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NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX)

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USNAS100 Outlook – CPI Data to Confirm Breakout or PullbackUSNAS100 – Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of CPI USNAS100 continues to show strong bullish momentum, trading above 22,905 and recently printing a new all-time high (ATH). As long as price remains above this level, the next upside target is 23,170, followed by 23,300. Market Focus – CPI Data Today: • Expected: 2.6% • Below 2.6% → bullish reaction likely • Above 2.6% → bearish pressure expected • Exactly 2.6% → could trigger a short-term bearish pullback Key Risk Level: A confirmed break below 22,905 would signal weakness and open the door for a correction toward 22,615.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nas100 Long We Currently Have an Ascending triangle (bullish continuation pattern) Forming After Asian Session & Price is consolidating just below the resistance level, forming higher lows. We Have a Clearly defined demand zone below current price (gray box), Which also marks out our Bullish Order Block Formed Yesterday Which Price Should Come Retest Before Continuing Upwards. Pro Tip for CPI Events Expect increased volatility and fakeouts within the first few minutes. Wait for a 5–15 min candle close for confirmation before entry. Use lower timeframes (1m–5m) for entries, but keep higher timeframe structure in mind. Remember To Like & Subscribe For More A+ Setups✅
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by JamaicanLNS
NAS100 Forecast 24HAs of Tuesday, July 15, 2025, 2:03:11 AM UTC+4 the forecast for US100 (Nasdaq 100) in the next 24 hours presents a mixed outlook, with underlying bullish sentiment but caution due to ongoing market dynamics and potential for short-term pullbacks. Factors Contributing to a Bullish Bias: Underlying Strength and Breakout Behavior: Despite some short-term bearish technical signals, the Nasdaq is described as being in "breakout mode," decisively overriding key levels. This suggests underlying bullish momentum. AI as a Growth Driver: Artificial intelligence (AI) remains a primary growth driver for the US economy and the technology sector, which heavily influences the Nasdaq 100. Confidence in secular tailwinds like cloud computing and semiconductor demand also persists . Temporary US Dollar Weakness: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently in a retracement phase, pulling back after strength. A weaker dollar can provide a relief rally for risk assets like the Nasdaq, making US tech stocks more attractive to international investors. Potential for Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: While no rate cuts are expected over the summer, a rate cut is considered likely in September. Historically, phases of moderate interest rate cuts in the absence of a recession have been positive for the US stock market. "Buy on Dip" Mentality: Some analyses suggest that any short-term declines could be viewed as buying opportunities, indicating an underlying positive sentiment among investors. Strong Earnings Expectations (for some tech): Despite general market concerns, some technology companies associated with AI innovation are expected to perform well, contributing positively to the index. Factors Suggesting Caution and Potential for Bearish Movement/Volatility: Escalating Trade Tensions (Trump's Tariffs): President Trump's continued aggressive protectionist stance and new tariff threats (e.g., against Canada) are a significant risk. These can create uncertainty, weigh on corporate profits, and lead to market volatility. This is frequently cited as the main risk for US indices. Short-Term Technical Bearishness: Some technical analyses indicate a high chance of bearish candle closures across various timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly) , and some traders are eyeing selling opportunities from specific resistance zones (e.g., around 22,800-22,869). Overvalued Growth Stocks: Following a recent rally, US stocks, particularly growth stocks, are trading at a premium to fair value. This can limit upside potential and make the market more susceptible to corrections if tariff negotiations falter or earnings guidance disappoints. Market Seasonality: As we move into the latter half of July, market seasonality can shift from bullish to a more bearish stance. Earnings Season and "Sell on the News" : While major financial institutions are kicking off Q2 earnings season, there's a potential for a "sell on the news" response, even if earnings aren't particularly bad, given the strong rally stocks have already staged. Mixed Global Signals: European markets showing mixed performance and pressure from US futures suggest cautious global risk sentiment, which could cap upside for the Nasdaq. Unfilled Stock Imbalances: Some technical analysis points to an unfilled stock imbalance around 22,300, which could act as a reaction point if the price pulls back. Key Levels to Watch (Approximate): Support: 22,600, 22,300 (unfilled imbalance), 21,611 (resistance-turned-support), 20,673 (Fibonacci extension and prior high). Resistance: 22,800, 22,869, 23,000-23,100 (potential re-entry targets for rally continuation), 25,000-25,100 (approximate imbalance level to be filled). In conclusion, for the next 24 hours, the US100 is likely to face a battle between underlying bullish momentum driven by AI and potential Fed policy, and the immediate headwinds of escalating trade tensions and some short-term technical bearishness. Traders should be prepared for volatility and quick shifts in sentiment based on news flow, particularly regarding trade and upcoming earnings reports. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
NAS100/US100 Short Swing Trade for week Risking 1% to make 2%PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 / CAPITALCOM:US100 Short trade for week - its swing trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly. This is good trade, don't overload your risk like greedy, be disciplined trader, this is good trade. Use proper risk management Looks like good trade. Lets monitor. Use proper risk management. Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by MuhammadTrades
2
NASDAQ Is looking for a massive break-out to 24000!Nasdaq (NDX) is most likely taking advantage of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support and after hitting it, it appears that the price will look for a way above the Parabola. This might be similar to what took place after the May 07 test of the 4H MA50. The price broke above that parabolic pattern and peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are looking for 24000 as a potential Target in the next 2 weeks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
1
NASDAQ At Good Res , Is It A Chance To Sell To Get 200 Pips ?Here is my 4H Nasdaq Chart and my opinion is the price at very interesting selling area for me , this Res Area forced the prices to go down 2 times and i think this third time will be the best one , so i`m waiting the price to go up a little to retest the res one more time and then we can enter a sell trade and targeting from 100 to 200 pips . the only reason to cancel this idea if we have a clear daily closure above my res area .
FX:NAS100Short
by FX_Elite_Club
NASDAQ at Risk – Tariffs Pressure Tech IndexUSNAS100 – Market Outlook The index is currently in a sensitive zone, heavily influenced by ongoing tariff tensions. If the current geopolitical pressure continues, it may fuel bearish momentum across the tech-heavy index. To regain a bullish outlook, we need to see signs of negotiation or de-escalation, which could stabilize the price and lead it toward 23010 and 23170. However, as of today, the market appears to be setting up for a correction, potentially dipping to 22815, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting 22420. Support Levels: 22615 – 22420 Resistance Levels: 22905 – 23010
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
US100 (Nasdaq 100) - Future Outlook (as of mid-July 2025)The US100, which is heavily concentrated in technology and growth companies, has been a significant driver of overall market performance in recent times. Its future trajectory is intricately linked to a combination of macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and evolving technological narratives. Key Factors Shaping the Outlook: Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics: Cooling Inflation: If inflation continues to moderate (as indicated by CPI, PCE, and other economic data), central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve, will have more flexibility to consider easing monetary policy. Interest Rate Expectations: Lower interest rates are generally a boon for growth stocks. They reduce the cost of borrowing for companies and increase the present value of their future earnings, which makes their (often higher) valuations more palatable. Conversely, any resurgence in inflation that forces a "higher for longer" interest rate stance could put significant downward pressure on the US100. As of mid-2025, the market has largely priced in the expectation of potential rate cuts later in 2025 or early 2026, but this remains highly data-dependent and subject to change with each new economic report. C orporate Earnings and AI Enthusiasm: Tech Earnings Season: The performance of the major tech titans within the Nasdaq 100 (e.g., Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Tesla) during their quarterly earnings reports will be critical. Continued strong earnings beats, particularly from companies that are leading the charge in Artificial Intelligence (AI), will reinforce investor confidence and support higher valuations. Artificial Intelligence (AI) Narrative: The intense excitement and significant investment surrounding AI remain a powerful tailwind for the US100. Companies demonstrating clear pathways to monetize AI, or those establishing dominant positions in AI infrastructure and applications, are likely to continue seeing robust performance. However, any signs of the AI narrative losing steam, or a perception of an AI "bubble," could trigger profit-taking or a broader market correction. Economic Growth and Consumer Behavior: U.S. Economic Health: A resilient U.S. economy, characterized by healthy GDP growth and a strong labor market, provides a conducive environment for corporate revenues. A "soft landing" scenario (where inflation is tamed without triggering a recession) is the most favorable outcome for the US100. Consumer Spending: Strong consumer confidence and sustained spending directly benefit sectors like e-commerce, software services, and consumer electronics, which are heavily represented in the Nasdaq 100. Valuation Considerations: While many Nasdaq 100 companies have delivered impressive earnings growth, their valuations (e.g., P/E ratios) are, for some, elevated compared to historical averages. This implies that there might be less margin for error in future earnings reports or unexpected shifts in the economic landscape. A "valuation reset" could occur if growth projections fail to materialize or if interest rates remain higher than currently anticipated. Geopolitical and Global Factors: Global Trade & Geopolitics: Ongoing global trade dynamics, geopolitical tensions (e.g., US-China relations, regional conflicts), and potential supply chain disruptions can introduce unforeseen volatility and impact global economic growth, which, in turn, affects the predominantly international-facing tech sector. Overall Future Outlook (from a mid-July 2025 perspective): The US100's future outlook appears cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by the enduring strength of underlying technology trends and the transformative potential of AI. The index has demonstrated remarkable resilience and continues to be favored by growth-oriented investors. Upside Potential: Could be fueled by sustained strong earnings from its tech giants, especially those leading in AI, coupled with clear indications of forthcoming interest rate cuts. Downside Risks: The index remains highly susceptible to shifts in interest rate expectations (e.g., if inflation proves stickier than anticipated), any disappointments in high-profile tech earnings, or a broader economic downturn. Given its concentration in high-growth, high-beta stocks, the US100 is prone to more significant fluctuations in both upward and downward market moves compared to broader, more diversified indices. Investors and traders will be closely monitoring key economic data (inflation, employment), central bank communications, and the performance of bellwether tech companies for crucial clues about the index's direction. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by shoonya0000
2
NAS100 Nasdaq Range-Bound: What Traders Should Watch Next US100I'm currently keeping a close eye on the Nasdaq 🧠📊, which is trading within a range-bound structure 📉📈. While we’re seeing some bullish momentum on the NAS100 4-hour chart today ⏱️📈, it’s nothing particularly strong or decisive just yet. I’m waiting for a clear break 🔓 either above or below this current range before considering any trading opportunities 🎯. In this US100 chart 🖼️, I’ve highlighted key components such as price action, market structure, the prevailing trend, and other important elements of technical analysis 🧩📐. ⚠️ Please remember: this is a market analysis and reflects my personal opinion — not a trade recommendation. Always do your own due diligence 🕵️‍♂️ before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
NASDAQ - Long Bias explanation and Entry/SL/TP ideasTrend : NASDAQ is in a strong uptrend at the moment Retail : Majority have a BEARISH sentiment on this pair Institutions : Increase in week over week holdings Structures : No structures as we are at highs so targeting recent formed high + round number above makes sense Price action : Sitting on a support shelf at the moment Targets : Recent high + level at round number (23000) Stops : Many options to place stops below Entries : Positive bounce at current level, decent entry zone but further possible entry levels sit below too If trading on a shorter timeframe, perhaps the gap fill is a good point to take the trade off the table. Targeting higher than 23 might be dangerous as we are playing around at ATHs
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Gamblers-Fallacy
NAS100 Setup Locked In — Ride the Drop from the Order Block!Hey Guys, I'm planning a sell trade on the NAS100 index from a designated order block. Once price reaches the sell zone, the position will be activated. 📍 Trade Details: - 🟢 Entry Level: 22,869 - 🔴 Stop Loss: 22,930 - 🎯 TP1 – First Target: 22,839 - 🎯 TP2 – Second Target: 22,794 - 🎯 TP3 – Final Target: 22,671 📐 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 3.24 Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently. Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
OANDA:NAS100USD
by TraderTilki
10
NASDAQ - Bullish BiasHTF Overview: 4H shows strong bullish intent with momentum driving price higher. Clear upside direction supported by sustained breaks in structure. Liquidity Note: Noticed a key liquidity zone beneath current price (marked in blue). Although deeper mitigation was possible, price remained bullish. MTF Refinement (30M): Dropped to the 30M for structural clarity and saw an earlier reaction. A bullish OB was formed and respected — now monitoring it for a potential mitigation. LTF Execution Plan: If the 30M OB is revisited, I’ll be looking to the 1M/5M for confirmation (CHoCH or BOS) before executing long positions. Mindset: Momentum is with the bulls — just waiting for smart money to confirm their next move. Bless Trading!
IG:NASDAQLong
by Juicemannn