GBP/CAD - Breakout (27.06.2025)The GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1..8857
2nd Resistance – 1.8909
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GBPCAD trade ideas
GBPCAD 4H long setupGBPCAD 4H Spring 💡 | Smart Money Accumulation Before Expansion
Watching a textbook Wyckoff spring unfold here on the 4H.
After a multi-day rally, price retraced, and liquidity built up just above 1.8713. What happened next?
🔻 We got a liquidity sweep, tagging below 1.8687 — then a sharp rejection wick back into the range. That’s the spring.
🧠 Why this matters:
Liquidity below the range is now likely cleared.
Smart money triggered stops and may now flip positioning.
Buyer momentum reclaiming the broken zone signals strength returning.
🎯 My Play:
Long entry after reclaim above 1.8713
Stop below 1.8687 wick low
Targeting 1.8828 > 1.8830 as TP1
Extended TP at 1.8928 — aligning with prior supply zone
⚠️ Invalidation if we lose 1.8685 with momentum and no absorption.
This is not a chase trade — it’s a calculated entry after weak hands were shaken out. Let the market prove strength, then ride the reversion.
📈 If this spring holds, I expect continuation toward prior highs.
GBPCAD → Retest the area of interest before growthFX:GBPCAD is closing the imbalance area as part of a countertrend correction and consolidating below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. What's next, growth or decline?
The global trend is upward, and the situation is classic: the market needs energy and liquidity to continue growing.
Locally, we see that as part of a countertrend correction, the market is closing the imbalance area, but at the same time forming consolidation below 0.5 Fibonacci, still leaving the zone of interest and order block below 1.84600 untouched.
Technically, there is a fairly high probability of continued growth, provided that the price ends its consolidation with a breakout of the 1.85690 resistance and consolidates above 0.5 Fibonacci.
Resistance levels: 1.85690, 1.8657
Support levels: 1.84986, 1.846, 1.8417
However, as an additional and, in my opinion, the most important scenario, I still consider a complete closure of the fvg and a retest of the 0.7-0.79 zone, within which the order block is located. A false breakdown of the zone of interest and the capture of liquidity could attract additional interest, which would trigger growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPCAD: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD is coiling on an important daily support cluster.
To trade that with a confirmation, pay attention to
an inside bar pattern on a 4H.
1.8579 is the level of an upper boundary of its range.
Its breakout and a 4H candle close above will provide
a strong bullish signal.
A bullish movement will be expected to 1.865 level then.
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Looking at a bearish marketWe have a clear dealing range with the dealing range high at 1.88296 and dealing range low at 1.83054. This appear to be a bearish market because the daily liquidity has been raided and the structure has been broken to the downside to mitigate the fair value gap around the equilibrium price. We are ideally anticipating price to rebalance the imbalance and active the fair value gap at the extreme premium and provide us with a selling opportunity to the discounted area…
85% of Traders Are Wrong on GBPCAD - I'm Going Short!📊 COT Analysis
GBP:
Non-Commercials remain net long with 106,282 longs vs 63,425 shorts. However, long positions are decreasing (-4,794) while shorts are slightly increasing (+3,983), suggesting profit-taking or a potential shift in sentiment.
Commercials are strongly net short (35,707 longs vs 87,770 shorts), with a significant reduction in both longs (-24,958) and shorts (-33,457) — a clear reduction in overall exposure.
→ Non-Commercial positioning is still bullish, but momentum is fading.
CAD:
Non-Commercials remain heavily net short (28,154 longs vs 94,487 shorts), but notable changes are taking place: sharp increase in longs (+8,503) and a significant cut in shorts (-18,307), pointing to a possible reversal in sentiment.
Commercials are net long with a rise in both longs (+1,834) and shorts (+31,186), indicating potential hedging as expectations shift.
→ CAD strength is emerging in the COT data, supporting a potential bearish move on GBPCAD.
📈 Seasonality – June/July
GBP tends to perform poorly in June across all historical averages (-0.004 / -0.006). July shows slight positivity but is statistically insignificant.
CAD has a mildly negative June, but July is historically its strongest month (+0.006 / +0.007 on 20Y and 15Y averages).
→ Seasonal bias favors CAD strength in the June–July transition.
🧠 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are 85% long on GBPCAD, a strong contrarian signal.
→ Such imbalance increases the odds of a correction or reversal to the downside.
→ Confirms short bias.
📉 Price Action & RSI
Price surged into strong resistance at 1.8779 (triple top area).
Current daily rejection + RSI in overbought territory suggest a potential swing high forming.
Natural downside target: 1.8400–1.8450 (prior structure and base of the move).
→ Ideal short setup from resistance with confirmation via bearish price action.
GBP/CAD Very Near Selling Area , Ready To Get 200 Pips ?Here is my daily chart on GBP/CAD , We have a very good res area the price very near it now and i`m waiting for touch for this res area and then i will enter a sell trade and targeting 200 pips at least , just waiting the price to give ma a good bearish price action from my res area and then i will enter . if the price close with daily candle above my res then this idea will not be valid .
GBPCADThe first level I’ve marked is a short-term zone.
If we get a strong buy signal there with good R/R, I’ll enter and trail aggressively.
The second level is a stronger demand zone and a better area for potential long setups.
❗️Remember: These are just scenarios — not predictions.
We stay ready for whatever the market delivers.
Bullish continuation?GBP/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.8664
1st Support: 1.8590
1st Resistance: 1.8825
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GBP/CAD – Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Timeframe)We’re currently observing the GBP/CAD pair, which has been in a strong bullish trend. However, clear signs of a potential reversal are now forming.
A classic Double Top pattern has emerged on the 1H chart, supported by bearish divergence — both indicating weakening bullish momentum. With this confluence, we anticipate a trend reversal from bullish to bearish and are preparing a sell trade setup accordingly.
🔹 Pair: GBP/CAD
🔹 Timeframe: 1H
🔹 Trend: Bullish (reversal expected)
🔹 Pattern: Double Top
🔹 Divergence: Bearish
🔹 Bias: Bearish
🔹 Entry (Sell Stop): 1.87077
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.88371
🔹 Take Profit 1: 1.85783
🔹 Lot Size: 0.21
🔹 Risk/Reward: 1:1
🔹 Risk: $200
🔹 Potential Reward: $200
🎯 Strategy: Entry will activate only after a confirmed break below the neckline of the double top. Risk is controlled with a clear stop-loss and 1:1 reward setup.
📌 #GBPCAD #ForexSignals #DoubleTop #BearishReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #DivergenceTrading #TrendReversal #SmartMoney #1HChart #ForexTradeIdeas #BearishSetup #RiskManagement #PriceAction
GBPCAD Is Going Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.856.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.865 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Solid TCB setup for GBPCAD✅ Trend (HTF Bias)
D1 and H4 are likely bullish (based on prior swing structure and channel direction).
The price was respecting the ascending channel until this sharp breakdown.
✅ Countertrend
A rising wedge / ascending channel is clearly visible.
The recent impulse down broke structure cleanly — textbook countertrend break.
✅ Breakout
Price has broken below the lower ascending trendline.
It’s now retesting the zone at ~1.8700–1.8710 (highlighted).
If this retest holds, it’s a high-probability sell setup.
📊 Total Score: ~95% TCB Trade Quality
🧾 Execution Thoughts:
Entry: Current price (~1.8701) after retest rejection.
SL: Just above 1.8730–1.8740 (above retest wick).
TP: ~1.8675 zone (bottom of the zone), for ~2R.
🔔 Verdict:
✅ It’s a solid TCB setup: Retest after clean break of structure, inside HTF channel break, with decent R:R.
You may wait for a confirming bearish candle
Trigger: Wait for bearish engulfing / rejection wick confirmation.
GBP/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GBP/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.872
Target Level: 1.866
Stop Loss: 1.876
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP_CAD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made a
Retest and a rebound from the
Horizontal support of 1.8675
So we are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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GBPCAD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.842.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.855.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPCAD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.868.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.855 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCAD corrective pullback, support retest at 1.8500The GBPCAD currency pair price action sentiment appears Bullish, supported by the current rising trend. The recent intraday price action seems to be a sideways consolidation breakout.
The key trading level is at the 1.8500 level, the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 1.8500 level could target the upside resistance at 1.8890, followed by the 1.9000 and 1.9090 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.8500 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook, opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 1.8430 support level, followed by 1.83450 levels.
Conclusion:
As long as 1.8500 holds, the bias remains bullish, favouring continuation toward the 1.8900 zone. A confirmed break below this support would shift momentum, opening the door for a broader corrective decline.
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