GBPAUD - Signaling Further Downside PotentialGBPAUD is forming bearish continuation patterns, signaling further downside potential.
Since May 1st, the price has been in a larger accumulation phase.
A new bearish pattern is emerging within the 2.0490 - 2.0770 range.
If the price follows the red scenario, this pattern may continue to develop more before the bearish trend resumes again.
However, a break below 2.0490 could trigger a stronger bearish wave, pushing GBPAUD lower toward key targets as shown from the scenario in blue:
🔹 Target 1: 2.0350 🔹 Target 2: 2.0150
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPAUD trade ideas
Lingrid | GBPAUD Pre-Extension Coiling FormationThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:GBPAUD remains confined within a range below the descending trendline, where lower highs have formed consistent resistance. Price is currently rejecting the upper boundary and moving toward the trend support, aligning with a potential bearish continuation setup. If momentum persists, price could revisit the support zone and possibly extend toward the target area. Sellers may remain in control as long as price respects the descending structure and holds below key resistance.
📌 Key Levels
Resistance zone: 2.0634
Target level: 2.0350
Invalidation level: Above 2.0881
⚠️ Risks
Failed breakdown attempts from the range may cause price to retest resistance
Fakeouts above 2.0634 could trap sellers
Bullish reversal from trend support could invalidate the bearish setup
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GBPAUD LongHi traders, GBPAUD Weekly and Daily market structure are trending in the same direction, and the market is going up from a monthly/weekly resistance support pivot point aera, even if the market on the 4h time frame is trending to the downside, we should still be looking to buy the market to the upside because the higher time frames are stronger. This is my own thoughts.
GBP/AUD potential long continuation May 2025Potential long position for what concern this pair.
In the last month we saw a new high set from 2020, passing the previous Covid high, taking out also the January of 2016.
However the candle close with a big wick.
For what concern the eventual targets I'm considering the wick high or the Fibonacci extension.
GBPAUD forming a bottom?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the daily chart.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Bespoke support is located at 2.0540.
We look to Buy at 2.0540 (stop at 2.0480)
Our profit targets will be 2.0765 and 2.0790
Resistance: 2.0700 / 2.0760 / 2.0850
Support: 2.0550 / 2.0485 / 2.0430
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
What’s the Next Move for GBP/AUD?
The GBP/AUD pair is trading in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows, and the current pullback is considered a corrective move within this upward trend.
The level of 2.05763 is seen as a positive support level for the pair, where a potential rebound to the upside could occur, targeting the 2.07442 level.
However, if the price falls below the 2.05110 level and closes a 4-hour candle beneath it, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, and the trend would shift from bullish to bearish.
Note:
Traders should monitor economic news and data related to the Australian dollar and the British pound, as their outcomes can significantly impact the movement of this currency pair.
GBP-AUD Double Top Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 2.0820, then
Established a double-top
Pattern and is now going
Down so we are locally
Bearish biased which
Means that we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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GBPAUD Wave Analysis: Is a Rally to 2.13677 on the Horizon?Hey Realistic Traders!
Can $OANDA: GBPAUD Keep the Bull Run Alive? Let’s Break It Down...
Trend Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, GBPAUD has broken out of a double bottom pattern, signaling a shift from a short-term bearish trend to a bullish one. Bullish momentum is further confirmed by price action trading above the EMA-200 line. On the higher timeframe, a falling wedge breakout pattern supports the bullish continuation scenario, aligning with the broader wave structure.
Wave Analysis
Applying Elliott Wave theory, the recent price action suggests the completion of Wave 2 around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with the neckline breakout of the double bottom pattern. The potential formation of Wave 3, typically the strongest and most impulsive wave, targets 2.10265 as the first extension level with a further extension to 2.13677, calculated using Fibonacci extensions of the current bullish wave.
The outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the key stop-loss level at 2.04774, invalidating the Wave 3 setup if breached.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GBPAUD.
GBPAUD – 1H Bullish DivergenceGBPAUD – 1H Bullish Divergence at Key Support | Reversal Setup Brewing 🔁📈
Hey traders 👋
GBPAUD is flashing a clean bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe, and the location makes it even more interesting — this is happening right above a strong, previously respected support zone. That kind of confluence is where sharp intraday reversals are born.
📉 Price Action Breakdown
Price has been grinding lower, making lower lows
Meanwhile, RSI (or MACD) is making higher lows → a textbook bullish divergence
This divergence is developing right at a known support level, not floating in no man’s land
That tells us sellers are pushing price down, but they’re losing steam — and buyers may be loading up quietly.
📍 Why This Level Matters
Support has been tested multiple times in the past — clear buyer interest
The current drop lacks momentum — candles are smaller, wicks getting longer
This is often how liquidity grabs and reversals form in FX pairs like GBPAUD
🎯 Trade Setup Idea
Entry: Early entry on bullish candle confirmation, or conservative entry on a minor structure break
Stop-Loss: Just under the support low
Targets: Previous 1H swing highs / fib retracements from recent drop
Risk/Reward? Excellent — you’re buying into weakness with a clean invalidation level.
📌 GBPAUD Showing Bullish Divergence at Key Support – Will It Bounce?
Are you watching for confirmation or stepping in early? Let’s chart it out together 👇
#GBPAUD #BullishDivergence #ForexTrading #ReversalSetup #PriceAction #1HChart #SupportZone #SmartMoney #MomentumShift #TechnicalAnalysis
GBP/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/AUD is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 2.047.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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gbpaud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBPAUD SELL TRADE PLAN📅 Date: May 06, 2025
🆔 Trade Plan: GBPAUD
📈 Trade Type: Intra-Day / Short-Term Swing
🔒 Format: Institutional OB + EQH Trap + Liquidity Sweep
🎯 Direction: SELL
📊 Confidence Score: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
🧠 Bias Source: Structure + Liquidity + Order Flow
🧩 Market Context & Justification:
Daily (D1):
Maintains a bearish structure, LH/LL sequence
Current bullish pullback remains corrective, not a structural shift
H4:
Strong bearish OB just under 2.0730
Price is reacting off a prior liquidity sweep + EQH
Bearish BOS was formed earlier, confirming direction
H4 demand below remains untapped, allowing clean downside room
M30/M15:
Clean internal liquidity buildup below 2.0600
Favorable for execution confirmation via engulfing or divergence
🟥 ENTRY ZONE (Primary Sell Zone):
🔻 2.0700 – 2.0730
Refined 50% of OB = 2.0712
Aligned with EQH + imbalance fill
Expecting entry rejection within this band
❗ STOP LOSS:
🔺 2.0782
Above wick high + OB + 1.0x ATR buffer
Adds protection against engineered stop hunts
🎯 TAKE PROFIT LEVELS:
🥇 TP1: 2.0600 (imbalance close + RR 2.0:1)
🥈 TP2: 2.0520 (H4 swing low + RR 3.5:1)
🥉 TP3: 2.0450 (D1 demand zone + RR 4.8:1)
⚙️ Execution Rules:
✅ Limit entry at 2.0710 or wait for M15 bearish engulfing confirmation
✅ Risk: 0.50% of total portfolio
✅ SL to BE after TP1 hit
✅ TP1 = 50%, TP2 = 30%, TP3 = 20% (trail)
🚫 Invalidation Criteria:
H1 close above 2.0782
Break of structure to upside on M30
AUD macro or sentiment shifts (watch Iron Ore, risk flows)
📌 Plan Summary:
Elite-level short setup into 2.0700–2.0730 with institutional OB + EQH inducement trap. Downside liquidity target aligned with structure and imbalance. High precision, not to be forced — confirmation or clean entry only. Risk remains capped.
GBPAUDGBPAUD could see the British pounds upswing on economic data print and technical information.
Bank of England (BoE):
Rate: 4.25% (cut from 4.5% in May 2025).
Outlook: Further cuts likely, but pace depends on inflation (currently 2.6% YoY) and growth (Q1 GDP: 0.4%) .
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
Rate: 4.10% (cut from 4.35% in February 2025).
Outlook: Markets price a 54% chance of a 50 bps cut on May 20, potentially lowering rates to 3.6% .
Differential:
Current: +0.15% in favor of GBP.
Expected: Narrowing as RBA cuts outpace BoE easing.
Directional Bias by Time Frame
Short-Term (Days to Weeks)
Bearish GBPAUD
Fundamentals: Aggressive RBA cuts (potential 50 bps) vs. BoE’s gradual easing. Weak Australian inflation (core CPI: 2.9% in Q1) supports RBA dovishness .
Fundamentals: UK inflation expected to rise to 3.5% in Q3 2025, delaying BoE cuts. AUD faces headwinds from China trade tensions and commodity volatility .
Fundamentals: UK fiscal tightening and political stability vs. Australia’s reliance on China-driven commodity demand. BoE’s slower easing path (projected 4.2% by Q3 2025) vs. RBA’s deeper cuts (3.1% by 2026) .
summery
RBA Decision (May 20): A 50 bps cut would accelerate AUD weakness.
UK Inflation (Q3 2025): A spike above 3.5% could pause BoE cuts, boosting GBP.
Commodity Prices: AUD sensitivity to iron ore/coal prices amid China’s trade policies.
RBA AND BOE central banks monitory policy rhetoric's is key to trade directional bias with BOE favored on rate hold and AUD structural vulnerabilities and 50 % anticipated rate cut pressure AUD and boost GBP BUYING POTENTIAL.
gbpaud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBP-AUD Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 2.0480 and we are
Already seeing a local bullish
Rebound so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPAUDGBP/AUD Interest Rate Differential and Directional Bias (May–June 2025)
Interest Rate Differential
Bank of England (BoE):
Policy rate: 4.25% (cut from 4.5% in May 2025).
Outlook: Further cuts likely, but pace depends on inflation (currently 2.6% YoY) and growth (Q1 GDP: 0.6% QoQ). Markets expect 1–2 more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 4.0% by year-end.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
Policy rate: 3.85% (cut by 25 bps on May 20, 2025).
Outlook: Two additional cuts expected in 2025 (to 3.35%) due to subdued core inflation (2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks.
Differential: +0.40% in favor of GBP, narrowing as RBA cuts outpace BoE easing.
Key Economic Data and Drivers
United Kingdom
GDP Growth: Q1 2025 growth outperformed expectations at 0.6% QoQ, though manufacturing and industrial production lagged.
Inflation: March CPI fell to 2.6%, but energy-driven price pressures may push it to 3.5% in Q3 2025.
Australia
Employment: April jobs data showed 20.9K jobs added (vs. 32.2K expected), with unemployment steady at 4.1%.
Trade Risks: U.S.-China tariff ceasefire reduces immediate pressure, but export reliance on China leaves AUD vulnerable.
Directional Bias
Short-Term (Days–Weeks): Bearish GBPAUD
RBA Aggression: Immediate post-cut AUD weakness expected, but faster RBA easing vs. BoE could narrow the rate gap.
Growth Divergence: UK’s stronger GDP vs. Australia’s reliance on China may support GBP.
Long-Term (6+ Months): Bullish GBPAUD
Rate Differential Stability: BoE’s slower cuts vs. RBA’s aggressive easing may widen the gap, favoring GBP.
Commodity Risks: AUD remains exposed to China’s economic slowdown and iron ore price volatility.
Summary Table
Time Frame Bias Key Drivers Technical Levels
Short-Term Bearish RBA cuts, technical breakdown 2.0565 (S), 2.0732 (R)
Medium-Term Neutral/Bullish UK growth resilience, channel support 2.0490–2.0720 (Channel)
Long-Term Bullish Diverging central bank policies, AUD risks 2.1000+ (Target)
Critical Factors to Monitor
BoE Communications: Signals on future cuts (next meeting: June 19, 2025).
RBA Policy: Additional cuts in 2025 (next decision: June 3).
UK Inflation (May 29): Core PCE data critical for BoE’s path.
Conclusion:
GBP/AUD faces near-term bearish pressure from RBA cuts and technical breakdowns, but medium-to-long-term trends favor GBP due to slower BoE easing and UK growth resilience. Watch for shifts in central bank rhetoric and key technical levels for directional confirmation.
GBPAUD Buy Setup: Bullish Formation with Strong Support Reaction📈 Weekly Overview:
Price is holding firmly at the weekly support zone, aligned with the 14EMA, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this key level.
📆 Daily Chart Explanation:
The daily timeframe has formed a potential double bottom pattern, a classic reversal signal. Price is rejecting the 50EMA with consecutive bullish candles, indicating a shift in momentum from sellers to buyers.
⏱ 4H Chart Explanation:
On the 4H timeframe, price is trending above the 50EMA, maintaining a bullish structure. It has recently retraced to a discounted zone and shown a clear reaction, suggesting the possibility of a new leg up. I will wait for confirmation from the lower timeframe before entering to ensure the uptrend resumes with strength.
🧭 Plan:
Bias: Bullish
Entry: After confirmation in the lower time frame (1H or 15M bullish structure / trendline break)
Targets: 1st TP near recent swing high, 2nd TP at higher daily resistance
Invalidation: If price breaks below the discounted zone and 4H structure turns bearish
GBPAUD - Potential SellHi Traders,
Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:GBPAUD
BIAS: SELL
Logical Analysis:
Price at the moment is at SELLERs level. if buyers are willing to buy at this current price (2.10) then price will rise.
I am favoring the sell but i don't see the SELLER giving a discount yet.
Technical Analysis: see chart
Good Luck
GBP/AUD Forex Heist - Bearish Breakout Blitz!🔥 Thief Trading Style: GBP/AUD Bearish Heist Plan 🔥
Hello, Profit Pirates & Market Marauders! 🤑
Get ready to raid the GBP/AUD (Pound vs. Aussie) forex market with a slick bearish strategy! 📊 Our Thief Trading Style fuses technical precision and fundamental insights to target a sharp downside move. Follow this charted plan to hit the high-risk Blue MA Zone and slip away with profits. Let’s make this heist count! 💪🎯
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📊 Heist Blueprint: Trade Setup
- Market: GBP/AUD (Forex) 🌐
- Bias: Bearish Breakout 🌟
- Timeframe: 4H (Scalping/Day Trade) ⏰
Entry 📉:
- Breakout Move: Wait for a confirmed break below the Neutral Level at 2.05300. Place Sell Stop orders just below 2.05300 to ride the bearish wave. 🚀
- Pullback Play: For safer entries, set Sell Limit orders at the nearest 15M/30M swing high (e.g., 2.05600-2.05800) after a support break for pullback trades. 📍
- Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 2.05300 breakout to catch the action live! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
- Breakout Traders: After the break confirms, place your Stop Loss above the recent 4H swing high at 2.08000 to shield against reversals. ⚠️
- Pullback Traders: Adjust Stop Loss based on your risk (e.g., 1-2% of account). Factor in lot size and multiple orders for precision. 📏
- Risk Alert: This is a high-octane heist! Keep position sizes tight to protect your capital. 🔥
Target 🎯:
- Aim for 2.03200, near the risky Blue MA Zone (an oversold area with potential consolidation or reversal). 🏴☠️
- Exit Strategy: Take profits early if bullish signals (e.g., pin bars, high volume) appear near 2.03200. 💸
Scalpers 👀:
- Focus on short-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Pair with day traders for the full heist or snag quick pips if your account supports it. 💰
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📡 Why This Heist Could Pay Off
GBP/AUD is showing bearish momentum, fueled by:
- Technicals: A break below 2.05300, backed by lower highs on the 4H chart, signals strong downside potential. 📊
- Fundamentals: Weak UK economic data and Aussie strength (check COT reports) support a bearish outlook. 📰
- Seasonal Trends: GBP/AUD often softens in Q2 due to macroeconomic shifts. 📅
- Intermarket Factors: AUD’s correlation with commodity prices could pressure GBP lower. 🌎
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⚠️ Risk Management: Guard Your Loot
- News Caution: Avoid new trades during high-impact events (e.g., UK CPI, RBA minutes) to sidestep volatility spikes. 🗞️
- Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to secure profits as price approaches 2.03200. 🔒
- Position Sizing: Cap risk at 1-2% of your account per trade to stay in the game. 🚨
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💥 Fuel the Heist! 💥
Join our Thief Trading Style crew by liking, commenting, and following for more electrifying trade plans! 🚀 Your support powers our market raids, helping us score profits with flair. Let’s dominate GBP/AUD together! 🤝🏆🎉
Hashtags: #GBPAUD #Forex #Bearish #DayTrading #Scalping #Breakout
Stay Alert: Another heist is brewing. Keep your charts primed, traders! 🐱👤😎
GBPAUD bullish breakout??with bullish divergence, the price is on the verge of breaking this pattern in an upward direction it seems that the trend will be bullish from here. traders who want to be long on this pair should take entry once the price breaks the drawn trendline and comes back to retest it as it will be a confirmation of bullish trend