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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers! We’re glad to have you all here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - Reuters reported that the U.S. has no plans to negotiate with the European Union until next week's reciprocal tariff announcement. - President Trump, through Truth Social, warned that if the EU and Canada cooperate to economically harm the U.S., he would impose significantly higher tariffs. - In the U.K., the persistent fiscal deficit issue has once again drawn attention, leading to a rise in U.K. government bond yields. The British government has revised its 2024 GDP growth forecast downward from 2% to 1%. Key Economic Events This Week + March 28: U.K. Q4 GDP, U.S. February Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index GBPUSD Chart Analysis After reaching the 1.30000 level, GBPUSD has failed to show a clear trend and continues to move within the lower range of this level. If it fails to break above 1.30000 and moves downward, it may decline to 1.28000 before rebounding toward 1.31000. Conversely, if an upward trend continues, it is likely to break 1.31000 and rise further toward 1.34000.
Short
by shawntime_academy
How to Spot Potential Price Reversals - Part 1: GBPUSD ExampleA subject within technical analysis that many traders find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price. The misreading of price activity when a reversal is materialising can often lead to incorrect decisions, such as entering a trade too early, which can result in being stopped out of a potentially successful trade before price activity moves in the intended direction. In this piece today, and part 2 tomorrow, we want to look at 2 types of reversal in price – the Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders and the Double Top/Double Bottom. The intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies. The Head and Shoulders Pattern This pattern highlights the potential, • reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of upside strength • reversal of a previous uptrend in price into a phase of weakness In this example, we are going to outline in more detail a bullish reversal in price, which is called a ‘Reversed Head and Shoulders’. Points to Note: Reversed Head and Shoulders • A downtrend in price must have been in place. • A Reversed Head and Shoulders is made up of 3 clear troughs on a price chart. • The middle trough (called the Head) is lower than the 2 outer price troughs (called the Left Hand Shoulder and the Right Hand Shoulder). • The 3rd low in price (Right Hand Shoulder) being higher than the Head, reflects the inability of sellers to be able to break under a previous low in price. This is regarded as a ‘weak test’ of a previous price extreme, suggesting buyers may be gaining the upper hand, readying for a potential positive sentiment shift and price strength. • A trendline connecting highs in price that mark the upper extremes of the Head is drawn. This highlights the Neckline of the pattern, which if broken on a closing basis, completes the reversal, to represent a positive shift in sentiment and the potential of further price strength. Point to Note: To understand a bearish reversal, known as a ‘Head and Shoulders Top’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above. GBPUSD Example: In the chart below, we look at the recent activity of GBPUSD, which formed a bullish Reversed Head and Shoulders Pattern between December 20th 2024 and February 13th 2025, when the pattern was completed. As with any bullish reversal in price, a clear downtrend and extended price decline must have been seen previously, for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the decline from the September 20th 2024 high at 1.3434, into the January 13th price low at 1.2100. The Head and Shoulders pattern is made up of 3 troughs in price and in this example, these are marked by the period between December 30th 2024 to January 7th 2025 which forms the Left Hand Shoulder , between January 7th to February 5th 2025 which was the Head developing , and between February 5th to February 13th 2025, which then formed the Right Hand Shoulder . The Neckline of the pattern is drawn connecting the December 30th 2024 high and the February 5th 2025 highs, which was broken on a closing basis on February 13th 2025. It was on this day, the Reversed Head and Shoulders Pattern was completed with potential then turning towards a more extended phase of price strength. Does the Head and Shoulders offer an Insight into a Potential Price Objective? Yes, it does, by measuring the height from the bottom of the Head to the level of the Neckline at the time that low was posted, we can project this distance higher from the point the neckline was broken. This suggests a possible minimum objective for any future price strength. In the example above, a low of 1.2100 was registered on January 13th 2025, at which time the Neckline stood at 1.2576. This means the height of the Head was 0.0476 (476 pips). On February 13th when the Neckline was broken on a closing basis, the Neckline stood at 1.2529. As such… 1.2529 + 0.0476 = 1.3005, which would be the minimum potential price objective for the Reversed Head and Shoulders. This level was in fact achieved on March 18th 2025. Of course, while the Head and Shoulders pattern is regarded as one of the most reliable patterns within technical analysis, it is not a guarantee of a significant price movement, as much will still depend on future sentiment and price trends. Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement. The stop loss should initially be placed just under the level of the Right Hand Shoulder, as any break of this point negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did. However, if prices rise after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving a stop loss higher, keeping it just under higher support levels to protect your position. We highlighted the formation of the potential GBPUSD reversed Head and Shoulders pattern on February 13th 2025, so please take a look at our timeline for further details. Remember to watch out for tomorrow’s Part 2 post The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
UK inflation cools more than expected, GBP/USD loses groundUK inflation for February rose 2.8% y/y, below the market esti mate of 2.9%. This was lower than the 3% gain in January. The main contribution to the drop in inflation was lower prices for clothing and housing. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 0.4%, up from 0.1% in January but lower than the market estimate of 0.5%. Core CPI also eased, falling from 3.7% to 3.5%. The drop in inflation is good news, but the Bank of England remains concerned about the upside risk of inflation. Services inflation, which has been sticky, was unchanged at 5%. The BoE will consider a rate cut at the next meeting in May, but will be monitoring the effects of increased employer taxes starting in April as well as today's Spring Statement. At last week's meeting, the BoE expressed concern over worsening "global trade policy uncertainty" and pointedly mentioned US tariffs. The Trump administration's new trade policy has raised trade tensions and a global trade war would hurt growth and boost inflation. The slight drop in inflation is also good news for Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who is delivered the budget update earlier today. The update did not contain any further tax increases and announced deep spending cuts. Borrrowing a phrase from the Bank of England at last week's meeting, Reeves said "increased global uncertainty" had increased borrowing costs and led to economic instability. GBP/USD has pushed below support at 1.2940. The next support level is 1.2864 There is resistance at 1.2940 and 1.2991
by OANDA
The Day AheadWednesday March 26 Data: US February durable goods orders, UK February CPI, RPI, January house price index, France March consumer confidence, Australia February CPI Central banks: Fed's Musalem and Kashkari speak, ECB's Villeroy and Cipollone speak, BoC summary of deliberations from the March meeting Earnings: Dollar Tree, RENK Auctions: US 2-yr FRN, US 5-yr Notes Other: US CBO Federal Debt and the Statutory Limit report, UK spring statement This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD - Chasing the Bulls!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a major daily support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of daily support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 24 - 28 MarchMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: UK & US Inflation, US Durable Goods Orders, and Earnings Reports In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: - UK Inflation Rate - US Durable Goods Orders - US PCE Price Index - Corporate Earnings Statements Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
GBPUSD LONGS IDEANew week, new goals, new energy. So, We had a good liquidity sweep on a higher t.f. I wanna see the market pump to the PDH level for the longs idea. Possibly after the market does that, It'll ct to more BSL(Buy-side liquidity) and in-sufficiencies or reverse back down. We don't have the best economic calendar today so I'ma not expect much. Follow for more updates on the same idea for longs. Hit the boost button if you agree and comment below for any questions, queries or commentary ideas
by gachihi
H4 CLS within Weekly CLS I KL - Order Block, Model 1Hey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
Short
by David_Perk
10
GBP/USD Breaks Rising Channel – Bearish Target Ahead!Key Observations: Rising Channel: The price was trading within an ascending channel, bouncing between resistance and support. Breakout & Sell Signal: The price has broken below the channel support, indicating a potential trend reversal. Bearish Target: The next key support level is around 1.27024, aligning with a previous demand zone. Confirmation: If the price stays below 1.29165, further downside movement is likely. Trading Idea: Short Entry: After confirmation of a breakdown below support. Target: 1.27024 (next major support level). Stop Loss: Above 1.30127 (previous resistance). This setup suggests bearish momentum as long as the price remains below the broken support. Traders should watch for retests and volume confirmation.
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
2
WAITING ON A PULLBACK BEFORE WE SHORTGBP/USD 1H - As you can see price is now looking as though it is going to put in this corrective wave trading us up and into the Supply Zone above, in doing so it should give us the opportunity to enter in on this market. I want to see price trade up and into this area for two reasons, one to clear the orders which will encourage a reversal in the balance and secondly to set a Lower high within this higher timeframe bearish structure. Once price does trade us up and into this zone we can then begin to look for those short opportunities, we will want to see price trade in, clear those orders and break structure to the downside fractally. A break in the structure to the downside will confirm and end to the correction and the start of the next impulse, this giving us the confirmation to trade this market short following the higher timeframe structure of this market.
Short
by Lukegforex
GBP/USD BUY ENTRY @1.28580 H4 chart analysisEntry Point: Around 1.28580 Stop Loss (SL): Around 1.27183 Take Profit (TP): Approximately 1.31000 (based on the green target zone) Support Zone: Between 1.27183 and 1.28580 (highlighted in red) Resistance Zone: Around 1.31000 The setup shows a potential bullish move with a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.71, indicating a favorable trade opportunity. Let me know if you'd like additional details or tips for presenting this to your client.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5