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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBPJPY at a Turning Point: Triple Top Signals Potential DeclineGBPJPY at a Turning Point: Triple Top Signals Potential Decline Fundamental Analysis: GBP is showing signs of weakness against the Japanese Yen following the latest UK employment data. The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.6% for the three months ending in April, while the Claimant Count Change increased by 33.1K in May. Meanwhile, hawkish expectations for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continue to strengthen the Japanese Yen. Technical Analysis: GBPJPY has encountered strong resistance near the recent highs for the third time, increasing the likelihood of a decline, as seen on the chart. The price action suggests the formation of a triple top pattern, which could trigger a deeper drop from this zone. Targets: 🎯 194.70 🎯 193.60 🎯 192.40 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
29
GBPJPY At the Top? Massive Liquidity Grab📈 1. Price Action & Key Technical Levels (Daily Chart) Price reached a major supply zone between 196.0 and 197.0, showing clear rejection (weekly pin bar and a lower high structure relative to the previous peak). The long-term descending trendline acted as resistance again. A confirmed rising wedge pattern broke to the downside, with first target around 191.4, and extended target near 187.4 (key demand zone with historical confluence). Weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence vs price highs – an additional signal of bullish exhaustion. 📊 2. COT Data (as of June 3, 2025) GBP (British Pound) Net long positions increased by +30,371 contracts (Commercial + Non-Commercial). Non-Commercials: 103,672 long vs 68,457 short → net long +35,215 but the increase is relatively modest. Commercials are increasing both long and short positions, but the net delta supports medium-term GBP resilience. JPY (Japanese Yen) Net short worsened by -13,566 contracts. Non-Commercials are cutting longs and adding shorts → aggressive yen selling. Commercials remain heavily short (275,659 vs 100,151 long). ➡️ COT Conclusion: GBP remains structurally strong, but the JPY is now extremely oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical correction in favor of JPY (GBPJPY pullback). 📉 3. Retail Sentiment 72% of retail traders are short GBPJPY, with an average entry at 191.2. Current price is above 195.8 → a liquidity sweep above retail shorts may have already occurred. The order book shows a heavy sell cluster between 195.0–195.9 → potential zone of manipulation/liquidation. ➡️ Contrarian view: After sweeping liquidity above retail highs, we may now see downside pressure to clean out breakout longs. 📅 4. Seasonality June tends to be neutral to bearish: 5-year average: +0.45% (weak gain) 10- and 15-year averages: -1.24% and -1.30% Historically, the first 10 days of June often mark a local top, followed by a decline – consistent with the current price structure. 🧠 5. Macro-Technical Confluence The broader setup points to a distribution phase between 195.5–196.5, with high probability of a technical pullback toward 193.5–191.4 in the short-to-medium term. The yen's oversold conditions may ease temporarily, supporting a corrective GBPJPY retracement. Break below 193.5 would confirm the move toward 191.4 and eventually 187.4 – an area of institutional interest. 🔍 Trade Setup Summary (Bias: Bearish) Technical context: Short setup confirmed by structure break, divergence, and supply rejection. Macro/sentiment context: Supports a corrective pullback on the pair. Strategy: Look for intraday weakness below 195.0–194.5 → targeting 193.5, then 191.4. Invalidation: Daily/weekly close above 197.0.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
12
GBPJPY Strong rebound. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern. Today's geopolitics made the price form its latest Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern, which also coincided with a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and rebounded. That was a clear buy signal on the 4H RSI Support that signaled the last three bottom buys. Our Target is the top of the pattern at 196.300. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
GBPJPY follow the ascending channel selling from supply zoneGBPJPY Update – 1H Timeframe Price is respecting the ascending channel and currently reacting from a key supply zone at 166.100. Sellers are stepping in! 🎯 Technical Targets: 🔻 1st Target: 195.000 – Major Demand Zone 🔻 2nd Target: 193.300 – Bullish Order Block / Demand Zone Structure still bullish overall, but short-term correction in play. 💡 Smart money eyes the zones — are you ready? 👇 Don’t forget to: 💬 Comment your thoughts ❤️ Like if you caught the move 🔔 Follow for more real-time trade setups & market insights Trade smart. Stay ahead. — Livia 💋
Short
by LIVIATRACK
1
GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (12.06.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 194.34 2nd Support – 193.76 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
72
M Rejection & Bearish Continuation Setup (26/6/2025) Price swept buyside liquidity at 198.034, completing the second leg of an extended M pattern. A strong bearish candle confirmed a break of structure beneath the key shift line, validating short intent. Now watching for downside continuation toward 197.214 (TP level), with alerts set at 198.138 for any potential invalidation. Thesis: - Extended M structure completed after liquidity sweep - Bearish shift confirmed with strong-bodied close - Structure supports downside as long as price holds beneath 198.138 Execution rooted in structure, not assumption—letting bearish pressure unfold.
Short
by liambillo35
1
GBPJPY maintains Bullish outlook supported at 196.75 Key Support: 196.75 This level marks the prior consolidation zone and serves as a critical pivot. A corrective pullback toward 196.75 followed by a bullish reversal would validate the uptrend, with upside targets at: 199.20 – Initial resistance and short-term target 199.70 – Minor resistance zone 200.40 – Longer-term breakout objective However, a daily close below 196.75 would invalidate the bullish scenario, potentially triggering a deeper retracement toward: 195.80 – Near-term support 194.80 – Key downside level in a bearish reversal Conclusion: As long as 196.75 holds, the bias remains bullish, favoring continuation toward the 199–200 zone. A confirmed break below this support would shift momentum, opening the door for a broader corrective decline. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Counter pullback In EU at the moment price is very bullish looking at daily and 4hr time frame. In daily price has managed to break above the weak internal HH so after the break we must expect a counter pullback with LTF confirmation which we can see in 4hr where it has created fresh internal structure so I am expectating price to continue lower from its supply zone. But if price manages to break the structure to bullish I will be looking to buy from the newly formed demand zone.
Long
by fxtrends28