GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 29, 2025📊GBP/USD Price Action Update – April 29, 2025
🔹Current Price: 1.34082
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢1.33837 – Fresh Bullish Base (potential bullish re-entry zone)
📌Key Resistance Level:
🔴Near recent highs (above 1.34600 area – untested liquidity zone)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is pulling back after a strong bullish move and is now approaching the 1.33837 demand zone. A clean bullish reaction from this zone can lead price back toward the previous highs. Watch for bullish engulfing or break of structure confirmation.
📉Bearish Outlook:
Failure to hold above 1.33837 could trigger a deeper correction. A break below this zone would weaken the bullish momentum and open the door for a retest of lower intraday levels.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Look for bullish confirmations near 1.33837
✅Target partial profits near previous highs
✅Use tight SL under demand zone lows for strong risk management
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GBPUSD trade ideas
My analysis for GBPUSDPrice was consolidating, then we had a breach to the upside, meaning the big boy are not filled. The cant continue to buy at higher price, they need cheaper price to continue their business.
So we will wait for a pullback(discount) from the seller, before we will continue to buy with the big boy. OANDA:GBPUSD
Emerging Swing Trade OpportunityHello,
GBPUSD sees more downside as the dollar stays strong as doubts about fed rate cuts grow so the UK struggles to find a way out of the market slump that it is currently in.Early gains of +0.15% were seen as the USD came under pressure late in NY, following a +0.05% close. Trump advisors considering gradual tariff hikes led to USD selling in late NY. A survey shows UK firms reduced headcount late last year in response to a tax hike. Mixed daily momentum studies and expanding 21-day Bollinger bands are noted in charts. The 5, 10, and 21-DMAs are sliding, with weeklies remaining bearish, indicating a strong negative slip. The focus is on testing the 1.2038 low from October 2023, followed by the 1.1805 low in March 2023. Friday's high of 1.2322 and the well-tested 1.2465 21 DMA are the first resistance levels. Bulls need a close above the 1.2465 21-DMA to gain excitement. A swing trade opportunity is emerging, with strong daily and weekly resistance at 1.226201/1.241555 which have to confirm upside along the way and act as supports. Ultimately, we want the monthly initial support at 1.24809 to hold, ensuring a guaranteed upside.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
So what we see in the report of this week:
We can see slight decrease in the longs and increase in the shorts but for the reversal it has to happen in the liquidity pool. So for the bigger pullback I think market makers will be adding shorts att highs as well as closing longs.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 1.3431 which is a swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 1.3294 an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3558, above the 161.8% Fibo extension.
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GBPUSD: A- tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
• Strong trend in place, but early signs of exhaustion. No clear sell signal yet.
• Wait for confirmation bar or fail test of new high before shorting.
• Long side is extended, so better to wait than chase.
GBPUSD: Eyeing a Bullish Structure Shift - A Wyckoffian ApproachGBPUSD 🚦 Technical Analysis & Trade Plan
📊 Current Market Structure
The GBPUSD 4-hour chart is currently consolidating just below a set of equal highs, indicating a potential liquidity pool above. Price action has shown a series of higher lows, suggesting underlying bullish pressure. The market is in a range, with buyers and sellers in equilibrium, but the clustering of highs signals a likely stop-hunt or breakout scenario.
🧠 Wyckoff Perspective
From a Wyckoff standpoint, the market appears to be in the late stages of accumulation. The equal highs represent a classic “creek” or resistance, where smart money may engineer a breakout to trigger stops and induce breakout traders. A successful breakout, followed by a retrace to retest the broken highs (now support), and a subsequent bullish structure break, would confirm the presence of strong demand and the start of a mark-up phase.
🌍 Fundamental Backdrop
Fundamentally, GBP has been supported by resilient UK economic data and a slightly hawkish tone from the Bank of England, while the USD faces headwinds from softer inflation prints and dovish Fed rhetoric. However, geopolitical risks and global risk sentiment remain key drivers, so any sudden shifts could impact the pair.
📰 Current Sentiment
Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic for GBPUSD. CFTC positioning shows a reduction in net GBP shorts, and recent price action reflects a willingness to buy dips. However, the presence of equal highs suggests that many traders are watching for a breakout, increasing the likelihood of a stop-run before a genuine move higher.
🏦 Trade Idea
Entry: Buy on a confirmed break above the current equal highs (around 1.3340), wait for a retrace to retest the broken highs, and enter long on a bullish structure break (e.g., a higher low and bullish engulfing candle).
Stop Loss: Place stops below the retracement low (e.g., below 1.3300).
Take Profit: Target the next significant resistance zone (e.g., 1.3400–1.3450), scaling out as price approaches these levels.
Risk Management: Risk no more than 1–2% of your trading capital on this setup.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading forex involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The analysis and trade idea provided are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📈 GBP/USD – Buy-Side Trade
🗓 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🕕 Time: 6:00 PM (New York Time)
📍 Session: NY to Tokyo Overlap (PM)
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 1.32709
Take Profit: 1.34232 (+1.15%)
Stop Loss: 1.32511 (–0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.69
Reasoning Narrative
This GBP/USD trade was built on a clear short-term bullish structure, observed into the New York close, where price respected a key demand zone from earlier in the day.
GBPUSDKey Central Banks and Interest Rate Outlook
Bank of England (BoE) Governor: Andrew Bailey Expected to maintain a cautious stance; markets price in a 25 bps rate cut in May 2025 and possibly three cuts by year-end, reflecting downgraded UK growth forecasts and inflation concerns. Rate cuts tend to weaken GBP, but cautious BoE tone and market overpricing of easing provide some support to GBP.
Federal Reserve (Fed)Chair: Jerome Powell Under political pressure; markets expect Fed rate cuts if U.S. inflation cools amid trade war fears and recession risks. Fed easing weakens USD, supporting GBP/USD upside.
Summary of Influences on GBP/USD Direction
US Dollar Weakness: Political turmoil, trade tensions, and recession fears are driving USD lower, benefiting GBP/USD.
UK Economic Outlook: Slower growth and inflation uncertainties prompt expected BoE easing, which could limit GBP gains.
Trade War Impact: US tariffs and global trade tensions add uncertainty but have limited direct impact on the UK economy so far.
Technical Factors: Bullish patterns and strong support levels favor further GBP/USD appreciation in the near term.
Conclusion
GBP/USD’s directional bias is bullish for the short to medium term, supported by a weakening USD amid political and economic uncertainties in the U.S., and technical signals favoring upward momentum. However, expected monetary easing by the Bank of England may cap gains, so traders should watch BoE’s May meeting and U.S. inflation data closely for shifts in interest rate expectations that could influence the pair’s trajectory.
Weekly Forex Market Analysis:GBPUSD– Issue 208(Free access)The analyst predicts that the GBP/USD rate will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
GBPUSD trade setup.This chart shows a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) trading setup on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bearish outlook.
📊 Chart Analysis
Trend: Recently bearish after a previous uptrend.
Entry Zone: Area between approximately 1.33233 and 1.33317.
Setup Type: Sell/Short Trade Setup
🔍 Key Zones
Entry Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
Marked as "entry zone".
This is the expected area where price might retrace to before dropping again.
Target Zone:
Arrow points down towards 1.32377, suggesting this is the Take Profit (TP) level.
Stop Loss (SL):
Slightly above the entry zone, near 1.33476, indicating risk management in case price continues upward.
🧠 Trade Idea Summary
Type: Short/Sell
Entry: Wait for price to re-enter the marked "entry zone" (~1.33233 - 1.33317).
Stop Loss: Above 1.33476.
Take Profit: Around 1.32377.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential profit zone (green area) is larger than the risk (red area).
GU Liquidity Game—Institutional Absorption vs. Breakout MomentumGBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Trade Execution
I’ve been closely tracking GBP/USD, and now price is sitting at 1.34208, testing the critical resistance zone at 1.34250. Bulls have maintained control, but I’m watching closely for institutional absorption or signs of exhaustion.
Market Structure & Key Zones
Major Resistance: 1.34250-1.34500 → If buyers hold, price could extend toward 1.34500.
Support at 1.33800-1.33950 → A possible demand zone if price pulls back before pushing higher.
Liquidity Trap Below 1.33650 → A quick dip below 1.33800, followed by aggressive buying, would indicate institutional positioning.
Momentum & Trend Confirmation
RSI (1-hour): 66.38 → Bullish, but nearing exhaustion territory.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 61.27 → Buyers are in control but watching for signs of slowing momentum.
Stochastic Fast (1-hour): 60.54 → Trend is intact, but reversal signals could emerge near resistance.
Trade Management Strategy
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price is testing 1.34250, I’ll hold my long position if buyers show sustained strength.
Entry: Holding long if price stabilizes above 1.34250.
Stop Loss: Adjusted to 1.33950 to lock in gains.
Target 1: 1.34500, strong resistance level.
Target 2: 1.34650, extended play if volume supports the breakout.
Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price rejects 1.34250, I’ll look for a pullback setup before re-entering long.
Entry: If price dips below 1.33800 but aggressively reclaims 1.34000, re-enter long.
Stop Loss: Below 1.33650, ensuring tight risk control.
Target 1: 1.34150, reclaiming previous resistance.
Target 2: 1.34350, profit zone if buyers remain strong.
Institutional Activity & Order Flow Considerations
Liquidity Sweeps Below 1.33850 → If price dips but quickly recovers, it could be a stop-hunt before continuation.
Absorption Near 1.34250 → If price holds steady here without sharp rejection, buyers may be absorbing sell-side liquidity.
Volume Confirmation at 1.34150 → If volume remains strong, further upside toward 1.34500 is likely.
Final Execution Adjustments
Monitoring order flow to assess whether institutions are accumulating or distributing positions near resistance.
Watching volume absorption and candle behavior near 1.34250.
Right now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal level—if buyers sustain above 1.34250, the trend continuation toward 1.34500-1.34650 is in play. However, failure to hold may signal institutional selling, triggering a pullback before another bullish attempt.
Liquidity drag, potential upsideA very slow and surprising Tuesday given easter break is finished. Liquidity was flowing through from Monday up until the close. Today we have seen a very slow climb to the downside - not much of a reaction from our recent political news with Trump & the Jerome Powells thoughts on cutting rates.
Personal opinion - markets were very reactionary on the tarrifs. There is some consensus for bad news to come out in the UK which are labelled "high importance" - price action could be factoring in this for today, however, we must consider the fact of how slow bears did today technically both in European & US markets sessions.
Swing to the upside & knock off to knock off 1.34 before anything further. However, we can still see a potential short term continuation to the mid 50s in 1.32 , where I will slowly take away positions.
No stop loss, swing trade, opened positions ranging from 1.3345-1.3375 areas. Just wanted to share an idea in the midst of now of a good speculative entry.
GBPUSD I Daily CLS I KL - IFVG /OB - Model 1 Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
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"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GBPUSD: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the GBPUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPUSD Analysis 10:37am 4/28. Happy Monday! GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Day Trading Perspective
I’m looking at GBP/USD on the hourly timeframe, where price is now sitting at 1.339, confirming strong bullish momentum after breaking past key resistance. Here's how I'm approaching today's trading plan:
Market Structure & Key Levels
Resistance at 1.33850-1.34000 – Price is testing this level, and volume confirmation will determine whether we continue upward.
Support at 1.33650-1.33700 – If we see a pullback, this zone could act as a strong bounce area.
Institutional Interest at 1.33250-1.33300 – A liquidity zone where major players may absorb sell-side pressure.
Momentum & Trend Strength
RSI (1-hour): 88.88 → Overbought, meaning we might see consolidation or a retrace before another leg up.
CCI (1-hour): 81.81 → Still bullish, but exhaustion signs are creeping in.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 83.32 → Buyers are still in control, but reversals become more likely at extreme readings.
Directional Strength & Trend Confirmation
ADX (1-hour): 13.38 → Weak trend strength, suggesting that price could start ranging.
DX (1-hour): 79.92 → A strong push confirms market participation.
Day Trading Plan
Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation
Since price has cleared 1.33650, the breakout play is already in motion. Here’s how I’m managing the setup:
Entry: Holding long as price remains above 1.33850, with strong buying pressure.
Target 1: 1.34000, a psychological barrier where liquidity may sit.
Target 2: 1.34250, next significant resistance.
Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal
If price retraces, I’ll look for signs of institutional absorption before considering re-entry.
Entry: If price dips below 1.33650 but quickly reclaims 1.33800, I’ll look for confirmation of a reversal.
Target 1: 1.33950, previous high.
Target 2: 1.34200, extended move.
Order Flow & Volume Profile Considerations
Institutional Absorption: If price briefly drops below 1.33800 but quickly reclaims it, institutions could be absorbing liquidity.
Liquidity Trap: A sharp sell-off into 1.33650 could trigger stop losses before a potential bounce.
Volume Confirmation: If buyers remain strong at 1.33850, the move toward 1.34000-1.34250 is more likely.
Risk Management & Execution Strategy
I’ll monitor candle closures above 1.33850 before committing to further upside targets.
If volume increases, I’ll hold for 1.34000; if it slows down, I’ll consider partial profit-taking.
Watching institutional behavior near 1.33650 will be key for catching potential liquidity grabs.
Right now, GBP/USD is at a critical decision point—either continuation toward 1.34000, or a pullback to absorb liquidity before the next push. The key is watching volume flow and price absorption for confirmation before executing further moves.
GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3209
2nd Support – 1.3151
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Fundamental Update :
on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices.
The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .