GbpAud now the “buyers” are within!Good day traders, we back with GBPAUD but before I go into it. Last week I took loss because I was buying GBPAUD but I lately found out I was way too early and my narrative has not changed at all.
1D- Daily TF we have a bearish structure and we know that once price shifts structure we want price to retest Atleast till the 0.705 of the OTE fib level to later continue to the Sellside liquidity.
4H- On this respective TF we are also in a bearish structure but I believe not for long because on the lower TF the shift higher has materialised, giving confirmation that we can start positioning ourselves for the up movement.
1H- ICT has a entry model(F.PFVG), on the hourly we saw prices giving back all of yesterday’s gains till it reach that level of first presented FVG and that’s what we gonna use as the level of interest.
GBPAUD trade ideas
They Were 84% Short — Here's What Happened Next on GBPAUDThis is not just a simple breakout — this is what happens when data, price action, and psychology align with surgical precision.
Today, we entered a long position on GBPAUD directly from a well-defined weekly demand zone. The setup was already technically solid, but what made it exceptional was the alignment of multiple institutional-grade factors:
✅ Weekly demand zone respected to the pip, with proven historical sensitivity
✅ Change of structure on the H1 chart, confirming a short-term reversal from a deeply discounted area
✅ COT data showing a clear build-up of commercial long positions on the British pound
✅ AUD net positioning deep in negative territory, with declining open interest and no signs of reversal
✅ Retail sentiment: 84% of traders short on GBPAUD according to MyFxBook → strong contrarian signal
✅ Seasonality: GBP tends to outperform AUD during May and June
The result? A rapid and aggressive bullish impulse that allowed us to move the stop loss to break-even just a few hours after entry.
📌 Current trade status:
➤ Long from the demand zone
➤ SL at BE = zero risk
➤ Monitoring price action above 2.07 for potential continuation
🎯 Mid-term target zone: 2.1150–2.1300, with focus on liquidity clusters and previous inefficiencies as potential magnets.
This is how you build trades that are not just reactive, but proactive — based on multiple layers of confluence and edge, not on emotions or noise.
GBPAUD Poised For a Bearish Wave GBPAUD Poised For a Bearish Wave
GBPAUD has confirmed a double top pattern on the 4-hour chart. After breaking through the support zone, the price retraced and tested the level again.
As expected, GBPAUD reacted at this zone, increasing the likelihood of a valid bearish setup.
However, market uncertainty remains due to a lack of clear direction following recent comments from Trump.
As a result, the price might continue to fluctuate within this range before a strong bearish wave resumes.
Key support zones to watch: 2.0630 and 2.0360.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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GBPAUD – DTF Technical & Fundamental AnalysisGBPAUD – DTF Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On the daily timeframe, the price was previously within a range following an uptrend. A major support level at 2.07500 has been breached in recent sessions, signaling a potential Change of Character (CHoCH) and possibly indicating a shift in market momentum. Additionally, the price has broken below a minor support level at 2.05800, with an accumulation phase developing.
Our strategy moving forward is to monitor price action as it seeks liquidity above the identified liquidity zone. We will wait for clear confirmation of liquidity formation. Should the price return to test and break the support level again, the area of interest lies around 2.05790 (a potential breakout point). Risk management should be placed below 2.07260 should liquidity form as expected. The longer-term target is a potential move toward the next minor resistance zone at 0.90650.
Fundamental Analysis:
The British Pound (GBP) has depreciated against the Australian Dollar (AUD) in early May 2025, reaching a one-month low around 2.0525. This decline can be attributed to several key factors:
Australian Dollar Strength: The AUD has gained strength, primarily driven by the Australian Labor Party's recent election victory, securing a second term in office. This political stability, coupled with a rally in the AUD/USD exchange rate to five-month highs near 0.65, has instilled greater investor confidence in the Australian currency.
GBP/AUD Exchange Rate Trends: The GBP/AUD pair has been in a downtrend, with the current price at approximately 1.98078 as of May 6, 2025. Market forecasts suggest a potential further decline of around 3.5% in the short term, although a modest recovery is anticipated over the longer term, potentially extending into the next year.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
#GBPAUD: +245 From Previous Analysis, 880+ Total Pips TargetIn our previous analysis, we clearly indicated our entry point, and the price followed suit, reversing straight and currently up 245+ in positive. Going forward, we expect a straight, clean move of 800+ points. If you missed this entry, there will be a correction within the next 4 hours. Just analyse the pinpoint and enter accordingly with proper risk management.
Good luck and trade safely!
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GBPAUD possible bearish for 2.0360#GBPAUD made a new high, then moved in a range 2.0685-2.1010 for a whole month. now support level 2.0685 broken. better to wait for correction/pullback to test the imbalance area between buyers and sellers. ideal level for short is 2.0960-65. stop loss: 2.1050, target: 2.0450 & 2.0360.
GBPAUD Turns Bearish After Major Support Break – Eyes on 2.05110
The GBPAUD pair has broken decisively below the key support zone at 2.07000 , which previously acted as a base for multiple rebounds. This breakdown confirms bearish momentum and opens the path toward deeper retracement levels.
📉 Technical Breakdown:
- Price has closed below the 0.786 Fibonacci level (2.07778), signaling continuation.
- The next measured support target lies near 2.05110, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and historical demand structure.
- RSI continues trending downward, showing no signs of bullish divergence , indicating sustained selling pressure.
📰 Fundamental Backdrop:
- Recent Australian CPI data came in stronger than expected , reinforcing RBA’s hawkish stance. This supports AUD strength.
Meanwhile, the UK economic outlook remains fragile due to inflation uncertainty and soft retail data.
Rising expectations that RBA may pause cuts or hike sooner vs. a dovish BOE adds fuel to this downside move.
🔍 Outlook & Trade Plan:
- Bias: Bearish below 2.07000
- Target Zone: 2.05110 (short-term)
- Confirmation: Price sustains below broken support, with pullbacks rejected near 2.07000
- Invalidation: Bullish breakout back above 2.07778 zone with strong volume
This zone breakdown is technically clean and backed by macro sentiment. I’ll monitor price action closely if a minor retest toward 2.07000 occurs, to consider entering a sell on rally setup .
GBPAUD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GBP/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBP/AUD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBP/AUD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBP/AUD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GBP-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2.0730 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Move down on Monday
Sell!
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GBPAUD Wave Analysis – 2 May 2025- GBPAUD broke support zone
- Likely to fall to support level 2.0475
GBPAUD currency pair recently broke the support zone between the pivotal support level 2.0685 (which stopped the previous waves i, iii, v) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January.
The breakout of this support zone continues the c-wave of the active ABC correction 4 from the start of April.
GBPAUD can be expected to fall to the next support level 2.0475 (target price for the completion of the active correction 4).
GBP_AUD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD made a bearish
Breakout so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local pullback and then a
Further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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GBPAUD: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The recent price action on the GBPAUD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bullish one and I think we will see the price go up.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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