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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBPJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 Pro Trade Plan – GBP/JPY 🗓️ Date: May 15, 2025 🧾 Style: Discretionary | Raw Price Action | Institutional Flow Logic 🧭 Market Narrative & Multi-TF View: 1H: Price coiling tightly under 196.20. Wicks showing absorption near highs. Volatility compression = breakout likely. 4H: Consolidation just below previous supply. Strong demand from 195.00 zone holding firm. 1D: Structural pivot. Buyers showing dominance with higher lows but stuck under ceiling. Weekly: Mid-structure churn. Trend still bullish-biased, but 196.50–198.00 key resistance area. 🎯 Trade Strategy Breakdown ✅ Primary Trade Idea: Breakout Long (Pending Order) Type: Intraday to short-term swing Status: 🟡 Pending Breakout – Not Yet Triggered Trigger: H1 or H4 candle close above 196.20 Order Type: Pending Buy Stop @ 196.25 Stop Loss: 195.20 (below 4H structure low) Take Profits: TP1: 196.80 (gap fill) TP2: 197.50 (weekly resistance touch) TP3: 198.20 (extended HTF supply zone) Confidence: 🔵 80% Reason: Solid support below, compression pattern, potential for volatility burst. My Forecast: Breakout likely after compression. I would personally take this setup with tight control on SL if liquidity sweep occurs first. My Forecast: This is tactical – if no clean breakout, we might trap late buyers, dip back to range low. I would only consider it if I see full rejection confirmation. 🧪 Forecast Summary & Execution Logic ✅ Most likely outcome: Breakout to upside after 196.20 breach ❗ Do not enter early — wait for candle close above 196.20 🧠 I would set a pending buy stop and watch volume at the break ❌ Avoid market buys without structure confirmation 🛠️ Final Execution Checklist: Criteria Status Compression below resistance ✅ Institutional liquidity nearby ✅ MTF bias aligned (1H–4H–1D) ✅ Breakout confirmation candle ⏳ Waiting Volume + PA signal ⏳ Waiting 💬 What I Would Do: I will only execute the Buy plan if 196.20 breaks with a solid body and confirmation on H1/H4. I'd place a Buy Stop @ 196.25 with a defined SL. If price rejects violently with a proper reversal signal, I’ll shift focus to the tactical short plan but with reduced size. No market orders pre-break — disciplined entry only.
Long
by jibkhan111
5
DeGRAM | GBPJPY reached the resistance for the third time📊 Technical Analysis ● Price stalled in the 195.5-196.0 red resistance zone and printed a bearish engulfing (labelled “bearish take-over”) after repeatedly failing at the channel roof; the pattern completes a rising-wedge false break. ● Candle has slipped back under the mid-support band 194.0-194.3 and the wedge base; sustained trade below it opens a drop toward 193.50 (prior swing shelf) then 191.80 within the broader channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● After May’s weak UK GDP outlook and dovish Bailey remarks, gilts out-performed JGBs for a second week, trimming the yield premium, while risk-off flows ahead of the BoJ meeting add yen demand. ✨ Summary Short ≤195.5; break beneath 194.0 targets 193.5 → 191.8, stretch 190.4. Short view void on a 4 h close above 196.0. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
4
GBPJPY STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREGBPJPY STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE. Market is forming lower low, which indicates downtrend in 30 minutes time frame charts. Market was trading in secondary trend from lest few sessions. Candlestick reversal pattern can be shown at the top of secondary trend. market is expected to remain bearish for upcoming sessions. On lower side market may hit the targets of 194.90 and 194.30. On higher side 196.45 can be major resistance level.
Short
by TraderAishDXB
OANDA: GBPJPY Sell SetupBased on current price action, the market has approached a key resistance level, forming equal highs—a potential signal of liquidity buildup. Subsequently, a bearish rejection has emerged, suggesting a possible reversal to the downside. As history often repeats itself, there's a strong probability that price may decline again following this structure. Trade Setup (Risk Parameters): Entry: 195.453 Stop Loss: 195.807 Target Levels: Take Profit 1: 194.774 Take Profit 2: 194.253 Take Profit 3: 193.305 I welcome your insights—feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. If you find this analysis helpful, consider boosting and following for more trade ideas. Wishing everyone safe and profitable trading!
Short
by TradesbyJV
20
GBPJPY Eyes Reversal from Resistance – Bears Geting ReadyHey Traders, OANDA:GBPJPY is currently testing a key resistance zone around 195.75 - 196.35, showing early signs of rejection. The pair recently completed a bullish impulse, but bearish pressure is creeping in as price forms a potential lower high-suggesting a possible shift in structure. Current Market Conditions: Price is reacting to a historically significant resistance near 196.35, which has capped previous rallies. Bearish engulfing candle near this zone signals exhaustion of bullish momentum. A break below 195.00 would confirm a short-term trend reversal, with room for a deeper pullback. Next major support lies at 193.51, which aligns with previous demand and consolidation zones. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: Today’s UK labor market data showed slowing wage growth, reducing pressure on the Bank of England to maintain a hawkish stance. Meanwhile, JPY strength is creeping in as market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming BoJ announcements. This divergence in monetary policy outlooks may fuel further downside in GBPJPY. Targets: TP1: 194.79 TP2: 193.51 TP3 (extended): 192.20 (if risk sentiment sharply worsens) Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Above 196.35 to invalidate bearish bias. Maintain proper position sizing. Wait for confirmation of a lower high or trendline break before aggressive entry. Technical Outlook: Potential bearish structure forming. Resistance held multiple times between 195.75 – 196.35. Rejection candles and a break of recent support would favor sellers. Conclusion: If price confirms rejection at current levels, bears could take control toward 193.50 support. Keep an eye on momentum shifts and key price action signals for confirmation. Sign-off: "Markets move on conviction, not hope. Trade what you see, not what you feel." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
Short
by SignalSage_Ben
GBPJPY H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 195.46, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fib retracement. Our take profit will be at 194.57, a pullback support level that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fib retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 196.44, a swing-high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
1
GBPJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY. Time Frame: 30m Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 193.470. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 193.034 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBP/JPY: Institutional Moves Signal Liquidity ShiftFenzoFx—GBP/JPY tested the 196.4 resistance for the third time since May, with no liquidity sweep above this level, indicating massive liquidity remains. GBP/JPY approaches 194.6 support with a full-body bearish candlestick, suggesting institutional selling pressure. The COT report shows non-commercial traders reducing long positions, with a net change of -12,863 contracts. Despite the dip, GBP/JPY remains bullish, and 194.6 could offer a discount entry. Traders should monitor M5 and M15 for long entries. A breakout above 196.4 could target 198.25. >>> Trade GBP/JPY at FenzoFx.
Long
by FenzoFxBroker
GJ-Tue-10/06/25 TDA-Claimant count change negative, GJ down!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! To understand if you are really for the long term trading your mindset should not be if I make losses I can always fund another account again or buy new challenges but it shifts to how can I protect my capital so I will lose less and in the future avoiding to make same mistakes? Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Short
by Mister_Y