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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD Analysis 4/16 at 8:55amI entered long at 1.32273 on April 15, and as of now, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3252, meaning I'm already up. Why I'm Staying Long Trend Confirmation: The daily chart still shows a strong uptrend, and moving averages confirm that GBP/USD has been trading above key levels. The RSI is at 62.76 on the daily timeframe, meaning bullish momentum is intact but not overly overbought. Short-Term Signals: On the hourly chart, some indicators suggest price may consolidate before continuing higher. Stochastic RSI has cooled off, which often signals a chance for price to stabilize before another move up. Aroon Oscillator (Hourly) at -78.57 shows fading bullish momentum in the short term, so I’m watching whether buyers step back in to push price higher. Support & Resistance Levels: 1.3250 is a key level—if price holds above it, GBP/USD could continue toward 1.3280–1.3300. If 1.3250 breaks, I’ll monitor 1.3220, which is close to my entry point, as the next potential support. Fundamental Factors Affecting GBP/USD: UK Inflation (2.6%) missed expectations, meaning GBP might not be as strong as before. US Retail Sales beat expectations, reinforcing USD strength, which could put some pressure on GBP/USD. Fed Chair Powell speaks later today, which could inject volatility—if he’s hawkish, USD may strengthen and push GBP/USD lower. My Next Steps I’ll continue holding as long as price remains above 1.3250. If Powell’s speech creates sharp volatility, I might adjust my stop to secure profits. My target is 1.3280–1.3300, but I’m prepared to reassess based on price action. Overall, I’m feeling good about staying long, but I'm monitoring key levels closely to ensure I lock in gains while managing risk.
Long
by Sel_Ali
Market Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets HigherMarket Analysis: GBP/USD Rockets Higher GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.3220 resistance. Important Takeaways for GBP/USD Analysis Today - The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.3220. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3245 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen. GBP/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2850 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.3000 zone against the US Dollar. The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3150. The pair even climbed above 1.3200 and traded as high as 1.3263. It is now consolidating gains and trading well above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.3260. The next major resistance is near 1.3320. A close above the 1.3320 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3450. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3500. On the downside, there is a key support forming near a bullish trend line at 1.3245. If there is a downside break below 1.3245, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is at 1.3145. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3030 swing low to the 1.3263 high. The next key support is seen near 1.3030, below which the pair could test 1.2860. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2745 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data Releases 🇺🇸 U.S. • March Retail Sales – Consumer spending trend, high market impact. • Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization – Signals strength of the manufacturing sector. • April NY Fed Services Index – Regional business activity snapshot. • NAHB Housing Market Index – Homebuilder sentiment. • Feb Business Inventories – Impacts GDP revisions. • Total Net TIC Flows – Foreign capital flows into U.S. assets. 🇨🇳 China • Q1 GDP – Key for global growth outlook. • March Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Home Prices, Property Investment – Domestic demand & real estate health. 🇬🇧 UK • March CPI & RPI, Feb House Price Index – Inflation indicators ahead of BoE moves. 🇯🇵 Japan • Feb Core Machine Orders – Business capex proxy. 🇮🇹 Italy / 🇪🇺 Eurozone • Feb Current Account Balances – External demand & capital flow indicators. 🇳🇿 New Zealand • Q1 CPI – Inflation print crucial for RBNZ rate expectations. ________________________________________ Central Banks • 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada Rate Decision – Watch for policy tone amid inflation shifts. • 🇺🇸 Fed Speakers: Powell, Cook, Hammack – Any hints on rate cuts or economic outlook closely watched. ________________________________________ Earnings to Watch • Tech & Industrials: ASML, Sandvik, Sartorius • Healthcare: Abbott Laboratories • Transport & Real Estate: Prologis, CSX • Financials: US Bancorp, Nordea • Consumer: Heineken • Materials: Alcoa High-impact guidance or surprises could trigger sector moves. ________________________________________ Bond Auctions • 🇺🇸 US 20-Year Bond Auction – Monitor for demand; impacts yields and USD. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Inflation in the UK Has FallenInflation in the UK Has Fallen According to Forex Factory, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading came in below expectations: while analysts had forecast a decline to 2.7% year-on-year from the previous 2.8%, the actual CPI figure was 2.6%. Following the release of this news, the GBP/USD exchange rate rose to 1.3280 – the highest level in seven months. On the one hand, falling inflation is a sign of a healthy economy and a relief for the Bank of England, especially considering that CPI stood in double digits just two years ago. As a result, analysts may now predict that interest rates could be cut at the meeting scheduled for 8 May. On the other hand, demand for the dollar remains volatile due to Trump’s tariff policies, fears of a US recession, and a wave of bond sell-offs. Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart In just one week, the pound-to-dollar rate has risen by approximately 4.2%, with the RSI indicator now hovering near extreme overbought levels. Furthermore, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which has been in play since the beginning of 2025. In such conditions, a correction (with a bearish breakout of the ascending trendline, shown in blue) appears a logical development. However, a key factor in sustaining the current trend of dollar weakness could be the speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, scheduled for today at 20:30 GMT+3. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
GBPUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart displays a potential short trade setup for GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it's showing: Entry Point: The red downward arrow near the top indicates a suggested entry for a short trade (selling). Stop Loss: Positioned just above the recent high around the 1.32900 level, marked in red. Take Profit Targets: 1. First target at the previous support zone around 1.32400. 2. Second target slightly below, around 1.32050. 3. Final target near the bottom support zone around
Short
by money_magnet2
UPDATE ON GBP/USD TRADEGBP/USD 1H - Morning people, I hope you are all okay. As you can see price has played out again very well during the Asian session. I believe we will see our TP achieved by the end of todays NY. With price setting new highs and lows above our entry I believe we safe to move our SL to breakeven to avoid taking any losses from this position. A reversal here would mean longer term bearishness anyways. This trade is currently running + 152 pips. (+ 6.4%) 6.4RR A big well done to those of you who jumped in on this trade, if you have any questions with regards to the analysis or the position itself then please drop me a message or comment below and I will get back to you as soon as possible. Ensure you are managing your trades correctly. I have gone ahead and moved my SL to Entry and I have also taken another partial to bank profits and remove any unwanted risk.
Long
by Lukegforex
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 16 April 2025 - GBPUSD broke key resistance level 1.3200 - Likely to rise to the resistance level 1.3400 GBPUSD currency pair is rising sharply after the recent breakout of the key resistance level 1.3200, which stopped the previous minor impulse wave A at the start of April. The breakout of the resistance level 1.3200 accelerated the active impulse waves i and C – which belong to wave (B) from January. Given the bearish US dollar sentiment seen today coupled with sterling optimism, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3400 (target price for the completion of the active wave C).
Long
by FxProGlobal
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25 Thoughts- It's not if, it's WHEN ! All longs are null until the weekly order block has been breached or price drops considerably. In the here and now the short seems to be closing in. It is as always important to stack confluences in favour of the short prior risking capital. 15' break of structure is an absolute requirement as this point of price action. Within the higher time frame order block- looking for a lower time frame order block is not enough to short from therefore scrolling back months to find is pointless in our opinion. We will let price show us, we will reaction with price. What are your thoughts... Are we dropping today? FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
[_] ONENTRYGBPUSD - ‘2FIB Strategy’ by ONENTRY Timeframe: 30 Minutes Session: London & New York --- ### **Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range** - Mark the **high** and **low** of the price range between **00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT)**. - Mark up  **50% of the overnight range**: - Wait for a **clear breakout** with a candle *closing* above (for longs) or below (for shorts) the range. --- ### **Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels** - After the breakout, use the **Fibonacci retracement tool**: - **Anchor Point 1 (Start):** Close of the breakout candle body. - **Anchor Point 2 (End):** Drag to the **50% level of the overnight range** - Key retracement levels for entry: **0.5 and 0.35 Fibonacci**. --- ### **Step 3: Trade Execution** - **Entry:** Enter on a pullback to **0.5 or 0.35 Fib level** after the breakout. - **Stop Loss:** - *Long trades:* Below the **low of the breakout candle**. - *Short trades:* Above the **high of the breakout candle**. - **Take Profit Targets:** - **TP1:** 1.0 Fib extension (initial target). - **TP2:** 1.25 Fib extension. - **TP3:** 1.6 Fib extension. - **TP4:** 2.3 Fib extension (runner position). --- ### **Step 4: Trade Management** - Move SL to breakeven when price hits **TP1**. - Close all remaining positions before midnight.
Long
by ONENTRY
Elliott Wave Confirms That GBPUSD Has Resumed Its Upward MoveGBPUSD has recently broken above its April 3, 2025 peak of 1.3207, which we identified as wave (1) in the chart. This breakout signals a bullish trend starting from the January 13, 2025 low of 1.2705, suggesting more upward movement ahead. The rally from this low follows a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern. This is a common structure in technical analysis indicating a strong trend. Starting from the January 13 low, the first wave or wave (1) reached 1.3207.,A pullback in wave (2) then followed which ended at 1.2705. This pullback formed a zigzag pattern. Wave A dropped to 1.2823, wave B rose to 1.2934, and wave C fell to 1.2705, completing wave (2). The pair has now moved higher into wave (3). From the wave (2) low, the first sub-wave (wave ((i))) peaked at 1.2864, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to 1.274. The third sub-wave (wave ((iii))) climbed to 1.314, and the fourth (wave ((iv))) dipped to 1.3027. The fifth sub-wave (wave ((v))) is expected to finish soon, completing wave 1 of a larger pattern. After this, the pair is likely to pull back in wave 2, correcting the upward move from the April 8, 2025 low. This correction could unfold in 3, 7, or 11 smaller swings before the pair resumes its upward trend. In the short term, as long as the 1.27 low holds, any dips should attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swings, supporting further gains.
by Elliottwave-Forecast