Get started

British Pound / U.S. Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSDGBP/USD Analysis: June 1–10, 2025 Key Drivers: Economic Data, Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Carry Trade Dynamics 1. Upcoming Economic Data (June 1–10) US Data: June 4;1:15pm USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change June 6: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) – Strong jobs growth (>200k) could revive USD strength. June 6: Average Hourly Earnings – Wage growth impacts Fed policy expectations. 2. 10-Year Bond Yields and Interest Rate Differential UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.46% (as of June 2, 2025) . 4.77% (UK)−4.46% (US)=+0.31% The UK’s higher bond yield provides a modest carry advantage for GBP. Policy Rates: BoE Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps in May 2025) . Fed Rate: 4.25–4.50% (steady since May 2025). Rate Differential: 4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0% 3. Carry Trade Advantage Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in GBP assets (higher bond yields), exploiting the +0.31% yield spread. Current Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish for GBP, supported by bond yield spreads but tempered by BoE’s dovish stance. Risks: Weak UK PMI/GDP data could narrow yield spreads. Strong US NFP may widen the policy rate gap, boosting USD. Bullish Catalysts: UK CPI >3.5% delays BoE cuts. Weak US jobs data (<150k) weakens USD. Bearish Catalysts: BoE signals further cuts. Strong US wage growth (>0.4% MoM). Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.46% Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50% Yield Spread +0.31% (GBP over USD) — Key Data Focus CPI, GDP, PMIs NFP, Wage Growth Carry Trade Implication Modest GBP advantage USD strength on policy rate Conclusion GBP/USD’s near-term direction hinges on UK inflation and US jobs data. The UK’s higher bond yields offer a carry trade edge, but BoE dovishness and USD resilience may cap gains. #GBPUSD#
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Skeptic | GBP/USD Analysis: Breakout Triggers in the Box!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! FX:GBPUSD has been killing it with a solid uptrend but now it’s chilling in a correction phase, trapped in a box range. A break above or below this box could light up some epic triggers, so let’s dive into a multi-timeframe analysis to get the full picture. 🧠 Starting with the Daily Timeframe we’re riding a powerful upward channel where price has been dancing perfectly with the ceiling, floor, and midline. We’ve nabbed some sweet trades from this setup before! After hitting resistance at 1.35576 , we slipped into a time-based correction. Here’s the daily breakdown: If the box floor at 1.35002 cracks, we could slide to 1.34173 , hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement— a legit first support zone. 🎯 If we bust through the ceiling, the channel’s midline is our next target. But with lower highs forming, I’m betting on a deeper correction for now. 📉 With that intel, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe for our main long and short triggers. 🔥 For longs, a break above 1.35576 is our golden ticket, with a stop loss below the box. Want a quicker R/R and early profits? Set a tighter stop below the 1H or 15-minute floor that forms. 💸 For shorts, we can play with a smaller stop loss. I’d jump in after breaking support at 1.35002 , with a stop loss at 1.35464 if we go bearish from here. If we test the box ceiling again before breaking the floor, the stop loss sits above the box. 🚨 Heads-up: longs are riskier based on the daily clues. As always, do your own research, steer clear of FOMO, and never forget—capital management and stop losses are your market lifelines. Nobody shouts about those enough! A single trade, good or bad, won’t make or break your long-term game, so skip the emotional drama and grind on your strategy and psychology. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this recap got your gears turning, smash that boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
GBPUSD 1H chart✅ What I Like: Clean Fair Value Gap (FVG): The FVG is clearly defined and price is actively returning to it. This offers a textbook point of interest (POI) for a potential short. Price Delivered into Premium: This FVG is sitting in a premium zone (above the equilibrium of the recent swing), making it a good area for potential shorts if internal liquidity has been swept. Aggressive Displacement Candle: The bullish candle that tapped into the FVG is impulsive — might be a liquidity run, grabbing buy-side liquidity before a reversal. ⚠️ Concerns: No Clear Liquidity Sweep Yet: There’s no obvious run on recent highs before price hits the FVG. Without a liquidity grab, the setup might lack that “smart money” confirmation. No Market Structure Shift Confirmed: We’re still in bullish short-term structure unless we break a recent low. A reversal from the FVG needs confirmation via lower-timeframe BOS. Dollar News Event Approaching? The FVG reaction could fake out if major USD data is near. Fundamentals can disrupt clean technical setups. 🧠 Final Thoughts: If this setup is to be shorted: Wait for 15m or 5m structure shift. Look for signs of exhaustion or rejection in the FVG zone (e.g., bearish engulfing, liquidity sweep of intraday highs). If price pushes above the FVG without rejection, it may invalidate the short and continue toward higher liquidity. High-probability zone, but needs confirmation + narrative.
by TopGBanks
Sterling headed towards 1.40 in coming days.Cable been on a uptrend since the Liz Truss low. Latest bout of dollar weakness obviously helping whilst long term monthly chart is very constructive indicating new uptrend is fully intact. Other supporting narrative is the new "growth" aware labour government that has begun to forge something of a return to Europe along with new trade deals with India and the USA. Many traders and PMs also aware that the British Pound has a long relatively stable history whilst the Bank of England has not defaulted on its Gilts which have been reliably paid for more than 400 years. recent previous resistance on light blue line now acting as support. Sit tight cable has plenty of upside from here.
Long
by behr100
GBP/USD Bearish Setup Analysis GBP/USD Bearish Setup Analysis GBP/USD appears poised for a bearish move, following signs of a completed corrective structure observed a few days ago. The pair had shown a temporary recovery, but recent price action suggests that this correction may now be over, increasing the likelihood of a larger decline. While the exact catalyst for the move is still uncertain, the technical setup looks promising. This could potentially trigger a liquidity release, especially if key support levels are broken with momentum. Key downside targets: 1.3400 1.3252 you may find more details in the chart P Support with like and comments for better analysis.
Short
by MrMartin_11
1
Consolidation ahead of the next bullish rallyThe GBP/USD exchange rate has edged lower below the three-year high of 1.3592 set in May. To sustain the upward momentum, prices need to decisively close above the resistance line of 1.3597 since July 2023 (which capped gains last week). A breakthrough above the key resistance zone of 1.3658 could trigger a stronger rally, targeting the 2022 high of 1.3747. Further breakthroughs may shift market focus to the upward trendline (around 1.3865). Technically, short-term risks remain biased to the upside, supported by the rebound of the stochastic oscillator. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@1.3490-1.3500 TP:1.3550-1.3600
Long
by Ashbur
GBPUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Long
by okako_trading
Sterling Strengthens Amid BoE and NFP FocusOn Tuesday, June 3, 2025, GBP/USD traded near 1.3530 as the British pound strengthened, supported by U.S. dollar weakness driven by soft economic data and trade tensions. The outlook for the UK economy remained relatively upbeat. Markets now focus on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report and any signals from the Bank of England. A potential BoE rate cut could pressure the pound, while continued weak U.S. data may weigh on the dollar. The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.
by ChartMage
GBPUSD Poised for a Bearish Move - UPDATEGBPUSD Poised for a Bearish Move - UPDATE A few days ago, I shared a GBPUSD chart that showed signs of a correction. Now, that correction appears to be complete, and the likelihood of a larger decline is increasing. The exact catalyst for this move is uncertain, but the setup looks promising and could trigger a liquidity release. On the 4-hour chart, GBPUSD has formed a rough variation of a Harmonic Pattern. Although this pattern isn’t perfect, it effectively blocked the price from climbing above 1.3590. GBPUSD now seems poised for a bearish trend. Targets: 1.3350 | 1.3250 | 1.3170 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
12
Long Broadening Wedge 1 TF for 4 Hour FibA broadening wedge is a chart pattern where price action forms higher highs and lower lows, creating a widening structure. There are two main types: Broadening Ascending Wedge – Bullish bias (eventually breaks up). Broadening Descending Wedge – Bearish bias (eventually breaks down). Key Characteristics: Appears during high volatility. Shows increasing price swings. Often found in both continuation and reversal scenarios. Can fake out both bulls and bears, so risk management is crucial.
Long
by BenjaminFib
GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? GBPUSD – Is the Recovery Losing Steam? Watch for Technical Pullback Ahead of NFP The GBPUSD pair has recently rebounded impressively from the 1.3427 key support zone, reflecting short-term USD weakness and growing speculation of rate cuts by the Fed. However, after the strong bullish move, the market is now showing signs of exhaustion and potential profit-taking—especially with high-impact US employment data just around the corner. 🔍 Macro & Fundamental Overview: United States: All eyes are on this week’s JOLTS and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) reports. Weak jobs data could strengthen the case for rate cuts by the Fed in Q3, weighing on the US Dollar. On the flip side, a solid print would revive “higher for longer” rate expectations and likely support USD strength. United Kingdom: Although inflation remains above the Bank of England’s 2% target, political uncertainty ahead of July’s general election may keep GBP on the defensive, especially if BoE signals a dovish turn. Bond Yield Spread (UK vs US): A widening spread in favor of the USD is exerting downward pressure on GBPUSD in the medium term. 📈 Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Structure: Price has formed a double-top pattern at 1.35598 and 1.35322, with multiple rejections—signaling a weakening bullish momentum after a sustained rally. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 Setup: Price is currently testing the EMA89 zone (~1.34854). A clean break below this moving average could accelerate the downside correction. FVG Zone (Liquidity Pool): The 1.3427 – 1.3457 area offers a potential liquidity sweep and may serve as a springboard for the next bullish leg. 📊 Trade Scenarios: 🔻 Short-Term SELL SCALP: Entry: 1.3532 – 1.3545 Stop Loss: 1.3565 Take Profit: 1.3485 → 1.3457 → 1.3427 → Ideal if price fails to hold above recent highs and forms bearish rejection candles. 🔵 BUY ZONE Setup: Entry: 1.3427 – 1.3440 Stop Loss: 1.3400 Take Profit: 1.3475 → 1.3505 → 1.3535 → 1.3555 → High-probability entry if price reacts positively to the FVG zone and maintains bullish structure. 📌 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD is currently in a delicate zone where both technical and macro forces are converging. While the broader trend remains bullish, momentum is slowing. With critical US jobs data due, traders should stay cautious and rely on clear confirmations around key price levels. Maintain strict risk management and look for liquidity-driven moves around FVG zones.
Short
by MMFlowTrading