NASDAQ Short OpportunityPrice formed a distribution schematic 1 and currently forming the LPSY at OTE Level
NDQM trade ideas
Will USTEC Continue to Climb Amid Key Catalysts Ahead?Fundamental approach:
- USTEC climbed to fresh record highs this week, supported by positive investor sentiment amid consolidation ahead of key catalysts.
- Sentiment was buoyed by expectations of continued AI and semiconductor strength, with Nvidia (NVDA) and Amazon (AMZN) registering gains, while Tesla (TSLA) rebounded on optimism despite recent volatility. However, persistent tariff threats and uncertainty around US trade policy generated caution, with markets jittery as investors eyed incoming earnings reports and inflation data releases for further direction. The term structure in tech remains constructive, with buyers stepping in on minor pullbacks, showing little sign of trend exhaustion.
- USTEC may face heightened volatility as the next round of corporate results and updates on US tariffs could shift sentiment. Upcoming earnings from major tech firms and macroeconomic releases, including key inflation and consumer confidence data, could set the tone for the index's next move.
Technical approach:
- USTEC closed above the range of 22650-22900, and also above both EMAs, indicating a strong upward momentum.
- If USTEC maintains above 22900, it may continue to rise to 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at around 23870.
- On the contrary, closing below 22900 may push the price to retest the previous support at 22650.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NAS100Short-Term Outlook for NAS100 (as of mid-July 2025):
Recent Trend:
• The NAS100 has been in a strong bullish trend throughout much of 2025, driven by:
• Big tech earnings growth (e.g., Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta).
• AI and chip sector boom.
• Fed’s pause (or even rate cuts) in interest rates.
NQ, Short setupJust before market Open price dropped lower, I expect price to travel back up into the 15 m Gap and then sell off. This is the only setup I am interested in today.
The 15m level will be a resistance level for price. This level is derived from the last reversal. Since NQ was lagging, i expect price to use his level to squeeze the shorts out and start a new down trend.
If this does not happen and the highs get taken out, I will be flat today
Goodluck, Good trading.
F
NAS100 | FLUSHPOINTNas1oo is pulling back into HTF keyzones, down below looking to catch sellers to the upside so trade is a bit riskier but we are looking for upside moves overally
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
________________________________________
Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
________________________________________
My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
________________________________________
Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
________________________________________
Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
________________________________________
Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
________________________________________
Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
________________________________________
Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
NAS100 - Bullish Trend Continuation Setup• Pair: NAS100 (Nasdaq)
• Bias: Bullish
• HTF Overview (4H):
• Strong bullish structure and momentum from last week.
• Price consistently printing higher highs with no signs of reversal.
• MTF Refinement (30M):
• Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL (sell-side liquidity).
• Looking for price to dip into 30M OB for continuation opportunity.
• Entry Zone:
• Watch 30M OB — once price sweeps liquidity and confirms, execute long.
• Targets:
• Structure highs / previous weekly highs.
• Mindset Note:
• Simple execution plan — ride the trend, trust the structure.
• Wait for confirmation before switching from analyst to trader mode.
Bless Trading!
US100 Strong Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#US100 is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the
made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 22879.1 so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
[LONG] NASDAQ still very bullishFundamentals for bias.
Technicals for entry.
Daily support at 22,600
Target ATH at 23,050
Im buying more @ 22,730
higher high higher low higher high higher low = bullish.
USNAS100 | Consolidation 23010 - 22900, Bearish or Not Yet...USNAS100: Cautious Consolidation as Powell Uncertainty Lingers
Following political noise around Fed Chair Powell — with Trump admitting he floated the idea of replacing him — tech markets have entered a cautious consolidation. While no immediate action was taken, the underlying uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment, especially in rate-sensitive sectors like tech.
Technically: Consolidation Before the Break
The price is currently consolidating between 22900 and 23010.
A confirmed 1H close below 22900 would signal the start of a bearish trend, targeting 22700 and 22615.
Conversely, a close above 23010 would open the path toward a new all-time high (ATH) at 23170.
Key Levels:
Support: 22700, 22615
Resistance: 23010, 23170
Weekly Close High to HOLD?As expected Nas100 will end in a weekly high after hitting a nice fresh record due to TSMI stock among other things like Trump walking back on firing Jermone Powell.
Technicals tell me that this is extremely overbought and I wonder if this will continue I cannot believe this rally. AS LONG as it holds the 23100 to 23150 range then it could break out again and set another high but I would be cautiously optimistic. Somebody's got to take the profit!
SellRejection Level
Daily Volume
Market Structure Shift
London US Session
Trend Line Break
Untapped Order Point
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on Positions1) April Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
2) Current Market State: No More Fear, but Watching
Since then, the market has stabilized.
The fear has disappeared, but we are still in a wait-and-see mode as traders assess the next move.
Momentum is holding, but participation remains cautious.
3) Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NASDAQ possible Down Reverse Zone For Short Term According to the current market situation, the strength of sellers getting little bit stronger as yesterday news makes USD stronger. Let's see how things going on and waiting for a one up pullback for make day trading sell entry
NASDAQ Outlook – Coming WeeksIn the coming weeks, we may see a potential downward move in the NASDAQ, provided that it fails to hold above the current level at 23,100.
If the index remains unstable below this level, a sharp decline toward the 22,800 zone is likely.
NASDAQ will fall to 21500 until August 1Nearly all Indicators, Geopolitics, uncertainties, Trade Tariffs, Powell vs Trump- tell us to sell, marking a bearish perception on Stock Market. Although your right analysis to sell is still bougt by super fast algorithms, there are facts that neither investors nor programms can ignore, and they are about to come. If housing market stambles tomorrow, which, probably, will be the fact, it will be the first step towards this deep dive. Wish us all profitable trading. Remember, it is not about being right or wrong, it is about making money, so even if you are wrong-dont compete with your own money against you, stay focused falks. See ya.
US100: The only risk remains Trump with his tariffs.US100: The only risk remains Trump with his tariffs.
US100 is in a strong uptrend and the chances of it rising are still high.
The price has already found a strong support near 22600 and I think it is preparing to start an uptrend soon.
The only risk for the Indices is related to Trump and his tariffs. This is the only threat I see at the moment.
Key targets: 22875 ; 22997; 23075
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
NASDAQ Inverted Head & Shoulders Retest Before Bullish MomentumI see a possible retest of an Inverted Head and Shoulders on M15 TF before the bullish momentum resumes. The SL and TP are just a rough estimation. Price could dip a bit lower than that.
But my overall bias is bullish.
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖.
Key Fundamental Drivers:
AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year.
Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025.
Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100.
Geopolitical & Macro Factors:
Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets.
US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment.
Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges.
Why is it rallying now?
AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹.
Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈.
Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️.
Summary:
The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
Trade, Fed, and Policy Developments Impacting NASDAQ 100Tariff Expansion Threat:
Donald Trump signaled upcoming tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, two sectors heavily represented in the NASDAQ 100. These measures could:
Raise consumer costs.
Disrupt tech and healthcare supply chains.
Add margin pressure on multinational firms.
Corporate Impact:
Rio Tinto revealed $300M in losses from US aluminum tariffs on Canadian output.
Canada-US trade talks will intensify, but tariffs appear likely to remain, adding to cost overhang for manufacturers and downstream users.
Fed Leadership Uncertainty:
Kevin Hassett is emerging as the frontrunner to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell in 2026.
Trump is critical of Powell, even citing Fed building renovation costs as a potential fireable offense.
This adds uncertainty to monetary policy continuity, especially as inflation rises and rate path expectations diverge.
401(k) and Private Equity Access:
The administration is finalizing an executive order allowing 401(k) plans to invest in private equity, a move that could:
Increase alternative asset exposure.
Boost private market valuations.
Signal a policy tilt toward financial market liberalization, which may help sustain risk sentiment in the medium term.
Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 (NSDQ100) Trading
The near-term risk for NASDAQ 100 is tilted negative due to the tariff threats on semiconductors and pharma, both major index components.
Fed leadership uncertainty could inject volatility into rate expectations, pressuring tech valuations sensitive to discount rate changes.
However, the longer-term policy shift toward broader 401(k) access to private markets could support overall market sentiment and capital flows.
Bias: Cautiously Bearish in the short term due to trade and Fed risks; neutral to slightly bullish medium term if private capital access reforms proceed and trade escalation is contained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23080
Resistance Level 2: 23170
Resistance Level 3: 23250
Support Level 1: 22750
Support Level 2: 22670
Support Level 3: 22590
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USNAS100 – Bearish Below 22900 as Earnings & Tariffs Hit MarketUSNAS100 – Bearish Bias Ahead of Earnings, PPI & Tariff Tensions
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are slightly lower as traders weigh rate outlook, tariff developments, and major earnings reports.
📊 Earnings in Focus:
Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS , Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS , and Bank of America NYSE:BAC are set to report today.
JPMorgan Chase NYSE:JPM and Citigroup NYSE:C posted strong results yesterday, but expressed caution over U.S. tariff policies.
🌍 Tariff Watch:
Trump announced a 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, with more deals anticipated ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. The EU is reportedly preparing retaliatory measures if negotiations stall.
🔧 Technical Outlook:
The Nasdaq100 shows bearish momentum as long as it trades below 22900 and 23010, with potential downside targets:
Support: 22720 → 22615 → 22420
Resistance: 23010 → 23170
To shift back to a bullish trend, price must stabilize above 22900 and break 23010.
Key Events Today:
• Corporate Earnings
• Tariff Developments
• U.S. PPI Report
NQ Buy within range The overall trend is ranging, but the price recently created a new ATH and now it seem to be grabbing liquidity. With that, we can expect the price to continue pushing up to at least grab the liquidity above 23029.47.
