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British Pound / U.S. Dollar

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GBPUSD trade ideas

Bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3000 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3071 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 1.2872 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
GBPUSD - Daily Pivot Points AnalysisGBPUSD - Daily Pivot Points Analysis GBPUSD is above the Daily Pivot Point - 1.2958 suggesting for the presence of the bullish momentum. GBPUSD may rise to test Daily R1 at 1.3006 and if the bullish momentum grows even more it can also reach Daily R2 - 1.3036. I don't see any reason to rise up to Daily R3 Price can move back down to the Daily Pivot Point from the Daily Resistance zones or it can move down to the nearest broken resistance where it can find support. As long as the price is still above the Daily Pivot Point - 1.2958 GBPUSD remains under the bull's control. The bearish momentum may increase once the price moves below the Daily Pivot Point - 1.2958 and it can follow the Daily Support areas scenario. Daily R3 - 1.3084 Daily R2 - 1.3036 Daily R1 - 1.3006 Daily Pivot Point - 1.2958 Daily S1 - 1.2927 Daily S2 - 1.2879 Daily S3 - 1.2848 ——————————————————- A pivot point is an intraday technical indicator that's used to identify trends and reversals in equities, commodities, and forex markets. Pivot points are calculated to determine levels in which the sentiment of the market could change from bullish to bearish and vice-versa. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
3
GBP/USD: Will Demand Zones Trigger the Next Bullish Rally?The GBP/USD pair showed some strength on Thursday, advancing to open the Friday London session at 1.2978 as of the time of writing. Despite the recent uptick, the pair’s near-term outlook remains uncertain, as traders assess various market dynamics and potential demand levels that could drive future price action. Technical Overview: Mixed Sentiment and COT Report Analysis From a technical standpoint, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates an interesting divergence between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders have generally adopted a bearish stance, while "smart money" is beginning to build bullish positions, hinting at a potential shift in market sentiment. This kind of divergence often acts as a precursor to a trend reversal, but timing is critical. Adding to this potential bullish sentiment is our Forecaster, which currently suggests a possible start of a bullish season for the British Pound. However, our technical analysis suggests that the price has not yet reached a significant demand area to trigger a strong buying opportunity. As it stands, the recent bullish push may be short-lived, as the GBP/USD appears poised for a bearish correction. This pullback could be necessary for the pair to establish a firmer demand base before initiating a more sustainable bullish rally aligned with seasonal patterns. US Dollar Outlook: Trump’s Impact on Market Dynamics Meanwhile, the outlook for the US Dollar remains largely positive, fueled by growing expectations of a potential Donald Trump victory in the upcoming US presidential election on November 5. Traders are anticipating the return of his aggressive economic policies, which are likely to include higher tariffs and lower taxes—measures historically seen as supportive of the US Dollar. However, the potential impact of a Trump administration could be negative for the currencies of major US trading partners, such as the British Pound. As traders price in this scenario, the US Dollar may strengthen further, adding additional bearish pressure on the GBP/USD pair in the short term. Current Strategy: Awaiting Key Demand Levels Given the current technical and fundamental setup, we are maintaining a cautious approach. While the recent price action and the COT data suggest a potential bullish shift for the GBP/USD, our strategy is to wait for the price to reach a key demand area before considering any long positions. This approach aims to minimize downside risk and capitalize on a more confirmed trend reversal. For now, we are on the sidelines, closely monitoring price movements and upcoming economic data releases that could influence market sentiment. Should the pair dip further into a demand zone, it could present an attractive opportunity for a long setup, aligned with both smart money positioning and seasonal trends. Conclusion The GBP/USD shows signs of a potential bullish season on the horizon, but with the price currently failing to reach strong demand levels, a pullback appears likely. Meanwhile, the US Dollar's strength, driven by speculation of Trump’s possible return to the White House, continues to weigh on the pair. For now, our strategy remains patient and data-driven, with a focus on finding the right demand level to initiate a bullish position. As always, staying disciplined and responsive to market shifts will be key in navigating the upcoming volatility. ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
by FOREXN1
1
GBPUSD plan analysis week 44🌐Fundamental Analysis In the absence of high-impact macroeconomic data and fundamental drivers, GBP/USD may react to changes in risk sentiment on Monday. On Wednesday, the UK government will present its Autumn Budget. The US economic calendar will also feature important data releases in the second half of the week. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the first estimate of annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the third quarter on Wednesday and release the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) figures for September on Thursday. Finally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release October labor market data on Friday. 🕯Technical Analysis GBPUSD is trading within a bearish channel, and to break out of this channel, GBPUSD must trade above 1.3000. The areas of interest for next week are 1.31000 and 1.28200. This is the trading range for the week. Next week there is Nonfarm news pay attention to the further port area at the further support resistance area around 1.322-1.270.
by TVS-Trader
3
GBP/USD Bullish Reversal - Inverted Head & Shoulders FormationPattern Formation: The GBP/USD pair is currently forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal. This pattern indicates that the downtrend may be coming to an end, and we could see a potential upward movement upon confirmation. Key Support and Rejection Level: The price has shown a strong rejection from a key Support level at 1.29050 , which aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement level. This confluence strengthens the support, suggesting that the price has found a significant bottom at this level. The repeated rejections at this zone indicate buying pressure, supporting the potential bullish setup. RSI Analysis: Upon analyzing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a clear Bullish Divergence . While the price was forming lower lows, the RSI was forming higher lows. This divergence suggests a potential reversal in price, further validating our bullish outlook. Entry Strategy: An entry is recommended upon the breakout of the Neckline at approximately 1.30020 . For a more conservative approach, entering on a re-test of this level will provide additional confirmation of the breakout's validity. Entry Point: Near 1.30020 Stop Loss: Near 1.29050 (below the support level) Take Profit Levels: To maximize the potential profit while managing risk, the following take profit (TP) levels are suggested: TP-1: 1.30990 TP-2: 1.31960 TP-3: 1.32930 Conclusion: The overall technical analysis indicates a potential bullish reversal for GBP/USD based on the Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, support at 1.29050, 0.618 Fibonacci level, and bullish RSI divergence. An entry near 1.30020 with a stop loss at 1.29050 offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The market should be closely monitored for a confirmed breakout or re-test at the neckline level. Recommendation: Watch for a clean breakout or re-test at 1.30020 for a potential bullish entry, and follow the risk management plan by placing the stop loss near 1.29050.
Long
by trading_jupiter
GBPUSD Bullish ScenarioToday, we will analyze GBPUSD Specific explanations are provided for each zone and movement on the chart. If you have any opinions, feel free to share them in the comments section. Please note that this analysis is not intended as financial advice. Each individual should assume responsibility for their own trades. The purpose of this post is to provide ideas and inspiration, encouraging readers to view the chart from different perspectives. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Biaxar
GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating Recent Trends and Upcoming EventsAfter a brief rally that saw GBP/USD rise above the 1.3000 mark on Friday, the pair lost momentum and closed the day marginally lower. As of Monday morning, GBP/USD remains relatively quiet, trading sideways above the 1.2970 level. This stagnation reflects a broader market reaction to various economic signals and upcoming events. Impact of US Treasury Bond Yields The recent increase in US Treasury bond yields has provided substantial support for the US Dollar, contributing to the reversal of GBP/USD's earlier gains. As investors flocked to the dollar, the pair's upward trajectory was curtailed. Additionally, the rise in US stock index futures, which increased between 0.5% and 0.7%, indicates a growing risk appetite among investors, further amplifying the dollar's strength. Potential for Bearish Impulses in GBP Given the current market conditions, there is a possibility of a bearish impulse for the GBP. Should risk flows dominate the financial markets after Wall Street opens, the USD may face renewed selling pressure. However, the demand areas could become the next target for sellers, suggesting that the GBP might struggle to maintain its upward momentum in the short term. Upcoming Economic Events Looking ahead, the UK government is set to present its Autumn Budget on Wednesday, which could have significant implications for GBP volatility. Market participants will closely monitor the details of the budget for potential fiscal measures that could influence the economy. Meanwhile, the US economic calendar is also packed with key data releases in the latter half of the week, adding further complexity to the market dynamics. Technical Analysis and COT Insights From a technical standpoint, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report offers valuable insights. Retail traders remain predominantly bearish, while "smart money" is beginning to build long positions. This divergence in sentiment can create opportunities for traders, particularly if the price reaches identified demand areas. For those looking to capitalize on potential movements, it may be prudent to consider long positions only when the price approaches these demand zones. This strategy aligns with risk management principles and may enhance the likelihood of favorable trade outcomes. Conclusion In conclusion, the current landscape for GBP/USD is characterized by a complex interplay of economic indicators, market sentiment, and upcoming events. As the pair navigates the immediate challenges, traders must remain vigilant and adaptable. Monitoring both the US and UK economic calendars, along with key technical levels, will be essential for making informed trading decisions. What are your thoughts on the potential movements of GBP/USD in the coming days, and how do you plan to position yourself in this evolving market?
by FOREXN1
1
SELL!!! GBPUSD HAS HAD A REJECTION IN THE DAILY INTEREST ZONEHELLO TRADERS I WISH YOU A SUCCESSFUL WEEK, GBPUSD IS THE FIRST PAIR I AM INTERESTED IN SELLING FOR THIS WEEK. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CONFLUENCES FOR SELLING AT THIS MOMENT 1.- weekly time frame bearish 2.- daily time frame bearish 3.- 4-hour time frame bearish 4.- rejection of the last daily structure point 5.- rejection of the daily interest zone 6.- daily rejection candle 7.- we are at the last point of the 4 Hr structure Why do I like it? The weekly time frame is bearish, the daily time frame is still bearish and the 4-hour time frame is bearish, which gives me a total of 3 time frames in tune, so the most logical thing is to look for sales. The price has rejected the previous daily lowest low (note the lowest low from October 16 to 21), and in turn it is a weekly and daily interest zone that has been rejected repeatedly in the past. There is a daily rejection candle (look at the bearish candle of October 25th). The price is retesting the lowest low of the 4-hour time frame. If you like my idea, follow me and give me a thumbs up!!! I will respond to suggestions and comments.
Short
by FxAlexisTrader