GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.33000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.49
Entry 90%
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Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3296
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3419
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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GBPUSD BIG MOVE COMING?Structure Overview:
The market has been ranging within a clear horizontal consolidation zone, with two key zones:
Support Zone: 1.32600 - 1.33000 (gray box at the bottom)
Resistance Zone : 1.33500 - 1.33800 (gray box at the top)
Price recently broke above the upper consolidation range, suggesting bullish momentum.
🔍 Analysis:
The pair has broken out of the consolidation range after multiple rejections from the support zone.
We now look for a potential retest of the previous resistance (1.33500 area) as new support.
Two potential bullish continuation scenarios are highlighted:
📌 Trade Plan:
Scenario 1 – Immediate Continuation:
If price holds above 1.33500, look for bullish continuation toward:
TP1: 1.34026
TP2: 1.34208
Scenario 2 – Retest Setup:
Wait for a pullback to the 1.33000–1.33500 zone.
Confirmation of bullish rejection (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) could provide a high-probability long setup.
Entry: After bullish confirmation in retest zone
SL: Below 1.33000 (invalidates breakout)
TP: 1.34026 / 1.34208
📉 Invalidations:
A clean break and close below 1.33000 may suggest a failed breakout, putting 1.32600 back into play.
🧠 Bias: Bullish (as long as 1.33000 holds)
🕒 Timeframe: 4H
GBP/USD Analysis – Resistance Zone and Possible CorrectionThe GBP/USD pair is currently trading at a significant resistance zone. This level is noteworthy because it has historically been a point of strong selling and because technical indicators are approaching the overbought region.
Additionally, considering the likelihood of the DXY reacting from support, a strengthening of the dollar could lead to a corrective move in GBP/USD. If the pair struggles to break through this resistance zone, an initial correction towards lower support levels may be observed.
GBPUSD Sell Insight Last week cleared the previous week's high 1.34232 and closed below it.
This signifies more push to the downside from the weekly perspectives
I'm anticipating the previous weekly low to be the first draw on Liquidity 🧲
On the daily timeframe we have a break of structure from 1.33044 to the downside and the QML level 1.33784 whic6also aligns within an imbalance on the H4 would be used for sell continuation after the short reversal that happens.
Look for entry on the H4 and sell to the draw on Liquidity zone
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GBPUSD triple top forming? Big move coming after BoE rate cut?GBPUSD is forming a triple top with a smaller rectangle near key resistance at 1.34, with a potential breakout targeting 1.4780. Next up are the BoE and Fed rate meetings, which could easily trigger the move.
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May 6, 2025 GBPUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (take 75%), final target ~1:7
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from a Daily / Weekly Orderblock with confluence from a 15m OB
Asia Low as target provides clean downside structure
Morning Star formed inside the OB → entry taken at the imbalance left behind
10 pip SL covers highs efficiently ✅
GBPUSDInterest Rate Differential
The Bank of England (BoE) is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points to 4.25% in early May 2025, with further cuts anticipated later in the year due to a downgraded UK economic outlook and weak growth forecasts.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has kept rates steady around 4.50%, with only modest rate cuts priced in for the remainder of 2025, reflecting a relatively stronger US economy.
This creates a widening interest rate differential favoring the US dollar, which tends to weigh on GBP/USD.
Directional Bias for May 2025
The GBP/USD pair faces downside pressure due to the BoE’s dovish stance and expected rate cuts versus the Fed’s more hawkish or steady policy.
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is currently trading around 1.33400 and is displaying a promising bullish setup. The price action is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, which typically signals a potential breakout. A clear bullish structure has already formed following the recent impulse wave, and with the consolidation tightening, we are now closely watching for a breakout to the upside. The expected bullish breakout aligns with the projected target of 1.36000, offering a strong risk-reward opportunity for trend-following traders.
From a fundamental standpoint, the British pound is showing resilience despite broader dollar strength. Recent comments from the Bank of England have maintained a cautious yet firm tone regarding inflation control, hinting at the potential for rates to stay elevated longer than markets previously priced in. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index has seen some pressure amid mixed economic data and increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve may hold rates steady in the upcoming sessions.
Technically, GBPUSD remains well-supported above the 1.32500 level, with buyers defending key horizontal and trendline support areas. The recent compression in price suggests that volatility is about to expand, typically favoring the direction of the initial trend, which in this case remains bullish. Momentum indicators are beginning to curl higher, further supporting a breakout scenario.
In summary, GBPUSD is setting up for a high-probability bullish continuation. A confirmed breakout from the triangle could ignite a fresh rally toward 1.36000, especially if supported by dovish Fed rhetoric and firm UK economic sentiment. This setup is one to watch closely as it aligns both technically and fundamentally, positioning it as a favorable opportunity for medium-term swing trades.
UPDATE ON GBP/USD ANALYSISGBP/USD 1D - With this pair, I am looking to see price go short, trading us down and into the Demand Zone before taking us higher in this marker longer term. This is because this market is a bullish one longer term.
By price trading down and into the Demand Zone below we are seeing price correct itself, this gives price the chance to offload Supply and introduce Demand.
Now before price does go on to trade us lower I am expecting price to trade us higher, setting a lower high as it begins distributing, this giving us the opportunity to take the market short whilst it corrects.
We will close those short positions once price trades down and into the Demand Zone and then look to take the market long once we are delivered with the relevant entry confirmation.
GBP/USD - watch out for a possible rejection This is a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) 2-hour chart with technical analysis annotations likely focused on a potential bullish reversal setup. Here's a breakdown of the chart:
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at Bottom ~1.3240):
This is a key demand zone where price has bounced multiple times.
The latest price action shows a potential double bottom, suggesting bullish pressure.
2. Mid-Resistance/Neckline (~1.3320–1.3340 Orange Box):
This zone has acted as resistance and potential neckline for the double bottom pattern.
A breakout above this could confirm bullish continuation.
3. Target Zone (Upper Orange Box ~1.3470–1.3490):
This is likely the projected target based on the pattern, where price previously faced strong selling pressure.
4. Risk Management (Green and Red Zones):
Entry Point: Around current levels (~1.3311).
Stop Loss: Slightly below the support (~1.3240).
Take Profit: At the top resistance zone (~1.3480).
This provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
5. Volume and Momentum Indicators:
There's an uptick in volume near support, reinforcing the bullish case.
In summary, the chart illustrates a bullish trade setup based on a double bottom and breakout strategy, with a clear entry, stop, and target defined.
Would you like help analyzing the potential success probability or backtesting similar setups?
Gbp/Usd Consolidation 06-May-25Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
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GBP Falls Ahead of Fed and BOE MeetingsSterling fell 0.24% to $1.3265 on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar firmed ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, with rates expected to remain unchanged. While the dollar recovered slightly, doubts over its safe-haven appeal and Trump’s tariff stance persist. Markets also await the Bank of England’s meeting, where a 25 bps rate cut is expected. Dovish signals or dollar softness may support GBP/USD.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Bearish Shark Pattern with a Massive Profit FactorThis is how trading should be done . I've just spotted a Bearish Shark Pattern on the Weekly Chart and while it's not perfect, it's still a great trade worth keeping on the radar. The market has been hovering around the entry price for weeks, which tells me something is brewing.
The Smart Approach:
Now, I’m not entering based on the Weekly Chart alone , that would require a stop-loss that’s way too wide. Instead, I look for an execution timeframe within three levels down. That means the lowest timeframe I’d engage from this setup is the 4-hourly chart .
But here’s the twist...
The Trade Setup:
I spotted another Bearish Shark Pattern on the 15-minute chart.
What did I do?
> I traded what I saw. Simple as that.
It’s not always about having the "perfect" timeframe. It’s about:
Seeing a valid setup
Knowing your structure
And having a clear trade management plan.
Key Rule:
Once the market reaches a certain level, I’ll shift my stop to entry, securing a risk-free trade. That’s always the goal.
Golden Rule in Trading: “Don’t lose your capital.”
The Reward:
If this trade hits my final target, I’ll walk away with a Profit Factor of 27.45 .
That means for every dollar I risk, the projected return is $27.45. Let that sink in.
So now the question is - how much of your equity would you be risking on a trade like this? Would you go big, or stick to your usual risk percentage?
Let me know in the comments, how would you manage this kind of high-reward setup?
Stay sharp and happy trading, everyone! 🚀