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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

GBPUSD expectation 1HGBPUSD is busy in a retracement and could use the trend line (for 'most likely') as a support and bounce back up to destination, or use the main support to do so. Price momentum is slowing down as we reach midday UK session and as we start to prepare for the US one, this will decide which way it will go. Another possibility is price reversing between the two, round half way, heading into a buy. We have to wait to see what price does in order to understand how to plan the entry.
Long
by AcolyteTheTrader
GBPUSD1. UK 10-Year Gilt Yield The UK 10-year gilt yield was approximately 4.68% to 4.73% on May 23, 2025. This yield is near its highest level since April 2025, driven by hotter-than-expected inflation data (April CPI at 3.5% YoY, core inflation at 3.8%, and services inflation at 5.4%) which reduced market expectations for Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts. 2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.54% on May 21–22, 2025. US yields remain elevated due to ongoing fiscal concerns and inflation expectations, though slightly below the UK yields. 3. Interest Rate Differential (UK vs. US) The interest rate differential between UK and US 10-year yields is: 4.68% (UK)−4.54% (US)=+0.14% This small positive differential favors the GBP slightly, suggesting UK bonds offer marginally higher returns than US Treasuries. 4. Bond Price Implications Bond prices move inversely to yields. Given yields have risen in both the UK and US, bond prices have declined correspondingly. The slightly higher UK yields imply UK bond prices have fallen a bit more relative to US Treasuries. Rising yields reflect market concerns about inflation persistence and monetary policy tightening. 5. Impact on GBP/USD The modest yield advantage for the UK supports some GBP strength versus USD. However, broader market moves in GBP/USD on May 23 were influenced more by a weakening USD than a strong GBP. Inflation data and BoE’s cautious rate cut expectations underpin gilt yields and provide some support for GBP. Summary Table Metric UK (GBP) US (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield (%) ~4.68% - 4.73% (May 23, 2025) ~4.54% (May 21-22, 2025) Interest Rate Differential +0.14% (UK over US) — Bond Price Trend Declining (due to rising yields) Declining (rising yields) Inflation (UK CPI YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) Higher but easing in US GBP/USD Exchange Rate Supported by yield spread and weaker USD — Conclusion On May 23, 2025, the UK 10-year gilt yield was slightly higher than the US 10-year Treasury yield by about 14 basis points, reflecting stronger UK inflation and reduced expectations of BoE rate cuts. This small interest rate differential provides modest support for the GBP against the USD. Rising yields in both markets have pushed bond prices lower. However, the GBP/USD exchange rate movement on that day was influenced more by USD weakness amid geopolitical and economic factors than by the yield differential alone. traders should pay attention to monthly chart for clear directional bias.
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/USD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart for GBP/USD on the 30-minute timeframe shows a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern. Here's a breakdown of what the chart suggests: --- 🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: Pattern: Falling Wedge Timeframe: 30 minutes Current Price: ~1.34300 Support Zone: ~1.33709 Resistance/Target Zone: ~1.35940 --- 🟢 Bullish Setup: Entry Point: Around the breakout from the wedge (right where the price exits the wedge upwards). Target (Take Profit): Near 1.35940 — the previous high and a logical resistance level. Stop Loss: Slightly below the wedge’s lower boundary, around 1.33709 — protecting against a false breakout. --- 📈 Forecast: If the price breaks above the wedge with volume, a bullish breakout is expected. The blue projected line shows a likely path of higher highs and higher lows leading to the take profit zone. The red trendline might act as new support after the breakout. --- ⚠ Risk Management Tips: Use a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2. Watch for confirmation of the breakout (e.g., candle close above wedge and increased volume). Be cautious of false breakouts during low-volume trading periods. Would you like me to help write a trading plan or script based on this chart setup?
Long
by money_magnet2
PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25PERHAPS IT'S TIME TO STOP SHORTING GBPUSD LONG FORECAST W22 Y25 Hey traders ✌️ welcome to your market analysis by FRGNT! 🙌 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 💡Trade confluences provided during the week 📝 ✅Bullish weekly close above recent highs & Orderblock ✅ Within Weekly Orderblock. Potential shorts after bearish price action. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
by JCFRGNT
price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls!GBP/USD Technical Analysi s – Bullish Momentum Building The GBP/USD pair is currently showing signs of bullish strength, having recently rebounded from a 1-hour Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This technical reaction suggests increased buying interest and provides a short-term bullish bias in the market. Following the rejection from the FVG, price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls are gaining control. Market structure on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, further supporting the bullish narrative. Additionally, volume analysis and momentum indicators are beginning to align with the current upward move, suggesting that there may be room for continuation. However, to confirm sustained bullish momentum, it is essential to monitor key resistance levels ahead. The next immediate resistance lies near , which has historically acted as a decision point for the market. A clean breakout and close above this level on increased volume would serve as strong confirmation for a further upside move, potentially targeting . Conversely, traders should remain cautious of any signs of weakness or bearish divergence forming near resistance areas. Should the pair fail to break higher and instead reverse, a revisit of the bullish FVG could occur, potentially offering another entry opportunity for buyers. In summary, the GBP/USD pair is displaying bullish intent in the short term, but confirmation from higher timeframes and key levels will be critical before committing to a directional bias. Maintain a balanced outlook and adapt to the evolving price action.
by Peter_Wade
GBP/USD showing a major bearish target if the trend reverses.Pair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) Platform: TradingView Indicators Used: Ghost Pivots S/R Breaks and Retests (ChartPrime) 2. Key Technical Elements Entry Zone: Marked near 1.3412, showing the recent push-up toward a potential resistance or breakout level. Target Zones: First Target Zone: Marked just above 1.3300, indicating an expected retracement or initial profit-taking area. Final Target Zone: Located below 1.3200, showing a major bearish target if the trend reverses. Support & Resistance: Multiple historical resistance levels are highlighted in red. Green shaded zones indicate support targets. Volume Analysis: Noted with volume tags (e.g., “Vol: 54740”), helping assess buying/selling strength. Trendline: Diagonally drawn trendline labeled at the bottom, showing the broader bullish structure that may be tested on pullbacks. 3. Harmonic or Pattern Recognition The ABCD and XABCD structure on the left side of the chart suggests harmonic pattern analysis, likely used to predict reversals or extensions. 4. Strategy Indication This appears to be a bearish short setup: ENTRY is at a resistance level. TARGET and FINAL TARGET are significantly lower, implying expectation of a price drop after rejection at current highs. The user may be planning to short GBP/USD upon confirmation of bearish reversal patterns or candlestick behavior. 5. Other Details Active indicators and drawing tools are visible on the left sidebar. Multiple tabs suggest the user is tracking other instruments like Gold (GOLD) and market updates simultaneously. Bottom panel shows options like Pine Editor and Strategy Tester, hinting the user may also use custom scripts or backtesting strategies.
Short
by Johnson67
CONFLUENCE KEY GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25 🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅1 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPUSD potential longMulti-Timeframe Market Outlook 3-Month (3M) Timeframe • Price broke below key psychological/liquidity level at 1.2100 in Q3 2022, reaching 1.0500, where significant bullish order flow was triggered. • Bullish momentum brought price back above 1.2100, but lacked strength to reach next liquidity zone at 1.3900. • After retracing to collect orders at 1.2100 again, price advanced to 1.3400, met resistance, and returned to 1.2100. • Recent price action shows a break above 1.3400, signaling renewed bullish intent and momentum toward higher targets. Monthly Timeframe • Fully aligned with the 3M structure; no additional significant divergences to note. • Continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure remains intact. Weekly Timeframe • Last week, price broke and closed above major resistance at 1.3400 with strong bullish momentum. • Next liquidity target: 1.3650. • Price consolidated below 1.3400 for 4 weeks, suggesting accumulation of bullish orders. • Current retracement likely a pause to collect more orders before resuming towards 1.3650. Daily Timeframe • Strong order flow observed at 1.3150, followed by consolidation between 1.3250 – 1.3300 before breaking 1.3400. • Price has retraced ~100 pips since yesterday, likely seeking a liquidity zone. • 1.3400 remains the key level to monitor for renewed bullish interest and continuation toward 1.3650. 4H Timeframe • Notable bullish order block formed at 1.3400, resulting in nearly 200-pip upside. • Price appears to be retracing to this region, likely to collect more buy-side liquidity before another leg up. • Confluence across timeframes suggests strong bullish bias if price holds above or reclaims 1.3400. My thesis is long but I am very mindful of FOMC minutes today and I am waiting to see the impact that it will have on price action.
Long
by allan_mwenja2000
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 🔥👀QUICK SCOPE TECHNICAL REVERSAL HOT PICK Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBP/USD manipulation going on right now ??gbpusd had a good rise the last few weeks/months, now its time to pay attention. the price is now ranging,. let me tell you what i think. a little bit higher there is a imbalance in the chart. for me and many others thats a reason to short. why do i think manipulation is going on? for the big people in order to go short they need to attract buyers, so how do they do that? they go long, they build up long orders to attract more buyers so the price doesnt go down and the shorts can get filled. thats what happening right now in my opinion. (i can be wrong) also the rsi is overbought (indicating downside could come ) in my opinion the price will be ranging for a week of 2, after that is wil go a bit higher to eventually come down big time , (like 5% or more) here is the setup i will take. no financial advice, just my thoughts
Short
by Professor_TradeStein
3
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - NVIDIA’s Q1 earnings exceeded expectations. Despite export restrictions to China under the Trump administration, NVIDIA performed strongly, boosting risk appetite in the markets. - The May FOMC meeting minutes confirmed that Fed officials will maintain a wait-and-see approach in conducting future monetary policy. - A U.S. federal court ruled that the Trump administration’s “reciprocal tariffs” are invalid, stating, “The tariff order is nullified and permanently prohibited,” and ordered a cancellation of all tariffs collected thus far. This Week’s Key Economic Events + May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP + May 30: U.S. April Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index GBPUSD Chart Analysis As anticipated, a peak formed around the 1.35500 level, followed by a downward trend. A mid- to short-term downtrend is likely from the current range, with the next potential low expected near the 1.32000 level. However, if the price unexpectedly breaks above the 1.36000 level, the high could extend toward the 1.40000 level, indicating a shift toward a bullish trend.
Short
by shawntime_academy
Market next move 🧠 Disruptive Analysis: 🔴 1. False Breakout Potential The marked box shows a consolidation zone. While the green candle breaks slightly above it, this might be a trap (false breakout). If there's no strong follow-through, price may sharply retest or drop back inside the box—a classic bull trap. 🔴 2. Bearish Volume Profile Volume spiked on the initial drop, and even though there's some green candle volume, it’s not convincingly higher than previous bars. This could imply weak buyer commitment at this level, suggesting a potential reversal downward. 🔴 3. Overhead Resistance Even if price breaks out, it faces immediate resistance around 1.3485–1.3500, where multiple wicks formed earlier. This could stall or reject the move, invalidating the bullish "Target." 🔴 4. Economic Risk The U.S. economic event icons below suggest incoming USD-related news. If the data is USD-positive (e.g., strong employment or inflation), it could strengthen the dollar and push GBP/USD lower, negating the bullish move entirely.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
May 25 2025- BUY TRADE LIMIT order activated GBPUSDHi folks! -Been busy lately so I dont consistently post. Attached here is the chart of GBPUSD, A classic re-accumulation in 1H timeframe. Before I got this trade It took me 1 week to monitor the schematics of this wyckoff re-accumulation. It came to fruition last Thursday so I monitor for buy Limit order entry within 1H to 15 min. charts. Validity here was the liquidity grab of re-accumulation ( check the image for clear caption). TP: 8RR Risk: 0.05% of Account -Proprietary Trader #wyckoff #supplyanddemand #refinement
Long
by glyrad