GBP/USD Major Reversal Incoming? | Supply Zone Rejection After an impressive bullish run, GBP/USD has just touched a strong Supply Zone between 1.3440 – 1.3475, marked by high-volume rejection in the past. Price has now sharply reversed from this area — hinting that smart money might be distributing positions.
📌 Confluences:
🔵 Supply Zone (LuxAlgo) from previous highs.
🔻 Bearish Engulfing Candle at resistance.
📉 RSI Divergence (not shown in image, but likely on a peak).
🔴 Upcoming USD fundamentals (NFP/Interest Rate Decision soon).
🔽 Break of minor support = confirmation of short move.
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🎯 Bearish Targets:
1. 🔵 1.28700 – Previous support and structure level.
2. 🔴 1.24701 – High liquidity zone.
3. 🟠 1.23326 – Institutional Demand Zone (final take-profit for swing).
📅 Key Date Watch: Red news events marked on chart — high impact USD events could accelerate momentum.
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📈 Bias: Short-term Bearish
📆 Next 1–2 weeks: Expecting drop toward 1.28700 and potentially deeper if macro data supports.
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🔥 What Do You Think?
Are you bearish like me, or expecting another push up before the drop? Share your thoughts 👇
💬 Drop your chart below if you're also watching this setup!
📌 Follow for more setups, live trades, and weekly breakdowns.
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GBPUSD trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention today:
15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims
22:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech.
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD pared further gains on Wednesday, stumbling for the second session in a row and falling below 1.3500 after failing to regain 1.3600 earlier this week. Sterling markets are retreating from the upper limit of the bullish trend that lifted GBPUSD to multi-year highs, but the momentum remains favourable for sterling buyers.
The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate meeting held on 6-7 May showed that the Fed's wait-and-see stance has deep roots. At the last Fed meeting, policymakers noted that the US dollar's (USD) status as a safe haven has suffered recently. They warned that a more ‘durable change’ in the dollar's status could have long-term consequences for the US economy.
Almost all FOMC members at the May rate meeting agreed that inflation risks could prove to be more ‘persistent than expected.’ Fed officials directly pointed to tariffs as a key factor in the FOMC's downgrade of its outlook for the US economy, and the FOMC blamed the Trump administration and its inconsistent tariff policy for the deterioration in the US economic situation and uncertain outlook for inflation and growth.
The rest of the trading week remains tense for the US. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter will be released. On Friday, the trading week will end with the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data for April. Markets are hoping for a continued easing of key inflation indicators before the effects of the Trump administration's tariff policy begin to be reflected in the core data.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3430, TP 1.3540
GBPUSD(20250529)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting: The risks of rising unemployment and inflation have increased, and the benefits of flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment have weakened; "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": Stagflation forecasts may become the tone of the Federal Reserve's June economic forecast summary.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3479
Support and resistance levels:
1.3551
1.3524
1.3506
1.3451
1.3433
1.3406
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3451, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3479
If the price breaks through 1.3433, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3406
GBPUSD(20250528)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
ECB board member Holzmann: The ECB should postpone further rate cuts until at least September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3530
Support and resistance levels
1.3616
1.3584
1.3563
1.3497
1.3476
1.3444
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3530, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3563
If the price breaks through 1.3497, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3465
GBP/USD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Sell Signal | GBP/USD – Powered by Custom Algorithm & Technical Precision
This sell signal is generated by a proprietary trading system I’ve developed, combining pure technical trend logic with automated decision-making.
The algorithm:
Confirms reversal signals through layered filter logic
Defines clean entry, stop-loss, and target zones — all fully automated
No human judgment, no discretionary trades — just objective data turned into actionable analysis.
🧠 Built on precision. Backed by testing.
📉 Current outlook: Bearish sentiment confirmed on multi-timeframe structure.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.
GBP/USD Bearish Break & Retest Setup (1H)Price has broken below a key ascending trendline and appears to be forming a lower high near the broken structure zone. I’m watching for a retest and bearish rejection from this area to confirm a short setup.
Confluences:
• Break of trendline (structure shift)
• Potential lower high forming
• EMA 20/50 curling downward
• Looking for bearish rejection candle on 1H
Entry: On confirmation of rejection
Target zone: 1.3404 → 1.3316 → 1.3260
Invalidation: Break back above the retest zone
GBPUSD May 28 Asia Hind sight studyGBPUSD
May 28 Asia Hindsight study
Admittedly I took this short and yet got in late and got stopped out, in hesitation and broke even and let it go. Darn. Here is what I observed and for my continued to studies to trust.
Premium range
Parent sentiment bullish
May 27/28 Delivery
*Price takes equal lows
*Price closes in a FVG consolidating
*20:00 Asia open price takes minor equal highs liquidity in a premium expecting for price to lower to a discount
Elements to ICT model 2022
*minor liquidity taken with a frames out bias and targets started to hunt for model 2022
*bias is bear for Asia to reach for equal lows, DXY in a discount to reach for equal highs for confidence
*20:41 4 candle pattern still learning if it is an order block
*20:46 price creates the swing low
*20:50 Price creates a FVG-first presented FVG
*20:52 entry candle macro time -should have been!!!!!!
*22:45 price takes first target of equal lows
*0:45 exit when price takes second target of equal lows
Note Review the 1 min chart for the classic ICT model 2022 candle formation.
POTENTIAL TARGET FOR BULL RUN 1.4000 OR REVERSAL BACK TO 1.3000Swing traiding will take a longer time to achieve, but the behaviour of GPBUSD is showing 130 pips sell is a form of pull back to make another bullish impulse of 250 to 300 pips and it does that, it is closer to 1.4000 by then.
It could also imply that it is about to create a lower high or retest of this month's high as we are getting close to the end of May.
Bossfx Clean Swing SetupYou're looking at a 1-hour chart of GBP/USD with several important technical analysis elements in play. I'll break it down like a seasoned trader, covering market structure, Fibonacci, price action, and provide a trade plan based on the current setup.
🔍 Chart Breakdown (GBP/USD – H1)
🧠 1. Market Structure
Overall trend: Bullish, as price is making higher highs and higher lows.
Recent behavior: Price reached a high near 1.35911, then started to pull back — potentially forming a lower high.
Short-term correction: A bearish flag or wedge is developing, possibly indicating a breakdown before continuation or reversal.
📐 2. Fibonacci Analysis
The swing high is around 1.35911, and the swing low is around 1.31440.
The chart includes retracement levels:
50% zone → 1.33676
61.8% golden zone → 1.33148
78.6% deep retracement → 1.32739
🧠 These levels are key liquidity pools where price may bounce, consolidate, or reverse.
📉 3. Bearish Trade Setup
A bearish engulfing zone is highlighted near 1.35714–1.35825 (red box) — likely a supply zone or order block.
Price rejected this zone and is beginning to drop.
Your projected path shows a move toward 1.33200, right above the 78.6% fib — likely your target.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bearish Swing Idea)
Item Value
🟢 Entry Around 1.35500–1.35700 (supply zone retest if price comes back up)
🔴 Stop Loss Above 1.35950 (last swing high)
🎯 Take Profit 1 1.34014 (minor support / fib cluster)
🎯 Take Profit 2 1.33610 (61.8% fib)
🎯 Take Profit 3 1.33200 (main fib target / liquidity sweep)
➡️ Risk-to-Reward (R:R): Roughly 1:2.5 – 1:3.5, depending on exact entry and target.
🔁 Alternative Bullish Scenario (Plan B)
If price holds above 1.35000 and breaks above 1.35911:
Expect continuation toward 1.36500–1.37000
Re-evaluate the short setup immediately
📊 Tactical Notes:
Timeframe: H1 = medium-term swing (1–2 days)
Use alerts on TradingView for:
Entry zone re-entry
Break of 1.3500 trendline
Touch of 1.33200
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.3547, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3447, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3611, above a swing high resistance.
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DAY TRADE📌 GBP/USD Long Setup – Wait for Price to Return
💥 Plan the trade. Let it come to you. Don’t chase.
📍 Entry: 1.34701 (wait for price to return here)
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.34494 (20.7 pips)
🎯 Take Profit (TP): 1.35204 (50.3 pips)
📊 Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:2.43 ✅
🧠 Reasoning:
Price tapped the demand zone and wicked back up
We wait for price to retrace back to 1.34701
Clean rejection zone visible on M15 for confirmation
GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD – May 28, 2025
📋 Plan Overview Table
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Swing Trade Buy 75% 2.8:1 Active
📈 Market Bias & Type
Bias: Reversal from short-term sell-off into key support
Type: Bullish reversal setup off demand zone and daily structure support
🔰 Confidence Level – 75%
🔹 H4 demand zone test (confirmed)
🔹 Price respecting higher low structure on D1
🔹 Momentum divergence building on H1
🔹 RSI oversold on intraday
📍 Entry Zones
Zone Type Price Range
Primary 1.3490 – 1.3510
Secondary 1.3450 – 1.3470
❗ Stop Loss (SL)
Primary SL: 1.3440 (below secondary zone)
Secondary SL: 1.3400 (invalidates D1 HL structure)
SL Reasoning: Below structural swing low and untested H4 imbalance.
🎯 Take Profit Targets
Target Price Reason
TP1 1.3580 Local supply on H1
TP2 1.3640 Previous high – intraday
TP3 1.3700 Major D1 resistance
🧠 Management Strategy
💼 Risk: 1.0% per setup zone
🧱 Move SL to BE at TP1
🔁 Scale in from secondary zone if price wicks down
📉 If both zones are tagged, average price improves R:R
⚠️ Confirmation Checklist
Criteria Status
Bullish candle M15+ ✅
Retest of demand ✅
NY/LDN session 🔄
Volume spike ✅
⏳ Validity
H1 Structure: Valid 12–16 hours
H4 Structure: Valid 48–72 hours
❌ Invalidation Conditions
Daily close below 1.3400
Momentum closes below D1 demand
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
🔹 USD CPI softening, Fed expectations for pause
🔹 GBP firm labor market data, but political noise lingering
🔹 Market still pricing GBP stronger mid-term
🔹 Risk-on equity sentiment supporting GBP pairs short-term
📋 Final Trade Summary
This trade plan for GBP/USD aligns with a confluence of intraday demand, bullish D1 structure, and confirmed short-term exhaustion. We're watching for NY session confirmation, with entry zone proximity creating a favorable R:R on both scale levels.
GBP/USD – Trendline Liquidity Grab and Reversal SetupPrice has been respecting a major ascending trendline, forming higher highs and higher lows. Currently, it looks like we’ve had a liquidity grab below the trendline, sweeping early buyers and stop losses.
I'm watching this zone closely for a potential fakeout, followed by a bullish reaction. This area aligns with:
Major ascending trendline support
Previous structure level
High-probability liquidity zone
If price reclaims the trendline with strong bullish momentum, I’ll be looking for buy confirmations to ride the next leg up. A clean rejection and break of short-term bearish structure would strengthen the setup.
Key Notes:
Buy zone highlighted
Waiting for confirmation before entry
Strong RR if price respects the zone
Invalid if price closes below the zone with strong bearish pressure
Let me know your thoughts or if you see it differently!