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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD Analysis 4/22 11:22amJust FYI i entered my last trade too early. Ill make sure all the signals align next time. I took my losses and kept it moving. GBP/USD Analysis – Institutional Liquidity & Price Action Setup Over the past few weeks, GBP/USD has been in a steady uptrend, posting higher highs and higher lows. However, 1.34234 remains a critical resistance level, and price is showing signs of absorption, suggesting institutions may be stepping in. Technical Overview Recent Highs & Lows: Price peaked at 1.34234, with recent support around 1.33750. Momentum Indicators: The daily RSI remains elevated near 67.8, signaling strong buying interest, but MACD and stochastic fast readings indicate fluctuations. ADX Strength: The 30-minute ADX at 72.4 confirms trend strength, but a fading Aroon Oscillator hints that past bullish waves might be losing steam. Price Action Insights Higher Highs Forming: The past few days show price continuously pushing up, but rejection wicks near 1.33895–1.34234 suggest sell-side pressure building. Potential Lower High Formation: If institutions are absorbing liquidity here, they could be preparing to push price down—meaning a short trade setup is forming. Key Levels to Watch: A break below 1.33750 would confirm bearish momentum, while a clean move above 1.34234 with volume would signal continuation. Volume Profile & Institutional Activity Liquidity Absorption at Resistance: Institutions may be letting retail traders push price up while absorbing their buy orders. If volume clusters at the highs without a breakout, this suggests a reversal could be incoming. Delta Imbalance Considerations: Watching order flow, if sell-side aggression picks up near resistance, it strengthens the bearish case. Volume Spikes & Clustered Activity: If liquidity at 1.33895–1.34234 shows tapering buy-side volume without a breakout, institutions may be trapping longs before driving price down. Trade Plan Given all of this data, my best entry setup is a sell near 1.33895–1.34234, waiting for confirmation: Hourly Rejection Candles: A long upper wick or bearish engulfing candle near resistance would confirm sellers stepping in. Target: A downside move toward 1.33200, where prior liquidity sits, would be a strong take-profit zone. On the flip side, if price breaks above 1.34234 with strong bullish volume, I’ll reassess and look for a buy on a retest, confirming institutional accumulation. This analysis helps me stay disciplined, tracking institutional positioning and liquidity traps rather than chasing impulsive moves. For now, I’m watching hourly candles and volume behavior at resistance before executing my next trade.
by Sel_Ali
UK Inflation Eases, But Pound StrengthensThe British Pound rose above $1.34 on Tuesday, its highest level in seven months, supported by broad dollar weakness. This gain came despite UK inflation softening more than expected, with headline CPI at 2.6% and services inflation down to 4.7%. Easing price pressures led markets to raise expectations for Bank of England rate cuts, now pricing in 86 basis points of easing by year-end, with a fourth cut increasingly likely. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3300, followed by 1.3200 and 1.3050.
by ChartMage
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish breakout supported at 1.3288GBP/USD maintains a bullish bias, with the broader trend and structure supporting upside continuation. The recent intraday move appears to be a bullish breakout toward a key prior consolidation area. Key Support: 1.3288 – aligns with the previous consolidation zone and potential bullish inflection point. Upside Targets: 1.3435 – initial resistance level 1.3500 and 1.3580 – medium to long-term bullish targets If price finds support at 1.3288 and forms a bullish reversal, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend toward the mentioned resistance levels. However, a break and daily close below 1.3288 would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting deeper retracement toward 1.3210, with further support at 1.3120 and 1.2980. Conclusion GBP/USD remains bullish above 1.3288. Look for a bounce from this level to confirm upside continuation. A daily close below 1.3288 would turn the outlook bearish, exposing lower support levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 22, 2025 GBPUSDGBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is trading in positive territory around 1.3370 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Concerns over slowing growth in the United States (US) and worries over the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are driving the US Dollar (USD) lower and creating a tailwind for the major pair. US President Donald Trump condemned Powell for continuing to maintain a “wait-and-see” monetary policy until there is clarity on how the new tariff policy will affect the economic outlook. In a Truth social media post, Trump warned that the US economy will slow down if Powell doesn't cut interest rates immediately. Heightened uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs and rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China are undermining the U.S. dollar across the board. On the other hand, softer UK consumer price index (CPI) inflation data for March and global uncertainty paved the way for an interest rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) at its May meeting. Financial markets are now betting on an interest rate cut at the Bank of England's May meeting, estimating an 86% probability of this happening, according to LSEG data. This, in turn, could affect the Pound Sterling (GBP) exchange rate against the US Dollar. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3425, SL 1.3395, TP 1.3510
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBP/USD London Session 📌 Timeframe:1H 📌 Bias: Bullish 📌 Key Levels: - Sell-side Liquidity Target: 1H SIBI at 1.33930 - Bullish Entry Zone: Consequent Encroachment of the imbalance - Final Target: 1.34300 Market Context & Analysis - Asian Session Recap: Price opened and traded higher, leaving behind a **1H SIBI**, which was later tapped into. - Liquidity Sweep: Price made a higher high before pulling back, now targeting sell-side liquidity at 1.33930. - Bullish Setup Plan: Expecting price to sweep the **sell-side liquidity**, tap into the Consequent Encroachment of the imbalance, and confirm bullish momentum. - Final Target: Anticipating a rally toward 1.34300, which aligns with a strong resistance level. Execution Strategy 1. Wait for Price Action Confirmation - Look for bullish rejection wicks or strong engulfing candles at the Consequent Encroachment zone. - Avoid early entries; wait for liquidity grab and clear directional shift. 2. Entry & Stop-Loss Considerations - Ideal Entry: Once bullish confirmations are observed post-liquidity sweep. - Stop-Loss: Below the recent **liquidity sweep low** to ensure risk protection. 3. Risk-to-Reward & Position Management - Aim for R:R ratio of at least 1:3, securing partial profits as price approaches 1.34300 - Monitor market conditions and adjust if necessary based on order flow dynamics.
Long
by Hos_Waruts
GBP/USD – Breakout Retest Setup🔍 Macro Fundamentals LEI improving → 86.8 → 90 Exo + LEI score = 78.5 → Healthy trend continuation bias Exogenous factors: April score 4.5 → positive skew USD macro weak & dovish, GBP maintaining hawkish tone 📅 Seasonality 📈 GBP bullish from April 24 onward 📉 USD bearish all month ✅ Perfect seasonality window for bullish GBP/USD swing 📊 COT Sentiment Both GBP and USD = ⚖️ Neutral → No positioning pressure, clean technical entry expected 📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart) Price has broken out of structure, now retesting resistance as support Structure forming above 1.32312, with a solid upside trend 🔁 Plan: Enter on breakout retest for trend continuation 📥 Entry: 1.32312 ⛔ Stop Loss: 1.31581 (below structure) 🎯 Take Profit: Trail or target based on 1.3550–1.3600 zone 🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+
Long
by wajahatarif
Week 17 GBPUSD analysis 21042025We keep this analysis simple by looking at the higher time frame and identifying our resistance as around 1.42, while our support is 1.21. Price has been ranging between these two price levels. We see that there is a supply level at 1.34, and we have to wait to see if the price will break above 1.345 either on Wednesday or after NFP next month. Entry price with pending orders Buy stop 1.34500 Take profit 1.40 Disclaimer: Not a trading advice, for educational use only. Trade it on demo If you like my analysis, please give it a boost or let me know how you want to trade it in the comment section.
Long
by topekekere
GBP/USD bulls to mitigate @1.32500 handle as we start the month with trade wars which the cable possibly will not be part of, optimism has grown around a potential Ukraine peace plan reinforcing Britain’s support. Sterling also has gained strength from the expectations that UK interest rates will remain higher for longer. Bank of England Deputy Governor Ramsden highlighted that persistent wage pressures could keep inflation above target, though he noted future rate cuts may not be gradual. This outlook, combined with geopolitical developments, has boosted investor confidence in the pound and so am hoping for a retest to my fair value price @ 1.27000 handle before the bulls comes in and drives the price to my unmitigated zone 1st Tp @1.32500
Long
by que