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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBPJPYUnited Kingdom (GBP) 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.50%–4.51% (June 19–20, 2025) Bank of England Interest Rate: As of June 19, 2025, the Bank of England (BoE) has held the official Bank Rate steady at 4.25%. This decision was made by a 6-3 majority vote of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) during its June meeting. Key Points: Current Interest Rate: 4.25% (held steady) Inflation: UK annual inflation stood at 3.4% in May 2025, above the BoE’s 2% target but slightly easing from previous months. Inflation Outlook: The BoE expects inflation to rise to about 3.7% in Q3 2025 before gradually declining next year. Economic Growth: UK GDP growth remains weak, with some signs of a softening labor market and moderating wage growth. Monetary Policy Stance: The BoE maintains a cautious, data-dependent approach, keeping rates restrictive to combat inflation but ready to adjust as economic conditions evolve. Rate Cuts: Although the BoE held rates in June, markets and analysts widely expect the first rate cut to come in August 2025, with further cuts possible later in the year depending on inflation and growth data. Geopolitical Risks: Rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainties over global tariffs could add inflationary pressures, influencing future BoE decisions. MPC adopted 4.25% (held steady at the June 2025 meeting) Japan (JPY) 10-Year Japanese Government Bond Yield: 1.44%–1.45% (June 19–20, 2025) Bank of Japan Interest Rate: 0.50% (unchanged as of May/June 2025) Summary Table Country 10Y Bond Yield Policy Interest Rate United Kingdom 4.50%–4.51% 4.25% Japan 1.44%–1.45% 0.50% Interpretation for GBPJPY The yield and interest rate differentials remain strongly in favor of the British pound. This supports GBPJPY on a fundamental basis, as higher UK yields and rates attract capital relative to Japan’s much lower rates. The Bank of England is holding rates steady due to persistent inflation, while the Bank of Japan is also on hold but at a much lower level, reflecting Japan’s ongoing low inflation and growth outlook. #GBPJPY
Long
by Shavyfxhub
GBPJPY Will Go Lower! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 196.531. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 195.203 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
GBPJPY SHORT (swing)This is a trade setup based on a **Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern**. The pattern meets all the key Fibonacci criteria for validity. Specifically, the AB leg retraces 80.8% of XA, which is close to the ideal 78.6% level and is considered acceptable, especially since it closed with a wick. The BC leg retraces 37.5% of AB, which is within the standard range of 38.2% to 88.6%. The CD leg extends 127% of XA, which is the minimum required for a valid Butterfly pattern, and also extends 252% of BC, which falls within the acceptable range of 161.8% to 261.8%. What makes this setup stronger is that the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at point D coincides with a **major resistance level**, adding significant technical confluence to the area. This increases the probability of a market reaction or reversal from that zone. However, no entry will be taken immediately upon price reaching the PRZ. A trade will only be initiated **after the appearance of a confirmed reversal candlestick pattern** at or near the D point, such as a bearish engulfing. This ensures that we enter with confirmation and not just based on pattern completion.
Short
by SIGNALS_VAULTFX
GBPJPY| Midweek OutlookEven though it’s midweek, I wanted to share an update on GBPJPY and walk you through the process so far. ⁣ Price has been showing clear bullish structure from the 4H down to the 30M, so I remained patient and waited for price to revisit and mitigate a bullish order block — and that’s exactly what we got. ⁣ Now that mitigation has played out, I’m watching closely for LTF confirmations to line up. Ideally looking for entry opportunities around 196.006 – 195.922, depending on how the lower timeframes react and confirm. ⁣ Not rushing anything — just executing based on structure, mitigation, and confirmation. I’ll continue updating as price develops. ⁣ #GBPJPY #SMC #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GJSetup #MidweekOutlook #InducementKing #DayTrader Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
GBPJPY Elliott Wave Outlook: Impulse Pattern Approaching EndThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for GBPJPY indicates that the cycle initiated from the April 9, 2025 low has reached a mature stage. The upward movement is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure, a hallmark of Elliott Wave theory, signaling a strong bullish trend. Wave 1 concluded at 189.82, followed by a corrective pullback in Wave 2, which found support at 185.98. The subsequent rally in Wave 3, as depicted on the 1-hour chart, peaked at 196.84. Wave 4 then unfolded as a zigzag corrective structure. Its internal subdivisions completing as follows: Wave ((a)) declined to 194.75, and wave ((b)) rebounded to 195.33. Wave ((c)) finalized at 196, marking the completion of Wave 4 in the higher degree. Currently, GBPJPY has resumed its ascent in Wave 5. From the Wave 4 low, the rally has so far developed in three waves. Wave (i) reached 196.7, followed by a dip in Wave (ii) to 196.09. Wave (iii) extended higher to 198.19. A corrective pullback in Wave (iv) is anticipated to find support within the 196.2–196.8 range, likely in a three-wave structure. Afterwards, one final push higher in Wave (v) should happen to complete Wave ((i)) of 5 in the higher degree. Following this, a larger-degree correction in Wave ((ii)) is expected to retrace the cycle from the June 19, 2025 low. Pullback is likely unfolding in a 3, 7, or 11-swing pattern before the pair resumes its upward trajectory.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
GBPJPY Keeps Recovering, But It’s Approaching ResistanceGBP/JPY is on the rise but is approaching the upper boundary of the 2024–2025 range, which could present strong resistance around the 200 level. Keep in mind that the decline from the 2024 highs to the July lows near 180 was impulsive, while the current rebound appears slow and corrective—possibly a wave B within a flat correction or even part of a triangle formation. In either case, we believe some further sideways price action is likely, followed by a potential downward turn from this prior subwave A resistance zone.
by ew-forecast
GBPJPY making bullish flag patternafter breaking daily resistance level the price is now retesting it if you open the chart on 1Hr tf you will see that price broke that resistance level with quite strong momentum and is retracing and if it gets a bounce from this level and break the flag pattern strongly then there are high chances that price will meet the price projection of flag pattern as there is no divergence and no other major sign of reversal it seems price action will be bullish
Long
by faisal-101
GBP/JPY Faces Key Resistance LevelOver the last four trading sessions, the GBP/JPY pair has appreciated by nearly 1%, favoring the British pound against the yen. This move has been driven mainly by the strength of the British currency, which for now has allowed a consistent bullish bias to take hold in the short term. At the moment, the pound has remained strong in part due to the neutral policy stance taken by the Bank of England, which maintained its rate at 5% in the latest decision, reflecting continued high inflation in the UK. In contrast, Japan's situation appears different: in its most recent meeting, the Bank of Japan kept interest rates close to 0% after observing signs of inflation slowing, maintaining its ultra-loose monetary policy, unlike other central banks. The contrast between low rates in Japan and higher rates in the UK has created a divergence in central bank policy, making pound-denominated assets more attractive—a dynamic that has continued to weigh on the yen’s recovery in the short term. Additionally, it’s important to consider that the yen is viewed as a key safe-haven currency. However, this week, following the ceasefire in the Middle East conflict, market confidence has rebounded, reducing constant demand for safe-haven assets like the yen in recent sessions. If these factors persist, they could support a stronger buying pressure on GBP/JPY in the coming days. Broad Lateral Range Although there has been an attempt to establish a short-term uptrend, the broader view on the chart still shows a clear sideways range, and for now, the price must once again face the upper resistance zone of that range to confirm a potential breakout that would establish a stronger bullish bias. Until then, the lateral range remains the dominant structure, particularly while resistance holds firm at the upper boundary around 198.245—a level where some corrective pullbacks may begin to build. RSI The RSI indicator has started to show lower highs, while the price continues to print higher highs. This confirms the presence of a bearish divergence, which could open the door for possible downward corrections to emerge on the chart. MACD The MACD histogram is hovering close to the neutral zero line, indicating that the average strength of the moving averages is still in a zone of indecision, with no clear dominant momentum. If this situation continues, the current bullish bias may struggle to advance further. Key Levels to Watch: 198.245 – Major resistance: This level marks the most important resistance on the chart, sitting at the top of the broader lateral range. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could trigger an aggressive buying bias, potentially extending the short-term uptrend. 196.406 – Nearby barrier: A short-term neutral zone, this level may act as a barrier to downward corrections if selling pressure increases. 193.592 – Critical support: This level aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages. If selling pressure brings the price back to this zone, it could negate the current bullish trend and give way to a broader sideways channel on the chart. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25GJ SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D26 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GJ-Wed-25/06/25 TDA-Bullish structure created, more upsidesAnalysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned! Knowing when not to trade is as important as taking good trades. Just like you can take good trades, good wins. Understanding when not to trade, it can saves you from bad trades and avoidable losses. Easy to say than done. Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Long
by Mister_Y
GBPJPY breakout confirmed: what comes next?GBPJPY just triggered an ascending triangle pattern with a 450-pip upside. We dive into the pattern, key levels to watch, and how to manage risk with a 4.8 risk-reward setup. Will it retest before heading higher? Let us know your view in the comments. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
GBPJPY: Pullback From Trend Line 🇬🇧🇯🇵 I think that GBPJPY may bounce from a rising trend line that I spotted on a daily time frame. As a confirmation, I spotted 2 intraday bullish breakouts: a violation of a resistance line of a falling channel and a breakout of a neckline of a cup & handle pattern. Goal - 195.0 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1