RARE / 10R / Short....SGU @ 1.3340Rare but rewarding!
Just executed Short .... SGU @ 1.3340
💯 solid setup...watch this tank 📉
in engineering....we call this BUCKLE ;)
expecting min DD < 15p max RRR > 10
TP1 and SL as shown until final TP2 projected by system.
Sorry, alert is not based on TA like BoS or OB or SnR SnD PP or Fibs or even ICT etc....since designed to induce and seduce...rather based on multi-system confluence convergence and confirmations.... now system beeping let's test n see
IF u like this...would appreciate any feedback for continuous improvement...
🥂
GBPUSD trade ideas
GBP/USD 15M CHART PATTERNGBP/USD 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Pattern Observed:
The chart clearly shows a Head and Shoulders pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal.
Left Shoulder forms first, followed by a higher Head, and then a lower Right Shoulder.
A neckline (support line) is drawn connecting the low points between the shoulders and the head.
Breakout:
Price has broken below the neckline, confirming the Head and Shoulders pattern.
A strong red arrow pointing downward indicates expected bearish continuation.
Target Point:
The projected target based on the Head and Shoulders breakdown is around 1.32000.
This is calculated by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting that downward from the breakout point.
Moving Averages:
50 SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 90 SMA are shown.
Price is trading below these moving averages, supporting a bearish bias.
Current Price:
Around 1.3298, just below the neckline, retesting slightly.
Bias:
Bearish, with an expectation for price to continue dropping toward 1.32000.
Summary:
A classic bearish setup with confirmation. Breakout of the Head and Shoulders suggests continuation toward 1.32000. Watch for any minor pullbacks to the neckline (around 1.3300–1.3310) before further selling pressure resumes.
GBPUSD H4 | Bullish Continuation Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3210, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 1.3364 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3119, an overlap support.
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GBP/USD: The Pound Rebounds Back Above 1.33000During the last trading session, the GBP/USD pair posted a gain of more than 0.5% in favor of the pound, as U.S. dollar weakness continues, even after some positive remarks regarding the U.S.–China trade war. For now, it seems that investors are viewing European currencies as a potential safe haven amid the current wave of economic uncertainty across markets. This shift in sentiment has helped to sustain consistent bullish pressure on the pound in the short term.
Broad Ascending Channel
Since mid-January, the pair has been forming a strong ascending channel, with price now trading above the 200-period simple moving average, reinforcing long-term bullish momentum. So far, no bearish correction has been strong enough to break the channel, which remains the most relevant technical formation to monitor for upcoming GBP/USD moves.
RSI
Despite strong bullish momentum, a notable divergence has begun to form on the RSI, as the pair continues to post higher highs in price, while the RSI shows flat peaks in the short term. In addition, the RSI line is hovering near the 70 level, which marks the overbought zone. Both signals suggest a potential imbalance in market forces, possibly opening the door to short-term bearish corrections.
Key Levels:
1.33763 – Key Resistance: This level represents the most recent highs reached by GBP/USD. A sustained move above this area could confirm strong bullish momentum and lead to an acceleration within the current channel.
1.30448 – Near Support: This area corresponds to a consolidation zone seen over the past few months. It may serve as a tentative barrier where short-term pullbacks could occur.
1.28248 – Major Support: This is a critical level, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A decisive move below this support could invalidate the current bullish formation and potentially trigger a long-term bearish shift.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GBPUSD to retrace lowerGBPUSD is in a retracement right now after a rally to the upside.
It struggled to break out back to the upside yesterday and has been bearish today, breaking multiple short term lows.
The bias for me today is bearish but keep in mind we are in an uptrend in the higher timeframes.
GBPUSD – Rejected at Multi-Month Resistance Amid Weak UK DataGBPUSD has clearly rejected the 1.3413–1.3443 resistance zone—a key area that previously acted as strong supply in September 2024. The pair has formed a bearish rejection candle and is now showing signs of downward momentum.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.3413 – 1.3443 (major rejection zone)
TP1: 1.3176 (minor structure)
TP2: 1.3014 (key demand zone)
TP3: 1.2890 (deeper support target)
Bearish Confluences:
Price rejected from major resistance
Bearish candle formation
Previous similar reaction from the same level
Momentum indicators favor downside
📰 Fundamental Analysis:
🔻 UK Data Weakens Further:
According to the latest S&P Global Flash UK PMI (Apr 23):
Composite Output Index: 48.2 (vs 51.5 in March) – 29-month low
Services PMI: 48.9 – 27-month low
Manufacturing PMI: 44.0 – 20-month low
This shows UK private sector activity contracting, led by a steep fall in new export orders, the worst since May 2020.
🔺 Inflation Still High:
Despite falling activity, input and output prices surged, driven by National Insurance hikes and wage growth. This makes it harder for the BoE to justify a cut, despite recession signs.
📌 Conclusion:
The bearish rejection at 1.3413 resistance, combined with deteriorating UK fundamentals, suggests a strong downside setup for GBPUSD. A break below 1.3176 would confirm the bearish move, targeting 1.3014 and potentially 1.2890.
Wajani Investments: GPBUSDPair has currently formed a double top (R1, R2) with R2 on the lower side showing bull weakness. If this chart is zoomed in, we see that price has been in a downtrend. The big bull candle on R2 is a buy climax with bulls last push. The last 3 handles on R2 could not make it back to the top still confirming bull weakness.
Watch entry level if price changes and act accordingly.
Let me know your thoughts.
Thank you.
GBPUSDThe pair shows resilience against a broadly stronger U.S. dollar, supported by hopes of favorable UK-US trade outcomes and potential Fed rate cuts if U.S. inflation cools.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Interest Rate Differentials:
The Bank of England’s monetary policy versus the Federal Reserve’s stance is a primary driver. A hawkish BoE or dovish Fed tends to strengthen GBP/USD, while the opposite pressures it lower.
Economic Data:
UK GDP, inflation, employment, and retail sales relative to U.S. data influence directional bias. Softer U.S. inflation data may accelerate Fed rate cuts, weakening the dollar and supporting GBP/USD gains.
Political and Geopolitical Factors:
Trade negotiations, political stability, and geopolitical tensions affect sentiment and volatility. Positive UK-US trade developments or easing geopolitical risks tend to favor GBP/USD upside.
Market Sentiment:
Risk appetite influences flows; risk-on environments support the pound, while risk-off favors the safe-haven U.S. dollar
Summary of Directional Bias
Factors Current Bias Impact on GBP/USD
BoE vs Fed Interest Rates Mixed; market waits for clearer signals
U.S. Inflation Data Softer data could weaken USD, bullish GBP/USD
Trade Negotiations Positive UK-US talks support GBP upside
Market Sentiment Moderate risk appetite favors GBP
Dollar Index Trend Dollar weakness supports GBP/USD rally
Conclusion
GBP/USD’s directional bias in April 2025 leans cautiously bullish, supported by strong technical support zones and potential Fed dovishness amid softer U.S. inflation. However, the pair remains sensitive to U.S. dollar strength, BoE-Fed policy divergence, and geopolitical developments.
This balanced outlook aligns with recent analysis highlighting GBP/USD’s resilience and the importance of macroeconomic and technical factors in shaping trade bias
GBPUSD double top: will technical and fundamental drivers align?GBPUSD is setting up for a massive move with a double top forming on the weekly chart. Learn how to catch the breakout and target over 1,300 pips with smart risk-to-reward.
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UK retail sales beat forecast, pound edges lowerThe British pound has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3214, down 0.17% on the day.
UK retail sales were a ray of sunshine in March. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.4%, beating the market estimate of -0.4% but below the revised 0.7% increase in February. Clothing sales showed strong growth as shoppers took advantage of the sunny weather.
Annualized, retail sales rose 2.6% from a revised 1.8% gain in February and above the market estimate of 1.8%. This was the strongest gain in three months.
The strong retail sales was a pleasant surprise but the consumer economy remains fragile. The GfK consumer confidence index deteriorated in April to -23 from -19 and below the market estimate of -22. This was the lowest level since November 2023.
Consumers are concerned over the rising cost of living and worsening global trade tensions which has been fuelled by President Trump's tariffs. The GfK survey found that consumers are anxious that inflation will continue to rise due to the US tariffs.
The Bank of England is following trade tensions carefully as well. On Thursday, Governor Andrew Bailey said that the BoE was "quite focused on the growth shock" for the UK from the tariffs, although he said the UK was not close to a recession. If the global trade war intensifies, it will weigh on UK growth but will also push inflation lower.
President Trump's tariff policy is expected to raise inflation and consumers are anxious that inflation will rise sharply. The UoM consumer inflation expectations index jumped to 6.7% in the initial April release, up from 5.0% in March. Today's final release is expected to confirm this figure, which would mark the highest level since Nov. 1981.
SHORT.....SGU @ 1.3317just executed short.... SGU @ 1.3317
💯 solid setup...watch this tank 📉
expecting min DD max RRR till Fri NYC...
TP1 and SL as shown until final TP2 projected by system.
Sorry, alert is not based on TA or BoS or OB or ICT....rather based on multi-system confluence convergence and confirmations.... now system beeping let's test n see 🙈
appreciate any feedback for continuous improvement.
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBP/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop tot he 1st support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 1.3291
1st Support: 1.3160
1st Resistance: 1.3417
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GBPUSD... 4H CHART PATTERNI am suggesting a **GBP/USD short (sell) position** from **1.3299**, targeting **1.3160**. Here's a quick breakdown of that idea from a technical and risk management perspective:
---
### 📊 **Trade Summary**
- **Pair**: GBP/USD
- **Position**: Sell
- **Entry**: 1.3299
- **Target**: 1.3160
- **Potential Profit**: 139 pips
---
### ⚠️ Key Considerations:
1. **Technical Analysis**:
- Are you basing this on a break of support, resistance rejection, or a larger trend (e.g., D1 or H4)?
- Any key indicators (RSI, MACD, moving averages) giving confirmation?
2. **Fundamentals**:
- Any upcoming UK or US economic data? (GDP, interest rate announcements, Fed or BoE speeches?)
- Market sentiment toward USD (safe haven) or GBP (risk currency)?
3. **Stop Loss**:
- Are you using one? Placing it above recent highs could protect you—e.g., SL at 1.3350 (risk of ~50 pips).
- Risk-to-reward ratio: approx. 1:2.8 (Good).
---
### 🛠 Example Trade Setup (MetaTrader Style)
| Type | Sell (Short) |
|------------|-------------------|
| Entry | 1.3299 |
| TP (Target)| 1.3160 |
| SL (Stop) | 1.3350 (example) |
| R:R | ~1:2.8 |
---
If you’re live trading this, be cautious of:
- **Volatility spikes** from news.
- **Support levels** near 1.3200 that could slow down the move.
- **Dollar strength/weakness** (watch the DXY).
GBPUSD Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.330.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.319 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GU-Fri-25/04/25 TDA-More consolidation incoming!Analysis done directly on the chart
Nothing is easy, people make it look simple
but you don't see when they struggled.
Be consistent in whatever you want to do,
Journal your progress so you can look back
and see how far you've come. A lot of times
we diminish our progress without fully realizing
how much we have improved. Everyone's journey
is different, try not to compare to others in a toxic
way. Peace.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBP/USD M15 – Breakout AlertGBP/USD M15 – Breakout Alert
The GBP/USD pair on the 15-minute timeframe is showing a potential buying opportunity following the breakout of a consolidation pattern. This breakout indicates a possible shift in momentum to the upside, increasing the likelihood of continued bullish movement in the near term.
Trade Idea – Long Setup:
Entry: Consider entering around the trendline zone of the breakout pattern (approx. 1.32200–1.32300).
Target 1: 1.33214
Target 2: 1.33600
Stop Loss: Below recent structure low or Ichimoku cloud support.
This setup is backed by momentum indicators and breakout structure. Keep an eye on volume and price action near the entry zone for confirmation.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button and drop a comment to support!
Your engagement motivates me to keep sharing more setups and insights.
Best regards,
JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- President Trump continues to state that negotiations with China are going well, but the Chinese side has expressed that “the U.S. and China have neither consulted nor negotiated on tariff issues, let alone reached any agreement.”
- Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine are facing difficulties, and President Trump told reporters that he is strongly pressuring Russia to enter into peace negotiations with Ukraine.
- Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said, “If the labor market begins to deteriorate significantly, we expect more rate cuts to occur sooner.”
Key Economic Events This Week
+ April 25: Australian stock market closed
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair had been in an uptrend and recently reached resistance at the previous high of 1.34000 but failed to break through and is now declining. This downtrend is expected to continue in the short term toward the 1.31500 level, where a new directional move is likely to be determined.