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JPN225

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JP225 trade ideas

Delusional, reflexive herd bounceDoesn't really matter what market pair you are looking at, pretty much all equities and assets are looking to make a reflexive bounce. The highlighted portion is a 200 day linear regression channel and we could make a bounce towards the middle of the channel until monetary policy changes come to fruition starting in March. The market was willing to sell on the pure notion of a policy change, it didn't even require any actual changes, with the exception of the FED buying slightly less junk. Imagine what happens when the tightening policy comes into effect in one month, and the junk buying halts. Imagine how many will be sucked back into the market only to chase their losses. It doesn't really make sense for the market to dump more here, -*even though it could*-, because the downside/upside risk:reward is pretty much equal here and it seems like the easier, short-term option is to curl towards an area of lesser resistance in order to amplify our future expectations.
TVC:NI225Long
by fringe_chartist
2
Explanation of Pivot Preference Fib Channel An example of flattening market at highs with Fibonacci Channel using High, Low, square root of High*Low, Opening Time and Price and, Closing time and two prices M1 and M4, calculated samely as in Traditional Pivots except, central Pivot = Sqrt(H)*Sqrt(L) instead of, central Pivot = (H+L+C)/3. So, Fib Channel starts at Open Price & Time, and if Bullish then it goes to { - }/2 and if Bearish then to, { - }/2 The r.lambda, or Pivot Preference, in such an interpretation, (DISCLAIMER: just understanding, limited, mine, opinion) is Bullish if, Risk Reward for the last closed duration(period) was favorable for Buyers. Knowing whether you(as a participant) are Bullish or Bearish is important, as well as what kind of participant you are, as well, i.e. maker or taker. In any respect, this was a video with a Nikkei, and part of a pivot preference circle
TVC:NI225
by AlexGo
NI225, Elliott wave analysis■Outlook of NI225(NIKKEI) on 1M chart. I think that we are on sub-wave (1) of wave Ⅴ on the Upper Degree shown as Blue-line. Sub-waves of WaveⅤare Red-line. Probably, The sub-waves of "wave Ⅴ" will be "Impulse". Sub-wave (1) of waveⅤ looks like completed because of sub-wave 5 of wave (1) broken acceleration channel line. The trend will switch to a down-trend. Next is wave(2). It probably is a big retrace. probably DJI will crash, and Nikkei will be linkage to DJI. If you want to know more, read my idea about DJI. If the assumption is correct, the target of wave (2) is as follows. 1. 38.2% Fibo levels of wave (1), 17,500. 2. Closing price of sub-wave 4 of Wave(1), 16,400. 3. Closing price of sub-wave ⅳ of Wave4, 14,800. 4. 61.8% Fibo levels of wave (1), 12,300. 5. Resistance line touch, 11,185. In this scenario, the stop loss level is 30,715. ■Outlook of DJI(Dow),3Days-6months, Dec 19, 2021 idea. ■Outlook of DJI(Dow),1Day, Dec 25, 2021 idea.
TVC:NI225Short
by EWA-tokyo