Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
USTEC trade ideas
NASDAQ at Weekly Supply Zone – Bearish Breakdown Ahead? (READ)By examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading within the supply zone around 21,400. If it manages to close and stabilize below 21,100, we can expect further downside for this index. The potential bearish targets are 21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150. The key supply zone ranges from 21,400 to 22,200.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US100 - Triple Top Formation (Bearish Setup Active)he US100 on the 4H chart has formed a classic Triple Top pattern, indicating potential trend exhaustion and a bearish reversal setup. The price has tested the resistance zone three times near 21,600 without breaking higher, and a neckline breakdown may trigger further downside.
🔹 Pattern: Triple Top
🔹 Trend Context: Uptrend showing signs of weakening
🔹 Bearish Target: Near 19,600 - 19,800 zone
🔹 Confirmation: Watch for a breakdown below 20,750 (neckline support)
Trade Idea Active – Bearish bias with caution on invalidation if new highs are made. 📉⚠️
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US100 – Short Setup Active After Rejection from Resistance ZoneThe US100 on the 30-min chart is showing signs of bearish rejection near the 21,550 resistance zone after a sharp intraday rally. Price has failed to hold above the Ichimoku cloud and is now entering a short bias setup, targeting the lower support area.
🔹 Technical Context:
Rejection at resistance (21,550)
Bearish candle forming below cloud top
Intraday downtrend potential toward 21,200 – 21,180
🔹 Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: ~21,445
Target: 21,200 – 21,180
Invalidation: Above 21,560
Momentum is weakening, and a breakdown may trigger further downside. Short trade active with risk-managed levels. 📉🧭
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Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21450
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21365
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
NAS100 at Risk of Breaking Lower Amid Mixed Signals and End-of-MThe NAS100 is showing signs of weakness, with a clear daily pinbar candle signaling potential downside reversal. After a strong rally, the index appears overextended and vulnerable to a technical retracement. End-of-month profit-taking is likely adding pressure, as traders lock in gains and rebalance portfolios.
Uncertainty around reciprocal tariffs is also weighing on sentiment. Comments from U.S. officials, including Bessent, emphasize the need for renewed dialogue with China—highlighting unresolved tensions that could escalate. These trade concerns are surfacing just as the market is priced for optimism, increasing the risk of a pullback.
From a technical perspective, the daily pinbar near recent highs indicates a rejection of upward momentum. If confirmed with a break below the recent low, a move toward 20,400 or even the 50-day moving average could follow.
Seasonal flows and shifting sentiment may further limit upside in the short term. Any risk-off tone from global headlines or softer macro data could accelerate the move lower. Until the index clears resistance with conviction, the bias may now tilt to the downside. Traders should watch for follow-through signals and consider tightening stops.
NASDAQ Will the 4H MA100 come to the rescue?Nasdaq (NDX) is trading within a 3-week Channel Up, which is currently supported by the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). In fact, the price is being squeezed in the last three 4H candles within the 4H MA100 and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This tight compression technically tends to cause violent break-outs either way. As long as the Channel Up holds, we expect that to be upwards and it should be confirmed by the formation of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross.
With the last two major rallies being around +9.50%, we expect to see 22500 on the next Leg Up.
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NASDAQ: Initiated bullish wave to 22,150.Nasdaq remains heavily bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.266, MACD = 427.500, ADX = 25.384) and just formed a 4H MACD Bullish Cross. This validates the extension of the current Bullish Wave, second inside the short term Channel Up. We anticipate again a +5.40% rise, TP = 22,150.
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NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument...Part 38The last ATH was signaled on February 25, 2025 at exactly 3:00 am EST...(Back Test and see the M1 chart)
Since that time the market has started to make LH's LL on the smaller timeframes in order to create the next HL on the largest active timeframe.
For almost 2 months, the market entered into a deep and hard retracement with many doomsday fanatics aiming at becoming the next phenomenon in trading predictions, trying to suggest that this is the beginning of the greatest drop the NAS100 and other instruments will ever see.
I have always maintained and I stand even more firmly on the fact that any sells you see in the markets are only temporary retracements toward another HL and that the market has always and will only make HL's to HH's.
Fast forward to April 6, 2025 at 7:10 (Back Test and see the M1 chart) pm the market hit it's largest HL point. Since that time...the market has started to make HL's to HH's on your small to medium timeframes while still keeping the largest HL created on the monthly intact.
The H4 time frame you will see is now signaling the first round of HL's to HH's a solid confirmation that the market is finally breaking out of it's retracement phase and back to resume it's usual trend.
Another key factor to note is that last weeks highest point is only approximately 4,000 pips from the ATH and if you have been tracking the NAS100 you should have noticed that every week that number is getting smaller and smaller and it will only be a matter of time for that to be broken again.
With that being said, my strategy still remains the same...
1. Enter on my largest HL and trade to my HH's
2. In the event that there is still consolidation in the markets with LH's being created on the
medium timeframes, I simply TP and wait for another setup.
Even with Friday's frenzy created by emotional traders reacting Trump and his circus show, the markets still held their own and still closed above the low of every single week since April 6, 2025.
What this means is that the ATH will be broken very soon and it just requires patience and a dedication to the strategy to ensure that it is followed to the last detail.
I say without apology...
All highs on the NAS100 are guaranteed to be broken
The NAS100 trades only HL's to HH's and that is a guaranteed fact
So trade wisely...
Trade smartly...
Manage your risk...
Happy Trading...
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
SELL NAS 100! TRADE WHAT YOU SEE NOT WHAT YOU FEELSell confirmations on 1 HR TF
1. Fair Value Gap retracement
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. If TL broken, another confirmation of a sell.
Basic trading, no stress, no complications - trade what you see and not what you feel.
Take Profit level - I am holding until Friday, but you can take profit if the money makes you smile.
nasdaq : waiting for take the sell stopsThere’s an FVG on the 4H timeframe in Nasdaq,
which indicates strong momentum—likely aiming to hunt some lows.
If the price takes out the specific low I’ve marked,
I’ll watch how the candles react around that area.
If the reaction isn’t strong,
then I’ll start considering a bullish scenario
and look for a potential long setup.
SELLING NAS100 TODAY!Sell confirmations on 1 HR TF
1. Fair Value Gap retracement
2. Double top aligned with Fair Value Gap
3. If TL broken, another confirmation of a sell.
Basic trading, no stress, no complications - trade what you see and not what you feel.
Take Profit level - I am holding until Friday, but you can take profit if the money makes you smile.
USNAS100 – Bullish Scenario Valid Above 21640, Targeting 21920USNAS100 | Technical Analysis
The price initiated a bullish trend after breaking above 21470, as previously mentioned. It is now continuing toward the target at 21770.
Currently, price is approaching the resistance at 21775.
If it fails to break above and stabilizes below 21775, we may see a consolidation within the range of 21775–21640.
🔺 A 1H close above 21775 may trigger a continued bullish move toward 21920 and 22100.
🔻 A 1H close below 21640 could lead to a correction down to 21475.
Resistance: 21775, 21920, 22100
Support: 21640, 21510, 21370
US100 Not yet ready for ATH - Structural BreakdownHere’s a detailed breakdown of the US Tech 100 - NASDAQ on the daily chart and why a lift off to ATHs may not be in play just yet.
✅ Key imbalance zones mapped out
🔻 Expecting downside clean-up before upside continuation
📊 FVGs & inefficiencies stacked below = high-probability revisit zones
If you’re trading NASDAQ, this map could be your cheat sheet before price makes its real move.
The market is respecting the ascending channel, but I’m expecting a cleanup of inefficiencies stacked below before any major continuation. Keep an eye on the key zones marked — price may revisit these areas for liquidity.
📉 Possible short-term correction
📈 Bias still bullish, but not without some pain first
Happy Trading !
Hanzo / Nas100 15 Min Path ( Confirmed Break Out Zones )🔥 NAS100 – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break : 21310
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 21125
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
US100 - Bullish Momentum Favors Upside ContinuationThe US Tech 100 is displaying strong bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the critical resistance level at 20,659.8, which had previously acted as a significant barrier. Currently trading at 21,316 the index has demonstrated impressive upward trajectory following what appears to be a healthy consolidation phase around the key resistance-turned-support zone. The technical setup strongly favors continuation to the upside as the higher probability scenario, with the breakout above 20,659.8 potentially opening the door for further gains toward higher resistance levels. However, prudent risk management suggests taking this rally piece by piece, monitoring how price action develops at each significant level while watching for any signs of exhaustion or pullback that might offer better entry opportunities. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the index maintains its position above the former resistance level, which should now serve as dynamic support for any potential retracements.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market.
The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels.
Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
USTECUSTEC price is near the resistance zone 21776-22139. If the price cannot break through the 22139 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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