NDQM trade ideas
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 4: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend
In Part 1 , we covered reducing position size.
In Part 2 , we explored liquidity and execution strategies.
In Part 3 , we discussed the power of patience over FOMO.
Now,we're diving into one of the most important principles of all — especially in volatile, fast-moving markets: Follow the Trend. Trust the Trend. Trade With the Trend.
In wild markets like these, everything changes quickly. Indicators print overbought or oversold conditions well before the market even thinks about reversing.
Divergences can keep stacking up while the price continues trending for another 300, 500, or even 1000 points. Why? Volatility + Liquidity conditions = Extended trending behavior.
When liquidity is thin, and volatility is high, strong trends tend to last longer than usual:
Breakouts run further.
Breakdowns fall deeper.
And counter-trend trades? They're often a fast ticket to losses.
█ What Pro Traders Know Better Than Anyone:
In volatile markets, trend-following isn't optional — it's survival.
But wait, it is obvious that trends aren't perfect straight lines. So how can one even realistically “follow” a trend, especially in volatile markets.
Well, the key is to expect the unexpected. Experienced traders trade logically, we expect pullbacks, fakeouts, stop hunts, snapbacks and/or channel breaks. In fact, we prepare for them.
It is detrimental to assume the trend is over just because of these moves. Most of these are liquidity traps, not real reversals.
█ Here's What Pro Traders Do Differently:
⚪ They Identify the Core Trend Direction
Pro traders use price structure, trendlines, moving averages, VWAP , or higher timeframe levels to identify the trend direction. Once identified, every trade respects the trend.
Let me explain with an example.
→ Uptrend Identification:
Say you notice that the price of Gold (XAUUSD) has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows. What should you do?
You use the 100-period moving average (MA) and see that price is staying above it, indicating an uptrend. You wait for price to pull back to the MA, giving you a low-risk entry to join the uptrend rather than chasing the trend.
→ Downtrend Identification:
In a downtrend, USD/JPY keeps making lower highs and lower lows. You observe the 100-period moving average pointing down. This is your cue to look for short entries , avoiding countertrend buys that could trap you.
⚪ They ONLY Look for Entries at Key Trend Channel Levels
Professional traders don’t chase the price or try to catch every move. Instead, they patiently wait for price to return to key areas within a well-defined trend channel , either the upper boundary (in a downtrend) or the lower boundary (in an uptrend).
→ In an uptrend:
Pro traders draw a trend channel based on the price move. When price pulls back to the lower boundary of the channel (often aligning with demand zones), they start looking for long entries, aiming to trade with the trend and target a new high.
→ In a downtrend:
The same logic applies, but in reverse. Price pulls back to the upper boundary of the channel (supply area), offering a clean short opportunity to continue with the trend and target a new low.
But here’s what separates pros from amateurs:
→ They expect fakeouts, spikes , and temporary breaks beyond the trend channel — especially in volatile conditions.
→ They don’t panic when the price briefly moves outside the channel. Instead, they wait for confirmation signals (like a rejection candle, break of structure, or momentum shift) before entering.
→ This gives them both a logical entry point and a favorable risk-reward setup — aligning with the larger trend direction while staying protected if the trend fails.
⚪ They Treat Countertrend Moves as Opportunities to Enter WITH the Trend
When a countertrend move happens, pro traders see it as an opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend, rather than trying to catch a reversal.
→ Counter-Trend Move in an Uptrend:
Let's say S&P 500 is in a strong uptrend, and it experiences a sharp pullback of 5%.
While many retail traders panic and try to short the market, pro traders see this as a buying opportunity at a lower price, anticipating the trend will continue after the correction.
→ Counter-Trend Move in a Downtrend:
For Gold (XAU/USD) , if the price falls sharply from $1,900 to $1,850 and then retraces back to $1,875 (a previous support-turned-resistance level), pros see this as an opportunity to sell into the trend rather than buying into what could be a false recovery.
⚪ They Accept That Trends Can Look "Overbought" or "Oversold" for a Long Time
In volatile, trending conditions, RSI can stay above 70 for hours or even days, and divergences can build for a long time without price reacting.
→ RSI Above 70 in an Uptrend:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rallies from $40,000 to $60,000. Despite RSI being above 70 for a few days, pro traders don't fight the trend because momentum is strong. Instead, they look for a pullback to the 100-period MA for a safer entry.
→ Divergence in Downtrend:
The EUR/USD shows a bearish trend , but the RSI starts to build a divergence as the price keeps making lower lows. Pro traders ignore the divergence because the trend is still strong. They wait for a clear break of the trendline or confirmation that price has reversed before considering a long trade.
█ Summary of Part 4 — Trend is Your Best Friend
You can't control how far a trend will run…but you can control whether you're with or fighting against it.
And trust me, fighting a strong trend in a volatile market is a battle retail traders rarely win.
Here’s what you should take away from this article:
Volatile markets = Extended trends
Indicators can lie — trend structure tells the truth
Fakeouts & pullbacks are normal
Don't fight the trend — trade with it
Use counter-moves to enter the trend
Patience & trend-following = Survival + Profit
█ What We Covered:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend is Your Best Friend
That's it! You've now completed the Mastering Volatile Markets series.
Stay calm, adapt quickly, and trade smarter — that's how you survive (and thrive) in volatile markets.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY resistance retest Tech stocks tumbled after the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia chip exports to China and ASML posted weaker-than-expected results, sparking renewed trade war fears. The selloff wiped out $155 billion in market value between the two companies.
Meanwhile, China is holding off on trade talks, wanting the U.S. to take certain steps first—like toning down harsh rhetoric from officials—according to a source familiar with Beijing’s stance.
U.S. stock futures trimmed losses after that China news but still point to a lower open due to the tech slump. The dollar slid to a six-month low, while investors moved into safe havens, gold hit a record high and the Swiss franc gained.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19200
Resistance Level 2: 19550
Resistance Level 3: 19870
Support Level 1: 17250
Support Level 2: 16773
Support Level 3: 16300
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NASDAQ Uprun ExpectedThe NASDAQ remains volatile, but has not yet undercut its lows from the beginning of the month. The correction since the explosive rise from the yearly lows remains within limits, and the market was able to recover quickly and significantly from today's lows.
We are therefore optimistic, at least in the short term, and are taking the long position shown up to the open gap.
NAS100 Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 18,546.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 18,341.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NASDAQ Best 2 Places For Buy Cleared Now , Don`t Miss It !Here is my opinion on NASDAQ And for who want to buy it , here is my best 2 places for buy , First One if we have a 4H Closure Above This Strong Res that pushed the prices yesterday 500 pips , and second place will be the support that clear in the chart , but i prefer the first one cuz it will be a strong confirmation if we have a good closure above .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Incoming fall and riseNasdaq is struggling to move past the 19200 and 19000 barriers, and this may lead to a bearish correction aiming for 17,886 and 17,333 support. If price action does fall, the 17k region will be the likely barrier, which may spearhead the bullish continuation targeting 19,700 and 20,200.
Currently, price action is rising from 18,500, trying to reach 19,200 and 19,000. As long as price action is under the 19k zone, the bearish correction may likely occur. Failure to fall and finding strength above the 19k barriers, the indice may continue its upward trajectory!
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
———————
☄️ Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18700
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
☄️ Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18400
We are watching this zone closely.
📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow.
———
Analysis
👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 18400 – Major support
➗ 19000 – Proven resistance
———
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 18700 – 🔥 Bearish breakout level
• 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times)
• 18400 – Equal lows
• 3245 – Equal highs
———
🩸No rush. Only precision.
Hanzo moves in silence—then strikes with force.
🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe.
Follow Hanzo. Support the path.
Oversold but Not Safe – NAS100 Bears Still in Control
Currently trading below the 20-day SMA (middle of Bollinger Bands), indicating bearish momentum.
Support zone: ~17,600 (recent lows and high volume area)
Resistance zone: ~18,800–19,200 (middle Bollinger Band & recent highs)
Failure to break above 18,800 and another test of 17,600 could lead to continuation downward, possibly toward 17,000–16,800.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 19,237.66 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 19,950.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Exclusive Analysis: Key Reversal Zones & Time Targets for NAS100Dear Trader,
I’m excited to share my latest analysis of $Subject with you! This report uses advanced mathematical strategies to pinpoint potential market reversals—both in price and timing—to help you trade smarter.
What’s Inside?
✅ Price Targets: Clear horizontal lines mark key support/resistance levels (north/south targets).
✅ Timing Tools: Vertical lines highlight potential reversal times (UTC+4 time zone) with +/- 1-2 candle accuracy.
✅ Actionable Tips: Monitor the 5M/15M charts for high-probability reversal signals like:
Doji
Double Top/Bottom
Bullish/Bearish Engulfing
Hammer/Inverted Hammer
Morning/Evening Star
Shooting Star
Triple Top/Bottom
Want to Level Up?
Join Shunya Trade’s Mentoring Program to master these strategies and sharpen your technical analysis skills.
Your Feedback Matters!
Let me know how this analysis works for you—your insights will shape future reports!
Let’s navigate the markets together—wisely and proactively.
Best regards,
Shunya Trade
Stay Connected for More:
👉 Follow me on TradingView “shoonya0000” for daily charts, tips, and live market updates.
On the chart numbers are printed those are for Reversal of Time
328, 391, 400, 463, 424, 472, 535, 295, 520, 319, 544
And these are Key price levels
Bear. Bull
18694.55 18733.46
18679.82 18748.22
18645.66 18782.46
18577.45 18851.05
18509.36 18919.76
18441.40 18988.60
18373.56 19057.56
18305.85 19126.65
18238.27 19195.86
18170.80 19265.20
17902.21 19543.79
17635.61 19824.39
17371.01 20106.99
17108.41 20391.59
16847.81 20678.19
16589.21 20966.79
16332.62 21257.38
16078.02 21549.98
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 19150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 18600 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19200
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 18820
Strong Rejection from 19300 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 17800 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 19100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 18820 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 18500 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17800 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 19150 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 18820 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19200
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 18820
Strong Rejection from 19300 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 17800 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 19100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 18820 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 18500 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 17800 zone – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 11 jan 2024 – Bearish Retest 16900
💯 18 jan 2024 – Bullish Run After Break That level
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
NAS100 Rebound Setup – Bulls Gaining Strength Again?The NAS100 has bounced strongly from the high-volume demand zone (16,700 – 17,800) highlighted by LuxAlgo's Supply and Demand indicator. The current price is consolidating near 18,700, building momentum for a potential breakout.
Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 16,700 – 17,800 (high buy interest)
Support Level: 17,828.9
Resistance 1: 20,350.6 (first upside target)
Major Supply Zone: 21,775.4 (big decision point for bulls)
Bullish Outlook:
Price has reclaimed the 17,828.9 support and is forming higher lows.
A strong break above 19,000 could send price to test 20,350, then possibly 21,775.
Green arrows show the bullish potential if price holds above support.
Bearish Risk:
A breakdown below 17,828.9 could signal a return to the demand zone.
Watch for rejection candlesticks or divergence signals near resistance.
Volume Profile Insight:
LuxAlgo's visible range shows strong buyer interest below 18,000, indicating institutions may be accumulating positions.
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Trade Idea: Look for a confirmed breakout above recent highs near 18,800 for long entries. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 17,800 for better risk-reward.
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What’s your take on NAS100? Will buyers push it to 20K+ or is this just a trap rally? Share your thoughts below!
#NASDAQ #US100 #NAS100 #IndexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup
NASDAQ Trump's 2 TRADE WARS are identical! What you need to knowNASDAQ (NDX) had a massive bullish reversal 1W candle last week as, despite a Lower Low opening, the intra-week rebound surpassed the opening of the previous week. The sell-off reached almost as low as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) , which has been the Support level of the late 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom and has been untouched for more than 2 year.
This is not the first time we see this pattern. In an interesting twist of events, we saw the exact same formation during Trump's 1st Trade War, which bottomed on the week of December 24 2018, near the 1W MA200 as well and exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the Top.
The similarities don't stop there as both Trade War periods were manifested within Megaphone patterns. Their sell-off/ Bearish Leg was -25% (now) and -23% (2018) respectively, while the set-up leading to those Megaphones was a +103.50% and +113.50% Bull Cycle respectively. Also both sell-offs got an oversold (30.00 or lower) 1W RSI bottom.
So, since NDX has currently completed a -25% correction near the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fib with the 1W RSI bouncing off the oversold barrier, it is very likely that we've formed the pattern's bottom, especially if the global fundamentals point towards trade deals.
If this Low remains intact, we expect a similar +35% short-term Top at 22500 within a 3-4 month period and then long-term rally near the -0.382 Fibonacci extension at 29000.
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Why the current section is important
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It is not easy to explain everything with just chart analysis.
Therefore, it is true that interpretation of various issues is necessary.
However, I am only explaining the chart.
The reason is that interpretation of various issues other than the chart is not easy for individual investors.
-
(NAS100USD 1W chart)
In order to continue the uptrend, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
If not, there is a high possibility of continuing the downtrend.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 18693.7, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
However, this is a medium- to long-term perspective.
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(1D chart)
In the short term, the price should be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In that sense, we can see that the current price position is an important section.
However, in order to continue the short-term upward trend, it should rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
In that sense, the support around 19848.3 is an important key point.
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Currently, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it is expected to show a downward trend in the end.
Therefore, if it is not supported near 19848.3, I think you should prepare for a decline.
At this time, you should check whether it can be supported near 18428.8 and rise.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator of the 1D chart is formed.
-
The HA-Low and HA-High indicators are indicators created for trading on the Heikin Ashi chart.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point section.
Therefore, if it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, then that is the time to buy.
If it falls without being supported by the HA-Low indicator, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
However, there is a difference between a downward trend following the HA-Low indicator and a simple downward trend.
A stepwise decline following the HA-Low indicator is likely to eventually form a bottom section.
The next volatility period is expected to be around April 29th.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trading.
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USTEC,NAS100USTEC is still in a downtrend. The price has a chance to test the resistance zone 19588-19875. If the price cannot break through the 19876 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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