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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.358 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBPUSD.UK 10-Year Gilt Yield and Interest Rate UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: The yield stands at 4.48% as of June 25, 2025, after touching a recent high of 4.73%. This elevated yield reflects persistent inflation and cautious market expectations for Bank of England policy. Bank of England Interest Rate: The current policy rate is 4.25%. Markets expect potential cuts in August and November, possibly bringing the rate to 3.75% by year-end, but the BoE remains cautious due to inflation still above target. The US dollar is at multi-year lows, pressured by political uncertainty around the Fed, rising expectations for rate cuts, and a broad shift in global risk sentiment away from the dollar Investors remain cautious due to fiscal policy worries, including the impact of US government spending and debt levels, as well as geopolitical risks. The market currently prices in two 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cuts by the end of 2025, likely in September and December, which influences bond yields. The 10-year yield is a key benchmark for mortgage rates, corporate borrowing costs, and is often considered the "risk-free rate" in financial valuations The US10Y stands at 4.29%-4.33% and interest rate remains 4.25-4.5% The 10-year yield remains a critical indicator of US economic health, inflation expectations, and monetary policy stance. #GBPUSD
by Shavyfxhub
Short trade 🔻 Trade Journal Entry – Sell-side Trade 📍 Pair: GBPUSD 📅 Date: Wednesday, June 25, 2025 🕒 Time: 5:00 AM (London Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 4 Hour 📉 Direction: Sell-side 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 1.36148 Profit Level 1.34186 (−1.44%) Stop Loss 1.36356 (+0.15%) Risk-Reward Ratio 9.43 : 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: 4HR OB Rejection in Premium Zone: Entry taken off a confirmed bearish order block after price tapped into a premium zone at the top of the internal range. London Session Liquidity Sweep: Trade captured the classic London stop-hunt above a short-term high, initiating a sell-off and confirming smart money movement.
Short
by davidjulien369
GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W26 D23 Y25GBPUSD LONG FORECAST Q2 W26 D23 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
The area above recent highs, where buy stops are likely resting.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): The area above recent highs, where buy stops are likely resting. Marked near the 1.36200–1.36400 zone. The price is projected to sweep this area. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): The area below previous lows, where sell stops are likely resting. Marked near the 1.33600–1.33800 zone. Price previously swept this level before a sharp move upward. Market Behavior Analysis: Liquidity Sweep Pattern: The price dipped below the SSL zone (stop-hunting weak longs). A strong bullish move followed, aiming toward BSL. The projected path suggests price may tap the BSL, then reverse. Bearish Outlook Post-Liquidity Grab: After hitting BSL (liquidity sweep), price is expected to reverse. A potential bearish swing may take price back to SSL or lower. Likely Strategy Indicated: Short Setup After Liquidity Sweep: Wait for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or break of structure). Entry near 1.36200 zone with target near SSL (1.33600 zone).
by King_Maker_FX
GBP/USD Short Idea Analysis : GBP/USD is approaching a critical resistance zone between 1.37850 and 1.38800 on the daily timeframe, presenting a potential short opportunity based on technical and fundamental factors. Technical Analysis: Price Action: The 1.37850–1.38800 zone aligns with prior highs and a strong resistance area, likely to trigger rejection or a bearish reversal pattern (e.g., double top or bearish engulfing). Support/Target: Initial support at 1.3700, with a deeper target at 1.3600 if bearish momentum builds. Indicators: RSI is approaching overbought territory (near 70), signaling potential exhaustion. MACD shows slowing bullish momentum, supporting a short bias. Fibonacci: The 1.37850–1.38800 zone coincides with the 76.4%–88.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downmove, reinforcing resistance. Fundamental Context: UK economic data (e.g., weaker retail sales or PMI) suggests GBP vulnerability. Meanwhile, USD strength is bolstered by hawkish Fed expectations and resilient US economic indicators. Risks: A breakout above 1.3900 could invalidate the setup. Monitor BoE rhetoric and US data releases for sudden shifts. Conclusion: The 1.37850–1.38800 resistance zone offers a high-probability short setup for GBP/USD, supported by technical resistance and USD-favorable fundamentals. Use strict risk management due to potential volatility.
Short
by realtrademaster
GBPUSD GBP/USD: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and Upcoming Monetary Policy News (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Bond Yields UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: As of June 24, 2025, the UK 10-year government bond yield is 4.51%, having recently climbed as high as 4.73%—the highest since April—driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Markets have scaled back expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts due to persistent inflation, particularly in core and services sectors. US 10-Year Treasury Yield: The US 10-year Treasury yield ended June 20, 2025 at 4.38%. 2. Central Bank Interest Rates Bank of England (BoE) Rate: The BoE held its policy rate steady at 4.25% at its June 19 meeting, with a 6–3 vote to maintain rates. Three members favored a 0.25% cut to 4.00%. Inflation in the UK slowed to 3.4% in May (from 3.5% in April), but core and services inflation remain elevated, making policymakers cautious about cutting rates too soon. US Federal Reserve Rate: The Federal Reserve kept its key rate in a range of 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting and signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later this year, but with ongoing uncertainty about the timing. 3. Upcoming Monetary Policy News (Late June–July 2025) Bank of England: The BoE is expected to remain cautious, with markets now pricing in only 34 basis points of cuts for 2025 (down from earlier expectations of two cuts this year). Economists expect a possible rate cut in August if inflation and wage growth show clearer signs of easing. Federal Reserve: The Fed continues to signal a data-dependent approach, with two cuts still possible in 2025 if inflation moderates and growth slows as projected. Key Data to Watch: UK: Flash PMIs (Thursday) for signs of economic momentum or weakness. US: PCE inflation and labor market data for Fed policy clues. Summary Table Metric/News UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.51% (recent high: 4.73%) 4.38% Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% Next Central Bank Decision Possible cut in August Two cuts possible in 2025 Key Drivers Sticky core/services inflation Inflation, growth, Fed outlook Key Takeaways The UK 10-year gilt yield remains above the US 10-year yield, supporting GBP/USD in the near term. The BoE is holding rates steady but may cut in August if inflation data softens further. The Fed is also on hold, with possible cuts later in 2025, making upcoming inflation and labor data crucial for both currencies. Both central banks are in a wait-and-see mode, with markets closely watching economic data and policy signals for direction. #GBPUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/USD Downtrend Wedge Breakout Setup – Bullish Target AheadThe GBP/USD pair is currently displaying a downtrend wedge pattern, a structure that typically signals a bullish reversal when confirmed. The pattern is formed by a descending resistance trendline (in red) and a gradually sloping support line (in green), converging to a point. Price has bounced off the wedge’s support multiple times while forming lower highs, creating pressure that often leads to a breakout. As seen in the chart, the pair recently surged toward the upper resistance line and is now attempting to break above it. A successful breakout with bullish candle confirmation could lead to a strong move upward. 📈 Breakout Scenario If the price manages to close above the resistance zone (~1.3490–1.3500), it would confirm the wedge breakout. Based on the height of the pattern, the projected breakout target is around 1.3692. This target is calculated by measuring the vertical height of the wedge and adding it to the breakout point. Confirmation of breakout should ideally include a retest of the broken resistance acting as new support. 📉 Rejection Scenario However, if the breakout attempt fails and the price gets rejected again from the red resistance line, the pair could retest the wedge’s support area around 1.3360. A breakdown below the green zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and suggest continued bearish pressure. ⚙️ Strategy Tips Buy Setup: Enter after breakout candle closes above 1.3500 with stop loss just below breakout zone. Take Profit: Use the 1.3692 level as the primary target or scale out on the way up. Confirmation: Always wait for breakout confirmation before entering; avoid false breakouts. ✅ Conclusion This wedge breakout setup offers a bullish trading opportunity if confirmed. The clear structure, repeated tests of both support and resistance, and recent momentum build a strong technical case. Still, confirmation is key before initiating any positions. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Long
by TradZoo
GBPUSD(20250620)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, and the voting ratio showed that internal differences were increasing. Traders expect the bank to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3439 Support and resistance levels: 1.3526 1.3494 1.3473 1.3406 1.3385 1.3353 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 1.3473, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.3494 If it breaks through 1.3439, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.3406
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
GBP/USD Launch to Fresh 3-Year HighsGBP/USD had a mild pullback earlier in the morning until the 1.3593 level came in to help set the lows. I had looked at that price in yesterday's post and that's held the lows for today ahead of another strong breakout with the pair pressing into fresh three-year highs. Chasing breakouts can be tough especially when they've already started, so at this point there's a couple of spots of support that bulls can defend to keep the door open for shorter-term trend continuation purposes. The price of 1.3639 is an aggressive level of support potential, and below that is 1.3616. If bulls fail to hold support at those prices, the bullish momentum that's driving the current breakout would come into question and the door would open to deeper retracement potential. In that scenario, there may be more attractive options to work with USD-strength. - js
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
GBPUSD Breakdown The Ascending Channel selling strong 📉 GBPUSD Breakdown Alert – 4H Timeframe Cable has broken down from the ascending channel with a strong bearish candle, confirming seller strength. We're now eyeing short setups from 1.34400. 🎯 Technical Targets 🔻 1st Target: 1.33500 – Demand Zone 🔻 2nd Target: 1.32700 – Demand Zone 🔻 3rd Target: 1.31800 – Major Support 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.36000 – Bearish Order Block (OB) 🔥 Bias: Bearish 🕓 Timeframe: 4H 💡 Strategy: Sell the pullback, ride the momentum. — 💬 Like, comment, and follow for more updates! 🚀 Join our trading squad and level up your analysis! #GBPUSD #ForexSignals #PriceAction #LiviaTrades 😜
Short
by LIVIATRACK
1
GBP/USD 4H – Bearish Supply Zone Reaction SetupTrade Breakdown: Price broke structure to the downside after rejecting the 4H supply zone around 1.35800, creating bearish momentum. We’ve now pulled back aggressively into that same supply zone, aligning with a clean imbalance just above 1.35577. This area is now prime for a reversal. I’m looking for a bearish engulfing confirmation or strong rejection wick inside the zone to enter short. Once confirmed, this could be a clean swing back to the imbalance fill and potential target zone at 1.33352. Imbalance: Clear imbalance left just below 1.35577, sitting right inside the supply zone. Expecting price to mitigate this inefficiency before resuming bearish pressure. Entry Criteria: Only entering if a bearish engulfing forms within the supply zone. No confirmation = no trade. ✅ SL: 1.35868 TP: 1.33352 RR: 7.65:1 Bias: Bearish 🔻 Session: London / NY overlap preferred for execution ⸻ 🖊️ Trade Simple. Live Lavish.™ – Jaquil Taylor
Short
by QuilLavish
GBPUSD - Technical Outlook (Long + Short Term)In this article, I’ll share my current outlook on GBPUSD, highlighting both higher time frame (HTF) and intraday considerations. Higher Time Frame Analysis The overall trend remains bearish. Price is still trading within the previous structural leg, with the key level at 1.42500. Unless we see a decisive break above this level, my bias will remain bearish for this pair. Recently, we’ve witnessed what looks like institutional manipulation to the upside, followed by a sharp bearish reaction from the weekly supply zone. This price action aligns with a classic Wyckoff distribution cycle, which often signals that the prevailing trend is likely to continue. Intraday Advice For short-term traders, it’s best to wait for lower time frame (LTF) pullbacks and signs of manipulation before considering short positions. If price continues to push lower, there should be opportunities to ride the trend down over the coming weeks, with multiple entry points along the way. Trading Considerations If this analysis plays out, there’s potential to maximize gains through both swing and intraday trades. However, patience and risk management are key. Losses are inevitable - what matters is managing risk and staying disciplined. Key Points to Remember: Wait for clear pullbacks before entering trades. Stick to your risk management plan. Stay patient and let the market come to you. This is an exciting time to trade FX:GBPUSD , but always assess if the risk is worth the reward before entering any position. Happy hunting predators... Apex out!
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
GBPUSD DID YOU KNOW THAT YOUR COUNTRY CENTRAL BANKS HAVE ANOTHER CENTRAL BANK AND IS CALLED BIS(BANK OF INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS )??? The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 at the Hague Conference, making it the world's oldest international financial institution. Its initial purpose was to facilitate the settlement of World War I reparations and to promote cooperation among central banks. The BIS trading market refers to the role of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) as a key intermediary and facilitator in global financial markets, particularly in foreign exchange (FX) and central bank transactions BIS is a secretive institution with sovereign immunity that can move trillions without oversight. aka central bank of central banks in Basel Swissland with over 63 members in the world which are centrals banks of countries that make up 95% of world GDP. Key Points about BIS and Its Trading Market Role: Central Bank’s Central Bank: BIS acts as a bank for central banks and international organizations, providing banking services such as accounts, gold and currency transactions, asset management, and short-term collateralized loans. Market Intermediary: BIS frequently conducts large-scale transactions on behalf of central banks in the foreign exchange and gold markets. These trades are often substantial, reflecting central banks’ reserve management or monetary policy operations. Avoiding Market Misinterpretation: When BIS buys or sells currencies or assets, it is usually acting for a central bank, not itself, helping avoid markets mistaking these large trades for speculative or official government interventions. Forum for Cooperation: BIS provides a platform for central banks to exchange information, coordinate policies, and cooperate on monetary and financial stability, which indirectly influences market dynamics. Research and Statistics: BIS publishes data and analysis on global banking, FX, derivatives markets, and financial stability, supporting informed decision-making in the trading community. Summary The BIS trading market is not a public exchange but a specialized, high-level market where BIS facilitates and conducts financial transactions for central banks, particularly in foreign exchange and gold. Its activities help central banks manage reserves and implement monetary policy while fostering international financial cooperation. if you know you know because BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND ) and FED (FEDERAL RESERVE ) are members . GBPUSD 10 YEAR BOND YIELD ,INTEREST RATE ,INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL AND CARRY TRADE ADVANTAGE . 1. Current Rates and Yields Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD) Differential (UK - US) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.54% 4.38% +0.16% (16 bps) Policy Interest Rate 4.25% 4.25%–4.50% -0.25% to -0.01% UK Context: The Bank of England (BoE) held rates at 4.25% amid sticky inflation (3.4% YoY in May ) but signaled potential cuts in August. US Context: The Federal Reserve held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, prioritizing inflation control despite slowing growth . 2. Interest Rate Differential and Carry Trade Advantage Yield Spread: The UK 10-year gilt yields 0.16% more than the US 10-year Treasury, creating a modest yield pickup for GBP-denominated bonds . Policy Rate Spread: The USD offers a 0.25% higher short-term rate (using the Fed’s 4.50% upper bound vs. BoE’s 4.25%) . Carry Trade Mechanics: GBP-USD Strategy: Borrow USD at 4.50% and invest in GBP assets at 4.54% (10-year gilt) for a net carry of +0.04%. USD-GBP Strategy: Borrow GBP at 4.25% and invest in USD assets at 4.38% (10-year Treasury) for a net carry of +0.13%. Key Risks: Currency Volatility: GBP/USD at 1.34–1.35 could erase gains if the dollar strengthens. Policy Shifts: BoE rate cuts (expected August 2025) may narrow the yield spread , while Fed cuts could reduce USD rate advantages . 3. Market Outlook UK Focus: Inflation persistence may delay BoE cuts, supporting GBP yields near-term . US Focus: Fed’s "higher for longer" stance and tariff-related inflation risks could sustain USD yield appeal . Carry Viability: The USD-GBP strategy offers a slight edge (0.13% carry) but requires hedging against GBP appreciation risks. Summary Yield Advantage: UK 10-year gilts yield 0.16% more than US Treasuries, but USD short-term rates are 0.25% higher. Optimal Carry: Borrowing GBP to invest in USD assets (0.13% carry) is marginally favorable, though policy uncertainty warrants caution. Critical Factors: Monitor BoE/Fed rate decisions and GBP/USD trends for carry trade adjustments.
by Shavyfxhub
Sell trade GBP/USD Sell Trade Note: The GBP/USD pair is currently under bearish pressure, reflecting stronger USD sentiment due to expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Fed and weaker UK economic outlook. Key support levels to watch are around 1.2600 and 1.2550. A break below these may confirm further downside. Resistance is around 1.2700–1.2750; any retracements toward these levels could present new selling opportunities. Sentiment: Bearish below 1.2700 Risk Factors: UK economic data, US Fed commentary, geopolitical events. --- Let me know if you want a more technical or fundamental analysis.
Short
by oga_vicky
Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area.Chart Elements: Instrument & Timeframe: Pair: GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) Timeframe: 4-hour chart (each candlestick = 4 hours) Key Zones Highlighted: Top Green Box (~1.36000–1.36500): This represents a resistance zone where price has previously struggled to break above. Marked with “EQH” (Equal Highs), indicating a liquidity area or potential stop-hunt zone. Bottom Green Box (~1.33500–1.34200): This is a support zone where price has bounced before. The price is currently near this support level. Price Movement Forecast (White Zigzag Line): Indicates a bullish projection: Suggests a potential bounce from the current support zone. A possible rally back towards the resistance zone (~1.36000–1.36500), potentially to grab liquidity above the EQH. Current Price: Shown around 1.34656, which is near the bottom support zone. Candlestick Structure: Price has recently had a sharp move down into the support zone. A possible reversal setup is forming based on the projection. Interpretation: The chart suggests a bullish scenario for GBP/USD: The price is expected to hold the support zone. If buying pressure comes in, the price may rise toward the resistance level to test or sweep the equal highs.
by King_Maker_FX
-0.5% Week | A Tough Reminder: Risk Management is EverythingFirst trade hit 2R , exited early due to the bank holiday. Next day, I gave it all back. 3 stop-losses. Poor risk management . I got overconfident after being in profit and paid the price. Also realized mobile tools (like SL placement on TradingView app) can hurt if not set up right. Last week was +6% with strict risk rules. This week? A reminder that trading is 90% mindset and discipline. Lessons: • Protect your capital, always. • Don’t loosen your rules after a win. • Your edge only works if you follow your plan. Stay disciplined. Survive the noise. Let your edge play out.
by Mrshazee