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GBP/USD_SPT - GBP/USD

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GBPUSD_SPT trade ideas

The Day Ahead A packed data slate and central bank commentary will shape market sentiment today. Key focus will be on China’s official PMIs for June, offering the first major insight into the health of the global manufacturing cycle as Q3 begins. A soft print could amplify global growth concerns, while a surprise to the upside may support risk sentiment across Asia and commodities. In the US, attention will turn to the June MNI Chicago PMI and the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index for further clarity on the state of US industry after mixed regional data earlier this month. The consumer credit and M4 money supply data, along with Q1 current account figures, could influence the USD via their implications for domestic demand and external balances. The UK sees the release of the Lloyds Business Barometer, which will provide a gauge of corporate confidence amid sticky inflation and persistent BoE rate cut speculation. In the Eurozone, eyes will be on Germany’s June CPI flash estimate, retail sales, and import prices, all feeding into inflation expectations ahead of the ECB’s July policy meeting. Italy’s CPI and Eurozone May M3 will also be watched closely for signs of disinflation and liquidity trends. From Japan, May industrial production and housing starts will help assess whether the domestic economy is managing to maintain momentum amid a weak yen and global headwinds. On the central bank front, the ECB Forum in Sintra kicks off, running through July 2. President Christine Lagarde is due to speak, and any remarks on the rate path or inflation outlook will be closely parsed. Markets will also hear from Fed’s Bostic and Goolsbee, potentially offering clues on the FOMC’s stance amid rising speculation around a September cut. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD July Playbook: Bearish Setup at Channel High GBPUSD just printed a CC SELL signal right at the top of its rising channel — setting the stage for a potential July pullback. 📌 Breakdown using Vinnie’s Trading Cheat Code System: ✅ RSI Overbought zone triggered ✅ CC Sell + Confirm Sell combo at channel resistance (~1.38) ✅ Price stretched far above the mean with no higher timeframe support nearby ✅ MACD histogram rolling over — momentum shift in play 🎯 Targets: 1.3500 (channel median / recent base) 1.3280 (deeper support / previous Confirm Buy area) This looks like a textbook trap-the-buyers setup. Patience on the entry — I’ll be stalking rallies to sell into. 🧠 Tools Used: Vinnie’s Confirm Alerts CC Trend Indicator RSI OB/OS Scanner MACD HPS Screener Following this closely — could be one of the cleanest short opportunities of the month.
Short
by bluesignalfx
GBPUSD Daily Timeframe Analysis – Bullish Continuation SetupTechnical Analysis: On the daily timeframe, GBPUSD maintains a bullish bias in the long term. During the previous week, price action formed an impulsive bullish leg, confirming continued demand and momentum to the upside. Currently, I expect a retracement to a key support zone (previous resistance), which is marked on the chart (red rectangle) This zone could act as a potential entry point for buyers targeting higher levels. A short-term retracement is expected toward the highlighted zone (red rectangle). --- 📌 Trade Plan: Entry Zone: 1.35900 – 1.36100 Take Profit (TP): 1.37500 Stop Loss (SL): 1.35250 --- 🔎 Outlook Summary: This setup aligns with the broader trend, and I’ll be watching price reaction at the retracement zone closely. A bullish confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle or pin bar) could validate the entry. 📌 Conclusion I’ll be watching the retracement closely for confirmation before entering. A bullish candlestick setup in this area will strengthen the bullish continuation outlook.
Long
by enwemadufranklyn1989
GU Friday Bearish ReviewHi everyone, GBP/USD played out exactly as per forecast (link below if you'd like to revisit): It was fairly simple price action to forecast, price sweeped 1.375 initially, taking out the Asian highs and the similar equal highs (liquidity) Before then creating its bearish leg towards the next liquidity zone of 1.37. I was able to jump onto a few moves throughout both London & NY (have thrown in those screenshots onto the chart for you guys) Regards, Aman | SMC Wolf FX 1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
by SMCWolfFX
Gbpusd Daily_TF Analysis within the bearish flag GBP/USD Daily Timeframe Analysis 1. The price is still trading within a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart. 2.Currently, the price is in a significant high on the higher timeframe. 3. There has been a recent breakout of resistance on the Daily Timeframe. 4. The breakout occurred at the same spot as the trendline breakout. Expectation: We can anticipate a potential move to the downside for a retest of the previous resistance breakout level and the broken trendline. After a successful retest, the overall bullish trend may continue.
Short
by Goodnessawe
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 27, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair held positive momentum near 1.3735 during Asian trading on Friday. Concerns over the Fed's future independence continue to undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for the major pair. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that he is considering selecting the next Fed chairman ahead of schedule, which has spurred fresh controversy over U.S. rate cuts. Trump said the list of potential successors to Powell had shrunk to “three or four people”, without naming any finalists. In addition, weaker-than-expected US gross domestic product (GDP) data also sent the dollar lower. The U.S. economy contracted faster than expected in the first three months of this year, falling 0.5%, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. The figure was below the previous estimate and the market consensus of -0.2%. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned earlier this week that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. At its June meeting, the UK central bank left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, although three of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to cut interest rates. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3750, SL 1.3690, TP 1.3865
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidation breakoutThe GBPUSD currency pair continues to exhibit a bullish price action bias, supported by a sustained rising trend. Recent intraday movement reflects a sideways consolidation breakout, suggesting potential continuation of the broader uptrend. Key Technical Level: 1.3600 This level marks the prior consolidation range and now acts as pivotal support. A corrective pullback toward 1.3600 followed by a bullish rejection would reinforce the bullish trend, targeting the next resistance levels at: 1.3825 – Near-term resistance 1.3865 – Minor swing high 1.3900 – Longer-term bullish objective On the other hand, a decisive daily close below 1.3600 would invalidate the bullish setup, shifting the outlook to bearish in the short term. This could trigger a deeper retracement toward: 1.3550 – Initial support 1.3500 – Key downside target Conclusion: As long as 1.3600 holds as support, the technical outlook remains bullish, favoring long positions on dips. A confirmed break below this level would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a corrective pullback phase. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
GBPUSD Hits Channel Highs – Watch for Exhaustion or BreakoutGBPUSD continues its impressive rally, tapping into the upper boundary of a clean ascending channel across the 1D and 4H timeframes. 🔹 Daily: Structure remains bullish with price pressing into long-term channel resistance near 1.3765. This is a key inflection point — bulls may need fresh momentum to break above. 🔹 4H: Sharp impulsive move has stretched to the upside channel line. RSI likely overextended. Look for signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence here. 🔹 1H / 23m: Lower timeframes show aggressive bullish control, but price is stalling near the highs. If we break structure or reject this zone, we could see a correction toward 1.3660 or deeper. 📉 If rejection occurs here, short opportunities may present toward mid-range or trendline support. 📈 If we break and close above 1.3780 with volume, continuation toward 1.3850 becomes likely. 💡Key Levels: • Resistance: 1.3780, 1.3850 • Support: 1.3660, 1.3600
by AutoMarkets
GBPUSD Wave Analysis – 25 June 2025- GBPUSD broke resistance level 1.3590 - Likely to rise to resistance level 1.3880 GBPUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance level 1.3590, which is the upper border of the narrow sideways price range inside which the price has been moving from May. The breakout of the resistance level 1.3590 accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3). Given the clear daily uptrend and the strong US dollar sales seen today, GBPUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.3880.
Long
by FxProGlobal
Risk Sentiment Improves, GBP/USD Nears 1.3650GBP/USD extended its rally for a third session, trading around 1.3620 and holding close to Tuesday’s high of 1.3648, its strongest level since February 2022. The pair continues to benefit from improved risk appetite as Middle East tensions ease following Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Despite the initial increase, investors remain cautious as doubts persist over the ceasefire’s durability and potential nuclear negotiations with Iran. Focus is also on Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, which continues to raise geopolitical concerns. Meanwhile, Powell, in his congressional testimony, signaled that rate cuts are unlikely before Q4. He acknowledged that new tariffs could push inflation higher from June but maintained that the Fed is prepared to ease policy once conditions allow. Resistance is seen at 1.3655, while support holds at 1.3540.
by ChartMage
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF. Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman. Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 24, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is strengthening to 1.3560 in the early European session on Tuesday, helped by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that she would favor an interest rate cut at the next meeting in July if inflationary pressures remain muted. Bowman's comments echoed those of Fed chief Christopher Waller, who said on Friday that he believes the U.S. central bank may consider a rate cut in July. Traders now put the probability of a rate change at the July meeting at nearly 23%, and the probability that the Fed will cut rates in September at about 78%. On the other hand, uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire between Israel and Iran and renewed tensions in the Middle East could increase safe-haven flows, supporting the Pound Sterling (GBP). The Israel Defense Forces said early Tuesday it had detected rockets launched from Iran towards southern Israel, despite US President Donald Trump saying a “full and final” ceasefire between Israel and Iran would take effect. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3545, SL 1.3645, TP 1.3345
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GU-Tue-24/06/25 TDA-Strong bullish push from GU, don't FOMOing!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! It's really easy to FOMOing when price is going unilateral and I don't blame you. It's part of human psychology to instinctively react like this. But ask yourself: if you FOMOed this time and got lucky, do you think long term it's a repeatable approach? Sustainable long term? When price pushes a lot and you are not in the trade, usually good thing to do is wait for some sort of pullback or some sort of support so you can put good sl placement. So you know already your sl and tp before you enter a trade. One good or bad trading day won't define you as a trader. The consistent results will! Active in London session! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
Long
by Mister_Y