GBPNZD trade ideas
SHOOTING STAR WITH BEAR ENGULFING GET READY FOR TREND SHIFT Hello Traders,
it was very strong trend good job for all who took advantage for all the pull back and ride the waves however lately there is some strong bearish signs showed up which might indicates an end for the trend and sellers step up as follow:
*the last pull back was just a falls break on the weakly and shows as the shooting star on the 2d
*close under the last bottom
huge big red engulfing
*I'm experiencing very strange movement after the tariff and please correct me if I'm wrong all the pairs where bullish before becomes bearish and the opposed
conclusion :
i will play this very safe this time and will stick for the buy option over 2.27
and will sell 2.19
who agree with me on this ?!
GBPNZD flase breakout? will it hit 2.4 target from 2015 again?GBPNZD is currently moving within an upward trend channel and has recently surpassed the channel's resistance, retesting the support level twice. This suggests a bullish momentum with a good risk-to-reward ratio. Making it a potential trade entry point. The only next major resistance level is around the 2.4 mark. (Refer to the weekly chart; the price reached this level in 2015, and the question is whether it will return to this area after 10 years.) let us see...
GBPNZD - TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS📊 Technical Analysis – GBPNZD
🔻 Market Context:
Current Price: ~2.2838
The pair has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price recently revisited a previous support zone, indicated by the horizontal line and purple box, showing potential for either a reversal or a continuation.
🔍 Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around 2.2830 – 2.2800
Price is testing this area and has shown a few wicks indicating buyers are present.
Demand Reaction Needed: A bullish candle formation is crucial at this level to signal potential upside.
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Reversal Play):
If a strong bullish candle forms around current levels, it could lead to a push higher toward 2.3000 and potentially 2.3100.
Watch for a break of short-term lower highs with volume confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
Failure to hold above the current support level (2.2830–2.2800) may result in a deeper drop, targeting the 2.2700–2.2650 area.
The Bear Bias zone (marked on the chart) suggests sellers are active and may continue to push lower if structure breaks.
🧠 Fundamental Probabilities – April 8, 2025
🇬🇧 UK Outlook (GBP):
No major economic data is scheduled today for the UK, but markets remain cautious due to:
Ongoing uncertainty around the BoE’s interest rate stance.
Sticky inflation and mixed signals from recent PMI data.
Pound strength has been mostly reactive to broader risk sentiment and interest rate expectations.
🇳🇿 NZ Outlook (NZD):
Key driver today: NZ Business Confidence & Dairy Auction
If business sentiment remains weak and dairy prices disappoint, NZD could come under pressure.
RBNZ's dovish bias is also lingering in the background; the central bank is expected to maintain or potentially cut rates if economic softness continues.
✅ Summary:
Bias Condition Target
🔼 Bullish Bullish candle at support 2.3000 / 2.3100
🔽 Bearish Break below 2.2800 2.2700 / 2.2650
GBPNZD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection from AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 2.28000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 8.36
Entry 95
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Pullback GBPNZD trade idea 07/04/2025GBPNZD has maintained a strong bullish structure since 2023, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows.
After each new high, we’ve seen 400–600 pip pullbacks before price continues bullish.
With a fresh high now in at 2.26481 and signs of exhaustion showing, I’m eyeing potential swing sell setups to target the previous intrahigh at 2.17900 (approx. 550 pips).
This is a high risk, high reward swing play and I’ll only enter after a clear momentum shift on the daily or 4H.
Bias flips back bullish if we break and hold above the high with momentum.
GBPNZD – Technical Analysis (1M)Following a breakout from a multi-year narrowing channel, GBPNZD has established a bullish trend above a key resistance level. Price is now approaching a major supply zone around 2.52–2.55, where a consolidation or pullback may occur. A breakout above this zone could pave the way toward the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2.79 – a major upside target.
Momentum indicators are in overbought territory, suggesting potential correction or sideways action before further continuation. Chart structure indicates a potential bullish flag or accumulation range forming.
Main scenario: price pulls back to 2.42–2.45 before continuing upward to 2.79.
Alternative scenario: rejection below 2.30, leading to a deeper retracement toward 2.15.
GBPNZDRemember, when I was doing this analysis and setting the high target, the environment I was working in did not allow for such an ambitious idea that the parity rate in the GBPNZD symbol would even come close to my desired price range!!
I must say that since the date of the analysis, this symbol has grown by 800 pips and the final target shows a range of 1600 pips!
Finally, I must say that in my opinion, the current downward fluctuations are a good situation for a BUY position for the desired goals.
GBP/NZD Sterling vs Kiwi Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (2.28000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Resistance level (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (2.25300) Day / swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 2.31500 (or) Escape Before the Target
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GBP/NZD "Sterling vs Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Day/Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GBP_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading along
The rising support
And as the pair will soon retest it
I am expecting the price to go up
To retest the supply levels
Above at 2.2659
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPNZD: Bullish Forecast & Outlook
Looking at the chart of GBPNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Lingrid | GBPNZD potential UPWARD Breakout. LongThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. FX:GBPNZD price is making higher highs and higher closes, indicating that the market is in a bullish phase. Recently, it tested the previous resistance zone and then bounced back because the markets usually breaks through key levels on the third or fourth attempt. If the market rebounds from the support level, we can expect a continuation of the current bullish trend. Additionally, the market is forming an ABC pattern, suggesting that the price may reach the 2.3000 level in the near future. My goal is resistance zone around 2.29000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GBP/NZD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 2.264 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPNZD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 GBP/NZD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal – D1 Discount Rejection
📌 Trade Idea: Buying into D1 pullback structure for continuation to weekly range high
📥 Entry Type: H4 Demand Zone + Liquidity Sweep + FVG Alignment
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 strong bullish BOS structure still intact
– Pullback into clean H4 OB zone + unfilled FVG
– 1H wick rejection & MACD weakening bear momentum
– Volume compression near discount zone
– NZD softening + GBP stable = sentiment favoring GBP
📌 Status: Waiting for clean LTF confirmation inside zone (1st touch pending)
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Buy Zone: 2.2575 – 2.2605
(Refined H4 OB with liquidity pocket and imbalance overlap)
Secondary Buy Zone: 2.2520 – 2.2540
(Deeper sweep zone below intraday liquidity; last defense)
❗ Stop Loss:
SL: 2.2470 (Below OB, last liquidity wick, and invalidation structure)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2.2720 🥉 (Last minor swing high)
TP2: 2.2805 🥈 (Equal highs + H4 inefficiency)
TP3: 2.2890 🏆 (D1 supply zone & range high)
📏 Risk:Reward: Minimum R:R = 1:3.1
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1%–2% depending on account type
– Once TP1 hits → move SL to BE
– Secure partials at TP2
– Let runner target TP3 with trailing SL above structure lows
– Re-entry only allowed on fresh confirmation post TP1
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
– H1 bullish engulfing or pin bar inside entry zone
– Volume uptick on entry candle close
– Preferably during London or NY session
– Bonus: M15–M30 divergence or inducement confirmation
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 2–4 days (HTF swing structure – moderate cycle)
❌ Invalidate if price closes below 2.2470 or H4 BOS to downside
🌐 Fundamentals & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ COT shows GBP neutral-to-positive flow
✅ NZD weakness driven by soft dairy exports + RBNZ dovish tone
✅ Global sentiment = neutral to mild risk-on, favoring GBP cyclical strength
✅ No major red news for either currency in next 24h = ideal execution window
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to buy GBPNZD on a retracement into refined demand zone between 2.2575–2.2605, aligned with D1 bullish structure and H4 rejection confluence. Tight institutional structure, optimal risk curve, and clean invalidation zone. Confirmation required – DO NOT ENTER EARLY. This is a controlled swing entry with >1:3 R:R potential.