EDUCATION: Why I’m Still in the GBPJPY TradeWhy I’m Still in the GBPJPY Trade—Even After Hitting the Target
Most traders hit a target and run. And honestly? That’s fine.
But this time, we’re doing something different.
Our GBPJPY trade—entered at 188.813 with a target at 195.170—just did what many doubted: it hit the target. That’s over 630 pips of calculated risk, patience, and pure follow-through. But instead of closing the position and patting ourselves on the back, we’re letting it run.
Here’s why:
1. Momentum Isn’t Slowing Down
Price action is bullish. Higher highs, clean structure, and no major signs of reversal yet. When the market is walking in your favor, don’t interrupt it just to feel “right.”
2. Smart Traders Let Their Winners Run
It’s not just a quote—it’s a survival skill in trading. Letting profits develop is how you avoid the trap of small wins and big losses. This trade is still showing strength, and we’re adapting with it.
3. The Higher Timeframe Story Still Has Room
On the daily and weekly charts, GBPJPY could still reach into extended zones. With fundamentals aligning and technicals confirming, why leave early?
A Quick Recap:
Entry: 188.813
Original Target: 195.170 ✅
Current Action: Letting it ride 🚀
Lessons from This Trade:
A plan should include the possibility of more than just your first target.
Exit strategy matters just as much as entry.
Emotional discipline separates reactive traders from real ones.
Would you stay in the trade or take the money and bounce? Let me know—because this is the part where traders split into two camps: the ones who close too early... and the ones who play the full game.
Watch the full trade update and analysis now on YouTube.
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPJPY Trade Update: New Month, New Momentum?As we flip the calendar into a new month, our GBPJPY swing trade has shown solid progress—reaching 193.030, just over halfway to our final target at 195.170. Originally entered at 188.813, this move has delivered over 400 pips so far, validating the analysis behind the setup.
In this phase of the trade, it’s less about jumping to adjust and more about staying focused on trade management and letting the market reveal its next intention. Price is approaching a key zone of interest where momentum often stalls or accelerates, and we’re watching closely for signs of strength—or hesitation.
Key insights from this phase of the trade:
The power of planning your exit with as much precision as your entry.
How end-of-month and new-month flows can trigger volatility.
When to lock in partial profits and when to stay patient.
With strong bullish structure still intact, the GBPJPY pair is giving us every reason to stay in the trade, eyes on the 195.170 target.
Would you hold or secure the bag here? Let me know how you’d play it from this point forward.
📺 Full breakdown and next steps now in the video!
GBP/JPY Breaks Above 196.00! Continuation or Distribution?Detailed Techno-Macro Analysis – GBP/JPY
GBP/JPY has just completed a significant weekly structure breakout, pushing through a key supply zone between 195.00 and 196.30 — an area that historically acted as strong resistance. The breakout occurred via a high-volatility daily candle that closed above the zone, indicating strong bullish pressure.
🔍 Structure & Price Action
Price action shows higher lows and higher highs: a clearly defined bullish structure.
The breakout originated from an accumulation base, following a false bearish breakout below 188.50 (bull trap).
RSI is around 70 on the daily timeframe → strong momentum, but signs of potential exhaustion.
🧠 Key Zones Identified
Current weekly supply: 195.00 – 196.80 (being tested)
Next resistance: 198.70 – 199.50 (swing high and monthly level)
Immediate support: 194.00 – 192.80 (ideal area for pullback and long setups)
Structural support: 190.50 – 188.80
Invalidation: Daily close below 191.00 → potential reversal signal
📈 Macro & Fundamental Context
🇬🇧 UK Macro Update
Wages rising: +5.5% (above expectations) → could support further monetary tightening
Claimant count increasing → early weakness in the labor market
Mixed data, but wage growth bias favors GBP strength
🇯🇵 JPY Still Weak
BoJ remains ultra-accommodative
Verbal interventions from Japanese officials haven’t yet had structural impact
🪙 Retail Sentiment
70% of retail traders are short GBP/JPY, with an average price of 190.59
Only 30% are long, with an average price of 194.65
➡️ Current price (196.30) is above both → retail squeeze in play. Contrarian setup confirmed.
🧾 COT Report
GBP (Non-Commercial Speculators):
Long: +3,320 contracts
Short: -1,956 contracts
➡️ Net long positions increasing → favorable institutional exposure
JPY:
Mixed positions, with increases in both long and short → institutional neutrality on the yen
📅 Seasonality – GBP/JPY
May is historically bearish on both 5Y and 20Y timeframes:
5Y: -2.52%
20Y: -0.43%
Only the 2Y pattern shows a positive return
➡️ Negative seasonality vs. bullish technical structure → conflict worth watching
🔍 Execution Summary
The bullish breakout is strong and supported by sentiment and institutional positioning, but price is now entering a potential distribution zone, where profit-taking could increase.
👉 Main scenario: technical pullback toward 194.00–192.80 for possible long entries, targeting 198.50–199.50
👉 Alternative scenario: daily close below 191.00 → bias reversal and bearish continuation
GBPJPY Daily , 4hr Technical AnalysisGBP/JPY is expected to turn bearish from the 194.20 - 195.45 zone, with a projected drop towards the 180.70 - 178.25 area, where it may find support and potentially reverse into a bullish move. However, there's also a possibility of a continued bearish breakout that could extend the decline further towards the 174.45 level.
GBPJPY: Bears Will Push Lower
The recent price action on the GBPJPY pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPJPY..LONGAnalysis complete
scenarios outlined. The zone could be a decision point for [ OANDA:GBPJPY ]. Price reaction here may define the next move.
*** If price breaks and pulls back to retest, a reversal setup might emerge.
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For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
GBPJPY ChoCh + Order Block = Bearish Liquidity Hunt Setup 🧠 Smart Money Breakdown: GBPJPY | 30-Min Chart
This is one of those A+ textbook SMC setups where Smart Money is likely loading shorts before the next liquidity raid.
Let’s break it down:
🔄 1. Change of Character (ChoCh)
Market flipped structure cleanly, printing a ChoCh below a key internal low. That’s our signal that Smart Money is likely done accumulating and prepping for a distribution move.
🟪 2. Order Block + Premium Price Zone
Price is retracing into a well-defined bearish Order Block right inside a premium zone. This OB sits just below a Strong High at 195.855 — a clear inducement level. Retail traders will chase that high... and get wrecked.
You’ll notice that OB is marked around 195.341–195.600 — right where liquidity pools stack.
🧲 3. Target: Weak Low at 193.640
Smart Money doesn’t care about patterns. It wants liquidity — and there’s a juicy Weak Low sitting at 193.640 waiting to be swept.
📐 4. Trade Setup Idea (R:R Approx. 4:1)
🔼 Entry Zone: 195.300–195.500
❌ Stop Loss: Just above Strong High: 195.880
✅ Target: 193.640 (liquidity sweep)
This setup gives you a tight stop and a wide target — just how SMC likes it.
🎯 Execution Tip:
Wait for:
Rejection wick inside OB
Bearish engulfing confirmation
BOS on lower timeframe before entering
Partial TP at mid-FVG or 194.200. Let the rest run.
📎 Confluences:
✅ ChoCh
✅ Bearish OB
✅ Rejection from premium pricing
✅ Clear inducement above Strong High
✅ Weak low as draw-on-liquidity
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Don’t front-run the OB. Let price come to you. Watch how Smart Money manipulates before you execute. Confirmation > prediction.
🔚 Summary:
GBPJPY is set for a bearish redistribution move. The structure shift, clean OB, and weak low target all scream “trap above, raid below.”
You’re either trading with Smart Money… or you’re the liquidity.
💬 Drop “🎯” if you’re targeting the same liquidity level.
📉 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more deadly-accurate setups.
🚨 Tag a friend who keeps buying into strong highs 😅
GBPJPY DAILY ANALYSIS $$$OANDA:GBPJPY 1H : Bullish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bearish MSS + OB + IMB
EXPECTION : The price is currently inside the 15-minute zone and if it confirms, I will definitely share it with you in private. Don't forget to follow and like.
1: The price will fall from here. With confirmation, of course, it is more likely because there is a gap at the bottom and the gap must be filled, but enter the sale with low risk because the trend is bullish in higher time frames.
2: If the 15-minute zone breaks and becomes bullish, we will wait for the price to retest for a buy trade.
GBPJPY-SELL strategy 6 hourly chart - Regression channelThe pair is a little overbought, and we are above the top-end of the channel. Usually we will see a return to mid-range of it, and therefore it feels we may see a reasonable chanjce for lower levels to be seen again.
Strategy SELL @ 195.00-195.50 and take profit near 193.75 for now.
GJ-Tue-13/05/25 TDA-Eyes on US CPI, weekend gap unfilled yet!Analysis done directly on the chart
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Mister Y
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Gap fill
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD - SHORTI'm currently holding a bearish bias on GBP/JPY, anticipating a short-term correction after recent overbought conditions. Price action shows signs of exhaustion, and I'm expecting a move downward to fill the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) left behind during the previous bullish impulse.
Trade Rationale:
Overbought Conditions: After a strong upside move, price has reached a zone where buyers are losing momentum, hinting at a potential reversal or pullback.
Imbalance/FVG Zones: Clear inefficiencies exist below current price levels, and I expect the market to retrace to fill these imbalances as part of its natural rebalancing.
Structure & Supply: The market is showing reaction near a significant supply zone, which could act as the catalyst for bearish continuation.
Target Zones:
TP1: First demand zone where minor support may form — partials can be taken here.
TP2: Deeper demand zone aligned with previous consolidation — a high-probability area for price to react and potentially reverse or consolidate again.
Risk Management:
Stops are placed just above recent highs, invalidating the idea if the market breaks structure and continues bullish. The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio aligned with smart money concepts like imbalance fills and demand/supply reactions.
📉 Plan: Waiting for clear bearish confirmation (e.g., lower timeframe break of structure) before fully committing to the short position.
GBPJPY SHORT Trend: Strong recent bullish momentum.
Current Price: ~195.458 JPY.
Setup: A short (sell) position is marked, suggesting a potential reversal.
Stop-Loss: Around 195.924.
Take-Profit: Around 193.649.
Volume: Spiked during the breakout, now stabilizing.
EMA 200: Price is well above, indicating strong upward bias, but overbought risk.
GBP/JPY Fibo ResistanceGBP/JPY has been on a run with more than 1,000 pips gained on the pair from the April 9th low around the 185.00 handle. There's been a few different clean setups, as well, such as the ascending triangle when the 190.00 level was holding as resistance, and then support.
The BoJ rate decision helped to prod JPY weakness and then there's been widespread continuation of risk-on so far to start this week. There's also some important context for the bullish continuation theme given this week's early rally...
The long-term gap from back in 2008 continues to carry weight and we saw that last week as the bottom of that gap at 193.61 held as resistance. The top of that gap sits at 198.08 and this was resistance when it was last in-play on January 7th.
At this point there's also Fibonacci resistance at 195.66 coming in to hold the highs, and this sets the stage for a higher-low at either 195.00 or 193.61. A show of support there opens the door for bullish continuation, and the top of that gap would be an ideal area for resistance to show at or around 198.08. Also of interest is a shorter-term Fibonacci level at 197.41 which is confluent with the psychological level of 197.50. - js
GBP JPY SELL SET UP🔥 GBPJPY Sell Setup – Clean & Calculated 🔥
Here’s the play on GBPJPY 👇
🧠 Working off key resistance zones + multiple reaction points
⚠️ Trigger: A weak high lining up perfectly with validated resistance
🎯 Plan:
3 Entries: Top, Mid & Bottom of the zone
Targeting the 2H Bullish Order Block for the exit
Simple structure. Solid logic. No overcomplication.
⚖️ Risk Profile:
Fully managed
Starting with a clean 4:1 R:R
High probability setup with a smart edge
Let’s see how price respects the zone — discipline over emotion every time. 🧘♂️
💬 Chart coming next. Drop your thoughts or ask questions in the group!
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