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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBPJPY: 1050+ Pips Move! Will JPY continue dropping? In our previous analysis, we anticipated a similar move for GBPJPY, but the price dropped a bit further than expected. It’s now in a position to buy long, but please use accurate risk management as JPY pairs are likely to remain more volatile than ever. There are three targets you can keep an eye on: 197, then 200. Remember, trading involves risk, so make your own decisions. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
7
GBPJPY - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈As per our last GBPJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the lower bound of the rising blue channel. What's next? GBPJPY is currently approaching the upper bound of its falling trend marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently trading near 192.100 and has successfully broken out of a falling wedge pattern on the 12-hour chart. This classic bullish reversal structure indicates that buyers have regained control, with momentum building for a potential move toward the 197.400 target area. The breakout candle is strong and well-formed, confirming upside interest after a period of consolidation and price compression. Fundamentally, the Japanese yen remains under pressure due to the Bank of Japan’s continued ultra-loose monetary policy, while the pound is gaining support ahead of this week's Bank of England rate decision. Traders are pricing in cautious optimism from the BOE as inflation persists, which adds strength to GBP. The divergence in policy stance between the BOE and BOJ creates a favorable environment for GBPJPY bulls. Technically, the falling wedge breakout is happening in line with higher lows and sustained buying volume. The 190.000 region served as a strong support base, and the breakout above wedge resistance around 191.800 now turns that area into support. The next key resistance sits at 195.000, with potential extension toward the psychological zone of 197.400. This setup aligns with a trend continuation following the recent impulsive wave, and the risk-reward profile remains attractive for swing buyers. As long as GBPJPY holds above 190.800, the upside thesis remains valid. Keep an eye on UK rate sentiment and BOJ updates to support this technical play.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
4
DeGRAM | GBPJPY Formed a Falling Wedge📊 Technical Analysis ● Clean breakout above the 190.3 –191.3 demand zone and retest of the grey downtrend line sets a bullish base. ● The small falling wedge points to horizontal resistance at 193.5. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● BoE minutes reveal a hawkish tilt, cementing a wide UK–Japan yield gap as markets push back rate-cut bets . ● BoJ stays ultra-dovish: April CPI slowed to 2.3 % YoY, keeping the yen soft against higher-yielding currencies . ✨ Summary Demand-zone hold + hawkish BoE/dovish BoJ underline a short-term long bias: targets 193.5 → 196; invalidation on a close below 190. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
13
GBPJPY - Crazy Bullish!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand zone marked in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
18
GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY is currently trading near 190.80 and is forming a significant breakout structure on the 3-day chart. After months of consolidation under a descending trendline, the pair is now coiling tightly, signaling a potential bullish breakout. The pair has respected the lower support range near 183.70 while pushing up against descending resistance multiple times. This squeeze pattern often precedes a major directional move, and with bullish momentum building, GBPJPY could be primed for a rally toward the 210.00 zone. Fundamentally, the British pound is finding strong support from the latest hawkish commentary by the Bank of England, which has hinted that inflation remains sticky, keeping rate cut expectations delayed. On the other hand, the Japanese yen remains under consistent pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-dovish stance and yield curve control policies. The BoJ’s reluctance to shift its policy outlook, coupled with soft macro data from Japan, is weakening the yen across the board. Technically, a breakout and close above the descending trendline around 194.00 will be a key confirmation point. If this happens, bulls could dominate and push GBPJPY toward the 210.00 resistance zone in the medium term. The R\:R on this setup remains favorable with stops safely tucked below 183.70, giving this trade strong upside potential. This pair is currently one of my top watchlist setups for May as both the technical and fundamental landscapes align. With bullish sentiment driving GBP strength and JPY weakness being a prevailing macro theme, GBPJPY could deliver a powerful upside continuation if the breakout confirms.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
GBPJPY: Entering the most optimal medium-term Sell Zone.The GBPJPY pair is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.237, MACD = 0.300, ADX = 16.909) as it is expanding the bullish wave of the 6 month Channel Down. The two prior peaked on the 0.786 and 0.9 Fibonacci retracement level respectively. This bullish wave has already reached the 0.786 Fib, so it has entered the most optimal Sell Zone for the medium term. Even if it peaks on the 0.9 Fib, a -5.90% bearish wave (similar with the 3 prior) would test 183.500. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
GBP/JPY Breaks Above 196.00! Continuation or Distribution?Detailed Techno-Macro Analysis – GBP/JPY GBP/JPY has just completed a significant weekly structure breakout, pushing through a key supply zone between 195.00 and 196.30 — an area that historically acted as strong resistance. The breakout occurred via a high-volatility daily candle that closed above the zone, indicating strong bullish pressure. 🔍 Structure & Price Action Price action shows higher lows and higher highs: a clearly defined bullish structure. The breakout originated from an accumulation base, following a false bearish breakout below 188.50 (bull trap). RSI is around 70 on the daily timeframe → strong momentum, but signs of potential exhaustion. 🧠 Key Zones Identified Current weekly supply: 195.00 – 196.80 (being tested) Next resistance: 198.70 – 199.50 (swing high and monthly level) Immediate support: 194.00 – 192.80 (ideal area for pullback and long setups) Structural support: 190.50 – 188.80 Invalidation: Daily close below 191.00 → potential reversal signal 📈 Macro & Fundamental Context 🇬🇧 UK Macro Update Wages rising: +5.5% (above expectations) → could support further monetary tightening Claimant count increasing → early weakness in the labor market Mixed data, but wage growth bias favors GBP strength 🇯🇵 JPY Still Weak BoJ remains ultra-accommodative Verbal interventions from Japanese officials haven’t yet had structural impact 🪙 Retail Sentiment 70% of retail traders are short GBP/JPY, with an average price of 190.59 Only 30% are long, with an average price of 194.65 ➡️ Current price (196.30) is above both → retail squeeze in play. Contrarian setup confirmed. 🧾 COT Report GBP (Non-Commercial Speculators): Long: +3,320 contracts Short: -1,956 contracts ➡️ Net long positions increasing → favorable institutional exposure JPY: Mixed positions, with increases in both long and short → institutional neutrality on the yen 📅 Seasonality – GBP/JPY May is historically bearish on both 5Y and 20Y timeframes: 5Y: -2.52% 20Y: -0.43% Only the 2Y pattern shows a positive return ➡️ Negative seasonality vs. bullish technical structure → conflict worth watching 🔍 Execution Summary The bullish breakout is strong and supported by sentiment and institutional positioning, but price is now entering a potential distribution zone, where profit-taking could increase. 👉 Main scenario: technical pullback toward 194.00–192.80 for possible long entries, targeting 198.50–199.50 👉 Alternative scenario: daily close below 191.00 → bias reversal and bearish continuation
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D8 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D8 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
DeGRAM | GBPJPY broke through and fixed above the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price has broken the 8‑month descending channel’s roof and reclaimed the last swing‑high at 194, turning it into support and signalling a trend reversal. ● The move launches from a bullish pennant; its measured target and the channel’s midline converge in the 196 – 197.8 resistance zone. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● UK average earnings held above 6 % y/y in April, curbing BoE‑cut speculation and keeping gilt yields elevated. ● Japan’s Q1 GDP shrank and the BoJ left policy ultra‑loose, widening the UK–JP rate gap and pressuring the yen. ✨ Summary Channel breakout plus strong UK data and soft JPY bias favour a long GBP/JPY: aim for 196 → 197.8, risk managed on a daily close back below 194. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
GBP/JPY Fibo ResistanceGBP/JPY has been on a run with more than 1,000 pips gained on the pair from the April 9th low around the 185.00 handle. There's been a few different clean setups, as well, such as the ascending triangle when the 190.00 level was holding as resistance, and then support. The BoJ rate decision helped to prod JPY weakness and then there's been widespread continuation of risk-on so far to start this week. There's also some important context for the bullish continuation theme given this week's early rally... The long-term gap from back in 2008 continues to carry weight and we saw that last week as the bottom of that gap at 193.61 held as resistance. The top of that gap sits at 198.08 and this was resistance when it was last in-play on January 7th. At this point there's also Fibonacci resistance at 195.66 coming in to hold the highs, and this sets the stage for a higher-low at either 195.00 or 193.61. A show of support there opens the door for bullish continuation, and the top of that gap would be an ideal area for resistance to show at or around 198.08. Also of interest is a shorter-term Fibonacci level at 197.41 which is confluent with the psychological level of 197.50. - js
by FOREXcom
Lingrid | GBPJPY potential Short-Term RetracementFX:GBPJPY broke above the March high but immediately reversed, forming a fake breakout paired with bearish divergence. This signals potential exhaustion as the pair sits near the upper boundary of the resistance zone. A pullback toward 194.200 or deeper into the 192 area appears increasingly likely. 📌 Key Levels Support level: 192.338 Invalidation level: Above 196.500 Target area: 194.200 and possibly 192.338 ⚠️ Risks Continued bullish pressure could invalidate the bearish reversal setup A sustained hold above 196 would point to trend continuation toward 198+ Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
2
GBPJPY ChoCh + Order Block = Bearish Liquidity Hunt Setup 🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: GBPJPY | 30-Min Chart This is one of those A+ textbook SMC setups where Smart Money is likely loading shorts before the next liquidity raid. Let’s break it down: 🔄 1. Change of Character (ChoCh) Market flipped structure cleanly, printing a ChoCh below a key internal low. That’s our signal that Smart Money is likely done accumulating and prepping for a distribution move. 🟪 2. Order Block + Premium Price Zone Price is retracing into a well-defined bearish Order Block right inside a premium zone. This OB sits just below a Strong High at 195.855 — a clear inducement level. Retail traders will chase that high... and get wrecked. You’ll notice that OB is marked around 195.341–195.600 — right where liquidity pools stack. 🧲 3. Target: Weak Low at 193.640 Smart Money doesn’t care about patterns. It wants liquidity — and there’s a juicy Weak Low sitting at 193.640 waiting to be swept. 📐 4. Trade Setup Idea (R:R Approx. 4:1) 🔼 Entry Zone: 195.300–195.500 ❌ Stop Loss: Just above Strong High: 195.880 ✅ Target: 193.640 (liquidity sweep) This setup gives you a tight stop and a wide target — just how SMC likes it. 🎯 Execution Tip: Wait for: Rejection wick inside OB Bearish engulfing confirmation BOS on lower timeframe before entering Partial TP at mid-FVG or 194.200. Let the rest run. 📎 Confluences: ✅ ChoCh ✅ Bearish OB ✅ Rejection from premium pricing ✅ Clear inducement above Strong High ✅ Weak low as draw-on-liquidity ⚠️ Risk Reminder: Don’t front-run the OB. Let price come to you. Watch how Smart Money manipulates before you execute. Confirmation > prediction. 🔚 Summary: GBPJPY is set for a bearish redistribution move. The structure shift, clean OB, and weak low target all scream “trap above, raid below.” You’re either trading with Smart Money… or you’re the liquidity. 💬 Drop “🎯” if you’re targeting the same liquidity level. 📉 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more deadly-accurate setups. 🚨 Tag a friend who keeps buying into strong highs 😅
Short
by ChartNinjas88
GBPJPY - Correction Likely as New Week BeginsThe GBP/JPY chart shows a strong recovery from April lows near 185.00, but the pair now appears to be facing significant resistance at the highlighted box level around 193.50. After multiple attempts to break decisively above this zone in recent sessions, the price action is forming what looks like a short-term double top pattern, with the downward arrow indicating potential bearish momentum. This technical setup, combined with overbought conditions after the impressive rally from late April, suggests we may see some profit-taking and a corrective pullback in the beginning of the week. Traders should watch for a potential retracement toward the support level around 191.00-190.50 before the pair potentially attempts another run at the resistance zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship