GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD: Market Sentiment & Price Action
The price of GBPUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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GBPUSD Rejected Key Resistance – Bearish Continuation in Play?
**Pair:** GBPUSD
**Current Price:** ~1.3340
**Bias:** Bearish
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**Analysis:**
GBPUSD has rejected a key resistance level around **1.3340**, which has historically acted as a strong barrier. After multiple failed attempts to break above, price formed a **lower high** and is now pushing lower with bearish momentum.
The recent move suggests a shift in sentiment, with sellers likely aiming for the next key levels near **1.3000** and potentially **1.2800**, where prior support zones exist.
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**Technical Highlights:**
- **Resistance Level:** 1.3340 (historical supply zone)
- **Market Structure:** Lower highs, early signs of bearish trend
- **Target Zone:** 1.3000 – 1.2800
- **Invalidation:** Sustained move above 1.3500
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**Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):**
Look for potential short opportunities on lower timeframes, ideally after a bearish retest near 1.3340 with confirmation.
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> **Disclaimer:**
> This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should always conduct your own research and use proper risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
GBPUSD: Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern + TriangleGBPUSD: Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern + Triangle
Yesterday GBPUSD declined nearly -1.23% during the opening of the London Market. This was accopanied by the news that the US Reached a good deal with China related to tariffs.
This news was made public by the White House.
Both countries will suspend tariffs for an initial period of 90 days.
The U.S. will cut extra tariffs it imposed on Chinese imports in April this year to 30% from 145% and Chinese duties on U.S. imports will fall to 10% from 125%, the two sides said on Monday. The new measures are effective for 90 days.
This news supported USD strength on the short term and GBPUSD declined from 160 pips from 1.3300 to 1.3140
Technical Analysis:
The bearish movement confirmed the breakout from the bearish Triangle pattern and from the Head and shoulder pattern we can see on the chart. A possible pause is expected after this moment given that we don't have strong reasons to see a more aggressive decline.
However the bearish movement may condinue during the week following new developments from the tariffs front related to the other countries.
Targets: 1.3100 ; 1.3000 and 1.2900 are very strong structure zones dating back also on the past.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD Bullish Playbook – Multi-Timeframe Strategy (May 2025)GBP/USD is in a clear daily uptrend, with price respecting an ascending channel since December 2024. A recent pullback to the 1.3200–1.3250 support zone set the stage for a bounce, aligning with a 1-hour double bottom and a 15-minute bull flag forming around 1.3300–1.3360.
Key short-term levels:
Support: 1.3300–1.3310 (H1 neckline & intraday trendline).
Resistance: 1.3360–1.3370 (flag high and daily breakout zone).
Trading plan:
Buy dips near 1.3300 with stops under 1.3285.
Target: 1.3360, then 1.3400–1.3450.
Breakout trade: Long above 1.3370 if momentum holds.
Fade scenario: Short 1.3360 rejections back to 1.3320.
All three timeframes support a bullish bias into higher highs, with clean setups and tight stops. This plan favors high-RR trades in a tight range with breakout potential.
GBPUSD Setup 14.05.2025GBPUSD – Long Setup Pending (May 14, 2025)
Price is approaching a 30m Fair Value Gap (FVG) created after a strong impulsive move. If price taps into the FVG zone at 1.33270–1.33160 and shows a bullish reaction (engulfing or strong rejection wick), it presents a high-probability long setup.
Entry: On bullish confirmation inside FVG (1.33270–1.33160)
Stop Loss: 1.33118 (below FVG)
Target: 1.33760
RR: ~1:3
Wait for clear bullish price action before entering. No entry if FVG fails or price drops through without reaction.
Support, follow, like and comment.
GBPUSD LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWN FOR BEGINNERS 218PIPGBP/USD holds recovery gains near 1.3350 as US Dollar loses further ground
GBP/USD is trading near 1.3350 in Wednesday’s European session, extending Tuesday's 1% rally. The pair capitalizes on renewed US Dollar sell-off even as risk sentiment turns negative. Fedspeak and trade talks remain in focus.
SHORT. Approaching Key Resistance – Descending Channel 4HEntered a bit too early—currently in drawdown, but risk is managed. This is exactly the moment I step back, stay off the charts, and let the plan breathe. Discipline over impulse.
Price is climbing toward the upper boundary of a descending channel. Watching closely for a potential tap and rejection at the trendline. This level could act as a solid resistance zone for short entries, especially if momentum stalls. Patience is key—waiting for confirmation before diving in.
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN📈 GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: May 12, 2025
✅ Status: ON WATCH – Awaiting Entry Confirmation
Price is approaching high-probability supply zones. Setup is not live until H1 confirms entry trigger.
📋 Trade Plan Overview
* Type: Intra-Day to Swing
* Direction: Sell (Trend Continuation)
* Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
* Trade Classification: HTF Trend + BOS + Weak Pullback + H1 Structure Shift
🔍 Bias Breakdown
* Daily: Clear bearish engulfing off daily supply. Price broke internal structure → confirms lower high.
* H4: Sharp impulse down, clean inefficiency in current pullback. Retrace targeting previous imbalance.
* H1: Liquidity sweep underway, forming lower high setup. Internal BOS expected soon.
🛠️ Execution Plan
📍 Entry Zones:
🔸 Zone 1 – Primary Sell Area
* Price: 1.32350 – 1.32550
* Details: H1 Supply + H4 imbalance + Liquidity sweep potential
* Expect: Strong rejection with BOS
🔸 Zone 2 – Secondary Sell Area (If deeper pullback)
* Price: 1.32750 – 1.33000
* Details: H4 OB + Equal highs sweep + Daily imbalance retest
❗ Stop Loss
* SL Zone 1: 1.32850 (above H4 structure wick)
* SL Zone 2: 1.33160 (above swing OB and liquidity top)
🎯 Take Profit Levels
* 🥇 TP1: 1.31200 (1.5R – intraday low sweep)
* 🥈 TP2: 1.30400 (trend continuation level)
* 🥉 TP3: 1.29750 (swing low & weekly draw on liquidity)
🧠 Risk & Management Strategy
* Risk: 0.50% per valid zone
* If both zones triggered: split exposure to 0.25% each
* TP1 = Lock 50%, SL to BE
* TP2 = Secure 30%, partial trail
* TP3 = Let remainder trail on HTF structure
* Max GBP exposure = 3% total
* Trade correlation management enforced across GBP pairs
✅ Confirmation Triggers
* 🔹 H1 Break of Structure (BOS) post zone tap
* 🔹 H1/H4 Bearish Engulfing or Rejection Wick
* 🔹 RSI or OBV Divergence (if applicable)
* 🔹 Volume/Delta spike confirming smart money exit
* 🔹 Preferred timing: NY session open / overlap
📆 Plan Validity
* Valid Until: May 14, 2025 (NY Close)
* Plan void if:
* Price trades above Zone 2 and closes on H4
* No confirmation after zone tap within 12 hours
* Unexpected GBP macro shock (e.g. BoE or CPI event)
📊 Sentiment & Context
* GBP shows weakness across board; DXY strengthening
* Market structure aligned with risk-off tone
* VIX > 17, DXY holding breakout, equities pulling back
* COT shows GBP heavy net longs → ripe for squeeze
🧾 Final Trade Summary
GBPUSD remains in macro bearish alignment with clean intraday structure and well-defined supply zones. Liquidity engineering and internal exhaustion are present. The plan offers two tactical entries for low-risk, high-probability shorts with strict invalidation and excellent RR potential. Wait for confirmation inside zone, manage exposure across GBP pairs, and prioritize execution within NY open window.
GBPUSD Analysis🔁 GBPUSD update!
As our followers know,
we previously took a great profit from this level (see pinned idea below).💸
Now, that level is broken and we are patiently waiting for a pullback to enter a short trade.🔻
***If the price breaks above, we may switch to a buy setup — let’s wait for a clear signal!🕵️
For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel:
ForexCSP
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Edges HigherMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Edges Higher
GBP/USD is attempting a fresh increase above the 1.3270 resistance.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3250.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3270 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair declined after it failed to clear the 1.3440 resistance. As mentioned in the previous analysis, the British Pound traded below the 1.3200 support against the US Dollar.
Finally, the pair tested the 1.3140 zone and is currently attempting a fresh increase. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3215.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3270. The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3402 swing high to the 1.3139 low. It is now showing positive signs above 1.3300.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3340 and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3402 swing high to the 1.3139 low.
The next major resistance is near 1.3400. A close above the 1.3400 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3440. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3500.
On the downside, immediate support is near 1.3270. If there is a downside break below 1.3270, the pair could accelerate lower. The first major support is near the 1.3215 level and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The next key support is seen near 1.3140, below which the pair could test 1.3080. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.3000 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
GU-Wed-14/05/25 TDA-US CPI softens slightly, GU is rallying up!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trade updates!
Post trade analysis opened on Mon:
-Mistake: setting too wide tp ahead of US CPI
-Lesson learned: 3 types of tp set
1) Strong fundamental back up, wide tp (relying to push through levels)
2) Medium fundamental back up, tp to next major resistances (1h+)
3) No fundamental back up, tight tp and no holding
Always doing post trade analysis is really good and super
useful. By understanding if it was a technical problem, emotional
problem, fundamentally not understanding problem etc.
I advise you to do the same for each trade!
Comment down below what do you think!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPUSD Swing trade shortWe have a 1D supply zone open above the current equal highs (marked by red line), this 1day supply zone is around the 1.36 mark and takes us back a little while but has not been mitigated as yet.
1day supply zone will need to see a 1H break of structure to the downside within this supply zone to show a rejection of this price and will then look to get in on a short to the demand zone marked below.
Entry - TBC - between 1.353-- 1.36
SL - 1.375
TP - 1.28
GBP/USD Bulls Are Back? Institutions Are Loading Up1. Price Action & Zone Mapping
GBP/USD is consolidating above 1.3300 after a strong bullish reaction near the demand zone between 1.3040 and 1.3150 — an area that has already rejected price twice in recent months.
While the market structure still shows lower highs, the weekly candlestick formation signals a clear loss of bearish momentum. On the upside, the 1.3500–1.3600 zone remains the key supply area to break for a structural reversal to be confirmed.
2. COT Report – Institutional Positioning (as of May 6, 2025)
Non-Commercials (speculators) added +3,320 long positions and reduced -1,956 shorts, bringing the net long to +7,683 contracts — a strong bullish signal.
Commercials remain net short, but not with increasing aggression.
👉 The net positioning supports continued bullish bias, aligned with the recent technical rebound.
3. USD Index – Opposite Positioning
Non-Commercials increased both longs and shorts slightly on the US Dollar Index, but net positioning remains neutral with a slight bearish tilt.
This suggests a phase of indecision or mild retracement in the dollar, which indirectly supports GBP/USD upside.
4. GBP/USD Seasonality – Historical Behavior in May
According to MarketBulls data, May tends to be neutral-to-weak for the pair:
15-year avg: +0.0023
5-year avg: -0.016
2-year avg: +0.0069
Overall, this supports a ranging or corrective phase — not a high-conviction trending month. A breakout may need more confirmation.
5. Retail Sentiment
Currently, 60% of retail traders are short GBP/USD, with an average price of 1.2959, while only 40% are long from 1.3337.
👉 This imbalance favors a contrarian bullish narrative, especially if the market decides to run stops below 1.3300.
✅ Operational Outlook
GBP/USD is showing bullish consolidation signs, backed by:
Increasing institutional long interest
Contrarian retail sentiment (potential fuel for rallies)
Solid demand near 1.3040–1.3150
However, neutral seasonality and lack of structural breakout advise caution. A pullback towards 1.3200–1.3150 might come before any further upside move toward 1.3500.
🔍 Preferred Play: Wait for a retest of 1.3150 with price action confirmation before entering long. A strong breakout above 1.3350 would be early confirmation of renewed bullish pressure.