Order Block (II) Bearish Order Block Bullish Order Block A bullish order block is the last bearish candle before the bullish impulse (strong sudden) move, it typically consist of two candles, with the first candlestick being a bearish and the second candlestick being a bullish one. How to Identify a Bullish Order Block? ⚡️ To identify a valid bullish order block you need to check following things. (I) Second candle being a bullish candle, should grab the low of previous bearish candle. Price should go below the low of previous bearish candle. (II) Second candle being a Bullish candle should close above the high of previous bearish candle. (III) Imbalance in lower time frame in the order block zone. (IV) Structure shift in lower timeframe. To sum it up we can say, second candle should completely engulf the first candle – body to body & wick to wick. You can see the example of bullish order block in the picture below : Bearish Order Block ⚡️ A bearish order block is the last bullish candle before the bearish impulse move, it typically consist of two candles, with the first candlestick being a bullish and the second candlestick being a bearish one. How to Identify a Bearish Order Block? ⚡️ To identify a valid bearish order block you need to check following things. (I) Second candle being a bearish candle, should grab the high of previous bullish candle. Price should go above the high of previous bearish candle. (II) Second candle being a bearish candle should close below the low of previous bullish candle. (III) Imbalance in lower timeframe in the order block zone. (IV) ICT Market Structure Shift in lower timeframe. To sum it up we can say second candle should completely engulf the first candle – body to body & wick to wick. You can see the example of bearish order block in the picture below : Bullish Order Block Trading Strategy ⚡️ In bullish order block trading strategy you would look for shift of price delivery from bearish to bullish and then execute a buy trade utilizing a bullish order block. When the trend is bearish and it approaches a demand zone where you would seek reversal of price and at that area price shifts its structure to the buy-side. Then you will be looking for the order block at the bottom of the impulse move which changed market trend. When you find the bullish order block in that move, it means it was a move involving institutions so you need to wait for the price to test the bullish order block zone to execute a buy trade. When price retraces back and tests the bullish order block zone you can execute a buy trade as shown in the picture below : When tradin bullish Order block trading strategy your stop loss will be 10/20 pips below the low of order block zone. Bearish Order Block Trading Strategy ⚡️ In bearish order block trading strategy you would be looking for the shift of trend from bullish to bearish and then execute a sell trade utilizing a bearish order block. When market trend is bullish and it approaches a supply zone where you seek reversal of price and at that area price shifts its structure to the sell-side. Then you would look for the order block at the bottom of the impulse move which changed price trend. When you find a bearish order block in that move it means it was a move involving institutions so you need to wait for the price to test the bearish order block zone to execute a sell trade. When price retrace back and tests the bearish order block zone you can execute a sell trade. A real market example of bearish order block trading strategy is shown below in the picture. Final Thoughts⚡️ When trading using bearish Order block trading strategy our stop loss will be 10/20 pips above the high of order block zone. Order blocks can also be found in a trend after a pull back and these order blocks confirm the strength of trend. We can use these order blocks to trade the trend or to add new positions in the trend. Like in a bearish trend after a bullish pullback a bearish order block may form, which confirms the strength of bearish trend and we can add a new sell order to enjoy the bearish trend. Likewise in a bullish trend after a bearish pullback a bullish Order block may form which confirms the strength of bullish trend and we can add a new buy order to enjoy the bullish trend ❤️ .
FX:NAS100Education
by InnerCircleAnalysis
NASDAQ Heading to 14K – WXY Correction UnderwayUS100 (NASDAQ) Technical Analysis 📆 Daily Chart (1D) 🧭 Updated: April 15, 2025 🟠 General Context and Structure The price reached a high of 22,236.5, completing an ascending wedge (orange lines), which was broken down with strong volume and bearish momentum, signaling a change in the larger structure. After the collapse from that high, the index formed what appears to be a W wave within a complex corrective structure (WXY), completing in the 16,176.3–16,992.2 range. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (Projection) We are currently seeing the development of the upward corrective wave X, which appears to be structuring as a 5-wave impulse: (1) and (2) already completed Projection of (3), (4), and (5) with a target in the 21,025.9 area After this upward movement, the start of a downward correction (a)-(b)-(c) is expected, which would complete the bearish wave Y of the broader WXY pattern. 🔍 Key Support and Resistance Zones 🔴 Major resistance: 22,239 – 22,236.5 (Highs and strong rejection zone) ⚪ Intermediate resistance: 20,356.6 and 21,025.9 (Potential targets for wave X) ⚪ Intermediate support: 18,523 (Zone where wave (4) could form) 🟢 Strong support: 16,992.2 and 16,176.3 (base of wave W) 14,054.4 (potential target for wave Y, critical point) 12,719.4 (extreme extension if the decline intensifies) 📉 Movement Projection Current bullish reaction remains impulsive → wave (3) is underway. Possible extension to 21,025.9 before a reversal. Drop in 3 waves (a)-(b)-(c) towards: 🎯 First bearish target: 16,176 🎯 Second (final) target: approximately 14,580 (area marked as the end of wave Y) ⚠️ Conclusion / Trading Idea We are seeing a complex WXY-type correction developing. The most likely scenario suggests a bullish continuation towards 21,025 to complete wave X, followed by a sharp drop towards the 14,580 area. 📌 Possible trading plan: Swing long to 21,025 if the momentum is confirmed. Strong short from that area, looking for targets towards 16,000 – 14,580 in the coming months. 🧭 Risk Management Stop loss above the all-time high of 22,236.5 for short positions. Bearish confirmation after reversal structure at 21k.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by JAG_Trader
1
The Interest Rates Paradox and How it'd Predict a Market Top NowIt is a common assumption that higher interest rates naturally slow economic expansion and cool overheated markets. However, the historical record over the past 50 years tells a more nuanced story when it comes to bubbles. In several major crashes—the dotcom bubble, the U.S. housing bubble, and the Japanese Nikkei bubble—a pattern emerges: monetary authorities began increasing rates well before market tops were reached. Surprisingly, instead of slowing the market in the short term, these rate hikes coincided with a parabolic run-up in asset prices . The paradox lies in the fact that while rising rates are expected to dampen market exuberance, during these bubbles, they coexisted with—and arguably even fueled—frenzied market behavior. This paradox has played out yet again over the last years. With us seeing not only the parabolic rally phase during the interest rate hikes but also us having a current agreement with the interest rates and equites topping at the same time. As with all previous market tops. As we sit here today, we have followed the interest rate topping paradox to the letter. Let's look more into it. Historical Patterns and the Paradox The Early Phase: Initial hikes into a heating up market. In each of these historical cases, central banks initiated rate hikes as part of a broader strategy to temper what they viewed as emerging economic imbalances. In the late 1980s, for instance, the Bank of Japan began tightening monetary policy as asset prices soared, anticipating overheating in the economy. Despite these early rate increases, the Nikkei continued its upward trajectory, ultimately reaching its peak in December 1989. This pattern was echoed in the U.S. during the dotcom era. Leading into the 2000 peak, the Federal Reserve started to raise rates to control inflationary pressures—even as the technology-heavy market rallied to unsustainable heights. The pattern has always been similar. Markets are starting to get hot and perhaps there's some unwanted consequence of this (like inflation). So the central bank takes actions to cool things down with the interest rate hikes. Although there have been reactions from this in the near term, overall the trend has become stronger and stronger during the hike cycle. Let me give you an example to add some context. Alan Greenspan is famous for the "Irrational exuberance" comment. He said that in 1996! The Nasdaq absolutely boomed from there for another 4 years. What had happened before was nothing compared to what came after the interest rate hikes started. The Parabolic Reaction: Markets Defy Conventional Logic What seems paradoxical is that rather than a smooth deceleration, markets often reacted to these rate hikes with an intensified speculative fervor. During the dotcom and housing bubbles, small increases in rates did not immediately curb investor optimism; instead, they appeared to add urgency, fueling a belief that the market was resilient enough to outperform despite higher borrowing costs. The market’s parabolic rise in asset prices during periods of tightening monetary policy is counterintuitive, suggesting that investors were less influenced by the immediate cost of capital and more driven by momentum and fear of missing out. By the high of these rallies it was firmly believed that this was a sign the uptrends would continue. Indeed, they could only get stronger as the interest rates came back down. ....Nah uh. Wasn't how it went all! And we find ourselves in a strongly similar situation now in 2025. Leveling Off and the Market Peak It gets weirder still when you notice rather than markets slowing down on rate cuts they highs of the equites rallies always came rate increases eventually plateau. Historical data shows that when interest rates stabilized—often within a narrow band of around 5% to 6.5%—this stabilization coincided with the market reaching its absolute peak. In these instances, the plateau did not signal the end of the monetary tightening cycle; rather, it marked the culmination of the bubble. Market participants, having pushed prices to their limits, were suddenly confronted with a reversion, as the underlying economic fundamentals could no longer justify the inflated asset values. Knowing what happened before does not let you know what will happen in the future, but it's worth knowing. It may well just end up being useful in the future. In every instance of a big market top in the last 50 years the pattern was interest rate hikes and parabolic rallies in this phase, when the hikes stopped the first market sell off began. We have an exact matching of these conditions now. The Bear Market and Rate Easing Once the market had peaked, and the bubble burst, central banks found themselves in a difficult position. In response to the ensuing economic downturns, monetary authorities were compelled to cut rates dramatically—even as equity markets remained subdued. This rapid reduction in rates was aimed at stabilizing economies and stimulating recovery, yet it often came too late to salvage the once-insatiable market exuberance. The inversion of the earlier paradox—where rate hikes were accompanied by soaring markets—serves as a stark reminder of the complexity of monetary policy in times of speculative excess. All you have to do is look at any of the interest rate charts for the crash in question and it's clear to see these both peaked and reversed around the same time. During bubbles, historically correlation with equities and interest rates is close to prefect. From the start of our interest rate hikes to now, this has continued to apply. A play out of the historical norms for this would now see rates continue to drop with equities dropping alongside them (Overall, maybe rallying on the news now and then). Which would make this a rather risky time to be buying the dip. ================================= Realistic Examples of the Paradox ================================= Nikkei Bubble (Late 1980s): Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan initiated rate hikes to cool a rapidly expanding economy and soaring asset prices. Market Behavior: Despite these increases, the Nikkei continued its parabolic climb, peaking in December 1989. Aftermath: Following the bubble’s burst, rates were cut sharply as the market entered a prolonged bear phase. Dotcom Bubble (Late 1990s to 2000): Monetary Policy: In response to rising inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve began increasing rates before the bubble reached its zenith. Market Behavior: Rather than curbing exuberance, the rate hikes coincided with an acceleration in market gains, contributing to an unsustainable rise in tech stock valuations. Aftermath: The eventual plateau in rates occurred as the market hit its peak, soon followed by a dramatic downturn when investor sentiment shifted. U.S. Housing Bubble (Mid-2000s): Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s gradual rate increases were part of an effort to moderate the housing market’s explosive growth. Market Behavior: Housing prices continued to rise, reflecting an underlying confidence in the market that outpaced the modest increases in borrowing costs. Aftermath: When rates eventually leveled off, the market was near its peak, and subsequent rate cuts during the bear market underscored the stark reversal of fortunes.
IG:NASDAQShort
by holeyprofit
Bearish opportunity if support is broken📉 US100 – Watching for a possible bearish breakout After reaching the key level of 19,151.5, the US100 price has shown weakness by breaking out of an ascending wedge. It is currently testing a dynamic support zone at 18,695.4, just before a liquidity zone marked in red. A break below this zone could trigger a move towards 18,434.1, and in extension towards 18,185.8, if bearish pressure continues. This structure suggests that momentum is shifting in favor of the bears, especially if the blue support fails to sustain the price. 🧠 Action plan: Monitor a breakout with volume and a bearish structure to seek short entries with appropriate risk management.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
1
Choose your Side- i often compare TheKing with Nasdaq right now. - Have a main reason : - NAS100 (Nasdaq) have mostly "Top Tech Companies" acting as Thermometers in this index. - SPX (SP500) have Tech Companies + traditional ones. Nasdaq Companies are also included in SPX, but 500 Companies start to be a lot. - DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is a Mastodons, i don't use it much because this top 30 is too mixed ( coca cola, boeing, techs, big banks, nike.. etc). - i mostly use very high TFs, i prefer look from far, less noise, more easy and less headaches. - i use sometimes to trade with 1D, H12, H4 TFs but when we are bullish. In bearmarket, it's hard to find entries points in bearish mode. - i don't short markets and accumulate more coins/tokens, so i just DCA, Dollar Cost Averaging is investing a fixed amount of money into a particular investment at regular intervals. - so this chart is basically only about MACD : - it's really interesting to see Nasdaq making another red columns in 3W TF, while the markets should recover slowly. - if you take a look at BTC, columns stayed in Light Red Color and reducing size. What could it means ? - Keep in mind that BTC is not a STOCK. - One of the most pivotal events on Bitcoin's blockchain is the halving, when the supply of new bitcoins is cut in half (2024). - BTC have 21M Supplies and that's all. no more will be created. - At any time BTC could stop to follow Nasdaq and do his way, TheKing used to do that before already. - A small bounce in Nasdaq could be also a huge move for BTC. - " Choose your side " and DCA the money you don't need for living. Happy Tr4Ding !
SKILLING:US100Long
by thecryer
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— ☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18600 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— ——— Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows • 3245 – Equal highs ——— 🩸No rush. Only precision. Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force. 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
No shampoo in sight.....and an $11k Nasdaq?This posts presents an idea that has no precedence (that I can recall at least), so this is by definition a crazy idea BUT the chart is showing signs of extreme exhaustion and is possibly and quite frankly on the verge of a potentially destructive collapse. If the recent severe volatility hasn't peaked your attention... this chart should. It's quite simple...we have a MONSTER Head and Shoulders pattern on the Weekly TF...and we're finishing off the Right Shoulder! From a chart pattern perspective, this is ultra-ultra bearish. The confluence we have is the Elliot Wave showing the we could be about to enter Wave 5. Elliot Waves are of course subjective BUT in this case its syncs with the Head and Shoulders. If this was a 15min chart, most would probably agree hands down, but this is a Weekly Chart and represents Trillions on Trillions so its hard to believe that this could even be a possibility.....but I believe it could happen! The horizontal blue lines provide 2024's High and Low Price. For this disaster scenario to be avoided, the Bulls and anyone who cares must defend 2024's low around 16100. This must not be breached, to keep the 12M bullish structure in place. The green shaded areas highlight all of the Buy Side fair value gaps on the WEEKLY TF going back to early January 2023! Could the market dive for these in devastating fashion? Only time will tell. In the interim, we should trade safe and manage risk as best as we can.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TheTradeBorough