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GBPJPY trade ideas

GBPJPY BEARISH FOR 140PIPSEntry Point: Look for an entry around a resistance level on a 4H or daily chart. A retest of broken support could also be an ideal entry area. Stop Loss and Take Profit: Position a stop loss just above a recent swing high to minimize risk, with a profit target aligned to key support zones that give the potential for a 1,140-pip move. Trailing Stop: Since this target is large, using a trailing stop can lock in profits while allowing the trade to capitalize on prolonged trends.
Short
by LORDOFTHETRADERS
GBPJPY LONG SETUP Smart Money Play for GBPJPY With GBPJPY showing signs of support in the current range, the smart play would involve waiting for confirmation of continued strength before entering long, or positioning for a minor pullback in line with the recent shift in momentum. 1. Identify Key Support Zone • Price is currently testing the 100 SMA on the 4-hour chart and is positioned near two previous significant turning points. This level could act as a pivotal support if buyers re-enter the market here, as it has been a strong level in the past. • The presence of the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud just below price suggests that any break lower could see further downside, but above it, we may be primed for a continuation to the upside. 2. Volume and Trend Alignment on the Daily • With the ADL, CMF, and CMO still positive, underlying buying pressure remains intact. The positive daily Ichimoku cloud further confirms a bullish trend, especially since price is above the cloud and the lagging span is supportive above price. • Daily RSI being above 50 also supports a bullish outlook, though the recent fall indicates a need for confirmation that buyers are indeed stepping in at this level. 3. Monitor Lower Timeframes for Pullback Confirmation or Reversal • 4-Hour Chart: Wait for bullish confirmation to resume on the 4-hour MACD or RSI. If the RSI and MACD indicators start to show signs of upward momentum, it could signal that buyers are actively defending this level, supporting a bullish entry. • 2-Hour MACD: The MACD remains dark red, signaling current downside momentum. For a higher-probability entry, wait until MACD shifts lighter or flips entirely, indicating a possible end to the pullback. 4. Confluence with Bollinger Bands and Divergence on Lower Timeframes • The price recently touched the upper band of the daily Bollinger Bands, indicating a high point, and is now testing the 20 SMA. This setup suggests we are at a consolidation or retracement phase. • On the 15-minute chart, RSI divergence (price making higher lows while RSI makes lower lows) could hint at a potential bullish reversal at this support zone, but higher timeframe confirmation is needed. Trade Idea Given these signals, there are two potential smart-money plays: 1. Long Continuation: • Wait for the 4-hour indicators (MACD and RSI) to confirm a bullish reversal. Enter long if RSI begins to rise again and MACD shows green momentum, ideally with a close above the 100 SMA on the 4-hour as confirmation of strength. • Place stop-loss below the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud or recent support levels, aiming for an initial target near 199 or the upper Bollinger Band on the daily. 2. Short Pullback Trade (if price breaks 4-hour support): • If price breaks and closes below the 100 SMA and the lower edge of the 4-hour Ichimoku cloud, consider a short entry targeting the daily 20 SMA or the 197 level as interim support. • Monitor CMF and ADL for signs of waning buying pressure, as well as confirmation from MACD on lower timeframes turning darker again, supporting a continued down move. Summary of Smart Money Play 1. Trend Bias: Overall bullish on the daily, but cautious of the pullback on the 4-hour and lower timeframes. 2. Setup: Wait for pullback completion or a break of support for bearish continuation. 3. Entry Trigger: Use 4-hour MACD and RSI as signals to confirm reversal to the upside or continued weakness. 4. Risk Management: Place stops below significant support zones, targeting recent highs or lower support levels in line with the trend.
Long
by Shivsaransh1
GBP/JPY H1 | Potential bullish reversalGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 198.04 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 196.95 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 199.51 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
GBP/JPY Analysis: Shorterm BuyThe GBP/JPY pair currently shows a retracement from recent highs, and we can observe key levels of support and resistance based on Fibonacci retracement levels and trend lines. Trendline Support: A rising trendline from previous lows suggests continued bullish momentum as long as the price respects this trendline. The recent test of this trendline indicates a possible continuation to the upside if buyers maintain control. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key retracement levels are marked: The 23.6% retracement near 198.97 serves as the first potential resistance area. A break above this level could lead the price towards the next resistance. 38.2% (198.61) and 50% (198.33) levels provide additional zones where the price might face resistance before potentially moving higher. Key Support Levels: The 198.00 level acts as a psychological and technical support, with further support down to 197.50. If the price breaks below these support levels, it may signal a reversal or deeper correction. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price respects the trendline and moves above 198.97, we might see an attempt to test the recent highs around 199.50 - 199.70. Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above the trendline and a breakdown below 197.50 could initiate a deeper pullback, possibly targeting support levels around 196.50 or lower. Conclusion: The bias remains bullish as long as the trendline support holds. However, key resistance levels around 198.97 - 199.50 need to be watched closely, as they could signal either a breakout to new highs or a potential reversal if selling pressure intensifies.
Long
by AEL_Education
GBPJPY: Day 3 breakout traders long!Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 ✅ Friday DAY 3 Closing Range 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout ✅ 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump Dump&Pump ✅ Frontside ✅ Backside 4. THESIS: Long: this is currently my main thesis at the moment, the market itself is still inside the previous weekly range, but in the new week is pumping higher making constantly higher highs and higher lows. Day 3 breakout traders long is a signal that depending on the template can explode in the direction of the trend or reversal. However, yesterday the market closed out of balance and today it can still keep going higher targeting the previous HOW, completing then 2 weeks of dump and pump template. Today, Asia placed a higher high into the yesterday HOD and is currently retesting the most recent low. FOMC and other news are in schedule for the day, but if the price will consolidated around the current level, I would be willing to take this long opportunity for 100+ pip. Short: at the moment I'm not interested in the short scenario, unless the market will pump back up into the closing price of yesterday, consolidating for a short trade opportunity which I will consider only a scalp, eventually back into the current LOD. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
by GianniPichichero
17
GBP_JPN (110 Pips)Technical Analysis: Triple Resistance Test Failure Pattern Overview A significant bearish signal has emerged with the triple resistance test failure, followed by a key reversal pattern at a high pivot point. This formation suggests increased selling pressure and potential trend reversal. Key Technical Elements 1. Triple Resistance Test - Price made three distinct attempts to break above resistance level - Each attempt showed progressively weaker buying momentum - Final rejection demonstrates strong selling pressure at this level 2. High Pivot Point Formation - Created at the peak of the third resistance test - Represents a critical turning point in market sentiment - Historical significance as a major price level 3. Bearish Engulfing Pattern - Large bearish candle completely engulfing previous bullish candle - Occurred at a crucial technical level (High Pivot Point) - Significant volume accompanied the pattern, validating its importance Technical Implications - The failure of three consecutive attempts to break resistance indicates strong overhead supply - The bearish engulfing pattern at the pivot point suggests a potential trend reversal - Expect increased selling pressure in the near term - Previous resistance level now likely to act as strong resistance for future attempts Risk Management Considerations - Short positions should consider placing stops above the high pivot point - Long positions should exercise caution and potentially reduce exposure - Volume analysis crucial for confirming strength of the reversal Conclusion The combination of a triple resistance failure and bearish engulfing pattern at a high pivot point presents a compelling case for bearish sentiment. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely for confirmation of the reversal signal.
Short
by NYHTSTAR
GBPJPY - Trend-Following Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 GBPJPY has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel in red. Currently, GBPJPY is in a correction phase, so the lower bound of the channel would act as support. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green structure and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
2