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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBP/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum or a Pullback?GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bullish Momentum or a Temporary Pullback? By Dhanda The Great The GBP/USD currency pair has been on an interesting journey over the past few months, experiencing a significant downtrend before showing signs of a bullish reversal. The big question now: Is this the beginning of a sustained uptrend, or just a temporary pullback? Chart Analysis & Key Levels Breakout from the Downtrend: The pair was trading within a descending channel for months, indicating a strong bearish structure. Recently, GBP/USD broke out of this channel, which could signify a trend reversal or at least a short-term bullish correction. Support & Resistance Zones: Support: The key demand zone lies between 1.2100 - 1.2200, where previous bounces have occurred. Resistance: GBP/USD faces a crucial test around 1.2750 - 1.2800. A break above this level could propel the pair towards the psychological 1.3000 mark. Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands: The price is currently riding the upper Bollinger Band, which shows strong buying pressure. Short-term EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) are crossing upwards, signaling potential bullish continuation. Trade Ideas & Market Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario: If GBP/USD holds above 1.2600, it could gain further momentum towards 1.2750 - 1.2800. A confirmed breakout above 1.2800 would open doors for 1.3000. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to sustain above 1.2600, we could see a pullback to 1.2300 - 1.2200. A break below 1.2200 would indicate bearish strength, potentially leading to 1.2000 or lower. Final Thoughts The GBP/USD is at a critical juncture, and traders should keep an eye on key levels. With fundamental catalysts like economic data and central bank policies, volatility is expected. A sustained breakout above 1.2800 could mark the beginning of a strong bullish trend, while rejection could send prices lower. 🔥 What’s Next? Keep an eye on GBP/USD and be ready to react! Let’s make 2025 the year of your financial success! 🚀💰 #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #DhandaTheGreat #Investing #TradingSignals #FinancialFreedom
Long
by DhandaTheGreat
GBPUSD M15 I Bearish Drop Based on the M15 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 1.2618, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. This setup suggests a potential bearish reversal. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 1.2596, a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss is set at 1.2634, a resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
New Update Of GBPUSD 1 H Time frameHere’s an advanced technical insight: --- 1. Structure Analysis The chart demonstrates a bullish structure in the GBP/USD 1-hour timeframe, characterized by: Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price is respecting an ascending channel, indicating sustained bullish momentum. The Support 1 level (~1.2600) has transitioned from resistance to support, confirming a breakout and potential continuation of the uptrend. --- 2. Supertrend Confirmation (10, 3) The Supertrend indicator aligns with the bullish bias as the price is above the green Supertrend line. Supertrend crossover (red to green) indicates a potential reversal in momentum, which occurred earlier in the demand zone. --- 3. Demand and Support Levels Support 1 (~1.2600): A critical intraday level, likely to act as a short-term pivot point for bulls. If retested, it could provide an opportunity for re-entry. Demand Zone (1.2400–1.2500): A broader accumulation zone based on historical price reactions and the swing low, providing stronger support in case of a deeper correction. --- 4. Price Action within the Ascending Channel The pair is trading in a tight ascending channel, with clear upper and lower boundaries. The midline of the channel can act as dynamic support/resistance. The dashed arrow projection suggests that bulls may target the channel’s upper resistance (~1.2700). --- 5. Probable Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If the price sustains above Support 1 and remains inside the ascending channel, expect continuation toward: Short-Term Target: 1.2650 (minor resistance). Mid-Term Target: 1.2700 (channel resistance). Bearish Scenario: A break below the ascending channel’s lower boundary (~1.2600) could invalidate the bullish bias. Potential downside levels: 1.2550 (local horizontal support). 1.2500–1.2400 (Demand Zone). --- 6. Trade Ideas Long Setup Entry: Wait for a pullback to Support 1 (~1.2600) or channel lower boundary. Target: 1.2650, 1.2700. Stop Loss: Below 1.2580 (to avoid being caught in a false breakout). Short Setup (Countertrend): Entry: If price breaks below the channel (~1.2600). Target: 1.2550, then 1.2500. Stop Loss: Above 1.2635 (to account for a false breakout). --- 7. Risk Management Use proper risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:2). Position sizing is critical; align trades with your account's risk tolerance.
by mrsagarfx
GBPUSD 17 February 2025 TRADE IDEAThe GBP/USD pair is trading within an ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows since 2022. Recently, price bounced off the key support zone around 1.2098 - 1.2036, indicating strong bullish pressure. If this momentum continues, the pair is likely to push towards the 1.3365 - 1.3418 resistance zone, which has historically acted as a major supply area. A confirmed break above this level could open the door for further upside towards 1.3762 - 1.4230, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary. However, if price fails to sustain above 1.3365, a pullback towards the 1.2620 - 1.2500 demand zone is possible before another bullish attempt. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) perspective, a break of structure (BOS) above 1.3000 would reinforce the bullish bias, while recent lows around 1.2098 might have been a liquidity grab before further upside. There is also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 1.3000, which price may seek to fill before continuing higher. Currently, GBP/USD remains in a discount zone, favoring bullish continuation towards premium areas near 1.3365 - 1.3762. Fundamentally, the outlook depends on central bank policies and macroeconomic conditions. The U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates is a key factor; if the Fed signals rate cuts in 2025, USD weakness could support GBP/USD. However, strong U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation could delay rate cuts, keeping the USD strong. Meanwhile, the Bank of England (BoE) is navigating high inflation and slowing growth. If inflation remains elevated, the BoE may maintain its hawkish stance, which could strengthen GBP. On the geopolitical front, risks such as the Russia-Ukraine war and U.S.-China tensions could drive risk-off sentiment, favoring the USD as a safe haven. Overall, as long as GBP/USD stays above 1.2620, the bias remains bullish, with upside targets at 1.3000, 1.3365, and 1.3762. A confirmed break above 1.3000 would validate further upside, while failure to hold above 1.3365 could trigger a retracement towards 1.2620 - 1.2500 before another bullish move. Would you like additional trade setups or risk management insights? 🚀
Long
by karabompesi
British Pound / U.S. DollarPound Chart Update Hello dear traders, According to the DXY analysis, I have identified the suitable entry point for the Pound. Friends, please use the 15-minute timeframe for optimal entry, and be sure to pay attention to the reversal zones. You can even take advantage of these zones for minor fluctuations. Note that this chart is bullish in the daily timeframe, and this is a temporary correction, so it has rapid upward movements—be careful. Important Points: Support (4H): 1.25232 Secret Order Block (4H): 1.24323 & 1.23748 And finally, our main target is 1.22648. Thank you for your support. A very simple and clear chart has been drawn for your use. Wishing you all success! Fereydoon Bahrami A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex) Risk Disclosure: Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
Short
by fereydoon1199
Set Up & Data Collection | Day 1 of 21 | Back Test With Me21-Day Backtesting Plan A Step-by-Step Challenge to Master One Pair and Develop an Unshakable Trading Edge Backtesting is the foundation of trading mastery. This 21-day plan is designed to help you deeply understand GBPUSD, refine your strategy, and build the confidence needed to trade with precision. Each day introduces a specific focus, challenge, and takeaway, progressively strengthening your ability to read market movements. Week 1: Laying the Foundation – Market Structure & Patterns 📅 Day 1: Set Up & Data Collection Task: Gather at least 6 months of historical GBPUSD data on your charting platform. Challenge: Define your testing parameters (e.g., timeframe, session focus, lot size). Takeaway: Clarity in what you’re testing prevents randomness in your results. Are you up for our 21 Day Backtesting Challenge? Drop Your Thoughts in the Comment Section, boost the post, share with your friends and follow me on Trading View if you had an aha moment. -TL
Education
by TLTurnerTV
GBP/USD 15-Minute Chart: Bearish Reversal at Harmonic CompletionThe chart showcases a well-defined harmonic pattern, the Shark, with the price reaching the terminal zone at 1.2670 , marked by a red downward triangle. This suggests a potential reversal zone where selling pressure may emerge. Key observations: The price has reacted strongly at the completion point, aligning with Fibonacci extensions. Overbought conditions are evident in the RSI and other momentum indicators, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish trend. Target levels: T1: 1.26241 T2: 1.25741 Suggests a possible downside move if the reversal confirms. Traders should watch for bearish confirmation before entering short positions, while bulls may seek a break above 1.2670 for further upside.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
GBPUSD Approaching Major Resistance — Potential Sell SetupOANDA:GBPUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone, a level where sellers have consistently stepped in, leading to notable bearish reversals in the past. This area is marked by strong selling interest and historical price reactions, increasing the likelihood of a bearish move if sellers regain control. The current price action suggests that if the pair confirms resistance through signals like bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks, or increased selling volume, we could see a downward move toward 1.25770—a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, opening the door for further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
1
Prepare for Potential Downturn in GBPUSD Next Week - Key Insights: The GBP/USD currency pair is poised for potential downward movement, driven by the bullish trend of the U.S. Dollar. Traders should focus on critical support and resistance levels, as fluctuations in these zones may present trading opportunities. With the current market sentiment leaning towards caution due to economic data releases and the Fed's interest rate policy, a bearish position may be prudent as traders evaluate potential breakdowns below established support levels. - Price Targets: Next week targets are set with a bearish outlook. T1 is positioned at 1.250, suggesting a critical level where a potential decline could gather momentum. T2 is set at 1.245 to accommodate further downward movement. For stop levels, S1 is determined at 1.255, acting as an initial threshold. S2 is placed at 1.260 to safeguard against adverse movements, ensuring that S2 > S1 > 1.257 > T1 > T2 aligns with bearish expectations. - Recent Performance: The GBP/USD has experienced subdued activity, with traders closely monitoring market dynamics influenced by the U.S. Dollar's strength. The pair has been largely trading within a confined range, reflecting uncertainty and concern for potential volatility amidst economic announcements that could trigger price shifts. - Expert Analysis: Experts express caution with regards to GBP/USD trading, advocating for heightened awareness of technical indicators. The bullish sentiment in the U.S. Dollar is expected to linger, discouraging optimistic views on the pound. Probing key technical levels will be crucial for identifying entry and exit points as market conditions evolve. - News Impact: Federal Reserve policy adjustments and Bank of England statements are pivotal events that may impact GBP/USD in the near term. Traders should remain alert to macroeconomic developments, including interest rates and global economic data, which could lead to significant fluctuations in this currency pair, influencing trading decisions considerably.
Short
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Let us Swing GBPUSD !!!Hello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!! First of, fundamentals are heavy on the pounds this week, coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals). Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling more bearish momentum. This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 40 pips from the H4 Order Block but if you need a tighter Stop, you definitely can go sharpen the entry in a lower timeframe. Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account. Most especially, do your own analysis !
Short
by LaBOSS_FX
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, started the new week on a weak note and has already cancelled out most of Friday's gains to more than a one-week high. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, continues to post relative gains amid expectations of a less aggressive easing policy from the Bank of England (BoE). That said, concerns over US President Donald Trump's retaliatory tariffs and their impact on the UK economy may keep GBP bulls away from new bets. In addition, geopolitical risks could limit deeper USD losses and limit GBP/USD gains. Meanwhile, signs that the disinflation process in the US has stalled, reinforcing the case for the Fed to take a wait-and-see approach to future interest rate cuts, could also serve as a tailwind for the USD. This could help to further contain GBP/USD and warrant some caution before positioning for a resumption of the recent uptrend from levels below 1.2100, or the yearly low reached on 13 January. The main focus will be on the closely watched monthly US employment data on Friday. The widely-reported Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figure will shape expectations on the path of the Fed rate cut and drive demand for the dollar in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2610, SL 1.2560, TP 1.2690
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD: A Technical & Fundamental Outlook for March 3, 2025🕒 Market Context & Economic Overview As of March 3, 2025, OANDA:GBPUSD is trading around 1.2602, reflecting a slight recovery from recent declines. The British Pound has been under pressure due to mixed economic data from the UK, while the US Dollar remains strong amid Fed's hawkish stance. UK Economic Indicators: Recent GDP growth figures from the UK showed stagnation, raising concerns about a possible economic slowdown. The BoE's reluctance to cut rates has provided some support for GBP. US Macro Factors: The latest US jobs report exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s stance on maintaining higher interest rates for longer. This has strengthened the USD against major currencies. Market Sentiment: Investors remain cautious as geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns weigh on risk appetite. 📊 Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Daily Chart (D1) – Medium-Term Trend Trend: GBP/USD has been in a corrective phase after a strong rally earlier this year. Resistance Levels: 1.2700 (recent high), 1.2750 (major resistance). Support Levels: 1.2500 (psychological level), 1.2350 (long-term support). Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 55.27, suggesting neutral momentum. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The histogram is slightly positive, but momentum is fading. Volume: Increasing on down days, indicating potential weakness ahead. 📌 Key Takeaway: The overall structure suggests a consolidation phase before the next major move. If GBP/USD breaks below 1.2500, a deeper correction is likely. 2️⃣ 4-Hour Chart (H4) – Short-Term Trend Price Action: GBP/USD recently bounced from 1.2580 but faces resistance near 1.2650. RSI: 43.91, indicating weak bullish momentum. MACD: Slightly bearish, suggesting a potential pullback. 📌 Key Takeaway: GBP/USD is struggling to gain upside traction. If price remains below 1.2650, a test of 1.2550 is likely. 3️⃣ 1-Hour Chart (H1) – Intraday Perspective Short-Term Resistance: 1.2625 (intraday high). Short-Term Support: 1.2580. RSI: 49.27, near the neutral zone. MACD: Slight bullish crossover, but momentum remains weak. 📌 Key Takeaway: The pair is range-bound in the short term. A break above 1.2625 could trigger a move to 1.2650, while a drop below 1.2580 would open the door for 1.2550. 🎯 Trade Strategy & Recommendations 🔹 Buy Setup (Bullish Case): Entry: Above 1.2625 Stop Loss: 1.2580 Take Profit: 1.2675 🔻 Sell Setup (Bearish Case): Entry: Below 1.2580 Stop Loss: 1.2625 Take Profit: 1.2525 📌 Risk Management: Given the current market conditions, traders should adopt a cautious stance, keeping tight stop losses and adjusting positions based on price action. 🔥 Final Thoughts & Market Outlook Short-Term Bias: Neutral to Bearish ⚖️📉 Medium-Term Bias: Consolidation with Downside Risks 🔄 Long-Term Bias: Depends on US Dollar strength & UK macro conditions 🏛️ Traders should keep an eye on upcoming economic data, particularly US ISM Services PMI and UK Inflation Reports, which could drive volatility in GBP/USD.
by fuinvest