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USTEC trade ideas

US100 - Liquidity sweep above the ATHIntroduction The US100 has been exhibiting a strong upward trend on the daily timeframe ever since the sharp correction in early April. This sustained bullish momentum culminated in a break above the previous all-time high (ATH) earlier today. However, this breakout may not be entirely convincing just yet, as there are signs of a potential short-term reversal. The move above the ATH could represent a liquidity sweep, where price action briefly pushes past a key level before retracing, possibly trapping late buyers. Liquidity Sweep On the daily chart, the US100 did succeed in breaching the previous ATH, but the breakout appears to have been short-lived. Price quickly reversed after the new high was printed, leaving behind only a wick above the ATH. This type of price action forms what is commonly referred to as a swing failure pattern, a scenario where the market tests liquidity above a key level before turning back down. Such a pattern often signals upcoming weakness, especially when the breakout lacks strong follow-through or volume support. 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) During the most recent leg up, the US100 left behind an unfilled fair value gap (FVG) on the 4-hour timeframe. This imbalance zone, created when price moves too quickly in one direction without enough time for buyers and sellers to match orders evenly, often acts as a magnet for price to return to. In the context of the current market structure, this 4H FVG could provide a meaningful support level if the index does experience a pullback. Should the index find support here and show signs of renewed buying interest, the broader uptrend is likely to continue. However, if this zone fails to hold, we may see a deeper retracement toward lower support levels. Conclusion While the US100 remains in a strong and well-defined uptrend on the higher timeframes, the recent price action above the ATH introduces the possibility of a short-term pullback. The appearance of a swing failure pattern and the presence of an untested 4H FVG suggest that some corrective movement could unfold in the near term. That said, the FVG presents a key area to watch for bullish continuation. If buyers step in at this imbalance zone, the index could resume its upward trajectory, reaffirming the strength of the current trend. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Youriverse
31
NASDAQ Long-term looks brighter than ever!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a massive Channel Up since the bottom of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis and during the April 07 2025 bottom, a very distinct bullish signal emerged. The index hit its 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 2023. As you can see, since the 2008 Crisis, every time the market rebounded after hitting the 3W MA50, it posted a rise of at least +62.06% before the next time it touched it (and that was on the highly irregular COVID crash). As a result, we expect to see NDX hit at least 26500 (+62.06%) before a new 3W MA50 test. Chances are we see the market move much higher though. Note also the incredible bounce it made on the 3W RSI 14-year Support Zone. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
9
USNAS100 Eyes New ATH as Fed Rate Cut Bets &Ceasefire Fuel Rally USNAS100 OVERVIEW Wall Street Gains as Rate Cut Hopes and Ceasefire Boost Sentiment U.S. indices surged on Monday as growing expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in July helped offset market concerns over Middle East tensions. The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran further eased geopolitical risk, supporting bullish momentum on Wall Street. Forward Outlook: A combination of dovish monetary policy expectations and geopolitical de-escalation continues to support upside potential in U.S. equities. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – (USNAS100) The price has stabilized above 22,090, signaling strength and opening the path toward a new All-Time High (ATH) and beyond. As long as the price holds above 22,090, the bullish trend remains in control. A break and stabilization below 22,090 would suggest a bearish correction may be underway. Resistance Levels: 22,210 → 22,280 → 22,460 Support Levels: 21,930 → 21,850
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SroshMayi
13
USNAS100 Technical Setup: Watching 21635 and 21835 LevelsUSNAS100 – Technical Outlook The price has stabilized above the key pivot level at 21635, indicating potential short-term upside toward the resistance at 21835. However, as long as the price trades below 21835, the broader bias remains bearish. A confirmed 1H close below 21635 would reintroduce downside pressure, targeting 21470 and potentially extending toward 21375 and 21250. Pivot Level: 21635 Support: 21470, 21375, 21250 Resistance: 21835, 21930, 22090 previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
9
The "True Close" Institutions Don't Talk About — But Trade On█ My Story from the Inside I worked at a hedge fund in Europe, where I served as a Risk Advisor. One thing I never expected before joining the institutional side of the market was this: They didn’t treat the current day’s close as the "true" close of the market. Instead, they looked at the first hour of the next day — once all pending flows had settled, rebalancing was done, and execution dust had cleared — that was the true close in their eyes. Here’s why that changed everything I knew about trading: █ Institutional Reality vs Retail Fantasy ⚪ Retail traders are taught: “The daily close is the most important price of the day.” But institutions operate under constraints that most retail traders are never exposed to: Orders too large to fill before the bell Internal compliance and execution delays Batch algorithms and VWAP/TWAP systems that extend into the next session So while the market might close on paper at 17:30 CET, the real trading — the stuff that matters to funds — might not wrap up until 09:30 or 10:00 the next morning. Although the official “close” prints here, institutional volume ends quickly. It drops off sharply, almost immediately. Once the books are closed and final prints are done, big players exit — and what's left is thin, passive flow or noise. The first hour of the New York session reveals structured flows, not random volatility. This is where institutions finalize yesterday’s unfinished business, which is why many consider this the “true” close. And that’s the price risk managers, portfolio managers, and execution teams internally treat as the reference point. █ Example: The Rebalance Spillover Let’s say a fund needs to offload €100 million worth of tech stocks before month-end. They start into the close, but liquidity is thin. Slippage mounts. They pause execution. Next morning, their algo resumes — quietly but aggressively — in the first 30 minutes of trade. You see a sharp spike. Then a reversal. Then another surge. That’s not noise. That’s structure. It’s the result of unfinished business from yesterday. █ Why the First Hour is a War Zone You’ve probably seen it: Prices whip back and forth at the open Yesterday’s key levels are revisited, sometimes violently Big moves happen without any overnight news Here’s what’s happening under the hood: Rebalancing spillovers from the day before Late-position adjustments from inflows/outflows Risk parity or vol-targeting models triggering trades based on overnight data The market’s not reacting to fresh news — it’s completing its old to-do list. █ What the Research Really Says About Morning Volatility The idea that "the true close happens the next morning" isn’t just insider intuition — it’s backed by market microstructure research that highlights how institutional behaviors disrupt the clean narrative of the official close. Here’s what the literature reveals: █ Heston, Korajczyk & Sadka (2010) Their study on intraday return patterns shows that returns continue at predictable 30-minute intervals, especially around the open. The key driver? Institutional order flow imbalances. When big funds can’t complete trades at the close, they spill into the next session, creating mechanical, non-informational momentum during the first hour. These delayed executions are visible as persistent price drifts after the open, not random volatility. █ Wei Li & Steven Wang (SSRN 2010) This paper dives into the asymmetric impact of institutional trades. It shows that when institutions are forced to adjust positions — often due to risk limits, inflows/outflows, or model-based triggers — the market reacts most violently in the early hours of the day. When funds lag behind the clock, the next morning becomes a catch-up window, and price volatility spikes accordingly. █ Lars Nordén (Doctoral Thesis, Swedish Stock Exchange) In his microstructure research, Nordén found that the variance of returns is highest in the early part of the session, not at the close. This is especially true on days following macro events or at the end/start of reporting periods. The data implies that institutions “price in” what they couldn’t execute the day before, making the next morning more informative than the actual close. █ Bottom Line from the Research: The first hour isn’t wild because it’s full of emotion. It’s wild because it’s full of unfinished business. These studies reinforce that price discovery is a rolling process, and for institutional flows, the official close is just a checkpoint, not a final destination. █ How to Use This as a Trader ⚪ Don't assume the official close is final Treat it as a temporary bookmark. Watch what happens in the first hour of the next day — that’s when intentions are revealed. ⚪ Volume in the first 30–60 minutes matters It’s not noise — it’s flow completion. Often non-price-sensitive. Often mechanical. ⚪ Design strategies around “true close” logic Test fade setups after the first hour’s range is established. That’s often the real “settled” level. ⚪ Use the first-hour VWAP or midpoint as a reference Institutions may anchor to that — not the official close — for mean reversion or risk metrics. █ Final Thought The first hour is not the start of something new. It’s the conclusion of yesterday’s market. And unless you understand how institutions truly close their books — and how long that takes — you’ll always be a step behind. So next time you see chaos at the open, stop calling it random. 👉 It’s just the market putting yesterday to bed — late. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman
41
SELL-THE -RALLY :Swing trade limit Trend & Structure Broken The green up-trend line and the last swing low were breached (you saw a BOS and CHoCH). That’s your first clue that buyers have lost control. Failed Rally into Supply When price pulled back up, it stalled under the old swing high / “equilibrium” zone. It never made a fresh higher high—so there’s no reason to chase longs. Entry (Blue @ ~21,689) 🔵🚀 After price broke the rising trendline and the last swing low, it rolled back up into the equilibrium/supply area. That gives you a “sell-the-rally” entry at the blue level—where late buyers and remaining shorts congregate. Stop-Loss (Red @ ~22,071) 🔴❌ Placed just above the prior swing high and the upper edge of the supply zone. If price pops above this red line, it signals the short setup has failed and bulls are back in control. Take-Profits (Greens @ ~21,448 → 21,066 → 20,718 → 20,306) 🟢🎯 These green levels are the next pockets of demand/value below: 21,448 – the minor PDL/PWL area 📉 21,066 – first major demand zone 💰 20,718 – deeper value area 📦 20,306 – unfilled gap that often attracts fast buyers ⚡ Happy trading! 👍
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by artschweizch
4
NAS100 Rejection at Trendline Resistance: Pullback ExpectedThe NAS100 (4H chart) shows a rejection near the upward sloping trendline resistance and the marked stop-loss zone around 22,335.4. After a strong bullish rally, price failed to break above the resistance and is now showing signs of a pullback. A correction toward the previous breakout zone and target level of 22,012.1 is anticipated. This move aligns with typical price behavior following a resistance rejection, offering a potential short opportunity with tight risk control.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by SILICIDE
3
Pullback before next leg up NASDAQ’s looking weak short term. We’ve seen multiple rejections from the highs, an M pattern forming on the daily, and RSI divergence creeping in on the daily — momentum is clearly fading. I already took profit around 21980. And a few small swings between the range since 3rd of June. The rally off the tariff drop was sharp, but it feels mechanical. Bulls look tired here. You can see price is stalling — pushing into the same highs but getting nowhere. Classic signs of distribution. That said, this isn’t the start of a full-blown bear market. The long-term trend remains bullish. AI investment is still piling into the U.S., tech’s still leading globally, and structurally we haven’t broken down yet. Some weakness is starting to show though. But short term, I think we see a pullback. The Fed’s still sitting on the fence with rate cuts, which is creating uncertainty. Add that to the current geopolitical tensions, and there’s enough on the table to justify a temporary risk-off move. If price breaks and closes above 21,860, I’ll reassess and potentially shift back to a bullish bias. Until then, I’m leaning short and letting price action do the talking. My key downside levels: TP1: 21,483 — scale out and protect. TP2: 21,322 — potential bounce from this area. TP3: 21,145 — structure starts to weaken. TP4: 20,894 — bears starting to control and a deeper flush, I’ll reassess bias at this level. SL @ 21850 on my second entry short Short term: pullback likely. Big picture: still bullish — but bulls need to reset before any next leg up.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by In-de-trend
1
NASDAQ Bread and Butter & Turtle Soup Example XIIaight, so im gonna break down a trade i took on nasdaq today using a setup i picked out myself from the ict concepts. just my own flavor of it, ya know before i knock out at night, i open up the charts real quick — just tryna see if there's any clean liquidity chillin’ nearby. if there aint, i shut it down and catch some solid sleep. but if there is... bingo baby this basically means i might just wake up rich tomorrow, bro. on the daily, im seeing two strong green days back to back, and right above that boom some equal highs just sitting there, begging to get run. they are even cleaner on the 1h. bias locked in. im waking up tomorrow and hunting longs, simple as that. i mark up the daily open first thing. if im lookin for longs, i wanna see some turtle soup under the open. if im hunting shorts, i need that setup above the open. thats just how i roll. if there is a swing low, trend liquidity, or some equal lows carryin over from yesterday, im locked in on those levels for turtle soup. if not, im just chillin, waitin for price to build some fresh liquidity during the day and then snatch it. in this setup, i got some leftover liquidity from yesterday plus a clean 4h fvg sittin there like a neon sign. next, i check the time. liquidity grabs usually hit during one of the killzones depends on the pair, but im watchin asia, london, or new york sessions. then i scope out if there is any news droppin around that time, especially stuff that could move the pair. no point in getting blindsided. and yeah, i always peep correlated pairs too sometimes they snitch before your chart even says a word. when all the stars and planets line up just right, that is when I drop down to the 15m and wait for a clean csd to show up. but here is the thing i dont jump in the second i see it. i wanna see price actually leave the liquidity zone. yeah, it might lower my rr a bit, but the win rate goes way up. It keeps me outta those fake-ass turtle soups that look good at first but just wanna wreck your stop. once im in the trade, i usually try to close out half the position the same day take profits where the chance of price reversing is damn near zero. then i let the other half ride toward my target liquidity. just lettin it breathe, do its thing. thats it, peace out
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Education
by harmonik0
1
NASDAQ: Huge pivot can catapult it if broken.Nasdaq has turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.712, MACD = 377..560, ADX = 20.644) as it has been struggling to cross above a hidden trendline, the Pivot P1 that was at the start of this Bull Cycle a support and after the trade war acts now as a resistance. If broken, we anticipate a +27.84% rise at least (TP = 28,440), which may very well be an end of year target. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by InvestingScope
1
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Nas100 – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup) ⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble. 👌Bullish After Break : 21710 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. 👌Bullish After Break : 21550 Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move. ☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel ➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them. 🩸 Momentum Signature Detected: Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active. — If upward: Bullish momentum burst. — If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection. Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
3