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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

NFP Trading Setup ( A potential 200Pips+){update for Failed GU On the 4H timeframe , we've seen a clear structural shift, with price breaking below a significant low on the bullish rally at 1.3000 and further breaching the bullish trendline. Initially, we anticipated price would fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) above before this breakout, but it moved lower without doing so. Now that we have both the breakout and an unfilled FVG above, our focus shifts to the nearest demand level that could drive price back up into this gap. In the 4H chart , we’ve identified a demand level to monitor. With the NFP release on the horizon, our strategy will be to target 1.2730. To maximize this move, we could set sell limits at 1.2962 and 1.2938 , both of which align with premium prices in the current bearish momentum. Our target at 1.2729 offers a solid 200+ pips potential . We expect that hitting this target may trigger a rally into the FVG, and based on bearish indications on the daily timeframe, we could see an extended downside move following this rally. Stay tuned for bi-hourly updates on this setup!
Short
by Ieios
2
GBPUSD_119 2024.11.01 07:01:11 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for GBPUSD_119 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 1.29501 SL: 1.28917 Entry Price: 1.2899 Analysis for GBPUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Probably Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down. The bearish setup targets the level of 1.2900, and the failure to sustain above 1.3000 has led to a rebound downwards, indicating ongoing downward pressure. * The immediate outlook is cautious due to the ongoing bearish correction, and the pair may attempt to test the support area near 1.2975 before potentially continuing its decline. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The overall trend is bearish, and the pair is expected to maintain its downtrend. The technical analysis highlights the importance of watching key levels, and any significant movements will be influenced by upcoming economic data releases. * However, if the pair can break out above 1.2990, it could potentially lead to a bullish reversal. Nevertheless, this is not the primary expectation based on the current analysis. In summary, the GBP/USD pair is expected to decline in the short-term, with a potential target of 1.2900. In the long-term, the pair is expected to maintain its downtrend, but a bullish breakout above 1.2990 could potentially lead to a reversal. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my expectations for the GBP/USD exchange rate: **Short-term (next few days):** The price is expected to go down. The current bearish setup targets 1.2900, and the recent decline in the pound due to the UK's new budget announcement supports this expectation. Additionally, the technical analysis suggests that the GBP/USD will test the support area near 1.2975, which could lead to further downward movement. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** The price is expected to stay the same or potentially go up. Although the current trend is bearish in the short term, the technical analysis mentions a possibility of continued growth after the support test at 1.2975. Furthermore, the GBP/USD rate had previously re-tested the 1.30 level, indicating that there is still some upward momentum in the market. However, this expectation is less clear-cut than the short-term expectation, and the price movement will likely depend on future market data releases, such as the PCE index. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is currently attempting to break through the lower boundary of an ascending price channel, which suggests a potential short-term downtrend. * The bearish setup targeting 1.2900 and the expected trading range of 1.2914-1.3050 also indicate a possible short-term decline. * However, the higher linear regression channel indicating an upward tilt suggests that the downtrend might be limited. **Expected short-term price movement:** Down (targeting 1.2900) **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The ascending price channel and the higher linear regression channel indicating an upward tilt suggest a potential long-term uptrend. * The bullish breakout anticipated at 1.2990 also supports a long-term bullish outlook. * However, the UK budget and tax hike announcement may continue to influence the pair's direction, potentially leading to further volatility. **Expected long-term price movement:** Up (with potential for further volatility) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new market data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Long
by orbborisson
GBPUSD_116 2024.11.01 03:14:05 Trading Signal SELLFrankPro Signal for GBPUSD_116 Type: Screen Signal: SELL TP: 1.28125 SL: 1.29029 Entry Price: 1.28916 Analysis for GBPUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Probably Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Down ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down. The bearish setup targets the level of 1.2900, and the failure to sustain above 1.3000 has led to a rebound downwards, indicating ongoing downward pressure. * The immediate outlook is cautious due to the ongoing bearish correction, and the pair may attempt to test the support area near 1.2975 before potentially continuing its decline. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The overall trend is bearish, and the pair is expected to maintain its downtrend. The technical analysis highlights the importance of watching key levels, and any significant movements will be influenced by upcoming economic data releases. * However, if the pair can break out above 1.2990, it could potentially lead to a bullish reversal. Nevertheless, this is not the primary expectation based on the current analysis. In summary, the GBP/USD pair is expected to decline in the short-term, with a potential target of 1.2900. In the long-term, the pair is expected to maintain its downtrend, but a bullish breakout above 1.2990 could potentially lead to a reversal. Result: ST=Down LT=Down Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my expectations for the GBP/USD exchange rate: **Short-term (next few days):** The price is expected to go down. The current bearish setup targets 1.2900, and the recent decline in the pound due to the UK's new budget announcement supports this expectation. Additionally, the technical analysis suggests that the GBP/USD will test the support area near 1.2975, which could lead to further downward movement. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** The price is expected to stay the same or potentially go up. Although the current trend is bearish in the short term, the technical analysis mentions a possibility of continued growth after the support test at 1.2975. Furthermore, the GBP/USD rate had previously re-tested the 1.30 level, indicating that there is still some upward momentum in the market. However, this expectation is less clear-cut than the short-term expectation, and the price movement will likely depend on future market data releases, such as the PCE index. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is currently attempting to break through the lower boundary of an ascending price channel, which suggests a potential short-term downtrend. * The bearish setup targeting 1.2900 and the expected trading range of 1.2914-1.3050 also indicate a possible short-term decline. * However, the higher linear regression channel indicating an upward tilt suggests that the downtrend might be limited. **Expected short-term price movement:** Down (targeting 1.2900) **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The ascending price channel and the higher linear regression channel indicating an upward tilt suggest a potential long-term uptrend. * The bullish breakout anticipated at 1.2990 also supports a long-term bullish outlook. * However, the UK budget and tax hike announcement may continue to influence the pair's direction, potentially leading to further volatility. **Expected long-term price movement:** Up (with potential for further volatility) Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new market data and events become available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Short
by orbborisson
It look bullish to me, risky at this momentbut once H4 candle closes inside the weekly range it will confirm my idea. GBP news and FOMC tonight could be a fuel for this price move. You are very welcome to comment with your thoughts, share your charts or questions about COT or how I came to this setup. Just comment below, I like any constructive discussion. If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart. Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution - No liquidity raid = No trade - Never buy high and never sell low “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Long
by Dave-Hunter
GBPUSD_119 2024.11.04 01:45:04 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for GBPUSD_119 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 1.30272 SL: 1.2964 Entry Price: 1.29719 Analysis for GBPUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Probably Up LT= Probably Down Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Up LT=Down ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(0) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The pair is expected to test the support area near 1.2935, which may lead to a slight decline. * However, the overall forecast suggests an attempt to develop a decline followed by a rebound, indicating a potential short-term bounce. * The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October, scheduled for release later on Friday, may influence the USD's strength and affect the GBP/USD pair. * Given the bearish trend indicated by moving averages, I predict the price to **go down** in the short term, but with a potential rebound. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The pair is expected to rebound upwards, with a target of around 1.3175. * A breakout of the resistance area above 1.3105 would confirm the growth scenario. * The UK's Autumn Forecast Statement and the Office for Business Responsibility's upward revision of inflation forecasts may cap the downside for the Pound Sterling, suggesting less likelihood of interest rate reductions by the Bank of England. * Given the overall forecast and technical analysis, I predict the price to **go up** in the long term. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change based on new market data and events. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided data, here is my analysis of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term analysis (next few days to a week):** * The formation of a "Triangle" model and the relative strength indicator (RSI) suggest a potential rebound and continued growth towards the level of 1.3175. * The pair is currently trading near the support area of 1.2935, which could lead to a bounce back. * A close above 1.3000 could target resistance at 1.3100 and the 50-day SMA at 1.3139. * Therefore, in the short-term, the price is expected to **go up** towards the 1.3175 level. **Long-term analysis (month of November and end of 2024):** * The monthly forecast for November 2024 suggests a decline in the GBP/USD rate, with an average forecast of 1.273 and a predicted rate of 1.269 at the end of the month. * Analysts at WalletInvestor project a bearish trend for the GBP/USD pair, with the rate expected to decline from 1.321 to 1.309 by the end of 2024. * However, the forecast for November from LongForecast suggests a high exchange rate of 1.306, which is higher than the current trading level. * Considering the mixed forecasts, in the long-term, the price is expected to **stay the same** or experience a slight **decline**. Please note that these analyses are based on the provided data and should not be considered as investment advice. The foreign exchange market is highly volatile, and prices can change rapidly due to various market and economic factors. Result: ST=Up LT=Down Analysis Method(2) **Short-Term Analysis (Next few days to a week)** Based on the provided data, the short-term forecast for the GBP/USD pair is slightly bullish. The pair is expected to test the support area near 1.2935 and then rebound, continuing its growth towards 1.3175. The technical analysis also suggests a potential rebound from the support line, and a close above 1.3000 could target resistance at 1.3100 and the 50-day SMA at 1.3139. However, a close below 1.2971 could lead to further downside risk. **Expected Price Movement (Short-Term): UP** **Long-Term Analysis (Next few months to a year)** The long-term forecast for the GBP/USD pair is mixed and uncertain. WalletInvestor predicts a bearish trend, with a decline to 1.309 by the end of 2024 and further to 1.278 in 2025. On the other hand, LongForecast suggests significant fluctuations in 2025, with a range between 1.336 and 1.437. However, the overall trend is expected to be volatile and uncertain. **Expected Price Movement (Long-Term): UNCERTAIN (BOTH UP AND DOWN POSSIBLE)** Result: ST=Up LT=Down
Long
by frankiepro
GBPUSD Hits Key Resistance: Selling Strategy in FocusGBPUSD is targeting a recent selling zone as it encounters resistance around the 1.304 area. Previously a strong support level, this point has now been broken and stands as a new resistance, posing a solid challenge for the bulls. Additionally, the notable recent recovery of the USD against the pound has made investors more cautious about trading against the trend. From my perspective, I’m sticking with a selling strategy as shown on the chart, with a take-profit level set at 1.268. Happy trading, and feel free to share your thoughts with me!
Short
by Pierce_Bowers
1
GBPUSD_109 2024.11.08 05:20:11 Trading Signal BUYFrankPro Signal for GBPUSD_109 Type: Screen Signal: BUY TP: 1.30274 SL: 1.29634 Entry Price: 1.29714 Analysis for GBPUSD Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST= Strong Down LT= Strong Up Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(0) Based on the analysis, here are my predictions for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The price is expected to go down. The pair is currently moving within a descending channel, indicating a short-term bearish trend. The price is also below the 100-day SMA (1.2980), which is a bearish signal. * However, there is a potential for a short-term recovery, as the pair is building recovery momentum toward 1.2950 and has found support near this level. * Key levels to watch in the short-term include 1.2940, 1.2900, and 1.2980. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The price is expected to go up. The forecast suggests that the pair is expected to test the support area near 1.2765, but then continue to grow with a target near 1.3085. * A breakout above the resistance area and a price close above 1.3005 could signal a reversal, indicating a potential long-term bullish trend. * The Bank of England's stance on interest rates and the prospect of a recession in the UK may influence the pair's volatility, but the overall long-term trend is expected to be bullish. Please note that these predictions are based on the analysis provided and are subject to change as new data and events unfold. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(1) Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions on the expected price movement of the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The pair is currently in a descending channel, indicating a short-term bearish trend. * The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, but the pair has yet to flip the 100-day SMA into support. * Key support levels are at 1.2940 and 1.2900, while resistance is at 1.3000 and 1.3040. * Given these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the short-term, potentially testing the support area near 1.2765. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * Despite the short-term bearish trend, there is an expectation for the GBP/USD pair to rebound and continue growing towards the level of 1.3085. * A breakout of the resistance area and a price close above 1.3005 would confirm the growth option. * Economic data and central bank decisions, such as the Bank of England's expected rate cuts, could impact the pair's movement. * Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go up** in the long-term, potentially reaching higher targets such as 1.3042 and 1.3057. Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data and events emerge. Result: ST=Down LT=Up Analysis Method(2) Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the GBP/USD pair: **Short-term (next few days):** * The pair is currently trading near 1.3000, and the technical analysis suggests that it is yet to break above the 100-day SMA at 1.2980. * The market sentiment is cautious due to the upcoming US presidential election, which may lead to a temporary consolidation or a slight decline. * The support levels at 1.2940 and 1.2900 are likely to hold, but a break below these levels could lead to a decline towards the November 1 low of 1.2884. * Therefore, in the short-term, the price is expected to **stay the same** or **go down** slightly, with a potential range of 1.2940-1.3000. **Long-term (next few weeks/months):** * The forecast and analysis suggest that the pair could test the support area near 1.2765 before potentially rebounding and growing towards the 1.3085 level. * The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England by the end of 2025 could lead to a depreciation of the pound in the long-term. * However, the US Dollar is currently under pressure, which could allow the GBP/USD to hold its ground or even appreciate in the long-term. * Therefore, in the long-term, the price is expected to **go up**, with a potential target of 1.3085, but with a possible decline to 1.2765 before rebounding. Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new information becomes available. Result: ST=Down LT=Up
Long
by orbborisson
Trade 3: GBP/USD - Short - 6.3 RR RatioLonger Time Frame Analysis - 1hr 1. Clear bearish sentiment Shorter Time Frame Analysis - 15min 1. AMD price action 2. Head & Shoulder Pattern Shorter Time Frame Analysis - 5min 1. Shorter EMA cross under Longer EMA at the bearish triangle breakout Entry: 1. BOS - Head & Shoulders 2. Shorter EMA cross under Longer EMA 3. The candle next to breakout bearish candle closed below the price of breakout candle Target: Using Support & Resistance of Price Action T1: 1.28457 SL: Above breakout base of head & shoulders pattern *Please let me knows your views and thoughts, they will remind me there's more to learn*
Short
by MyWayofLookingThings
GBPUSD Is Going Up! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 1.290. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.295 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Trade 6: GBP/USD - 3.9 RR Ratio Longer Time Frame: 1D 1. Bullish Engulfing candle in a day Shorter Time Frame: 15min 1. Flag and pole formation almost for 3 phases 2. Price took resistance at "1" 3. Price crossed below the shorter and medium HMA 4. Retraced back to between 0.382 and 0 Bias: Short 1. Expecting a pullback 2. Price crossed below HMAs in 15m and 30m Entry: First EMA cross under when the Shorter HMA crossed under Medium HMA or First EMA cross under when the price crossed HMAs and is taking resistance of HMAs Target: 1. Next Support between 1.29472 and 1.29360 2. The range falls between 0.382 3. Therefore, 0.382 is the target SL: Above the EMA cross under 5/15min timeframe
Short
by MyWayofLookingThings
GBP/USD Bears Eye $1.267 as Downtrend Gains MomentumFxNews —GBP/USD entered a bearish trend after failing to hold above the 100-period simple moving average, dropping sharply from $1.304. Currently, bears are testing the October 31 low of $1.284 as support. Technical indicators confirm bearish momentum, with the Awesome Oscillator showing red bars and the Stochastic and RSI at 36 and 35, suggesting more downside potential as the pair isn’t oversold. The immediate resistance is $1.284. If bears close GBP/USD below this level, the next target could be $1.267. However, a move above the October 30 high of $1.3045 would invalidate the bearish outlook. Support: 1.284 / 1.267 Resistance: 1.2907 / 1.3045
Short
by FxNews-me
GBPUSD: Updated Support & Resistance Analysis 🇬🇧🇺🇸 Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD. Horizontal Structures Resistance 1: 1.304 - 1.310 area Resistance 2: 1.331 - 1.332 area Resistance 3: 1.341 - 1.343 area Support 1: 1.284 - 1.286 area Support 2: 1.277 - 1.280 area Support 3: 1.266 - 1.269 area Vertical Structures Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
1