GBPJPY PREDICTIONGBPJPY trend prediction for Wed, May 28 15m TF
moving pro strong internal Bearish trend targeting weak structure.
GBPJPY trade ideas
GBPJPYGBP/JPY 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential
1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield
As of May 21, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.77%, near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation 3.8%) and reduced expectations of Bank of England rate cuts.
The Bank of England’s official interest rate stood at 4.25% in May 2025, down from 4.5%, but markets now price in limited further easing for the rest of the year.
2. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of May 21, 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield was around 1.52% to 1.55%, remaining near a one-month high amid improving trade data and cautious market sentiment.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy, with policy rates near zero, keeping yields low despite some inflationary pressures.
3. Interest Rate Differential (10-Year Bonds)
The yield spread between UK and Japan 10-year bonds is:
4.77% (UK)−1.53% (Japan)=+3.24%
This significant positive differential favors the British pound against the Japanese yen from a carry trade perspective.
4. Carry Trade Implications for GBP/JPY
The +3.24% yield advantage makes GBP/JPY attractive for carry trades, where investors borrow in low-yielding JPY and invest in higher-yielding GBP assets to earn the interest spread.
The wide differential supports GBP/JPY strength, assuming stable risk sentiment and no major shocks.
Technical momentum and macroeconomic factors such as UK inflation data, BoJ policy stance, and global risk appetite will influence the pair’s trajectory in the coming week.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY)
10-Year Bond Yield ~4.77% ~1.53%
Interest Rate Differential +3.24% (GBP over JPY) —
Central Bank Policy Rate 4.25% (BoE) ~0% (BoJ)
Conclusion
From May 27 to June 4, 2025, the GBP/JPY pair benefits from a substantial 3.24% interest rate differential between UK and Japanese 10-year bonds, supporting carry trade flows into GBP. The Bank of England’s relatively higher rates and inflationary pressures contrast with the Bank of Japan’s ultra-accommodative policy, underpinning GBP strength versus JPY.
GBP/JPY Short Currently GBP/JPY buyers are looking exhausted as it starts to enter a key sell zone on the Daily and Lower time frames. Expecting price to give a discount at 194.000 and bring big buyers back in. First Take profit I anticipate is 194.750, followed by 194.500. If these levels are reached price should react off this key support and resistence area and push for a higher highs on the lower time frames.
GJ Waiting game Waiting on the Daily candle close before deciding to enter this as a Long or Short. Highlighted area could be either a supply or demand zone, if looking for longs, wait for a retest to enter at best level possible.
CHECK GBPJPY SINGAL AND READ CAPTION(gbpjpy) sell zone
(trade satup)
entry point (194.700) to (194.600) 📊
first target (194.400)
2nd target (194.00) 📊
last target (193.600) 📊
stop loss (195.00)❌
CHECK GBPJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN(gbpjpy) sell zone
(trade satup)
entry point (194.500) to (194.400) 📊
first target (194.100)
2nd target (193.700) 📊
last target (193.300) 📊
stop loss (194.900)❌
GJ-Tue-27/05/25 TDA-4hFVG respected, possible upside continue!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Consolidation, structure, breakout
Again
Consolidation, structure, breakout
Market is fractal, it repeats itself again
and again. But to understand it deeply,
it's not easy at all.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 193.49, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 192.83, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.6% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss is set at 194.19, a swing high resistance.
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GBPJPY Monday candle closed as bullish engulf..Buyers in controlMonday daily candle closed as bullish engulf hinting that this pair is starting to going up.
Where to enter buy?
Zoom in into smaller timeframe 4hr, 1hr, 15min and wait for the buy price action.
Personally, i would like to see the price to react at "Resistant become Support" zone that i marked in the chart.
No price action in lower TF, no trade.
Good luck.
calculate your own risk & reward.
(CHECK) GBPJPY SIGNAL READ CAPTAIN(gbpjpy) buy zone
(trade satup)
entry point (193.650) to (193.550) 📊
first target (194.000)📊
2nd target (194.450) 📊
last target (194.800) 📊
stop loss (193.200)❌
trade on your own risk ✅
Trading balanceTrading balance The price of the asset has rebounded from the balance zone. With the prospect of growth into the resistance zone.
GBPJPY movement this week. Waiting on either a liquidity grab to the downside or a re-tracement into OTE.
Liquidity grab into 192 area should lead to a drive up towards the OTE at 195.
Drive up towards the OTE should lead to a drive down back towards the liquidity below the equal lows.
GJ-Mon-26/05/25 TDA-Big range, possible scalping buy! Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
There are periods when price will push smoothly,
others when price give little pushes and not so
clean. Understanding and reacting to how good
the volume is and price readiness is important to
create a consistent edge in your system.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY CONTINUE TO BULLISH Technically:
GBPJPY broke descending wage.
GBPJPY retest trendline as support
GBPJPY after printing higher high retest 0.70 fib
GBPJPY supporting a bullish trendline
GBPJPY: Weekly overviewThe fake breakout of 12th of May is a sign of more bearish days. However, as traders we should be ready to adapt with new conditions.
We are ready to long from the zone around 189.720.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPJPY: Weekly overview + Significant zonesHello dear traders,
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. I've doubled the short-term channel because it was so thin ;-).
* I don't use 189.663 zone to take short! There are too many moving S&R around it.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
**************************************
Important news that could change the direction of the trade:
Wed: Great Britain CPI of April.
GBPJPY Bulls wake Up! Clean swing buy opportunity ahead! Price after the recent swing high as indicated on the chart (yellow circles)
It has since retraced to to 61.8 retracement level and has rejected with one bullish candle and currently rejecting again. There is a high probability to see some buy pressure ahead of next weeks trading sessions to the up side to target of 195.78 and beyond.
"TIME AND PRICE" LQ SETUP.TIME & PRICE is a narrative I define or state as the period between the movement of price induced by the trigger of liquidity-seeking orders to fill, and a more balanced and stable distribution of price.
So during this time of activity, we look for trade setups and opportunities to execute as price continues in its overall direction after LQ sweep between Swing Highs, Lows, and Breaks of market structure points.
GBPJPY SELL Analysis Idea!!!!⸻
Pair: GBPJPY
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup)
⸻
Technical Analysis:
1. Price Structure & Market Context:
• The chart shows a clear downtrend from the previous swing high near 196.000.
• Price has since formed a lower high within the red supply zone, reinforcing bearish pressure.
• Several liquidity grabs and rejections are visible near the red supply zone, indicating sellers are defending this level aggressively.
2. Key Zones & Levels:
• Supply Zone (Red Area): 193.243–193.594 — significant selling pressure observed.
• Buyers Above Zone: Price has failed to sustain above 193.243 despite attempts, confirming bearish strength.
• Break of Structure (BOS): At 192.824, confirming bearish momentum.
• Support Zones (Green Areas):
• First target area: 192.307
• Second target area: 191.272 — potential extended target if momentum continues downward.
3. Entry & Confirmation:
• Current Price: 193.168
• Price is rejecting the supply zone and failing to break above the 193.243 resistance line.
• Confirmation of sell setup co mes from:
• Bearish rejections at supply
• Price forming a lower high (193.100 HL level)
• BOS and retest pattern playing out
4. Trade Plan (Sell Idea):
• Sell Entry: Between 193.150–193.243 (rejection zone)
• Stop Loss: Above 193.594 (invalidate the supply zone rejection)
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): 192.307
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): 191.272 (extended target)
⸻
Confluence Factors:
• Price is respecting supply zone.
• Repeated bearish rejections and liquidity sweeps above key levels.
• BOS supports shift in structure to bearish.
⸻
Conclusion:
GBPJPY is showing strong signs of bearish control, with multiple rejections from the supply zone and a BOS indicating momentum shift. A sell from the current levels offers a good risk-to-reward setup, targeting the support zones below.
