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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBP/ USD ! 11/4! Resistance H1 SELL NOW ! not NEWS GBP/USD trend forecast November 4, 2024 The GBP/USD pair rises to around 1.2970 during Monday’s Asian session, aided by a weaker US Dollar (USD). The USD faces pressure after October's soft US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, supporting the pair's gains. Following a 50 bps rate cut in September that initiated the easing cycle, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to lower rates by 25 bps in its November meeting, with markets assigning a 97% probability to this move. The Dollar weakens as traders prepare for the US presidential election and the Fed’s rate decision this week. There was no USD and GBP news data at the beginning of the week, the price recovered and hit the H1 resistance, along with the 2nd GAP. DOWN to fill liquidity, stabilize the price trend during the week. /// SELL GBP/USD : zone 1.29970 - 1.30200 SL: 1.30500 TP: 60 - 120 - 200 pips (1.28200) Safe and profitable trading
Short
by Moon-ForexAcademy
6
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3033, which is an overlap resistance. Our take profit will be at 1.2919, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be at 1.3155, an overlap resistance level close to 50% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
1
GBP/USD Strengthens Amid BoE Rate Cut Speculations and U.S. DataOn Friday, the GBP/USD currency pair exhibited a notable rise against its major counterparts, driven by a reassessment among traders regarding the anticipated interest rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE) for the remainder of the year. Market sentiment has shifted as analysts speculate that the BoE is poised to implement a rate reduction in one of its forthcoming meetings in November or December. According to recent insights from Reuters, traders are now factoring in an 80% likelihood that the BoE will lower its key borrowing rates by 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday, bringing them down to 4.75%. This potential rate cut comes amidst a backdrop of economic considerations that have traders on alert, particularly with the release of key U.S. employment figures today. The market will focus on the USD Average Hourly Earnings month-over-month data, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate. These indicators are critical and are expected to bring strong volatility to the markets. Current forecasts suggest a headwind for the USD, which could concurrently bolster the GBP against the euro and impact other pairs correlated with the DXY. From a technical analysis perspective, GBP/USD has recently approached a significant demand area, which could serve as a springboard for upward movement. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reflects a bearish sentiment among retail traders, indicating a broader market consensus that may be shifting. In contrast, "smart money"—institutional investors—appear to be accumulating long positions, potentially signaling a bullish outlook. Adding another layer of complexity are seasonal trends, which historically suggest that the GBP/USD pair could be on the brink of a new bullish rally. Traders are now posed with a critical question: is the current price level the optimal entry point for long positions, or should they await a potential dip to a lower demand zone before committing their capital? The outcome of today’s economic data releases will likely play a pivotal role in determining the short-term trajectory of the GBP/USD pair. Should the U.S. data disappoint, it may further sway sentiment toward the pound, while strong U.S. figures could dampen enthusiasm for the GBP, sparking further discussions around additional BoE rate cuts as the year draws to a close. In conclusion, the interplay between central bank policies, economic data, and market sentiment is creating an intricate landscape for traders navigating the GBP/USD pair. With potential rate cuts on the horizon for the BoE and significant U.S. economic indicators set to be released, volatility is inevitable and positions are likely to adjust in response to these developments. As the trading day unfolds, all eyes will remain glued to the charts and economic reports, seeking clarity and direction in what promises to be a dynamic session. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/SD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSDHello everyone! I was quite surprised by the GBPUSD movement yesterday when there was a double-sided sweep and it is currently at 1.2966. But! Looking more objectively on the 1-day timeframe we can see that GBPUSD is being squeezed at the upper limit of the ascending channel and the breakout from the previous support is putting pressure on the pair. In the short term, I still favor selling targeting the lower part of the ascending channel at 1.2700. Good luck
Short
by Bentradegold
Falling towards pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD)n is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.2908 1st Support: 1.2866 1st Resistance: 1.3024 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBP/USD Buy Order - 20 Pip TargetOpened a buy order on GBP/USD based on a clean 1-hour breakout setup. The pair broke above a key resistance level, showing strong momentum, and aligning well with the overall bullish trend in higher timeframes. The breakout entry was confirmed with sustained volume and a candle close above the resistance level, giving extra confidence for this entry. 📈 Target: +20 pips 📉 Stop Loss: Placed just below recent lows to manage risk effectively ⏳ Timeframe: 1-hour (main confirmation) Anticipating a continuation to hit the 20-pip target. Keeping close watch for any signs of reversal, but looking solid so far!
Long
by riskyricky
1
GBPUSD Trade Setup: 300+ Pips Rally AheadGBPUSD is poised for a strong rally with a potential upside of 300+ pips, confirmed by earlier analysis on the DXY. We’re anticipating the DXY to move down into its daily demand zone, after which it’s likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the Daily timeframe. This setup aligns well for a GBPUSD buy, keeping in mind that this rally is a move toward supply. Our target is set around the 1.3250 level, where we’ll be watching for bearish signals to potentially reverse the position. Also, check out my profile for a detailed EURAUD setup!
Long
by Ieios
GBP/USD Soars to 1.2970 as U.S. Employment Data Weighs on DollarIn the early hours of the London session on Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair has jumped toward the 1.2970 mark, aligning with our previous forecast. The U.S. Dollar (USD) is feeling the pressure from sellers, primarily stemming from disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data released for October, which has provided a boost to the major currency pair. Federal Reserve Rate Cut on the Horizon Following a significant 50 basis points (bps) rate cut in September, which marked the beginning of the Fed's easing cycle, market expectations are now leaning towards a further reduction of 25 bps at the upcoming November meeting. Traders are pricing in this possibility with approximately a 97% probability, contributing to the Greenback's decline as investors brace for the upcoming U.S. presidential election and the Fed's critical interest rate decision later this week. Technical Analysis: Demand Zone Bounce From a technical standpoint, the recent price movement indicates a rebound from our identified demand zone. The setup suggests potential for further upside as it aligns with the broader market sentiment. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report supports this outlook, showing no significant changes in trader positioning that would alter the prevailing market dynamics. Preparing for Market Volatility As the U.S. elections approach, traders should be prepared for enhanced volatility in the market. The uncertainty surrounding the election outcomes, coupled with anticipated shifts in U.S. monetary policy, could result in considerable fluctuations across various asset classes. The eventual victor of the election could shape expectations for fiscal strategies, regulatory changes, and economic recovery plans, all of which are likely to influence market sentiment and asset performance in the forthcoming weeks. Conclusion The recent movement of the GBP/USD towards 1.2970 highlights the continued impact of economic data and monetary policy expectations on currency pairs. As the market prepares for significant events this week—the U.S. presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates—traders must remain vigilant. Understanding the interplay between electoral outcomes and monetary policies will be essential for navigating the potential market turmoil that awaits in the days ahead. Previous Forecast ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1