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Nasdaq 100 breaks above 200MA: is the bull market back?The Nasdaq 100 is once again trading above its 200-day moving average after spending 64 days below it. Breaks like this often signal major moves ahead. Watch the video to learn more. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by ThinkMarkets
US 100 - Could The Recovery Continue?A press conference yesterday morning led by US Treasury Secretary Bessant and Trade representative Greer outlined a positive conclusion to the first round of trade talks between the US and China. The news grabbing headline was a 90 day reduction in combined US levies on Chinese imports being reduced from 145% to 30% and Chinese duties on US goods dropping from 125% to 10%. This announcement put a further squeeze on weak short equity positions, and gave fresh impetus to the bulls, helping to fuel a 4% rally in the US 100, taking it above some interesting technical levels (more on this below). Now, with a framework in place for further talks between the world’s two biggest economies, representatives from the two countries have 90 days to work towards a broader agreement. However, US Treasury secretary Bessant did say that there may be a chance to extend the tariff reduction for a longer period if there is good faith, engagement and constructive dialog to keep moving forward. A slight caveat which outlines the huge amount of negotiation and focus that needs to be maintained from both sides to finalise a more long term agreement. While traders may still be focused on trade negotiations and potential trade deal updates with allies across the rest of this week, there is also some economic data to focus on. The latest US inflation reading in the form of CPI is due out later today at 1330 BST, where any deviation from market expectations may either add further buying momentum to the recent move higher, or give traders a reason to take profits against some potentially important technical levels. Technical Update: Breakout From the Late March Highs With a positive reaction to the US/China trade talks seen in US equities, the US 100 index has posted its highest closing level since February 26th 2025, as price strength has continued to emerge from the capitulation to 16290 on April 7th. Traders are possibly now viewing the ability of the index to close above 20871, the March 25th session high, as something that may lead to a more sustained period of price strength. Of course, a break of a previous price high isn’t always a guaranteed signal of price strength, but with the constructive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows in place since the April 7th low (16290), the question may now be asked, what are the next potential resistance levels to current strength? Potential Resistance Levels: Having seen a new recovery price high for the current phase of strength posted on Monday at 20914, traders may now be viewing this level as a possible first resistance, and how this level is defended on a closing basis could be important. However, following the latest price strength, if closes above this 20914 high were to materialise, traders might then shift their focus to 22226, which is the February 18th all-time high, as the next possible resistance area. Potential Support Levels: Of course, much depends on future market sentiment and price trends, and we know price strength can quickly fail, even reverse back to the downside. So, we must be aware of possible support levels that if broken, may see risks to turn towards potential of declines. A support focus might now be half of the latest price strength seen from last week’s low, which stands at 20252. If this level gives way, a deeper decline might then be on the cards back towards 19627, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April to May 2025 strength. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100USD: Rejection Block & Breaker Converge for Sell SetupMarket Context: In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we note that although the market has been trading within bullish institutional order flow, current price action is presenting multiple signs that a bearish reversal may be underway. Institutional behavior appears to have shifted, particularly after liquidity was swept and price began to respect resistance zones. Key Observations: Premium Buy Stop Sweep: Price action swept the swing high rather than breaking it cleanly, indicating a stop raid. This is a common smart money tactic used to engage with buy stop liquidity in premium pricing before reversing. Rejection Block Formation: A sharp rejection followed the liquidity sweep, leaving behind a Rejection Block—a powerful institutional resistance zone. This suggests the institutions placed sell orders against willing buyers and are defending this level. Market Structure Shift: We observe a break in internal structure to the downside, further confirming that the prior bullish order flow may now be transitioning into a bearish phase. Breaker Block Retest: Price has retraced into a Breaker Block, where institutions typically revisit prior zones of buying to mitigate exposure and initiate new sell positions. This zone is reinforced by alignment with the previous buy stop sweep, providing a high-value confluence area for short opportunities. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Await confirmation within the breaker on the lower timeframes. Once confirmed, these zones offer a strong institutional case for short positioning. Targets: Focus on discount liquidity pools as the primary objective. Selling from premium levels with the intention of targeting undervalued zones mirrors institutional execution models. Stay aligned with smart money behavior—observe, confirm, and act with precision. Happy Trading! The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 20,336.30 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 19,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 21,500.25 which is a pulback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Long
by Tradu
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 20,780 Value Area Low (VAL): 20,020 Point of Control (POC): Recent: 20,066.23 Historical: 19,824.71 High-volume nodes: Dense volume around 19,820–20,070 suggests strong accumulation Low-volume gaps: 20,200–20,400 and 20,600–20,780 (rapid price movement zones) b) Liquidity Zones: Stops likely clustered: Below 20,070 (last breakout support) Above 20,800 (recent intraday high) Absorption zones: Near 20,066 – notable price base before rally; high delta confirms buying interest c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High: 20,808 – fresh high with slowing momentum, possible exhaustion Swing Low: 19,824.71 – firm bottom established, high volume zone pre-breakout d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Strong uptrend confirmed by consistent CVD rise and price breakout ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- – Confirmed bullish trend CVD Confirmation: Rising CVD + sustained price breakout = strong buyer demand in the rally leg 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: 20,066.23 (POC and structural breakout base) 19,824.71 (historical accumulation and value base) Resistance: 20,808 (recent high) 21,000 (psychological level + projected target zone) b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Swing Low (Gann): 19,824.71 Retracement Levels from 20,808 High: 1/2: 20,316 2/3: 20,482 (key support if price dips) 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Bullish trend established (confirmed by CVD & ADX) b) Notable Patterns: Breakout from consolidation with volume near 20,066 Parallel ascending channel forming – healthy trend structure Price currently testing upper boundary of channel – watch for breakout or pullback 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 20,320 – 20,400 (pullback into Gann retracement zone) Targets: T1: 20,808 (prior high) T2: 21,100 (channel projection + round level) Stop-Loss (SL): 20,020 (below VAL + swing low support) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: 20,800 – 20,850 (if rejection pattern forms with falling CVD) Target: T1: 20,066 (volume base) Stop-Loss (SL): 21,100 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade, based on distance from entry to SL
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth
NASDAQ Bullish Breakout Above Channel;📈 Technical Analysis Overview 1. Breakout from Downtrend Channel The price has clearly broken out of a descending channel, confirmed by a clean breakout above the upper trendline. This is a bullish signal, indicating the end of the prior downtrend and the start of a possible uptrend or reversal. 2. Moving Averages (EMA 50 & EMA 200) EMA 50 (Red): 18,965 EMA 200 (Blue): 19,409 Price is currently trading above both EMAs, which is another strong bullish indicator. A bullish crossover (where EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200) is likely imminent if upward momentum continues—this would form a Golden Cross, further confirming bullish sentiment. 3. Structure and Market Behavior After the breakout, price retested the breakout zone and showed a bounce, forming a higher low, which is characteristic of a bullish structure. The chart includes projected price action with higher highs and higher lows—suggesting a bullish continuation pattern. 4. Volume & Momentum (Not shown but implied) Breakouts are typically validated by volume. Although volume is not shown, the sharp upward movement and breakout above resistance suggest strong buying pressure. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 20,000 psychological level; above that, 20,500–21,000 may act as resistance. Support: 19,400 (near EMA 200), and 18,965 (EMA 50); a break below may invalidate the bullish setup. 📊 Conclusion The chart shows a clear breakout from a descending channel, supported by the price moving above both key EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation, especially if price holds above the 19,400–19,500 support zone. Upside targets lie around 20,500 to 21,000.
IG:NASDAQLong
by MrStellanSight
8
Nasdaq Bullish Reversal in Play !!📈 NASDAQ Outlook: Bullish Momentum Builds Up ✅ Breakout Confirmed: Price action has broken above the descending channel, signaling a reversal from the previous downtrend. 📊 EMA Crossover: The 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA (a golden cross), historically a bullish indicator. 🔼 Momentum Strong: Price is accelerating above EMAs with a steep upward trajectory, suggesting buyers are in control. 🔮 Potential Target: With sustained momentum, price could aim for the 21,000+ region in the short term. If the price sustains above the 19,500 zone, dips could be considered buying opportunities in the current bullish structure.
IG:NASDAQLong
by MrStellanSight
9
Nasdaq100/UsTech100 Higher Timeframe Analysis Here we have my view, this is my first TV idea so don't butcher me please LMAO. You can see on the chart we have had significant price moves to the upside over the past days after a huge decline in the index. This decline was mostly driven by tarrif uncertainty to my understanding, followed me a huge panic sell off which spiraled the index further down. However, with tarrifs seemingly easing and other factors driving the price increase, we will see 1 of 2 directions (Obviously). Over the last few days we have been stuck in a major key level where buyers and sellers had a great fight. We have now broken that zone to the upside. I expect the index to have some sell pressure take over at around the 21,000 area give or take some points targeting the lower zone of 20,300 area. This is where buyers had control pre tarrif implementation (21,000 PTS). Using the old saying of support becomes resistance and vice versa I expect the index to either stagnate in this zone for a while before breaking higher. Or it will simply sink back down to the lower key levels. As it currently stands, The uptrend is back in tact on a higher time frame from what I can see. I am not saying here is a great place to long but with good risk management (For swing longs) this might be the confirmation we needed (Break of zone below) to enter long posistions with an SL of 20,000 area and TP of ATH giving a positive RRR trade. I am personally a scalper hence why I do not post ideas. Usually the setup is done and dusted before I could even type it up XD. Let me know what you think of the idea, Remember this is not financial advice. I am not liable for any losses incurred if you base your trades off my idea. Remember trade what you see, not what you think.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by JohnDeMelon
5
$NAS100 / $QQQ – The 200 SMA Breakout... or Bull Trap?📈 Nasdaq just charged through the 200-day moving average like it wasn’t even there. But if you zoom out, this level has acted as a brick wall before — and we may be walking straight into a trap. 🔍 Key Observations: The last failed breakout above this zone led to a major rejection. We're back at horizontal resistance from prior tops. Price action resembles a Rope-a-dope move — run up, suck in longs, then rug pull. ⚠️ No real breakout without confirmation + volume. Don’t let the short-term green candles distract you from the macro ceiling above.
IG:NASDAQShort
by SmartSignalss
3
Silver Bullet 10am-11amPrior to previous idea shared. Setup to go long and fill FVG in 1hr-30min 930 Est. With no key level sweep, it was clear but risky as price needs to be balanced before challenging the highs or lows. As there was not clear Bearish BOS in NY. The NY low made after 930 used as sweep to enter and challenge FVG. Trade managed well, secured profits at CE of 30min FVG in NY 5min IFVG in leg of sweep + counter FVG confirming bulls stepping in wit lows being manipulated. +- 1:2 secured. Tomorrow same thing...$$$ ;)
FX:NAS100
by Johnathan_Price
NASDAQ broke above its 1D MA200 after 2 months! Target 22000.Nasdaq (NDX) broke today above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since March 06), following the U.S. - Chine trade deal. This trend-line also had the March 26 rejection under its belt, which initiated the most aggressive part of the 'Trade War' correction. The last time the index broke above its 1D MA200 on a similar pattern was when it was recovering after the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The February 01 2023 break-out produced an instant rise to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before a short-term correction to re-test the 1D MA200. As a result, we expect 22000 (1.382 Fib ext) to come as early as this week before any discussions can be made for a new pull-back. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
1
Hanzo : NAS100 15m: Bearish Confirmed After Liquidity Trap Done🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) Bias: Bearish Time Frame: 15 Min Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Liquidity Sweep 20720 🩸 Key Reasons for Entry: ☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap). ☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence. ☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure. ☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level. 🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed. 🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window Target: Next 15M demand zone / 1:3+ RR Status: trade active 👌
FX:NAS100Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NASDAQ Fall? US100 AnalysisHello everyone. We had a volatility at stock market last 2 month, it looks like market had good correction and found new buyer. BUT I DON'T THINK LIKE THAT. After MR. Trump inauguration we saw bear market signals, it was like hedge funds dumped stocks, but after strong sell new buyers came at market and show us pretty good market correction but what will be next? The last 2 months brought intense volatility post-Trump’s inauguration. Hedge funds sold off heavily (S&P 500 dropped ~8% from its December high), but buyers stepped in, pushing a 5% retracement. RSI on SPY shows oversold conditions fading, yet I’m skeptical of this bounce. Why? Bearish signals linger. VIX remains elevated (>20), and volume on up days is weaker than selloffs. Plus, geopolitics could derail this rally. Over the weekend, Ukraine and Russia discussed a 30-day ceasefire. If talks fail, the West’s new sanctions could spike oil prices (Brent crude already testing $80) and hammer energy-heavy indices like XLE or European markets (DAX). I’m watching SPY’s 200-day MA (~510) as key support. A break below could signal a deeper pullback to 480. Energy and tech (QQQ) look vulnerable if sanctions hit. What’s your take—buying this dip or bracing for more downside? Here is my 2 scene what i am expect from market, for me Scene and technical view scene 2 is more logical bur we will see what will be next step for stock market. For collaboration text me in DM!!! Always make your own research!!!
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by elmakacho
NAS100USD: Is this a False Break?Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bullish volatility, indicating that the institutional order flow remains decisively bullish. As such, our objective is to align with that momentum and seek opportunities to position ourselves accordingly. Current Market Context: Now entering the New York session, we can anticipate continued upward movement. A key technical development is the recent liquidity sweep—price action took out a set of sell stops, creating the appearance of a potential bearish break of structure. However, this movement aligns with a classic “Turtle Soup” scenario, where a false break is engineered to trap liquidity before the market resumes in its dominant direction. Institutional Insight: This sweep suggests that institutions have likely order paired against willing sellers, using their stops as entry liquidity. With that liquidity now absorbed and price rejecting lower levels, we look for bullish confirmations to join the smart money narrative. Trading Focus: We are now monitoring for lower-timeframe confirmation entries to validate bullish setups, ideally supported by institutional arrays or bullish order blocks that hold as support. Let the market reveal the footprints of smart money—our role is to read and respond with discipline. Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect