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British Pound / New Zealand Dollar

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GBPNZD trade ideas

GBPNZD Buy forcastGBPNZD New Forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup. Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec..
Long
by King_CityStar_Fx
GBP/NZD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! Bearish trend on GBP/NZD, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 2.209. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Line Zone. It's a Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the Crossing previous high (2.25500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (2.24000) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 2.28500 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰🗞️🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
GBPNZD: Support Rebound! Target 2.26 on the Horizon? The weekly chart of GBPNZD shows a consolidation phase following a strong bearish impulse. The price has reacted positively from the support area around 2.2200, forming a significant bullish candle that could indicate a rebound towards the resistance area at 2.2600. The positive momentum suggests a possible test of the intermediate resistance at 2.2500, with the RSI gradually rising from an oversold zone. Fundamental Analysis According to the COT data updated as of April 29, 2025, we observe an increase in long positions on GBP by institutional traders, with an increment of +10,665 contracts. On the other hand, commercial traders (hedgers) continue to maintain a significant short exposure on GBP. This imbalance may suggest a potential short-term speculative interest in a bullish GBP move. Regarding NZD, the latest COT report shows a significant increase in commercial long positions (+3,884 contracts), indicating a strengthening of the New Zealand dollar. However, the overall market sentiment shows a prevalence of short positions on GBPNZD (59% short vs. 41% long), suggesting that retail traders might be on the wrong side of the market. Seasonal Analysis Historically, in May, GBP tends to show weakness (-0.0076 over the last 20 years), while NZD does not show a clear seasonal pattern. This could reduce the likelihood of a decisive GBP movement during this month. Operational Strategy The rebound from 2.2200 could favor the opening of long positions with the first target at 2.2500 and the second target at 2.2600. The stop loss could be placed below the key support at 2.2100. In case of a resistance breakout, an extension towards the 2.2700 area would be plausible.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Potential GBP/NZD long trade setupOkay, let's delve into each of those aspects for this potential GBP/NZD long trade setup: Probability of This Setup Playing Out While bullish divergence within a descending wedge can be a strong indication of a potential reversal, it's crucial to remember that no trading setup has a 100% success rate. Here's a breakdown of factors that could influence the probability: Strength of the Divergence: The clearer and more pronounced the bullish divergence, the higher the potential probability. In your chart, the divergence looks reasonably clear, with the MACD making higher lows while the price makes lower lows. Breakout Confirmation: The probability increases significantly upon a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. A strong bullish candle closing above this line, ideally with increasing volume, would add confidence. Market Context: Consider the broader market environment. Are there any significant fundamental events (e.g., central bank announcements, economic data releases) related to either the British Pound or the New Zealand Dollar that could disrupt this technical pattern? Strong unexpected news could invalidate the setup. Timeframe Congruence: While you're looking at the 4-hour chart, checking higher timeframes (daily, weekly) can provide context on the overall trend. If the longer-term trend aligns with your bullish bias, it can increase the probability of success. Risk Sentiment: Overall market risk sentiment can also play a role. GBP/NZD can be sensitive to risk appetite. In summary: The setup has a decent probability due to the bullish divergence and the potential for a wedge breakout, but it's essential to wait for confirmation and be aware of the broader market context. Potential Entry Points There are a few potential entry points you could consider, each with its own risk and reward profile: Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately upon a strong bullish candle breaking and closing above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. This offers the potential for the best entry price but also carries a higher risk of a false breakout. Conservative Entry: Waiting for a breakout and then a successful retest of the broken upper trendline as support before entering. This can offer a lower-risk entry as it confirms that the previous resistance has now become support. However, the price might not always retest. Entry on Confirmation Signals: Looking for additional bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) after the initial breakout. This could include bullish candlestick patterns or further positive momentum on indicators. Recommendation: For a balance of potential reward and risk management, waiting for a confirmed breakout followed by potential confirmation on a lower timeframe might be a prudent approach. Risk Management Strategies Effective risk management is paramount for any trade. Here are some strategies you could employ: Stop-Loss Placement: already marked a potential stop-loss level below the recent swing low within the wedge. This is a logical placement as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup. Ensure your stop-loss is at a level that, if hit, would indicate the analysis was likely incorrect. Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). This will protect you from significant losses even if the trade goes against you. Calculate your position size based on the distance between your entry point and your stop-loss. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Aim for a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. Your target levels (TRG 1, TRG 2, TRG 3) allow you to visualize potential profits. Ensure that the potential profit outweighs the potential loss before taking the trade. For example, if your stop-loss represents 20 pips of risk, aim for at least 40-60 pips of potential profit at your initial target (1:2 or 1:3 reward-to-risk). Trailing Stop-Loss: Once the trade moves into profit, consider using a trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect against a sudden reversal. Confirmation Signals You Might Look For Beyond the initial breakout, here are some additional signals that could strengthen your bullish conviction: Increased Volume: Higher trading volume during the breakout suggests strong buying pressure and increases the likelihood of the move being genuine. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Formation of bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, morning star) after the breakout or during a potential retest can signal further buying interest. Moving Average Crossovers: If you use moving averages, look for bullish crossovers (e.g., the shorter-term moving average crossing above the longer-term moving average) after the breakout. MACD Crossover Above Zero: The MACD line crossing above the signal line and then moving above the zero line would indicate increasing bullish momentum. RSI Above 50: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above the 50 level can confirm increasing bullish strength. How Fundamentals Might Impact This Technical Analysis While your analysis is primarily technical, it's crucial to be aware of how fundamental factors could influence GBP/NZD: Central Bank Policies: Monetary policy decisions and statements from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are major drivers for these currencies. Any unexpected hawkish or dovish signals could significantly impact the exchange rate. Economic Data: Key economic data releases from the UK (e.g., inflation, employment, GDP) and New Zealand (e.g., inflation, employment, trade balance) can lead to volatility and potentially override technical patterns. Global Risk Sentiment: As mentioned earlier, GBP/NZD can be influenced by global risk appetite. During times of risk aversion, safe-haven currencies might strengthen, potentially impacting this pair. Geopolitical Events: Unexpected geopolitical events can also introduce volatility and affect currency valuations. Recommendation: Before taking the trade, it's wise to check the economic calendar for any high-impact news releases scheduled for the British Pound and the New Zealand Dollar in the coming days. Be prepared for potential volatility around these events. Let me know if you have any more questions or would like to explore any of these points in more detail! i would love to hear back from you your thoughts on this pair
Long
by TONYMONTANA87