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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD Analysis Monday Nov 18th Today's analysis for GBP/USD shows an overall bearish trend. I am looking to go short once the price hits the Sell-Side Imbalance Buy-Side Inefficiency (SIBI) Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Additionally, there's a breaker block just around the FVG that reinforces this potential short entry. The resistance level at 1.2650, aligned with the 14-day EMA, is a key zone I'm watching closely. If the price reaches this level, it will provide an ideal entry point for a short position. Stop Loss: 1.2680 - Placed 30 pips above the entry point to protect against unexpected upward movement. Take Profit: 1.2590 - Positioned 60 pips below the entry point at a previous support level where price action may slow down or reverse. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2 NB. The dollar has been strong since the elections and hoping to continue for a while with the BOE uncertainties. Always keep an eye on upcoming economic events and market sentiment for any sudden changes. Happy trading!
Short
by hskarue
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 18, 2024 GBPUSDThe Pound-Dollar pair starts the new week on a subdued note and is consolidating in a range above the round 1.26000 mark, or the lowest level since mid-May, reached on Friday. For now, spot prices appear to have broken a six-day losing streak on the back of a modest decline in the US Dollar, although the fundamental backdrop supports the prospects for an extension of the recent established downtrend. The US Dollar remains on the defensive below the one-year high (YTD) set last Thursday as bulls took a pause to take a breather after the explosive rally following the US election. However, any meaningful decline in the dollar seems unlikely amid expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's policies are likely to revive inflationary pressures and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This has been a key driver of the recent rise in US Treasury bond yields, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the US Dollar lies to the upside. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, may struggle to attract buyers amid uncertainty over the Bank of England's (BoE) future interest rate path. Data released last week showed that UK wage growth excluding bonuses slowed in September, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% from 4.1%. In addition, UK GDP unexpectedly contracted in September for the first time in five months, reinforcing expectations of a BoE rate cut. Nevertheless, Bank of England members are not expected to cut interest rates at the December meeting. This, in turn, makes it reasonable to expect strong follow-through buying to confirm that the GBP/USD pair has formed a short-term bottom. Bearish traders, however, can now wait for a sustained breakout and consolidation below the 1.2600 round figure before placing new bets amid a lack of market-significant economic releases on Monday from both the UK and the US. Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.26000, if consolidated below consider Sell positions, if rebounded consider Buy positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD analysis week 47🌐Fundamental Analysis UK employment figures largely beat expectations, but wage growth fueled inflation concerns. While jobless claims were lower than forecast, the number of people claiming unemployment benefits still rose from the previous month's revised figure. The Bank of England's (BoE) latest Monetary Policy Report is due out on Wednesday morning, and investors will be looking for hints on how the BoE plans to deal with the unbalanced UK economy that continues to struggle with inflation numbers. On the US side, key CPI inflation figures are due to hit the market. Headline CPI inflation is expected to have edged higher to 2.6% year-on-year from September's 2.4%. Core CPI inflation is expected to have held steady at 3.3% year-on-year. The monthly figures for both inflation are generally expected to remain unchanged from the previous month. 🕯Technical Analysis The downtrend is still showing no signs of stopping for GBPUSD. The next important support zone that the pair is aiming for is 1.2470, which is the old bottom area that saw strong price reaction from buyers in May. Besides, the possibility that the pair will still stick to the trendline and fall to this support zone, when the buying force is strong enough to break the trendline, the market will also turn around. Hopefully, the bullish waves can break the trendline and form an uptrend towards the resistance of 1.271-1.277-1.286. 📉📈Trading signals BUY GBPUSD 1.247-1.245 Stoploss 1.243 SELL GBPUSD 1.271-1.273 Stoploss 1.276
by TVS-Trader
GBPUSD | Market outlookQ3 GDP Results - QoQ: Rose by 0.1% (below the forecast of 0.2%). - YoY: Increased by 1.0% (above the expected 0.1%). - September GDP: Declined by 0.1% MoM and 1.0% YoY, missing estimates of 0.2% MoM and 1.1% YoY. Economic Pressures - A sharp increase in the tax burden on businesses, announced by Chancellor Rachel Reeves, is straining the economy. - September industrial production dropped by –0.5% MoM (forecast: 0.1%) and by –1.8% YoY (forecast: –1.2%). Monetary Policy Outlook - The Bank of England may consider accelerating monetary easing to support growth. - However, divergence exists within the board. Catherine Mann advocates maintaining current interest rates until inflation risks, including political uncertainties like Donald Trump’s potential election as US President, subside.
Short
by DynamicCapital-FX