USTEC trade ideas
NAS100 at Critical SupportNAS100 is currently trading at 21,150, having completed a falling wedge breakout and now holding at a key support level. The falling wedge is typically a bullish pattern, but in this case, price action suggests a crucial test of support. If this level fails to hold, NAS100 could see significant downside momentum, potentially targeting the 19,000 level.
Technically, a breakdown below this support could confirm a bearish continuation, triggering a strong sell-off. Traders should watch for increased selling pressure and a sustained move below the support zone, which could accelerate bearish momentum. If the support holds, however, NAS100 could attempt a recovery, making this a decisive level to monitor.
Fundamentally, NAS100 remains under pressure due to concerns over Federal Reserve policy, interest rate expectations, and broader market sentiment. Any signs of prolonged high rates or weak earnings from major tech companies could fuel further downside pressure. Additionally, rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar may continue to weigh on the index.
In summary, NAS100 is at a critical support level after a falling wedge breakout, with the potential for a sharp drop if the support breaks. Traders should closely monitor price action, volume, and macroeconomic developments to confirm the next move. A break below this level could open the door for further downside toward 19,000.
NASDAQ: Broke into the 2 year Support Zone.Nasdaq has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41/199, MACD = -42.030, ADX = 30.270) as the correction that started last Thursday hit the 1D MA100. The region between the 1D MA100 and 1D MA200 is the index's 2year Support Zone and has been a buy opportunity since February 2023. With the 1D RSI also on 6month lows, the current level is low enough to be a HL on the long term Channel Up, after which rallies to the 3.5 Fibonacci extension have started. Go long, TP = 24,000.
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My NQ Long Trade Idea 26/2/2025I am long on NQ but with a very small lot size because we have NVIDIA earnings coming up and I don't want to fall a victim to the nasty spike that's about to happen.
I am going long on the NQ mainly because US stocks are well known to bounce back up. They are always likely to bounce back up than continue to fall down unless we are entering a recession and we are going through an AI bubble burst.
I believe Tariffs are some-what bullish for stocks but nothing is clear yet. I believe the FED are going to surprise us in the next few weeks with a data that will be bullish for US economy. So this could be the bottom for the next few weeks and months I am not sure whatever I say is just speculation based on what the economy is doing.
I will take the super safe trade style here. Trailing my SL whenever I enter into profit and I find a support on smaller timeframes.
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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NAS100 Update - Rally or Deeper Short?Dear Friends,
How I see it:
1Day body closed below 7 Month trend for the first time yesterday.
Fake out or Legit? To be confirmed...
At this time price is testing the trend breakout area.
If price can find more support above 21345.00, we could see a rally
to fill imbalance as indicated.
Otherwise, a potential fall to 20600.00 is possible.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Overhead pressures persistNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,391.40 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 21,650.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 20,777.93 which is a swing-low support.
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NAS100 Breakout Setup – Yesterday’s High & LowChart & Levels:
Buy Stop: Placed at the previous day’s high (see the green line on the chart).
Sell Stop: Placed at the previous day’s low (red line on the chart).
Idea & Rationale:
I’m using a simple breakout strategy that allows price action to confirm direction before I commit. If NAS100 breaks above yesterday’s high, I’ll go long, expecting bullish momentum. If it drops below yesterday’s low, I’ll go short, anticipating further downside.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss: Use recent swing highs/lows or an ATR-based buffer to avoid getting wicked out.
Take Profit: Aim for a minimum 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, adjusting as the market evolves.
Position Size: Maintain proper risk management; only risk a small percentage of your account on each trade.
Why This Setup?
Clarity: Using the previous day’s high/low is a straightforward way to spot potential breakouts.
Volatility Capture: NAS100 often makes sizable moves around session opens (especially NY). This setup attempts to catch the momentum.
Risk Control: Waiting for a breakout confirmation helps reduce false entries in choppy markets.
Key Notes:
Watch out for major news events (economic releases, tech sector earnings) that could trigger sharp moves.
Keep an eye on the overall market sentiment; if there’s a strong risk-on or risk-off environment, that can impact NAS100 direction.
NASDAQ Three conditions met for strong BUYNasdaq is trading inside a Channel Up in 2025 and today the price reached its bottom.
At the same time it marginally crossed under the MA100 (1d), making today's low the best technical buy opportunity since January 27th.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 22370 (+6.92% rise like the previous two bullish waves).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) got oversold on the same level as the Jan 27th low. Overall, an oversold RSI on Nasdaq's last 6 month price action, has been a great buy opportunity.
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