GBP/USD Major Reversal Incoming? | Supply Zone Rejection After an impressive bullish run, GBP/USD has just touched a strong Supply Zone between 1.3440 – 1.3475, marked by high-volume rejection in the past. Price has now sharply reversed from this area — hinting that smart money might be distributing positions.
📌 Confluences:
🔵 Supply Zone (LuxAlgo) from previous highs.
🔻 Bearish Engulfing Candle at resistance.
📉 RSI Divergence (not shown in image, but likely on a peak).
🔴 Upcoming USD fundamentals (NFP/Interest Rate Decision soon).
🔽 Break of minor support = confirmation of short move.
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🎯 Bearish Targets:
1. 🔵 1.28700 – Previous support and structure level.
2. 🔴 1.24701 – High liquidity zone.
3. 🟠 1.23326 – Institutional Demand Zone (final take-profit for swing).
📅 Key Date Watch: Red news events marked on chart — high impact USD events could accelerate momentum.
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📈 Bias: Short-term Bearish
📆 Next 1–2 weeks: Expecting drop toward 1.28700 and potentially deeper if macro data supports.
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🔥 What Do You Think?
Are you bearish like me, or expecting another push up before the drop? Share your thoughts 👇
💬 Drop your chart below if you're also watching this setup!
📌 Follow for more setups, live trades, and weekly breakdowns.
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#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #ForexAnalysis #SwingTrade #USD #TradingView
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 Target MOBHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 29, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to pay attention today:
15:30 EET. USD - Initial jobless claims
22:00 EET. USD - Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech.
GBPUSD:
GBP/USD pared further gains on Wednesday, stumbling for the second session in a row and falling below 1.3500 after failing to regain 1.3600 earlier this week. Sterling markets are retreating from the upper limit of the bullish trend that lifted GBPUSD to multi-year highs, but the momentum remains favourable for sterling buyers.
The latest minutes of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate meeting held on 6-7 May showed that the Fed's wait-and-see stance has deep roots. At the last Fed meeting, policymakers noted that the US dollar's (USD) status as a safe haven has suffered recently. They warned that a more ‘durable change’ in the dollar's status could have long-term consequences for the US economy.
Almost all FOMC members at the May rate meeting agreed that inflation risks could prove to be more ‘persistent than expected.’ Fed officials directly pointed to tariffs as a key factor in the FOMC's downgrade of its outlook for the US economy, and the FOMC blamed the Trump administration and its inconsistent tariff policy for the deterioration in the US economic situation and uncertain outlook for inflation and growth.
The rest of the trading week remains tense for the US. On Thursday, US gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the first quarter will be released. On Friday, the trading week will end with the release of US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data for April. Markets are hoping for a continued easing of key inflation indicators before the effects of the Trump administration's tariff policy begin to be reflected in the core data.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3450, SL 1.3430, TP 1.3540
CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅1 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD Decision Point | Will the Order Block Hold or Fold?GBPUSD | Smart Money Liquidity Trap or Bullish Breakout?
Here’s a high-probability play based on Order Blocks, Fair Value Gaps, and channel structure—one of the cleanest SMC setups on cable this week.
📊 1. Market Overview
GBPUSD is currently pulling back after a sharp drop, retesting the premium zone Order Block on the H1 timeframe.
Structure remains bullish inside the ascending channel, but there’s major indecision here—will it break above the OB, or retrace deeper into the Fair Value Gap zone?
🧠 2. Dual Bias Logic
You’ve mapped out two valid SMC scenarios (marked in red & blue arrows):
🔻 Scenario 1: Bearish Trap + Deep Liquidity Grab
Price reacts from the Order Block (purple zone)
Rejects and breaks down into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 1.33300
Targets liquidity resting below prior structure
🔺 Scenario 2: Order Block Respect + Long Continuation
OB holds, price flips bullish
Pushes above 1.35260 for bullish continuation
Final target near channel top @ 1.35920–1.36000 zone
Both scenarios are textbook Smart Money setups — based on how price reacts at this OB, we’ll get the direction.
🧱 3. Key Zones
🔵 Order Block: 1.3445 – 1.3526
🔴 Fair Value Gap (FVG): 1.3330 – 1.3283
🟢 Target (Bullish): 1.3600
🔻 Target (Bearish): 1.3280
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Potential
Whether you go long from the FVG or short from the OB, both have:
✅ Clean entries
✅ Clear invalidation zones
✅ Strong RRR potential (1:3 to 1:4+)
📌 5. Watchlist Note
💡 If price taps into the OB and shows weak momentum, prepare for shorts targeting the FVG
💡 If it holds the OB cleanly with bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure), ride the long back to channel highs
💬 Call to Action:
📈 Add GBPUSD to your SMC sniper list this week
💬 Comment “OB or FVG? 🤔” if you're waiting to catch the bounce
📌 Save this post for Smart Money reference setups
GBPUSD H1 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart, the price is trading near our sell entry level at 1.3445, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.3360, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3550, a pullback resistance.
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GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings exceeded expectations. Despite export restrictions to China under the Trump administration, NVIDIA performed strongly, boosting risk appetite in the markets.
- The May FOMC meeting minutes confirmed that Fed officials will maintain a wait-and-see approach in conducting future monetary policy.
- A U.S. federal court ruled that the Trump administration’s “reciprocal tariffs” are invalid, stating, “The tariff order is nullified and permanently prohibited,” and ordered a cancellation of all tariffs collected thus far.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ May 30: U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
As anticipated, a peak formed around the 1.35500 level, followed by a downward trend. A mid- to short-term downtrend is likely from the current range, with the next potential low expected near the 1.32000 level.
However, if the price unexpectedly breaks above the 1.36000 level, the high could extend toward the 1.40000 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend.
GBP/USD Breakout (28.05.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3424
2nd Support – 1.3380
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GBP/USD Got the Breakout - Can Bulls Hold the Higher-Low? GBP/USD has broken out to a fresh three-year-high, finally pushing above the Fibonacci level of 1.3414. That pushed directly into a test above the 1.3500 handle, and prices have since pulled back.
Given dynamics in the USD, that bullish trend in Cable remains of attraction if we do see USD-weakness continue. But, if strength remains in DXY and USD, there's greater pullback potential for GBP/USD, with supports at 1.3250 and 1.3000 of interest for longer-term strategies. And if looking for that USD-strength backdrop, EUR/USD can be a more attractive venue given the context of a lower-high there even as GBP/USD has ripped up to a three-year-high.
For short-term pullback scenarios, traders would likely want to see support retained at prior Fibonacci resistance, around 1.3414. - js
GBP/USD – Fundamentals Support LONG Bias, Pound Outperforms Doll📝 Idea Description (EN):
📊 Fundamental Analysis:
🔹 🇬🇧 GBP – Strong Currency:
CPI inflation at 3.5% – highest in the G7 → pressure to keep rates elevated
Q1 GDP growth +0.7% – strong economic performance
2-year bond yields at 4.08% – market anticipates tight monetary policy
CBI retail sales -27 – short-term consumer weakness
Market expects pause or delay in rate cuts → bullish signal for GBP
🔹 🇺🇸 USD – Weak/Neutral Fundamentals:
Consumer confidence rose (98 vs 87), but...
Durable goods orders -6.3% → business spending is slowing
Fiscal expansion: Trump proposes $3.8 trillion in new spending
USD Index (DXY) down 5% since April → weakening dollar
✅ Summary:
The British pound currently holds a clear fundamental advantage. The Bank of England may delay rate cuts due to persistent inflation, while the U.S. dollar faces fiscal concerns and weakening industrial data.
➡️ Mid- to Long-term Direction: LONG
➡️ Breakout target: 1.3590+
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is not financial advice. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. Always consider your own risk management and trading strategy.
Market next move 🧠 Disruptive Analysis:
🔴 1. False Breakout Potential
The marked box shows a consolidation zone. While the green candle breaks slightly above it, this might be a trap (false breakout). If there's no strong follow-through, price may sharply retest or drop back inside the box—a classic bull trap.
🔴 2. Bearish Volume Profile
Volume spiked on the initial drop, and even though there's some green candle volume, it’s not convincingly higher than previous bars. This could imply weak buyer commitment at this level, suggesting a potential reversal downward.
🔴 3. Overhead Resistance
Even if price breaks out, it faces immediate resistance around 1.3485–1.3500, where multiple wicks formed earlier. This could stall or reject the move, invalidating the bullish "Target."
🔴 4. Economic Risk
The U.S. economic event icons below suggest incoming USD-related news. If the data is USD-positive (e.g., strong employment or inflation), it could strengthen the dollar and push GBP/USD lower, negating the bullish move entirely.
LONG GBP/USD — Trade IdeaLONG GBP/USD — Three Talking Points
Macro & Central-Bank Divergence
UK growth beats, retail sales jump and service-CPI re-accelerates to 5.4 % y/y. Markets have pushed BoE-cut odds to near-zero for June and just one 25 bp trim by year-end, while the Fed is still priced for two cuts in 2025.
IMF nudges 2025 UK GDP up to 1.2 %. In contrast, the dollar narrative is hampered by ballooning U.S. deficit worries and tariff-policy whiplash. Net policy path favours sterling over the dollar.
Technical Structure Remains Bullish
Price action is riding a January-origin ascending channel; Monday’s spike to 1.3600 set a new three-year high, but the pull-back stalled exactly where the 21-DMA, prior breakout shelf and channel floor cluster (mid-1.34s).
14-day RSI ≥ 60 yet still shy of overbought, signalling bullish momentum with room to run.
Holding the 1.3440/70 zone keeps the next leg toward 1.3600/1.3750 in play; only a daily close below 1.3370 would break the channel and negate the setup.
Event Risk Favouring Upside Skew
BoE speakers (Pill today, Bailey tomorrow) are likely to echo the “cautious & gradual” line—supportive, not dovish.
FOMC minutes may sound hawkish, but the market has largely heard it; any dovish nuance quickly re-ignites dollar selling.
Friday’s PCE vs. Tokyo CPI: a soft U.S. core PCE print alongside sticky Japan inflation would weigh on USDJPY and bleed into broader USD softness, lifting cable toward our T1/T2 objectives.
GBP/USD Correction Potentially Complete – Key Breakout LevelsHi everyone,
GBP/USD has been undergoing a short-term correction since the start of the week. Our view is that this correction may now be complete, with the bullish trend potentially resuming.
For confirmation, we’re watching for a break above the 1.35195 level, followed by a move through 1.35934.
If these levels are cleared, we anticipate further upside. We’ll continue to share updates on the projected path for GBP/USD should price action reach our key zone.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to extend further from the 1.20991 January low.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
BUY GBPUSD🚨 BUY ALERT – GBP/USD 🚨
📈 Action: Buy GBP/USD
🕒 Timing: Enter Now – Anticipating momentum shift
🗓️ Catalyst: Impact expected as FOMC event unfolds
📊 Reasoning: Market is positioning ahead of key U.S. monetary policy update. Potential volatility can push GBP/USD higher.
📌 Note:
Use tight risk management due to expected volatility.
Monitor FOMC outcome for confirmation or exit signals.
Trade smart — fundamentals + timing = opportunity.
GBP/USD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Sell Signal | GBP/USD – Powered by Custom Algorithm & Technical Precision
This sell signal is generated by a proprietary trading system I’ve developed, combining pure technical trend logic with automated decision-making.
The algorithm:
Confirms reversal signals through layered filter logic
Defines clean entry, stop-loss, and target zones — all fully automated
No human judgment, no discretionary trades — just objective data turned into actionable analysis.
🧠 Built on precision. Backed by testing.
📉 Current outlook: Bearish sentiment confirmed on multi-timeframe structure.
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. For educational and analytical purposes only.
GBPUSD's Potential Trend ChangeHi there,
GBPUSD currently shows bullish potential up to 1.34000, with 1.35113 open as a target, meaning the price could reach that level if the support area holds.
Potential bearish interest lies in a break below 1.32549, targeting the area around 1.29875. However, the price may drop further to 1.2800, with a bias toward 1.26000.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not a trading advice.