GBP/AUD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/AUD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 2.044.
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GBPAUD trade ideas
GBPAUD – Potential Long Swing Trading OpportunityThis forex pair has full confluence with a xBrat Roller Coaster (RC) long signal on the 20th May. Then on the 22nd May an xBratAlgo (XA) 5* BUY Signal. Whilst the BIAS Depth Heatmap (BDHP) is all Green!
Price is trying to push through weekly resistance right now so a sensible entry would be 2.10514 with a Stop Market Order. Stop Loss at 2.04814. And with a target of 2.23000, there is a lot of fresh air (Risk to Reward) to the next weekly resistance zone.
At the end of January this year we had another confluence bullish trade that did extremely well, as can be seen on the chart. Trailing stop position is the line between the two green zones during the trade.
GBPAUD – Resistance Holding, Downside FavoredGBPAUD is rejecting the 2.0969 resistance zone, a key level where price has previously reversed. The current rejection candle at this zone suggests that bulls are struggling to sustain momentum.
The pair has been forming lower highs since April, and the recent rally into resistance looks corrective. If the pair breaks below 2.0750, expect a drop toward:
2.0481 – key demand zone and last swing low
2.0324 – final bearish target (range low)
🔻 Short bias valid below 2.0969
🔺 Invalidation if price closes above 2.10
Fundamental Overview:
🔻 GBP Pressures:
Despite hot inflation data, the Bank of England remains cautious, with no strong push for more hikes.
UK economic outlook is mixed; services holding up but manufacturing and consumer spending showing cracks.
Political uncertainty and EU trade rhetoric remain overhangs.
🟢 AUD Supportive Factors:
The RBA remains data-dependent but firm on not rushing into cuts.
Iron ore and commodity demand remain stable, supporting AUD.
Risk appetite and global recovery outlook help AUD hold strength.
Summary:
Bias: Bearish below 2.0969
Trigger: Rejection from resistance confirmed
Targets: 2.0481 → 2.0324
Fundamentals: Favor AUD with stronger commodity backdrop and less uncertainty than UK
GBPAUD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD broke and closed above a significant falling trend line on a daily.
The next strong resistance is 2.1 level.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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GBPAUD - Potential SellHi Traders,
Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:GBPAUD
BIAS: SELL
Logical Analysis:
Price at the moment is at SELLERs level. if buyers are willing to buy at this current price (2.10) then price will rise.
I am favoring the sell but i don't see the SELLER giving a discount yet.
Technical Analysis: see chart
Good Luck
GBPAUD - Potential Sell (Day Trading)Hi Traders,
We are SELLING CMCMARKETS:GBPAUD
Price Action Analysis:
4hr Chart: The overall direction appears bearish. Buyers showed some interest at the current price, but sellers have stepped back in..
1hr Chart: Price pulled back briefly, suggesting buyers were active for a moment — but that seems to be over now.
Lower time frame: Timing the entry
Good Luck
"STUDY, STUDY, STUDY." Lorenzo Tarati :)
gbpaud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?GBP/AUD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2.0762
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2.0655
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 2.0999
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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GBPAUD – 1H Bullish DivergenceGBPAUD – 1H Bullish Divergence at Key Support | Reversal Setup Brewing 🔁📈
Hey traders 👋
GBPAUD is flashing a clean bullish divergence on the 1H timeframe, and the location makes it even more interesting — this is happening right above a strong, previously respected support zone. That kind of confluence is where sharp intraday reversals are born.
📉 Price Action Breakdown
Price has been grinding lower, making lower lows
Meanwhile, RSI (or MACD) is making higher lows → a textbook bullish divergence
This divergence is developing right at a known support level, not floating in no man’s land
That tells us sellers are pushing price down, but they’re losing steam — and buyers may be loading up quietly.
📍 Why This Level Matters
Support has been tested multiple times in the past — clear buyer interest
The current drop lacks momentum — candles are smaller, wicks getting longer
This is often how liquidity grabs and reversals form in FX pairs like GBPAUD
🎯 Trade Setup Idea
Entry: Early entry on bullish candle confirmation, or conservative entry on a minor structure break
Stop-Loss: Just under the support low
Targets: Previous 1H swing highs / fib retracements from recent drop
Risk/Reward? Excellent — you’re buying into weakness with a clean invalidation level.
📌 GBPAUD Showing Bullish Divergence at Key Support – Will It Bounce?
Are you watching for confirmation or stepping in early? Let’s chart it out together 👇
#GBPAUD #BullishDivergence #ForexTrading #ReversalSetup #PriceAction #1HChart #SupportZone #SmartMoney #MomentumShift #TechnicalAnalysis
GBP/AUD Heist: Bullish Breakout Plan to Steal Profits!🌟 Pound vs. Aussie Heist: GBP/AUD Trading Plan 🚀💸
Hey Money Makers & Thieves! 🤑💰 Ready to pull off a master heist on the GBP/AUD Forex market? Based on 🔥 Thief Trading Style 🔥 blending technicals and fundamentals, here’s the plan to conquer the "Pound vs. Aussie" with a long entry strategy targeting the high-risk Red Zone. Let’s dive in! 📈🎯
Entry 📈:
The heist is live! Wait for the MA breakout at 2.10000 to strike—bullish profits are calling! 🔔
Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average for breakout entries.
Or, place buy limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe at the most recent swing low/high for pullback entries.
📌Pro tip: Set an alert on your chart to catch the breakout moment! 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑:
Protect your loot with a Thief SL at the recent swing low/high on the 4H timeframe (2.07400).
Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and number of orders. Stay sharp! 🔍
Target 🎯:
Aim for 2.14400 or exit early to secure profits before the target. Don’t get greedy! 💪
Scalpers, Listen Up 👀:
Stick to the long side for quick scalps.
Big players can jump in now; smaller traders, join the swing trade robbery with a trailing SL to lock in gains. 💰
Market Outlook 💵:
GBP/AUD is riding a bullish wave, fueled by fundamentals, macro trends, COT reports, quantitative analysis, sentiment, and intermarket dynamics. Stay updated as these can shift fast! 🌎📊
⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Management 📰:
Avoid new trades during news releases to dodge volatility traps.
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect running positions and secure profits. 🚫
Latest Market Data (UTC+1, May 20, 2025, 12:02 PM BST):
Forex (GBP/AUD): Current price ~2.09850 (source: financialjuice.com).
COT Report (Latest Friday, May 16, 2025):
Non-commercial long positions increased, signaling bullish sentiment among large speculators.
Net long positions rose by 5,200 contracts (source: CFTC.gov).
Commodities & Metals: Gold and oil prices stable, supporting AUD strength but GBP bolstered by UK economic data.
Indices & Crypto: No direct impact, but risk-on sentiment in global indices supports bullish GBP/AUD bias.
💖 Boost the Heist! 💥:
Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery team! 🤝 With the Thief Trading Style, we’re stealing profits daily. Stay tuned for the next heist plan! 🐱👤🚀
Happy trading, and let’s make that money! 💸🎉
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Always manage your risk and stay informed.
GBPAUD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPAUD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.0828
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.0715
My Stop Loss - 2.0895
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD – Eyeing a Short-Term ReboundGBPAUD – Eyeing a Short-Term Rebound
📈 Long Bias | 🎯 Target: 2.07216 | 🕒 15-Min Chart
Looking for a possible reaction back into the 2.07216 zone after this aggressive selloff. Momentum could carry price higher for a quick intraday opportunity. Already monitoring closely.
⚠️ Not financial advice. Trade your own plan.
#GBPAUD #Forex #ReversalZone #IntradaySetup #GlobalHorns #TradingView
GBP-AUD Double Top Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 2.0820, then
Established a double-top
Pattern and is now going
Down so we are locally
Bearish biased which
Means that we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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GBPAUDGBP/AUD Interest Rate Differential and Directional Bias (May–June 2025)
Interest Rate Differential
Bank of England (BoE):
Policy rate: 4.25% (cut from 4.5% in May 2025).
Outlook: Further cuts likely, but pace depends on inflation (currently 2.6% YoY) and growth (Q1 GDP: 0.6% QoQ). Markets expect 1–2 more cuts in 2025, potentially lowering rates to 4.0% by year-end.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
Policy rate: 3.85% (cut by 25 bps on May 20, 2025).
Outlook: Two additional cuts expected in 2025 (to 3.35%) due to subdued core inflation (2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks.
Differential: +0.40% in favor of GBP, narrowing as RBA cuts outpace BoE easing.
Key Economic Data and Drivers
United Kingdom
GDP Growth: Q1 2025 growth outperformed expectations at 0.6% QoQ, though manufacturing and industrial production lagged.
Inflation: March CPI fell to 2.6%, but energy-driven price pressures may push it to 3.5% in Q3 2025.
Australia
Employment: April jobs data showed 20.9K jobs added (vs. 32.2K expected), with unemployment steady at 4.1%.
Trade Risks: U.S.-China tariff ceasefire reduces immediate pressure, but export reliance on China leaves AUD vulnerable.
Directional Bias
Short-Term (Days–Weeks): Bearish GBPAUD
RBA Aggression: Immediate post-cut AUD weakness expected, but faster RBA easing vs. BoE could narrow the rate gap.
Growth Divergence: UK’s stronger GDP vs. Australia’s reliance on China may support GBP.
Long-Term (6+ Months): Bullish GBPAUD
Rate Differential Stability: BoE’s slower cuts vs. RBA’s aggressive easing may widen the gap, favoring GBP.
Commodity Risks: AUD remains exposed to China’s economic slowdown and iron ore price volatility.
Summary Table
Time Frame Bias Key Drivers Technical Levels
Short-Term Bearish RBA cuts, technical breakdown 2.0565 (S), 2.0732 (R)
Medium-Term Neutral/Bullish UK growth resilience, channel support 2.0490–2.0720 (Channel)
Long-Term Bullish Diverging central bank policies, AUD risks 2.1000+ (Target)
Critical Factors to Monitor
BoE Communications: Signals on future cuts (next meeting: June 19, 2025).
RBA Policy: Additional cuts in 2025 (next decision: June 3).
UK Inflation (May 29): Core PCE data critical for BoE’s path.
Conclusion:
GBP/AUD faces near-term bearish pressure from RBA cuts and technical breakdowns, but medium-to-long-term trends favor GBP due to slower BoE easing and UK growth resilience. Watch for shifts in central bank rhetoric and key technical levels for directional confirmation.