GBPUSD trade ideas
GBP/USD – Bullish Bias Holding Above Demand Zones (1H Chart)📈 GBP/USD – Bullish Bias Holding Above Demand Zones (1H Chart)
The pair is consolidating above key demand zones after a strong bullish move. Price structure suggests buyers are still active.
🔹 First Demand Zone: 1.36561–1.36683
🔹 Secondary Demand Zone: 1.35908–1.36226
🔹 Current Price: 1.37375
📍 As long as price holds above 1.36561, bullish continuation remains on the table. A clean rejection from demand with LTF confirmation could offer fresh long setups.
⚠️ No need to rush — let price test the zone and show intent before buying.
#GBPUSD #FXFOREVER #DemandZone #SmartMoneyTrading #PriceAction #ForexForecast #BullishScenario #StructureSupport
GU-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Strong resistance area approaching 1.37500Analysis done directly on the chart
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Timing!
You might ask yourself why sometimes your
trade idea was good but still ended up hitting your sl before it moves to your direction.
The reason is simple: Timing.
price is just not ready to push at that time
and needed extra liquidity and structure before it finally has the force to push.
Understanding when the market is ready is one of the most difficult thing for a trader to do but with experience you start to understand better and improve.
If you like the way I present and analyze, make sure to boost,
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Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a clear summary of your GBP/USD sell trade setup:
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Trade Type: Sell
Entry Price: 1.37440
✅ Take Profit Targets:
1. TP1: 1.37240
2. TP2: 1.37032
3. TP3: 1.36821
❌ Stop Loss:
SL: 1.37674
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Risk-Reward Overview:
Risk (SL): 1.37674 - 1.37440 = +23.4 pips
Reward:
TP1: 1.37440 - 1.37240 = 20 pips
TP2: 1.37440 - 1.37032 = 40.8 pips
TP3: 1.37440 - 1.36821 = 61.9 pips
So the best-case reward-to-risk ratio is approximately 2.6:1.
Let me know if you’d like a risk management calculator, trailing stop plan, or chart visualization for this setup.
Updated GBP/USD Trade Idea: New Setup If Price Reaches Key LevelAfter successfully executing the previous trade, I’m now monitoring GBP/USD for a fresh opportunity. If the price reaches this point, it aligns with a high-probability zone where market structure suggests a potential reaction. This area has historically acted as a decision point, and I’ll be watching closely for confirmation before entering the next position.
This updated idea reflects a disciplined, price-action-based approach—focused on timing, structure, and market behavior. Whether you're a day trader or swing trader, this setup offers a clean risk-to-reward profile and fits well within an intraday strategy.
📈 Stay tuned for real-time updates, trade management insights, and detailed breakdowns. 💬 Follow for more GBP/USD strategies and actionable forex content.
GBP/USD Tactical Shift: Long Closed, Short Bias ActivatedAfter successfully capturing the upside move on GBP/USD, price has now reached a key resistance zone where bullish momentum appears to be fading. The recent price action shows signs of exhaustion, with lower highs forming near the top and a noticeable slowdown in buying pressure.
This shift in structure suggests a potential reversal opportunity. I'm now positioning for a short setup, anticipating a corrective move as sellers begin to step in. The risk is clearly defined above the recent highs, with downside targets aligned with previous reaction zones and intraday support levels.
This transition from long to short reflects a dynamic response to evolving market conditions—focused, disciplined, and opportunity-driven.
GBP/USD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Top Pick This WeekMacro Fundamentals (ENDO):
The UK macro backdrop remains inflationary, with solid growth data and resilient employment figures, supporting further GBP strength. Conversely, the US shows increasing deflationary signals and a softer macro pulse.
COT Positioning:
Institutional positioning is highly supportive, with a 74% long bias and strong “flip percentile.” This shows that “smart money” is increasingly positioned for further GBP/USD upside.
Z-Score (Positioning Extremes):
There are no extreme positioning imbalances in Z-Score for GBP or USD, suggesting the trend can continue without risk of a mean-reversion squeeze.
EXO Signals (Risk/Reward, Bias, Interest Rate Outlook):
Risk/reward metrics and bias signals favor the long side. The current risk-on sentiment in global markets also acts as a tailwind for GBP.
FX Sentiment:
The broader sentiment is risk-on, supporting currencies like GBP that tend to outperform in such environments.
Summary & Trading Plan:
Bias: Long GBP/USD
Conviction: High (9.5/10, all key signals aligned)
Ideal Holding Period: 1–3 weeks, as long as risk-on sentiment persists. Exit immediately if risk-off conditions emerge.
Why This Pair?
Because GBP/USD is the rare case where macro, institutional positioning, and market sentiment all support the same direction. This reduces “crosswinds” and increases the probability of a clean swing move. Watch for sustained risk-on flows and monitor for any macro or sentiment shifts.
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.3720
1st Support: 1.3648
1st Resistance: 1.3771
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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Market next target 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bullish Alternative Scenario
While the current chart outlines a bearish scenario after a short-term bullish correction, leading to a drop toward the target near 1.36600, here’s how a bullish disruption could unfold instead:
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🟢 Bullish Disruption Possibility:
1. False Breakdown / Bear Trap:
The market may dip slightly below recent lows to trigger sell stops and liquidity grab, then reverse upward.
If price finds strong buying interest around 1.3690–1.3700, it could spark a bullish reversal.
2. Strong Rejection Candles:
Watch for bullish engulfing or pin bar formations on lower timeframes (15m or 30m) near the dip area.
These would signal loss of bearish momentum.
3. Break of Lower High Structure:
A break above 1.3720 would shift short-term market structure to bullish.
It could lead to a move toward 1.3750–1.3780.
4. Macro Fundamentals:
Hawkish BOE comments or weak U.S. data could reverse USD strength, lifting GBP/USD.
Falling towards pullback support?GBP?USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3609
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3534
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3746
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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GBP/USD Testing Resistance at 2022 HighsSterling marked an outside weekly-reversal through slope resistance last week with the rally trading just below resistance into the close of the month at the 2022 swing high at 1.3749. Look for support at the June high at 1.3633 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach / close higher exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003. Weekly support rests with the 78.6% retracement at 1.3414 with media-term bullish invalidation now raised to the April high-week close (HWC) at 1.3270.
-MB
Trading Recommendation and Analysis for GBP/USDThe British pound is rising, but the accompanying Marlin oscillator is quite weak. Before the bulls are not just the desired targets - 1.3834, 1.3935, etc. - but also potential traps from which the bears could launch an unstoppable offensive.
On the daily chart, the trend remains upward, which is also confirmed by the Marlin oscillator breaking upward out of its own descending channel. However, there is also suspicion that this might be a trap - it may be a false breakout from the channel, similar to what occurred on May 12, when it was a breakout to the downside (highlighted by a yellow rectangle) .A trend reversal would occur if the price breaks below the support level at 1.3635, which is additionally reinforced by the MACD line.
On the four-hour chart, the price appears to be finishing a consolidation phase. During this consolidation, the Marlin oscillator has had time to decompress and prepare for further growth. As long as the trend remains intact the no signs of reversal appear, we expect the price to continue moving gradually upward.
GBPUSD PullbackGBPUSD is in an overall bullish market
However, after a large bullish push, I am expecting price to pullback (sell off).
Price met resistance a weekly supply zone and closed as an indecision candle on the Daily.
The lower blue EMA crossed below the higher RED EMA on the 1hr chart.
Expecting price to selloff and find support at the 50.0 Fib level which also correlates with a demand zone, before continuing the overall trend.