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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBP/USD Firms as UK Data Performs WellGBP/USD edged up by 0.25% in Friday’s Asian session, nearing 1.3450, after upbeat UK retail sales and consumer confidence data lifted sentiment. The GfK index rose to -20 in May, beating forecasts, while April retail sales surprised to the upside. However, PMI data showed divergence as manufacturing fell to 45.1 (vs. 46.0 expected), while services ticked up to 50.2 from 49.0. The pound also benefited from a weaker U.S. dollar as Treasury yields retreated from 19-month highs. Trump’s budget bill, which includes tax breaks on tips and U.S.-made car loans, passed narrowly and is projected to add $3.8 billion to the deficit. Resistance is at 1.3470, followed by 1.3550 and 1.3700. Key support lies at 1.3250, then 1.3150 and 1.3000.
by ChartMage
GBPUSDUK 10-Year Gilt Yield The UK 10-year gilt yield is approximately 4.73% to 4.77%, recently hitting its highest level since April 2025. This rise is driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data, with April CPI at 3.5% year-on-year, above forecasts, and core inflation at 3.8%. Market expectations for Bank of England rate cuts have been scaled back significantly, with only about 34 basis points of cuts priced in for 2025, down from earlier expectations of two cuts. The yield has risen from around 4.11% a year ago to near 4.76% now, reflecting tightening monetary conditions and inflation concerns. US 10-Year Treasury Yield While the exact current US 10-year Treasury yield was not provided in the search results, as of recent data in 2025, it generally trades around 4.5% to 4.6%. This is slightly lower than the UK 10-year gilt yield, indicating a positive interest rate differential in favor of GBP over USD. Interest Rate Differential (GBPUSD) With UK 10-year gilt yields near 4.75% and US 10-year Treasury yields around 4.5%, the interest rate differential is roughly +0.25% in favor of GBP. This differential supports GBP strength against USD, as higher yields attract capital inflows into GBP-denominated assets. Summary Table Country 10-Year Bond Yield (%) United Kingdom ~4.75 United States ~4.50 Interest Rate Differential (GBP - USD) ~+0.25% Implications for GBPUSD The higher UK bond yields relative to US yields provide a yield advantage for GBP, which tends to support GBPUSD appreciation. However, market participants also weigh other factors such as economic growth prospects, central bank policy outlooks, and geopolitical risks. The reduced expectation of BoE rate cuts and persistent inflation underpin gilt yields and GBP strength. In conclusion: As of May 23, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield at about 4.75% versus the US 10-year Treasury yield near 4.5% creates a modest positive interest rate differential favoring GBPUSD, supporting the British pound against the US dollar in the current market environment.
by Shavyfxhub
IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP?GBPUSD OUTLOOK – IS THE BULLISH CHANNEL NEARING EXHAUSTION OR JUST GEARING UP? 📊 Macro Overview: The USD continues to soften slightly as markets begin pricing in a potential rate cut by the Fed later in Q3. Meanwhile, the British Pound (GBP) is holding firm, supported by stronger-than-expected UK macroeconomic data—particularly retail sales and inflation figures. However, UK fiscal concerns remain a headwind, and GBPUSD is highly sensitive to upcoming U.S. data—especially Core PCE and employment figures this week. 📉 Technical Analysis: On the 1H chart, GBPUSD is moving within a broad ascending channel and is now approaching the upper resistance trendline at 1.3555 – a key zone that could trigger short-term profit-taking. EMAs 13 and 34 are still in bullish alignment, supporting ongoing momentum. Despite the bullish setup, current candle structure suggests a potential pullback to the 1.3448 support zone before a continuation higher—if buyers regain control. 🔑 Key Price Levels: Resistance Zones: 🔸 1.3555 – Channel top resistance 🔸 1.3586 – Extended resistance zone Support Zones: 🔹 1.3448 – Technical and Fibo confluence 🔹 1.3398 – Major structure support in case of breakdown 🛠️ Trade Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: BUY on retracement Entry: 1.3448 (watch for bullish confirmation on H1) Stop Loss: 1.3394 Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3555 → 1.3585 ✅ Scenario 2: SELL scalp from resistance Entry: 1.3555 Stop Loss: 1.3588 Take Profit: 1.3500 → 1.3460 🧠 Final Thoughts: GBPUSD remains bullish in structure but is testing key resistance levels. A clean pullback to the 1.3448 region may provide a strong buying opportunity if confirmed by price action. If this level breaks, bearish divergence could kick in and push the pair back to deeper support zones. Stay alert for high-impact economic releases and trade with solid risk management!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
5
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.3502 2nd Resistance – 1.3534 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
64
GBPUSD Possibilities To Make Big ShotHi traders, Here The analysis for FX:GBPUSD im looking for. GBP CPI data already release 2 hours ago. It shows the strong data. The annual inflation rate in the UK jumped to 3.5% in April 2025, the highest since January 2024, from 2.6% in March and above forecasts of 3.3%. Thus, im prepare for the oppurtuniti come after the data release. At the blue zone 1.33921 - 1.33794 is the best zone to execute. I will waiting in the zone and follow the SOP on lowest timeframe to ensure the best time to execute with quality of trade. ZONE : 1.33921 - 1.33794 TP1 : 1.34980 TP2 : 1.35450 TP SWING : 1.36000 STOPLOSS : 1.33700
Long
by Lowzeus
2
GBPUSD – False Breakout Alert at Channel TopOn the D1 timeframe, GBPUSD continues to maintain a clear bullish structure within an ascending price channel, with steadily rising highs and lows. Currently, price is approaching the resistance zone near 1.35919 — which is the upper boundary of the channel and also a zone that previously saw strong reactions. As illustrated in the chart, a likely scenario is a false breakout above this zone, followed by a pullback towards the support area at 1.33270–1.32500 to retest the EMA34 region. If this support holds, price could bounce back in line with the upward channel structure, opening the door to the next target zone.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
GBPUSD INTRADAY bullish breakoutThe GBP/USD pair continues to exhibit a bullish longer-term trend, underpinned by a series of higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action shows consolidation within a sideways trading range, suggesting a pause or potential accumulation before the next directional move. The key technical level to monitor is 1.3400, which aligns with a prior consolidation zone and serves as a critical support area. A corrective pullback towards this level could present a buying opportunity, particularly if price action forms a bullish reversal pattern around this zone. A successful rebound from 1.3400 would likely target resistance levels at 1.3470, followed by 1.3500 and 1.3550 on a longer-term basis. Conversely, a daily close below 1.3400 would invalidate the current bullish bias and suggest a shift in sentiment. This scenario opens the door for further downside towards the next support at 1.3370, with extended losses potentially reaching 1.3340. Conclusion: While the broader trend remains bullish, GBP/USD is currently range-bound. Traders should watch for a reaction around the 1.3400 level. A bounce would reinforce bullish momentum towards 1.3470 and beyond, whereas a confirmed break below this level would signal further weakness and a possible trend shift in the near term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
1
GBPUSD WEEKLY PLAN: BOS Breakout Targeting 1.39125The weekly outlook for GBPUSD highlights a clear Break of Structure (BOS) with price pushing above previous resistance. This suggests a bullish continuation scenario may be in play. 📌 Primary scenario: A short-term pullback to the demand zone near 1.33000 (previous BOS area) is possible. From there, price could rally toward the first target at 1.37151, and potentially extend toward 1.39125 if momentum remains strong. ⚠️ Watch for a healthy correction before the next leg up. Stay disciplined with your trade management and risk control.
by RakyatTrader
Market next move Current Analysis Summary: Bullish Outlook: The chart suggests a bullish trend after price moves above a marked support area. Price Scenarios: Red arrow: Pullback to support. Blue arrow: Bounce back upward. Yellow arrow: Continuation of the bullish trend. --- Disruption of the Analysis: 1. False Breakout Risk: The move above the support zone might be a false breakout. Volume does not appear significantly increased during the breakout, which is typically needed to confirm real breakout momentum. 2. Volume Confirmation Lacking: Although some volume is present, the breakout does not show a clear volume spike to validate strong buying interest, which challenges the bullish bias. 3. Resistance Overhead Ignored: No mention of overhead resistance. The price may face selling pressure near 1.35000, a likely psychological and technical resistance area. 4. Over-reliance on Simple Support Zone: The support zone is too narrowly defined. If the price dips below it slightly, it could still be a healthy retest, not a reversal, which the red arrow path implies prematurely.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Cable (GBP/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3395 1st Support: 1.3317 1st Resistance: 1.3565 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD Trade Setup – Entry at 1.34708 with Target at 1.27735Entry Point: ~1.34708 Stop Loss Zone: ~1.35734 (roughly 100 pips above entry) Target Points: EA Target Point One: 1.31769 EA Final Target Point: 1.27735 --- Technical Observations: 1. Price Action: The price is consolidating below the 1.34708 resistance level. Multiple failed attempts to break above suggest selling pressure around this zone. 2. Moving Averages: Two MAs (possibly 50 EMA and 200 EMA) show a recent crossover, potentially indicating a shift in momentum. 3. Bearish Bias: Based on the annotated targets, the trader anticipates a reversal from the current level. A drop to 1.27735 represents a 5.09% move from the entry point. 4. Risk-Reward Ratio: Risk (Entry to Stop Loss): ~100 pips Reward (Entry to Final TP): ~700+ pips Risk-reward is highly favorable (~1:7) Confluence & Support Zones: 1.31769: Previously tested support/resistance level – a logical intermediate target 1.27735: Historical support zone from early March – final bearish target. Summary: This setup is a swing short trade with an attractive risk-reward profile. Confirmation via bearish reversal candlesticks near 1.34708 would strengthen the case. Watch out for news catalysts or USD data that might impact volatility and invalidate the setup.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
14
GBPUSDHello to all our subscribers! Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - U.S. President Trump’s proposed tax cut bill has passed the House of Representatives. In the short term, the market views this as a positive factor for the economy, but in the long term, it is also seen as a negative factor due to the potential increase in the fiscal deficit. - The Eurozone’s preliminary Services PMI for May came in at 48.9, and the Composite PMI was 49.5, suggesting that private-sector activity is entering a contraction phase. - The U.K. Office for National Statistics reported that April’s CPI rose by 3.5% year-on-year. Service prices increased by 5.4%, exceeding market expectations. The market expects the Bank of England to hold interest rates steady at its June and August Monetary Policy Committee meetings. Key Economic Schedule This Week + May 23: Germany Q1 GDP AUDUSD Chart Analysis The price has surged past the 1.31500 level and even broken through resistance at the 1.34000 level. There appears to be room for further upward movement, with a potential peak near the 1.35500 level. After this, a reversal to the downside is likely, with a possible decline toward the 1.32000 level.
Long
by shawntime_academy
GBP/USD H1 Analysis – Fibonacci Exhaustion + Bearish DivergencePair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 1-Hour Technical Tools Used: • Price Action & Structure • Fibonacci Extension • Awesome Oscillator (AO) ⸻ 📌 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Price reached 4.236 Fibonacci Exhaustion Level ✅ Clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside ✅ Bearish Divergence spotted on AO ✅ Bearish Targets identified using Fibonacci Extension ⸻ 🔍 Market Overview: GBP/USD recently completed a strong bullish impulse and tapped into the 4.236 Fibonacci exhaustion zone around 1.34686, a level often associated with trend exhaustion. Following this, a Break of Structure (BOS) was confirmed, signaling potential weakening of bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. ⸻ 📉 Bearish Confluence – AO Divergence: The Awesome Oscillator (AO) confirms bearish divergence: • Price made a higher high. • AO made a lower high. This suggests that bullish momentum is fading despite higher price levels — a classic early warning of potential reversal. ⸻ 🎯 Fibonacci Extension Take-Profit Zones: Using the latest swing leg and BOS as the reference, the Fibonacci extension tool reveals several high-probability take-profit zones: • ✅ TP1: 1.618 Extension @ 1.33770 • ✅ TP2: 2.618 & 2.786 Extensions @ 1.33204 – 1.33051 • 🧊 Extreme Targets: 4.236+ Extensions near 1.32288 and below, if strong bearish momentum continues. ⸻ 💡 Trading Plan: This setup offers a clean bearish opportunity based on: • Completion of an extended bullish leg • Break of market structure • Momentum divergence via AO • Strong Fibonacci confluence Bias: Bearish Trigger: Wait for pullback or retest followed by bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or engulfing pattern). Risk: As always, use clear stop-loss above recent high and manage risk appropriately. ⸻ 👍 If you found this analysis helpful, give it a like and follow for more updates. 💬 Drop your thoughts or questions below — let’s discuss your setups too!
Short
by AwesomeOscDad
Bearish drop?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3442 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 1.3505 Why we like it: There is a resistance level at the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 1.3318 Why we like it: There is a support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets