GBPUSD trade ideas
Exclusive: GBP/USD Swing Heist – Limited-Time Opportunity!🏴☠️ GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Grab Before the Cops Arrive! 🚨💰
🌟 Attention, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
"The vault is unlocked—time to swipe those pips!"
🔥 THIEF TRADING STRATEGY (Swing/Day) 🔥
Based on high-risk, high-reward technical & fundamental analysis, here’s the master plan to plunder GBP/USD ("The Cable")!
📈 ENTRY (Bullish Heist Zone)
"The vault is OPEN!" – Long at any price, but for precision:
Buy Limit orders preferred (15m-30m timeframe).
Pullback entries from recent swing lows/highs = sneakiest loot grab!
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route)
Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H chart).
Adjust based on: Risk tolerance, lot size, & number of orders.
"A good thief always has an exit plan!"
🎯 TARGETS
1.37500 (or escape early if the cops 🚓 (bearish traps) show up!).
Scalpers: Only long-side raids! Use trailing SL to lock profits.
💥 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Momentum)
Technicals + Fundamentals align for a potential breakout.
Overbought? Risky? Yes—but the best loot is guarded!
📢 TRADING ALERT (News & Risk Mgmt)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = police sirens!).
Trailing stops = Your getaway car. Protect profits!
🚀 BOOST THE HEIST!
💖 Hit "Like" & "Boost" to fuel our next raid!
💬 Comment your loot tally below!
"Stay sharp, thieves—see you at the next heist! 🤑🔥"
GBPUSD Trend UpdateWeekly time frame showed a bearish engulfing candle, creating double top formation, and at the daily timeframe, it broke the trend line of the ascending wedge, creating long big engulfing bearish candlestick, showing a strong bearish momentum.
We can see a Doji candle as a rejection for the AOI @1.3460, so there is a big probability that the trend will continue its downward momentum toward the next support area @ 1.3260 AOI.
Let's keep an eye on the chart at the opening of the market and look for a sell.
Good Luck!
GBP/USD Cable Launch from Fibo SupportThe Fibonacci level at 1.3414 has put in some work on GBP/USD over the past year. In Q3 of 2024 it held the highs over a two week period, leading into the sell-off in Q4. And then in April of this year, it once again held the highs, but this time, the pullback was brief and buyers were able to power through a month later.
And now, over the past two weeks, this has been support for the pair, coming into play after the FOMC rate decision last week and now leading to a push up to fresh multi-year highs.
The currently weekly candle is showing as a bullish engulf and this highlights a market that's tough to chase. But, shorter-term, there's higher-low support potential at both 1.3593 and 1.3500, which could function as support on shorter-term approaches in the pair. - js
Potential bullish rise for the Cable?The price has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3399
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3337
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3505
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?GBP/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3486
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3531
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3347
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD: Bearish pressure persistsGBPUSD is consolidating below a key medium-term resistance zone, with a rounding top and a minor head-and-shoulders pattern forming. The price is currently retesting the Fair Value Gap near 1.34900 — a potential reversal zone if it fails to break higher.
On the fundamental side, the Bank of England's decision to hold interest rates on June 19 disappointed the market. Meanwhile, the US dollar remains supported by safe-haven demand and the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, adding further pressure on GBP.
If GBPUSD fails to hold the trendline support near 1.33700, the risk of a deeper decline increases. Both the technical structure and macro fundamentals favor the bears.
GU SHORTSo start from DXY >Bullish on Daily and was Daily FVG that Daily FVG after close of 4H candle in N-Y session that led me to think that Daily FVG will BE break way gap
So take a trade on GU after starting to see Luck of creating FVG to the upside in 4H
In 15 minutes, I just entered, and my SL was above 1H IFVG
GBPUSD – Bullish Structure Holds, Waiting for a Clean RetestGBPUSD recently bounced strongly from the ascending trendline and hit resistance at 1.36300. The price is now slightly correcting, with a high probability of retesting the 1.35000 support zone – an area of FVG and technical confluence.
The bullish structure remains intact as long as price holds above this level. Positive UK Services PMI data further supports the medium-term uptrend.
Are you waiting for the pullback to jump in?
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily order block
✅1H Order block
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅4H Order block
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its GripGBPUSD – Bearish Set-up Maintains Its Grip
The bearish scenario for GBPUSD remains valid, aligning with our previous analysis. Despite expectations of a softer U.S. dollar, ongoing geopolitical tensions—particularly the escalating war—have sustained dollar strength. This resilience in the dollar undermines any near-term bullish recovery for GBPUSD.
Resistance zone 1.35500 / 1.36000
Support Levels 1.33500 / 1.32500
Technically, the pair continues to trade under key resistance zones, with lower highs confirming bearish momentum. Unless we see a decisive shift in the geopolitical narrative or major macroeconomic data supporting GBP recovery, the bearish bias remains intact.
you may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
GBPUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Off the Fib confluence Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.3502, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement and the 127.2% Fib extension, providing a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
Our take profit is set at 1.3427, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.3587, a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSDDID YOU KNOW THAT YOUR COUNTRY CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ANOTHER
CENTRAL BANK AND IS CALLED BIS(BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS )???
The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 at the Hague Conference, making it the world's oldest international financial institution. Its initial purpose was to facilitate the settlement of World War I reparations and to promote cooperation among central banks.
The BIS trading market refers to the role of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a key intermediary and facilitator in global financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and central bank transactions
BIS is a secretive institution with sovereign immunity that can move trillions without oversight. aka central bank of central banks in Basel Swissland with over 63 members in the world which are centrals banks of countries that make up 95% of world GDP.
Key Points about BIS and Its Trading Market Role:
Central Bank’s Central Bank: BIS acts as a bank for central banks and international organizations, providing banking services such as accounts, gold and currency transactions, asset management, and short-term collateralized loans.
Market Intermediary: BIS frequently conducts large-scale transactions on behalf of central banks in the foreign exchange and gold markets. These trades are often substantial, reflecting central banks’ reserve management or monetary policy operations.
Avoiding Market Misinterpretation: When BIS buys or sells currencies or assets, it is usually acting for a central bank, not itself, helping avoid markets mistaking these large trades for speculative or official government interventions.
Forum for Cooperation: BIS provides a platform for central banks to exchange information, coordinate policies, and cooperate on monetary and financial stability, which indirectly influences market dynamics.
Research and Statistics: BIS publishes data and analysis on global banking, FX, derivatives markets, and financial stability, supporting informed decision-making in the trading community.
Summary
The BIS trading market is not a public exchange but a specialized, high-level market where BIS facilitates and conducts financial transactions for central banks, particularly in foreign exchange and gold. Its activities help central banks manage reserves and implement monetary policy while fostering international financial cooperation.
if you know you know because BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND ) and FED (FEDERAL RESERVE ) are members .
GBPUSD 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ,INTEREST RATE ,INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE .
1. Current Rates and Yields
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Differential (UK - US)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 4.38% +0.16% (16 bps)
Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% -0.25% to -0.01%
UK Context: The Bank of England (BoE) held rates at 4.25% amid sticky inflation (3.4% YoY in May ) but signaled potential cuts in August.
US Context: The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, prioritizing inflation control despite slowing growth .
2. Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage
Yield Spread: The UK 10-year gilt yields 0.16% more than the US 10-year Treasury, creating a modest yield pickup for GBP-denominated bonds .
Policy Rate Spread: The USD offers a 0.25% higher short-term rate (using the Fed’s 4.50% upper bound vs. BoE’s 4.25%) .
Carry Trade Mechanics:
GBP-USD Strategy: Borrow USD at 4.50% and invest in GBP assets at 4.54% (10-year gilt) for a net carry of +0.04%.
USD-GBP Strategy: Borrow GBP at 4.25% and invest in USD assets at 4.38% (10-year Treasury) for a net carry of +0.13%.
Key Risks:
Currency Volatility: GBP/USD at 1.34–1.35 could erase gains if the dollar strengthens.
Policy Shifts: BoE rate cuts (expected August 2025) may narrow the yield spread , while Fed cuts could reduce USD rate advantages .
3. Market Outlook
UK Focus: Inflation persistence may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP yields near-term .
US Focus: Fed’s "higher for longer" stance and tariff-related inflation risks could sustain USD yield appeal .
Carry Viability: The USD-GBP strategy offers a slight edge (0.13% carry) but requires hedging against GBP appreciation risks.
Summary
Yield Advantage: UK 10-year gilts yield 0.16% more than US Treasuries, but USD short-term rates are 0.25% higher.
Optimal Carry: Borrowing GBP to invest in USD assets (0.13% carry) is marginally favorable, though policy uncertainty warrants caution.
Critical Factors: Monitor BoE/Fed rate decisions and GBP/USD trends for carry trade adjustments.
Major resistance ahead?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3535
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3449
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD GBPUSD is currently exhibiting short-term bearish momentum, targeting the fresh demand zone at 1.36416.
This level aligns with a key order block that could act as a pivot for the next bullish leg.
As long as price holds above this zone, we anticipate a potential bullish reversal from 1.36416 on the 15-minute timeframe. We’ll be monitoring for confirmation and continuation to the upside from that level.
GBPUSD GBPUSD has completed its bullish leg, reaching our previously identified target zone.
Current price action indicates potential exhaustion, and we are now actively monitoring for a short setup, targeting the 1.37200 level, which aligns with a minor inefficiency and previous structural support turned resistance.
This move is supported by overextended intraday momentum on the 15-minute chart, along with bearish divergence forming against key price levels — suggesting a potential retracement phase.
Risk Management Strategy:
Entry: Upon confirmation of a bearish setup (e.g., rejection from a lower high or failure to break recent highs with strength).
Stop-Loss: Placed above the most recent swing high or invalidation level, ensuring protection against false breakouts.
Target: 1.37200, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
We’ll continue to monitor price behavior closely and adjust if momentum shifts or invalidation levels are breached.