GBPAUD - Signaling Further Downside PotentialGBPAUD is forming bearish continuation patterns, signaling further downside potential.
Since May 1st, the price has been in a larger accumulation phase.
A new bearish pattern is emerging within the 2.0490 - 2.0770 range.
If the price follows the red scenario, this pattern may continue to develop more before the bearish trend resumes again.
However, a break below 2.0490 could trigger a stronger bearish wave, pushing GBPAUD lower toward key targets as shown from the scenario in blue:
🔹 Target 1: 2.0350 🔹 Target 2: 2.0150
You may find more details in the chart!
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GBPAUD trade ideas
GBP/AUD - Bullish Channel (22.05.2025)The GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 2.0961
2nd Resistance – 2.1047
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GBPAUD LongHi traders, GBPAUD Weekly and Daily market structure are trending in the same direction, and the market is going up from a monthly/weekly resistance support pivot point aera, even if the market on the 4h time frame is trending to the downside, we should still be looking to buy the market to the upside because the higher time frames are stronger. This is my own thoughts.
GBP/AUD potential long continuation May 2025Potential long position for what concern this pair.
In the last month we saw a new high set from 2020, passing the previous Covid high, taking out also the January of 2016.
However the candle close with a big wick.
For what concern the eventual targets I'm considering the wick high or the Fibonacci extension.
What’s the Next Move for GBP/AUD?
The GBP/AUD pair is trading in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows, and the current pullback is considered a corrective move within this upward trend.
The level of 2.05763 is seen as a positive support level for the pair, where a potential rebound to the upside could occur, targeting the 2.07442 level.
However, if the price falls below the 2.05110 level and closes a 4-hour candle beneath it, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, and the trend would shift from bullish to bearish.
Note:
Traders should monitor economic news and data related to the Australian dollar and the British pound, as their outcomes can significantly impact the movement of this currency pair.
GBP-AUD Double Top Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 2.0820, then
Established a double-top
Pattern and is now going
Down so we are locally
Bearish biased which
Means that we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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GBPAUD – 1H Bullish DivergenceGBPAUD – 1H Bullish Divergence at Key Support | Reversal Setup Brewing 🔁📈
Hey traders 👋
GBPAUD is flashing a clean bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe, and the location makes it even more interesting — this is happening right above a strong, previously respected support zone. That kind of confluence is where sharp intraday reversals are born.
📉 Price Action Breakdown
Price has been grinding lower, making lower lows
Meanwhile, RSI (or MACD) is making higher lows → a textbook bullish divergence
This divergence is developing right at a known support level, not floating in no man’s land
That tells us sellers are pushing price down, but they’re losing steam — and buyers may be loading up quietly.
📍 Why This Level Matters
Support has been tested multiple times in the past — clear buyer interest
The current drop lacks momentum — candles are smaller, wicks getting longer
This is often how liquidity grabs and reversals form in FX pairs like GBPAUD
🎯 Trade Setup Idea
Entry: Early entry on bullish candle confirmation, or conservative entry on a minor structure break
Stop-Loss: Just under the support low
Targets: Previous 1H swing highs / fib retracements from recent drop
Risk/Reward? Excellent — you’re buying into weakness with a clean invalidation level.
📌 GBPAUD Showing Bullish Divergence at Key Support – Will It Bounce?
Are you watching for confirmation or stepping in early? Let’s chart it out together 👇
#GBPAUD #BullishDivergence #ForexTrading #ReversalSetup #PriceAction #1HChart #SupportZone #SmartMoney #MomentumShift #TechnicalAnalysis
GBPAUD Wave Analysis: Is a Rally to 2.13677 on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders!
Can $OANDA: GBPAUD Keep the Bull Run Alive? Let’s Break It Down...
Trend Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, GBPAUD has broken out of a double bottom pattern, signaling a shift from a short-term bearish trend to a bullish one. Bullish momentum is further confirmed by price action trading above the EMA-200 line. On the higher timeframe, a falling wedge breakout pattern supports the bullish continuation scenario, aligning with the broader wave structure.
Wave Analysis
Applying Elliott Wave theory, the recent price action suggests the completion of Wave 2 around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the neckline breakout of the double bottom pattern. The potential formation of Wave 3, typically the strongest and most impulsive wave, targets 2.10265 as the first extension level with a further extension to 2.13677, calculated using Fibonacci extensions of the current bullish wave.
The outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the key stop-loss level at 2.04774, invalidating the Wave 3 setup if breached.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GBPAUD.
GBP/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2.047.
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gbpaud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBPAUD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPAUD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.0828
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.0715
My Stop Loss - 2.0895
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPAUD- h1- LONGThe price has recently broken above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a potential bullish trend.
Wave N patterns are identified, suggesting a corrective phase followed by a new upward wave, supporting a buy signal.
The price is approaching resistance levels.
The buy position could be considered with a target near the recent high of 2.11168, and a stop loss below the cloud support around 2.0691.
GBP/AUD Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan to Steal Profits!🌟 Pound vs. Aussie Heist: GBP/AUD Trading Plan 🚀💸
Hey Money Makers & Thieves! 🤑💰 Ready to pull off a master heist on the GBP/AUD Forex market? Based on 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥 blending technicals and fundamentals, here’s the plan to conquer the "Pound vs. Aussie" with a long entry strategy targeting the high-risk Red Zone. Let’s dive in! 📈🎯
Entry 📈:
The heist is live! Wait for the MA breakout at 2.10000 to strike—bullish profits are calling! 🔔
Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average for breakout entries.
Or, place buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe at the most recent swing low/high for pullback entries.
📌Pro tip: Set an alert on your chart to catch the breakout moment! 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑:
Protect your loot with a Thief SL at the recent swing low/high on the 4H timeframe (2.07400).
Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp! 🔍
Target 🎯:
Aim for 2.14400 or exit early to secure profits before the target. Don’t get greedy! 💪
Scalpers, Listen Up 👀:
Stick to the long side for quick scalps.
Big players can jump in now; smaller traders, join the swing trade robbery with a trailing SL to lock in gains. 💰
Market Outlook 💵:
GBP/AUD is riding a bullish wave, fueled by fundamentals, macro trends, COT reports, quantitative analysis, sentiment, and intermarket dynamics. Stay updated as these can shift fast! 🌎📊
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰:
Avoid new trades during news releases to dodge volatility traps.
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect running positions and secure profits. 🚫
Latest Market Data (UTC+1, May 20, 2025, 12:02 PM BST):
Forex (GBP/AUD): Current price ~2.09850 (source: financialjuice.com).
COT Report (Latest Friday, May 16, 2025):
Non-commercial long positions increased, signaling bullish sentiment among large speculators.
Net long positions rose by 5,200 contracts (source: CFTC.gov).
Commodities & Metals: Gold and oil prices stable, supporting AUD strength but GBP bolstered by UK economic data.
Indices & Crypto: No direct impact, but risk-on sentiment in global indices supports bullish GBP/AUD bias.
💖 Boost the Heist! 💥:
Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery team! 🤝 With the Thief Trading Style, we’re stealing profits daily. Stay tuned for the next heist plan! 🐱👤🚀
Happy trading, and let’s make that money! 💸🎉
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Always manage your risk and stay informed.
GBPAUDGBP/AUD Interest Rate Differential and Directional Bias (May–June 2025)
Interest Rate Differential
Bank of England (BoE):
Policy rate: 4.25% (cut from 4.5% in May 2025).
Outlook: Further cuts likely, but pace depends on inflation (currently 2.6% YoY) and growth (Q1 GDP: 0.6% QoQ). Markets expect 1–2 more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 4.0% by year-end.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
Policy rate: 3.85% (cut by 25 bps on May 20, 2025).
Outlook: Two additional cuts expected in 2025 (to 3.35%) due to subdued core inflation (2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks.
Differential: +0.40% in favor of GBP, narrowing as RBA cuts outpace BoE easing.
Key Economic Data and Drivers
United Kingdom
GDP Growth: Q1 2025 growth outperformed expectations at 0.6% QoQ, though manufacturing and industrial production lagged.
Inflation: March CPI fell to 2.6%, but energy-driven price pressures may push it to 3.5% in Q3 2025.
Australia
Employment: April jobs data showed 20.9K jobs added (vs. 32.2K expected), with unemployment steady at 4.1%.
Trade Risks: U.S.-China tariff ceasefire reduces immediate pressure, but export reliance on China leaves AUD vulnerable.
Directional Bias
Short-Term (Days–Weeks): Bearish GBPAUD
RBA Aggression: Immediate post-cut AUD weakness expected, but faster RBA easing vs. BoE could narrow the rate gap.
Growth Divergence: UK’s stronger GDP vs. Australia’s reliance on China may support GBP.
Long-Term (6+ Months): Bullish GBPAUD
Rate Differential Stability: BoE’s slower cuts vs. RBA’s aggressive easing may widen the gap, favoring GBP.
Commodity Risks: AUD remains exposed to China’s economic slowdown and iron ore price volatility.
Summary Table
Time Frame Bias Key Drivers Technical Levels
Short-Term Bearish RBA cuts, technical breakdown 2.0565 (S), 2.0732 (R)
Medium-Term Neutral/Bullish UK growth resilience, channel support 2.0490–2.0720 (Channel)
Long-Term Bullish Diverging central bank policies, AUD risks 2.1000+ (Target)
Critical Factors to Monitor
BoE Communications: Signals on future cuts (next meeting: June 19, 2025).
RBA Policy: Additional cuts in 2025 (next decision: June 3).
UK Inflation (May 29): Core PCE data critical for BoE’s path.
Conclusion:
GBP/AUD faces near-term bearish pressure from RBA cuts and technical breakdowns, but medium-to-long-term trends favor GBP due to slower BoE easing and UK growth resilience. Watch for shifts in central bank rhetoric and key technical levels for directional confirmation.
GBPAUD Buy Setup: Bullish Formation with Strong Support Reaction📈 Weekly Overview:
Price is holding firmly at the weekly support zone, aligned with the 14EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this key level.
📆 Daily Chart Explanation:
The daily timeframe has formed a potential double bottom pattern, a classic reversal signal. Price is rejecting the 50EMA with consecutive bullish candles, indicating a shift in momentum from sellers to buyers.
⏱ 4H Chart Explanation:
On the 4H timeframe, price is trending above the 50EMA, maintaining a bullish structure. It has recently retraced to a discounted zone and shown a clear reaction, suggesting the possibility of a new leg up. I will wait for confirmation from the lower timeframe before entering to ensure the uptrend resumes with strength.
🧭 Plan:
Bias: Bullish
Entry: After confirmation in the lower time frame (1H or 15M bullish structure / trendline break)
Targets: 1st TP near recent swing high, 2nd TP at higher daily resistance
Invalidation: If price breaks below the discounted zone and 4H structure turns bearish
GBPAUD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPAUD is below:
The market is trading on 2.0749 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.0638
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.0826
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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