GBPNZDGBPNZD is forming strong bullish structure.
Recently the price is retraced to Daily breakout level and also has given the pivot to daily inclining trendline.
It looks like a perfect buy setup.
GBPNZD trade ideas
GBPNZD Long 4/25/2025GBP/NZD Long – Channel Break Targeting Origin Liquidity + Daily Demand Bounce
Looking to go long on GBP/NZD after a clean technical break from a multi-session descending channel, supported by strong higher timeframe structure.
Daily Chart:
We've established a solid bottom around 2.2131, with two daily candle closes showing strong buyer defense.
Price also tapped into a key daily demand zone at 2.21336 — a well-respected structure level. We're now clearly bouncing off that zone, giving this long setup extra weight from a higher timeframe perspective.
Structure:
The pair has been moving within a descending channel that began at 2.4793. I prefer trading channels back to their origin, where liquidity tends to pool — and that’s our longer-term upside target.
4H Chart:
We just got a strong bullish candle breaking the channel, signaling a potential reversal is in motion.
Trade Thesis:
With a higher timeframe demand bounce + channel break + bullish momentum, this setup is aligned for continuation.
I’m looking for price to work its way back to the top of the channel and eventually toward the origin level near 2.4793.
Target & Risk:
Target: Origin zone near 2.4793
Risk-Reward: 1:1.73
Stop: Just below the breakout candle low and daily demand
Clean multi-timeframe confluence: daily structure, channel break, and bullish pressure off demand.
GBP/NZD Testing Channel Support Within UptrendIn the displayed daily chart of GBP/NZD, the price is forming a well-structured and clearly defined ascending channel. This channel is bounded by two thick lines, an upper resistance line and a lower support line, both of which have been tested multiple times by price movements. At the upper boundary, there have been three valid touches, each resulting in a significant downward reaction. Meanwhile, at the lower boundary, there have also been three strong touches, confirming the channel’s validity as the main path of the ongoing uptrend.
In addition to the major channel, there is also a minor internal channel, indicated by dashed lines, showing price movement within a phase of consolidation or minor retracement inside the larger trend. The minor support line is currently being tested, signaling a critical area to determine the next directional move.
At the moment, the price is hovering near the minor support and presents two possible scenarios moving forward.
In the first scenario, the price could bounce from this minor support, continue strengthening toward the minor resistance, and potentially extend further toward the major resistance area around 2.36–2.38.
In the second scenario, if selling pressure persists, the price may break below the minor support and continue falling toward the major support of the larger channel, located around 2.17–2.18, before eventually bouncing back upward.
Overall, this price structure indicates that the primary trend remains bullish as long as the major support within the channel holds. However, in the short term, the market is in a consolidation phase with the risk of a deeper retracement. A confirmed bounce from support or a breakdown through the minor support will be key in determining the next move. The suggested approach is to wait for clear confirmation from price action before making any trading decisions.
GBP/NZD Breakdown Imminent? Smart Money and Seasonality Say YES!🧠 1. Price Action & Technical Structure
Price was firmly rejected from the monthly supply zone between 2.33 – 2.35, marked by strong bearish candles.
A bounce occurred at the weekly demand between 2.20 – 2.22, where accumulation and a short-term reversal formed (dashed white arrow).
Currently, price is trading near the lower bound of a compression range (2.22 – 2.26), sitting below a key intermediate resistance (dark teal zone).
RSI is in the neutral-to-low zone, with no major divergence, leaving room for further downside.
Technical Bias: Neutral to Bearish unless we get a weekly close above 2.26–2.27.
📊 2. COT Data
GBP
Asset Managers remain net short, though improving since January.
Leveraged Money sharply reducing long exposure since early April → Institutional bullish sentiment weakening.
NZD
Asset Managers have been heavily short for over a year, but shorts are being reduced since February → slight sentiment recovery.
Leveraged Money flat, with no clear long build-up yet.
➡️ Combined COT Outlook: The GBP's advantage over NZD is fading. This supports a sideways to slightly bearish outlook on GBP/NZD.
📅 3. Seasonality
April: Historically bearish for GBP/NZD (–0.2971 avg.), aligning with current downward move.
May: Also typically bearish (–0.2964 avg.) → suggesting potential continued weakness.
➡️ Seasonal Bias: Bearish through mid-to-late May.
🧠 4. Retail Sentiment
Around 70% of retail traders are long GBP/NZD → classic contrarian bearish signal.
Average long entry: 2.1800, current price: 2.2246 → many longs in profit.
Potential for profit taking or breakeven pullback adds to bearish pressure.
📌 Trade Plan Summary
Weekly Bias: → Bearish / Range-bound
📉 Short Zones of Interest:
2.26 – 2.27 → key resistance zone
Stop above 2.2850 (H4/H1 close above invalidates setup)
🎯 Targets:
2.2050 → recent demand re-test
2.1850 / 2.1650 → deeper demand zones visible on chart
🧠 Invalidation Level:
Daily close above 2.2850 → structure turns bullish
GBPNZD Here is a broader view of GBPNZD. Price has been trending bearish within this channel. I believe we should see a break towards the upside.
GBPNZD BullishGBPNZD is displaying a bullish flag pattern. I anticipate price to rally during the Asian session. This is a good entry
gbpnzd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBPNZD | 23.04.2025BUY 2.22500 | STOP 2.21700 | TAKE 2.23500 | Lateral movement in the channel of local support and resistance levels.
GBPNZD: Bulls Will Push
Looking at the chart of GBPNZD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move up seems to be quite likely.
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GBPNZD..LONGOANDA:GBPNZD
Price is testing a level that has proven significant in the past. Will it hold or break this time? The market always tells a story — we just have to listen.
A confirmed breakout and retest of this level could shift the bias and offer a new opportunity.
GBP-NZD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD made a bullish
Rebound from the rising
Support line so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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BUY GBPNZDGBPNZD will pump up towards the buy side liquidity. I also see two inverted head and shoulder patterns
GBPNZD: Long Signal Explained
GBPNZD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GBPNZD
Entry Point - 2.2295
Stop Loss - 2.2146
Take Profit - 2.2587
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPNZD BUY SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
gbpnzd xabcd buy/hold exit +300 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 40 minute chart for GBPNZD.
Chart looks oversold recently, expecting bounce setup soon.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 2460 point A 2210 point B 2400 point C 2180 point D/PRZ 2530 still pending. C also pending later today.
🔸Advanced BUY/HOLD from point C targeting point D of the sequence. Higher risk trade setup, use protective SL and adjust to BE at +60 pips.
🔸Recommended strategy for GN traders: buy/hold at point C TP1 is +150 pips TP2 +300 pips or point D of the XABCD structure.
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GBP_NZD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GBP_NZD is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above around 2.2532
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GN 2 Longs last week - 2 WinsLast week , we had 2 wins on GN both made pullbacks of +50 pips , making 80% win rate for this month so far
GBPNZD BUY signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBP-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD fell down strongly
Through the first line of
Support but a strong support
Was hit around 2.2160 from
Where a local bullish rebound
Is likely to happen on Monday
So we will be able to enter
A long trade with the Take
Profit of 2.2300 and the
Stop Loss of 2.2123
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPNZD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2.224.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2.266 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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