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NASDAQ Critical level for short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) is testing a strong short-term Support Cluster, the Lower Lows trend-line and the bottom of the 1H Channel Up. Being below the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), the trend is right now neutral until one of the two levels breaks. If the index breaks above the 1H MA50, we will turn bullish again, targeting 22200 (+5.70% from the current Low, the minimum % rise in the past month). If it breaks below the Support Cluster, we will turn bearish, targeting the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 20800. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradingShot
Why NASDAQ Could Climb Higher Next Week - Key Insights: The NASDAQ is showing strong bullish momentum, with a notable 25% rally over the past month. Technical indicators, including a breakout above the 200-day moving average and a positive MACD reading, affirm upward trends. However, overbought conditions suggest potential consolidation risks in the short term. Key resistance is near 22,275, while 21,000 remains critical support. As volatility dips, traders may find opportunities, but caution is warranted around macroeconomic uncertainties. - Price Targets: - Next Week Targets (T1, T2): 21,975, 22,350 - Stop Levels (S1, S2): 21,250, 20,850 - Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has outperformed major indices, gaining 7.15% last week and posting year-to-date surges largely driven by technology stocks. The index remains above all moving averages and saw a 17% drop in the VXN, reflecting reduced market fear. Small caps, however, remain under pressure from higher borrowing costs and tighter monetary policy. - Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight strong upside potential but warn of overextended technical indicators, signaling a pullback could occur before further gains. Investors should monitor geopolitical developments, interest rate forecasts, and sector vulnerabilities, especially in technology and small caps. The NASDAQ seems poised to test 22,275 in the short term, though bearish divergences may limit gains. - News Impact: Moody's U.S. credit rating downgrade spurred after-hours volatility, which could continue to impact sentiment, mirroring reactions to Fitch’s earlier downgrade. Conversely, U.S.-China trade truce agreements have uplifted markets, benefiting tech and global equities, and reinforcing bullish trends. Positive crypto sentiment has also aided NASDAQ’s advance. Bright prospects should buoy the index next week as optimism continues in high-growth sectors.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
NAS100 - Will the Stock Market Reach Its Previous High?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the trend line is broken, I expect corrective moves, but if the index corrects towards the demand zone, we can look for further buying positions in Nasdaq with a risk-reward ratio. Maintaining this trend line will lead to a continuation of the Nasdaq upward trend. The strong rally in U.S. equities that had pushed the S&P 500 close to record highs for 2025 came to a halt on Friday, following the release of disappointing consumer sentiment data. A report from the University of Michigan revealed a drop in consumer confidence and a surge in inflation expectations to levels not seen in decades—factors that have amplified concerns about the economy’s outlook. Despite this, some analysts remain hopeful that robust corporate earnings and the temporary suspension of tariffs could provide needed support for the market. Meanwhile, rating agency Moody’s warned that U.S. federal debt is projected to climb to 134% of GDP by 2035, up from 98% in 2024. Moody’s noted that while the U.S. economy and financial system remain strong, the weakening of certain fiscal indicators has diminished the ability of these strengths to offset negative effects. According to their analysis, trade tariffs will not significantly impact long-term U.S. economic growth, and substantial changes in mandatory spending are unlikely in the near future. Although the U.S. credit rating has been downgraded, the country’s long-term domestic and foreign credit ceilings remain at AAA. However, Moody’s has revised the overall credit rating for the U.S. down from AAA to Aa1. One noteworthy detail is that since April 21, the index has seen only one negative trading day—May 9, which experienced only a slight decline. Falling Treasury yields have reduced some market risks, while Donald Trump’s trip to the Middle East has also helped ease political tensions at home. The market clearly reflects growing investor appetite for risk, though the possibility of a correction at these levels remains real. Looking ahead to this week, traders will closely monitor preliminary purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data for May on Thursday. They will also pay attention to speeches from several Federal Reserve officials to gauge whether the Fed remains focused on economic growth or has shifted more attention to inflation, especially in light of recent U.S.-China trade agreements. A rise in PMI figures may suggest that business sentiment has improved since tensions eased between the U.S. and China, but investors are also eager for clear guidance on the Fed’s next policy steps. Key speakers include John Williams (New York Fed), Raphael Bostic (Atlanta Fed), Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed), and Mary Daly (San Francisco Fed). If these officials continue to express concerns about elevated inflation risks, the U.S. dollar could continue to strengthen, as markets may price in fewer rate cuts ahead. As for the equity markets, their reaction remains uncertain. Recently, equities have risen even as expectations for rate cuts have diminished—primarily due to a reduced fear of recession following tariff adjustments. However, with recession fears now less pronounced and a growing narrative around sustained higher rates due to sticky inflation, Wall Street may pull back if Fed officials emphasize upside inflation risks. In related news, President Donald Trump harshly criticized Walmart’s pricing strategy, stating that the company should absorb the cost of tariffs rather than passing them onto consumers. In a public statement, Trump pointed out that Walmart made billions in profit last year and argued that American shoppers should not bear the burden of higher prices caused by trade tariffs. Trump also implicated China in the issue, stating that either Walmart or China should take responsibility for these added costs. He warned that both he and consumers are closely watching how Walmart handles the situation.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
NDX Be carefullWe’re currently braced for an 8–9% pullback in the Nasdaq 100 before we attempt what could prove to be a bull‑trap breakout above last cycle’s all‑time high. Historically, the ‘summer swoon’ is supported by data showing that, since 2000, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced an average decline of roughly 5–7% between June and August as institutional investors trim positions ahead of mid‑year portfolio rebalances. With selling pressure typically peaking in July—when mutual funds lock in gains for window dressing—we’re unlikely to see a committed uptrend until the back‑to‑school season around late September to early October. Even if we see a short‑lived bounce on positive headlines or better‑than‑expected earnings, the broader bias remains sideways to down until seasonal headwinds abate and real money players rotate back into large‑cap tech.
SPREADEX:NDX
by SGsauragestion
1
NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯 I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes: 📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium. 📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value. 📊 In this video, I walk you through: - The overall trend direction - Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry - Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄 ⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames! - Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason! - I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how! - You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why! - I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that! - Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart! - In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave! - Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop! - The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames! - Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart! - My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen! - My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there! -
FX:NAS100Short
by moustafa_marei
10
Nasdaq can test the key support againNasdaq had held steadily above the 200-day moving average, eliminating all losses imposed by the tariff situation. Even though the situation doesn’t look resolved right now, parameters of tech stocks are improving: breadth and strength are improving for the last month. The tech sector has been outperforming other sectors with the recovery of NVDA, TSLA, AAPL and other shares of tech giants. However, despite the local growth of optimism in the markets, the current upside rally looks as a comeback from a shocking event of “Liberation day”, but doesn’t look as an euphoria or a FOMO-event yet. Tech stocks lead the rally, and it’s possible to observe some rotation between Nasdaq and S&P 500 in the near future, with Nasdaq testing the 200-day moving average back again, as shown at the chart. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDShort
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Tariff timeline: how Trump’s shifts hit the Nasdaq 100This chart tracks key US tariff decisions and rhetoric from February to May 2025 and their direct impact on the Nasdaq 100. It highlights the sharp escalation in tariffs against China and other trade partners, followed by market volatility and brief rebounds tied to policy softening. Notable events include the April 2 national emergency, China’s retaliation, and the May 12 tariff pause deal. The Nasdaq’s movements mirror investor reactions to uncertainty, diplomatic signals, and easing measures, showing how trade policy remains a major force behind short-term equity market swings. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by ThinkMarkets
8
Nasdaq – Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Play: Breakout or Rejection?US100 is going up and reaching a critical inflection point, the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 21,500 and 21,700. This FVG is not just any level; it’s the last inefficiency left by aggressive sellers, and the market is now deciding whether to reclaim or reject it. Key Zones - Daily FVG (Supply): 21,400 – 21,600 - Major Resistance: 22,400 Trade Scenarios Bullish Continuation A clean daily close above 21,600 confirms FVG reclamation. Could trigger a momentum burst toward 22,250. Ideal play: wait for consolidation above 21,700 or breakout-retest setup. Bearish Rejection Rejection from the FVG could lead to a retracement toward 20,300, where demand and a lower imbalance reside. Look for rejection in the FVG zone. Technical Takeaways The FVG at 21,400–21,600 is acting as both a magnet and a battlefield expect volatility. The impulsive move leading here lacks a clear retest, which may increase the probability of a short-term correction. Momentum is strong, but traders should wait for confirmation not emotion. Summary The Nasdaq 100 is knocking on a daily FVG door and what happens next will set the tone for the coming weeks. Above 21,600 = bull trend continuation Rejection = short-term dip to 20,300 possible What's your take, breakout or rejection? Follow for real-time trade updates and educational charts.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Mrshazee
4
NQ: Upcoming Weekly analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Not much to update in comparison to last week analysis. - Trump deals have had the upper hand; Market took them as a relief and stocks and equities are crumbs away from the pre-tariffs values. - FED has tied hands: a) On one hand, FED knows very well the negative impacts of tariffs that both prices and employment are not hit yet by them. b) On the other hand, economic data are still good which are sufficiently reasonable and rationale to cut rate. c) Latest data on Consumer Sentiment came undershoot and Inflation Expectations came overshoot which really reflect the tariff impacts. Hence, it will be very difficult for the FED to cut rates on June meeting. 2- Moody's Rating: Last Friday Moody cut United States ratings to AA1 from AAA Market will open with a Gap down. 3- Next week is relatively calm in terms of macro-economic data. We might see other Trump's deals. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: NQ Weekly candle provided a strong bullish candle. Price closed and broke out the monthly Candle (green dashed line). 1- If the opening (gap down) is below the green dashed line, the weekly close should be revised down to the opening. 2- If the opening is above the green line, the weekly close is bullish. Price should retest both the previous weekly high and low (blue lines) as a sign of Consolidation. Daily TF: The last three days show a clear exhaustion. According to the ST/MT/LT Outlook (i.e., SELL), FED no rate cut in June and Moody's rating, market might start a sell-off. That's all for this week. Wish you a green and wealthy week! (Note: This analysis reflects my view and my bias that ST/MT/LT Outlook is Sell. Someone else may argue a complete opposite narrative and it could be a correct analysis. So do your own assessment and make your own decisions!)
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 36As you all know I am eternally bullish on the NAS100... What this means is that I trade my Hl's to my HH's. Whenever there is a a hard retracement like we had over the past month, that is the time I either do the following 1. Wait or it to be over 2. Trade smaller positions to a HL (since the monthly needed the HL) 3. Or just keep testing new retracement theories so that I an expand my overall strategy. What we have seen is that since Monday April 7, we got a confirmation for the Monthly HL and sine then the market has been working itself back to another ATH. It is just a matter of patience and understanding that the market will always go back and break every single high that has been created as it continues to be eternally bullish. Understanding this concept ensures 100% success as long as proper risk management is followed and an understanding that any sells in the market are only temporary retracements towards the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said... All elements of the Auberstrategy remain in tact and working efficiently... Happy Trading #auberstrategy #aubersystem #zigzagtheory #whywewait
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
9
Reversal Target: 18,800 USD1. Price Action The price has been trending within an ascending channel. It recently touched the upper boundary of this channel and entered a resistance/support zone (marked in red at the top). The blue arrow suggests a projected breakdown from the channel. 2. Support & Target The target zone is marked around 18,800 USD, with a label and flag indicating this as a key level. This zone is also aligned with a previous consolidation area and possibly strong historical support. 3. Indicators EMAs: 50 EMA (red line): 20,762.7 200 EMA (blue line): 19,861.5 The price is currently above both EMAs, typically bullish, but divergence from the channel and potential resistance may imply an upcoming correction. RSI: Currently at 65.03, nearing overbought territory (70). The RSI shows a bearish divergence—price makes higher highs while RSI stays flat or dips slightly. 4. Implications If the price breaks below the channel and 50 EMA, a move toward 200 EMA or the marked target zone (around 18,800 USD) is likely. Traders may look for confirmation via a break of lower trendline support, a strong red candle, or declining volume before entering short.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by MrStellanSight
8