GBPJPY trade ideas
GJ-Wed-28/05/25 TDA-GJ pulling back ahead of FOMC minutes!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Today's FOCUS: market positioning
You can have good trade idea, BUT
you still get stopped out with loss or
break even (BE). And one of the reasons
why is your market positioning.
To solve this problem one of the good
ways is to understand firstly the higher
timeframe structure.
Ask yourself:
Am I inside the range?
Is price is breaking out of range?
ETC...
Comment down below if this was useful!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY 4hr chart Analaysis I expect GBP/JPY to turn bullish, with a potential pullback from the 191.67–191.00 zone. It’s also possible that the price slightly dips lower, reaching around 190.50, before starting a bullish trend. From there, the price may rise towards the reversal zone at 195.38–196.00.
If it breaks above this zone, the next target could be around 198.04. That level is where I expect a potential bearish reversal to occur.
This is my personal analysis based on my current understanding of the market — it's not guaranteed to be 100% accurate, but I would estimate there's around an 80% probability of it playing out this way
GBP-JPY Resistance Cluster! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY made a retest
Of the resistance cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Resistance lines around 193.989
And we are already seeing a
Bearish reaction so we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down
Sell!
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GBPJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term descending trendline on the 3D timeframe, which had capped price action for months. The breakout is now confirmed with multiple candle closes above the trendline and a retest holding firm around 190.500. This shift in structure signals a major bullish reversal, and I’m now targeting the 199.600 level as the next potential upside objective.
From a fundamental perspective, the British pound is strengthening amid persistent inflationary pressures in the UK, which are keeping the Bank of England firmly in the hawkish camp. With CPI still elevated and wage growth remaining sticky, the BoE has little room to cut rates aggressively anytime soon. In contrast, the Bank of Japan continues to hold a dovish tone with ultra-accommodative monetary policy, offering a wide interest rate differential that favors GBP longs, especially in carry trade setups.
Technically, this setup offers a clean risk-reward profile. The breakout above the descending structure combined with a strong support zone around 190.500 gives this move a solid foundation. We’re seeing momentum build with higher highs and higher lows forming across multiple timeframes. As long as GBPJPY holds above the 190.000 zone, the bullish bias remains valid and the path toward 199.600 looks open and sustainable.
Traders should keep a close eye on short-term pullbacks as potential re-entry zones. With a macro tailwind behind GBP strength and continued JPY weakness, this pair is primed for further upside. I’m riding this bullish wave with a medium-term outlook and adjusting my position based on intraday market behavior.
GBPJPY SELL OPPORTUNITYThis one is one of those far fetched setups that you look at and just hopes it plays out. From the H4 layout the price broke the trend line and retested. From the retest on the H1 chart, price formed a triple top and then broke it, it could be what the smart traders think is a liquidity sweep. So there are no hopes here just lessons.
GBPJPY daily and 4hr Analaysis GBP/JPY is expected to turn bearish from the 196.096 - 197.372 - 200.781 zone, with a projected drop towards the 186.572 - 179.071 area, where it may find support and potentially reverse into a bullish move. However, there's also a possibility of a continued bearish breakout that could extend the decline further towards the 174.45 level.
GBP/JPY SET UPGBP/JPY 1H - Above is a set up I will be looking to take part in as soon as we are delivered with the entry confirmation we need to get involved in this market. We have had two lots of break of structures to confirm longer term bullishness.
It is now a case of price trade into the third and finally area of Demand, to give us a nice refined entry for the position. Once we see price trade in and reject well we will look to take part in the market.
I have gone ahead and set my SL just below the zone we are getting involved from as this zone should act as protection and there should be enough Demand there to reverse price.
I have gone ahead and set my TP just below the last higher timeframe high, this is a great place to put it as this high should break to create a new higher timeframe high following the laws of bullishness. As a result giving us a great RR trade.
GBPJPY Channel Down making a Lower High rejectionThe GBPJPY pair rose aggressively since the last time we gave our buy signal (April 11, see chart below), quickly hitting our conservative 109.250 Target:
The price has since made a Lower High rejection at the top of the Channel Down but remains supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Once broken and it closes a 1D candle below it, we will have bearish break-out signal. Our Targe will be 185.250, which will be the standard -5.85% decline that all 3 previous Bearish Legs had within the Channel Down.
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GBP/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/JPY with the target of 192.600 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP JPY Entre point 195.200 Target 194600 stop loss 195.500Let's break it down:
- Entry Point: 195.200
- Target: 194.600 (60-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 195.500 (30-point risk)
You're expecting GBPJPY to decline from 195.200 to 194.600. Risk-reward ratio looks decent!
Potential reward: 60 points
Potential risk: 30 points
Let's see how it plays out! What's driving this bearish trend?
GBPJPY Rejection from Resistance – Bearish Continuation SetupPrice has rejected a key resistance zone around 194.30–194.50 after failing to break above. I’m looking for a short setup here, expecting price to respect this supply zone and move lower.
The 4H structure shows repeated rejection wicks and a break of minor trendline support. Entry is based on clean bearish structure with confluence from horizontal resistance and dynamic EMAs curling over.
Trade Setup:
• Bias: Short
• Entry: 194.25–194.35 (confirmed rejection)
• Stop: Above 194.70
• Target: 193.00 / 191.60
• R:R: Around 2–3R
This trade aligns with overall corrective market structure and potential yen strength. Will monitor price action during London/NY sessions for confirmation.