GBPNZD SELL / BUY TRADE PLAN๐ GBP/NZD TRADE PLAN (ULTRA-REFINED) ๐
๐ PRIMARY TRADE โ SELL SETUP
๐ป SELL ENTRY
๐น Aggressive Entry: Sell Limit at 2.2650 โ 2.2700 (Institutional Supply Zone).
๐น Confirmation Entry: If price fails to break above 2.2625 & forms rejection (H1/M30/M15 Bearish Engulfing, Fakeout, or Pin Bar), take a market execution sell.
๐น SL: 2.2750 (Above liquidity grab & invalidation zone).
๐น TP1: 2.2520 (Nearest support, move SL to breakeven).
๐น TP2: 2.2450 (Liquidity target).
๐น TP3: 2.2350 โ 2.2300 (Full reversal target).
โ
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
๐ฏ Confidence Level: โ
โ
โ
โ
(High Probability โ Strong Structural & Liquidity Confluence).
๐ Why this is a high-confidence sell setup?
๐น H4 & H1 bearish engulfing confirm seller control.
๐น Price has rejected 2.2650 multiple times, indicating strong supply.
๐น Regular bearish divergence on H1 signals weakening bullish momentum.
๐น If price fakes out above 2.2650 and closes below, itโs a liquidity grab confirmation.
๐ข SECONDARY TRADE โ BUY SETUP (ONLY IF PRICE DROPS INTO DEMAND)
๐น BUY ENTRY
๐น Aggressive Entry: Buy Limit at 2.2350 โ 2.2300 (Institutional Demand Zone).
๐น Confirmation Entry: Wait for bullish rejection (Wick Rejection, Bullish Engulfing, or Fakeout) on H1/M30/M15 above 2.2350 before buying.
๐น SL: 2.2250 (Below liquidity grab zone).
๐น TP1: 2.2450 (First resistance, move SL to breakeven).
๐น TP2: 2.2520 โ 2.2550 (Extended move based on liquidity).
๐น TP3: 2.2650 โ 2.2700 (Full bullish target).
โ
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
๐ฏ Confidence Level: โ
โ
โ
(Medium-High, depends on price reaction at 2.2350).
๐ Why consider buying here?
๐น Price would retrace into institutional demand at 2.2350 โ 2.2300.
๐น Strong reaction zone with previous liquidity grab & fair value gap.
๐น Aligns with Fibonacci retracement (50% โ 61.8%) & previous demand area.
๐ FINAL CONFIRMATION & CHANGES MADE:
โ
H1 added to confirmation entry criteria alongside M30/M15 for stronger validation.
โ
Sell entry is now based on existing rejection instead of waiting for another retest.
โ
Primary entry is a market execution sell if price holds below 2.2625, or a re-entry at 2.2650 โ 2.2700.
โ
Every confluence (H4 engulfing, H1 divergence, liquidity rejection) is fully respected.
โ
Buy setup is only valid at deep discount levels (2.2350 โ 2.2300), avoiding unnecessary risks.
๐ Ultra-refined, high-precision execution plan. Every confluence checked. No compromises. ๐๐ฅ
D1 Pin Bar rejection, which further strengthens the bearish confluence.
๐ Impact on the Trade Plan:
โ
Primary Sell Setup Becomes Even Stronger: The D1 Pin Bar confirms higher timeframe rejection at the key supply zone (2.2650 โ 2.2700).
โ
Increased Probability of Further Downside: The Pin Bar wick suggests a liquidity grab above 2.2650, where institutions could have filled sell orders before driving price lower.
โ
Stronger Sell Confirmation Entry: If H1/M30/M15 form another bearish rejection below 2.2625, a market execution sell becomes even more valid.
๐น Final Confirmation: D1, H4, and H1 all align bearishly โ High conviction for the sell setup. ๐ฅ๐
GBPNZD trade ideas
GBP/NZD Rounded Top (06.03.25)The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Rounded Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support โ 2.2362
2nd Support โ 2.2266
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GBP/NZD Finally Made A Reversal Pattern , Short Setup Valid !Here is my opinion about GBP/NZD , Finally we have a very good Head And Shoulders Pattern ,and the price closed below neckline so it`s a very good chance to sell it to get 250 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
GBP/NZD Very Near Amazing Place To Buy , Ready For 250 Pips ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
HEAD AND SHOULDERS As of March 5, 2025, the GBP/NZD currency pair is exhibiting a potential bearish **Head and Shoulders** pattern on the daily chart. This classic reversal formation suggests that the prevailing uptrend may be nearing its end, with a possible shift towards bearish momentum.
**Pattern Breakdown:**
- **Left Shoulder:** Formed around early February 2025, where the price reached a peak near **2.2200** before retracing.
- **Head:** Established in mid-February 2025, with a higher peak approximately at **2.2500**, followed by a decline.
- **Right Shoulder:** Developed in late February 2025, peaking near **2.2200**, similar to the left shoulder, and subsequently moving downward.
- **Neckline:** Identified by connecting the lows between the shoulders and the head, currently around the **2.1900** level.
**Trade Considerations:**
- **Entry Point:** A decisive daily close below the neckline at **2.1900** could confirm the pattern, signaling a potential short entry.
- **Price Target:** The vertical distance from the head's peak (**2.2500**) to the neckline (**2.1900**) is **0.0600**. Subtracting this from the neckline suggests a target near **2.1300**.
- **Stop-Loss:** Consider placing a stop-loss above the right shoulder, around **2.2200**, to manage risk.
**Additional Insights:**
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is indicating rising bearish sentiment, supporting the potential for downward movement. ๎cite๎turn0search0๎
**Note:** While the Head and Shoulders pattern is a reliable reversal indicator, always incorporate other technical tools and fundamental analysis to strengthen trade decisions.
*For a visual representation, you can refer to the GBP/NZD chart on TradingView.* ๎cite๎turn0search1๎ not financial advice
GBPNZD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the GBPNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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GBPNZD Sell Opportunity! Key Observations:
Supply Zone (M15):
The red-highlighted area marks a 15-minute supply zone where price previously reversed sharply, indicating strong seller presence.
The price has tested this zone and reacted bearishly, suggesting a potential sell opportunity.
Market Structure:
The chart follows a higher high (HH) and higher low (HL) formation, but then breaks down into a lower high (LH) and lower low (LL) structure.
This indicates a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Expectation:
The black arrow projects a further downward movement after price retested the supply zone and failed to break higher.
The next key support level appears around 2.2440 โ 2.2460, making it a probable target for shorts.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone & Highs): 2.26705
Current Price: 2.26023
Support Target: 2.25996 (near-term) & 2.24400 (extended target)
Trading Outlook:
Bearish Bias: The break of previous lows suggests sellers are in control.
Entry Consideration: A pullback toward the supply zone (2.2640 - 2.2670) could offer a better short entry.
Risk Management: A stop-loss above the supply zone (2.2680+) can help manage risk.
Take-Profit Levels:
TP1: 2.2595 (minor support)
TP2: 2.2440 (main bearish target)
GBPNZD Maintains Bullish Momentum - Is 2.27040 the Next Target?OANDA:GBPNZD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bounce off the midline suggests buyers are maintaining control, supporting a potential continuation of the uptrend.
As long as the price remains above the support level and the channel's lower boundary holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
A potential upside target is 2.27040, aligning with the upper boundary of the channel. A break and close above this level could signal further bullish momentum.
However, a decisive break below the channelโs lower boundary or the support zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and could signal a shift in market sentiment.
Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
GBPNZD Swing trade idea 04/03/2025GBPNZD has been in a strong uptrend since the start of 2024, forming consecutive higher highs and higher lows. We've just hit a new high at 2.26481 and are starting to see rejection. This sets up a high-risk, high-reward swing trade targeting the previous higher high at 2.17900. Nearly 1000 pips of potential! Waiting for further confirmation before entering.
GBPNZD - Bullish Continuation in Play?OANDA:GBPNZD is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating a strong uptrend. The price has broken above a key resistance zone and may now be pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward 2.26160, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have! ๐๐
GBP/NZD: let's take profit occur before buying againWith strong bullish momentum, GBP/NZD remains attractive for long positions. Fundamentals favor the GBP over the NZD, while technicals suggest room for further upside.
Fundamentals:
- GBP Strength: Hawkish Bank of England and resilient UK economy.
- NZD Weakness: Recession in New Zealand and dovish RBNZ policy weigh on the NZD.
Trade Idea
- Buy Zone: 2.1945-2.2200. This level corrispond to 0.5 Fibo and also 4h demand.
- Targets: 2.2440, then 2.2800.
- Stop Loss: Below 2.1800.
Important: enter just in case of rejection! it means that price will need to go in the buy zone area and then have a strong upside (CHOC, COS on lower TF).
If you follow me, you will receive updates so you know when and where I enter, close, TP.
GBPNZD โ ready to go long again ... the week of 03 Mar Monthly โ bullish
Weekly โ bullish
Daily โ bullish, broke above previous highs already. Price above 200sma.
H4 โ After the break out, price is pulling back. We have no idea where the pullback may terminate, but the support located around 2.2370 or preferably, the zone marked between 2.2212 โ 2.21520 (or any other point in between) may hold price.
If there is no further pullback, I will not be interested in trading this pair for now. However, if price action develops as I anticipate, I will be looking for signs of a bullish continuation. My stop would be below the recent swing low and I will at first, target 2.2700 with the potential to extend much higher.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a โboostโ and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
Itโs not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong โ George Soros
GBPNZD at Key Resistance: Rebound Toward 2.20986?OANDA:GBPNZD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction if sellers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if price confirms a rejection from this resistance zone, we could see a potential drop toward the 2.20986 level. This level aligns with previous price reactions and serves as a logical downside target. However, a break and close above this resistance zone would invalidate the bearish bias and could signal further upside continuation.
Traders should look for bearish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bearish engulfing patterns, or increased selling volume before considering short positions.
This setup reflects the potential for a pullback after a strong bullish move, supported by historical price action and market structure.
Do you agree with this analysis? Share your thoughts in the comments!
GBPNZDWhy Stay Long?
๐ UK Strength:
GDP growth remains stable, showing resilience in economic activity.
Inflation concerns could keep the Bank of England from easing too soon, supporting GBP.
Industrial production and business sentiment remain positive.
๐ NZ Weakness:
Retail spending has been declining, signaling weaker consumer confidence.
Business PMI remains in contraction territory, showing economic slowdown.
The RBNZ's cautious stance suggests limited upside for NZD.
With these factors still in play, Iโm holding the position and managing risk accordingly. Watching key resistance levels for an exit.
#Forex #GBPNZD #SwingTrading
pound quant zones thursday and possibly fridaypound's macro factors are bearish into march despite flow into pound due to being tariff neutral
already in hedge zone for momentum breakdown shorts, same for gbpcad, gbpusd, gbpaud
wicked tops for shorting
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